BigBear.ai (NYSE:BBAI) Stock Price Down 3.2% - What's Next?

Key Points

• BigBear.ai shares fell 3.2% to about $5.93 on Tuesday, trading as low as $5.81 with volume of 115.8M shares (up 42% vs. average), and the stock sits near its 50‑day ($6.09) and 200‑day ($6.40) moving averages with a market cap of $2.59B.
• Analyst sentiment has cooled—Cantor Fitzgerald downgraded to "neutral" and Wall Street Zen to "sell"—leaving a consensus rating of "Hold" and a consensus price target of $6.00.
• Fundamentals show weakness: revenue was down 20.1% year‑over‑year and the company missed EPS (reported $(0.07) vs. $(0.06) expected), with negative margins and ROE and a negative P/E, though liquidity is strong (quick/current ratios of 3.13) and debt is low (debt/equity 0.18).

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BBAI - Get Free Report)'s stock price fell 3.2% on Tuesday . The company traded as low as $5.81 and last traded at $5.9250. 115,815,694 shares traded hands during trading, an increase of 42% from the average session volume of 81,487,313 shares. The stock had previously closed at $6.12.

Wall Street Analyst Weigh In

Several research analysts have issued reports on BBAI shares. Cantor Fitzgerald cut BigBear.ai from an "overweight" rating to a "neutral" rating and dropped their price target for the company from $7.00 to $6.00 in a report on Wednesday, January 7th. Wall Street Zen lowered BigBear.ai from a "hold" rating to a "sell" rating in a research report on Saturday, January 10th. HC Wainwright reiterated a "buy" rating and issued a $8.00 price target on shares of BigBear.ai in a research report on Tuesday, November 11th. Finally, Weiss Ratings reissued a "sell (d-)" rating on shares of BigBear.ai in a research note on Wednesday, October 8th. One analyst has rated the stock with a Buy rating, three have given a Hold rating and one has assigned a Sell rating to the company's stock. Based on data from MarketBeat.com, the company presently has an average rating of "Hold" and a consensus price target of $6.00.

BigBear.ai Trading Down 3.2%

The company has a quick ratio of 3.13, a current ratio of 3.13 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18. The firm has a market cap of $2.59 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of -4.17 and a beta of 3.46. The company has a 50-day moving average price of $6.09 and a 200 day moving average price of $6.40.

BigBear.ai (NYSE:BBAI - Get Free Report) last announced its quarterly earnings data on Monday, November 10th. The company reported ($0.07) earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of ($0.06) by ($0.01). BigBear.ai had a negative return on equity of 26.11% and a negative net margin of 274.70%.The business had revenue of $33.14 million during the quarter, compared to analysts' expectations of $31.82 million. During the same period in the prior year, the company posted ($0.05) earnings per share. The firm's revenue was down 20.1% on a year-over-year basis. As a group, research analysts anticipate that BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. will post -0.28 earnings per share for the current fiscal year.

Insider Activity at BigBear.ai

In other news, Director Dorothy D. Hayes sold 22,000 shares of the company's stock in a transaction on Tuesday, November 18th. The shares were sold at an average price of $6.08, for a total value of $133,760.00. Following the transaction, the director directly owned 236,150 shares of the company's stock, valued at approximately $1,435,792. This represents a 8.52% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a legal filing with the SEC, which can be accessed through this link. Also, CFO Sean Raymond Ricker sold 5,000 shares of the stock in a transaction on Thursday, December 4th. The stock was sold at an average price of $7.06, for a total value of $35,300.00. Following the sale, the chief financial officer owned 488,716 shares of the company's stock, valued at approximately $3,450,334.96. This represents a 1.01% decrease in their ownership of the stock. Additional details regarding this sale are available in the official SEC disclosure. 0.54% of the stock is currently owned by corporate insiders.

Institutional Investors Weigh In On BigBear.ai

A number of hedge funds and other institutional investors have recently made changes to their positions in BBAI. Arizona State Retirement System lifted its holdings in shares of BigBear.ai by 2.2% during the 3rd quarter. Arizona State Retirement System now owns 86,166 shares of the company's stock valued at $562,000 after buying an additional 1,823 shares during the last quarter. Steward Partners Investment Advisory LLC raised its position in BigBear.ai by 22.3% during the second quarter. Steward Partners Investment Advisory LLC now owns 10,344 shares of the company's stock valued at $70,000 after acquiring an additional 1,885 shares in the last quarter. Pure Financial Advisors LLC lifted its stake in BigBear.ai by 19.4% in the third quarter. Pure Financial Advisors LLC now owns 12,060 shares of the company's stock valued at $79,000 after acquiring an additional 1,960 shares during the last quarter. Toth Financial Advisory Corp grew its position in BigBear.ai by 20.0% in the third quarter. Toth Financial Advisory Corp now owns 12,000 shares of the company's stock worth $78,000 after acquiring an additional 2,000 shares in the last quarter. Finally, Wealthspan Partners LLC increased its stake in shares of BigBear.ai by 16.0% during the 3rd quarter. Wealthspan Partners LLC now owns 16,350 shares of the company's stock worth $107,000 after purchasing an additional 2,250 shares during the last quarter. 7.55% of the stock is owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.

About BigBear.ai

BigBear.ai is a provider of artificial intelligence (AI) and data analytics solutions designed to deliver actionable insights for public sector and commercial clients. Headquartered in Columbia, Maryland, the company specializes in advanced analytics, machine learning, predictive modeling and network analysis to support decision-making in complex, data-rich environments. Its clientele spans defense and intelligence agencies, civil government organizations and enterprise businesses seeking to enhance mission outcomes and operational efficiency.

The company’s flagship offerings include an AI-driven analytics platform that integrates data engineering, algorithm development and visualization tools.

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