BigBear.ai (NYSE:BBAI) Trading 4.5% Higher - Time to Buy?

Key Points

• Shares were up 4.5%, trading at $3.575 on Thursday on about 22.98M shares (a 58% drop versus average volume), and remain below the 50‑day ($4.24) and 200‑day ($5.68) moving averages.
• BigBear.ai beat EPS expectations (‑$0.01 vs. ‑$0.05) but missed revenue ($27.3M vs. $33.31M), with revenue down 37.7% YoY and a negative net margin of 230%; analysts are mixed and the consensus rating is a Hold with an average target of $5.50 after recent price‑target cuts.

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BBAI - Get Free Report)'s share price was up 4.5% during trading on Thursday . The stock traded as high as $3.61 and last traded at $3.5750. Approximately 22,981,857 shares changed hands during mid-day trading, a decline of 58% from the average daily volume of 55,109,625 shares. The stock had previously closed at $3.42.

Analyst Ratings Changes

BBAI has been the topic of a number of research reports. Weiss Ratings reiterated a "sell (d-)" rating on shares of BigBear.ai in a report on Wednesday, January 21st. Cantor Fitzgerald decreased their price target on shares of BigBear.ai from $6.00 to $5.00 and set a "neutral" rating on the stock in a research report on Tuesday, March 3rd. Wall Street Zen cut BigBear.ai from a "hold" rating to a "sell" rating in a report on Saturday, January 10th. Finally, HC Wainwright cut their price objective on BigBear.ai from $8.00 to $6.00 and set a "buy" rating for the company in a research report on Tuesday, March 3rd. One research analyst has rated the stock with a Buy rating, one has given a Hold rating and one has given a Sell rating to the company's stock. According to MarketBeat.com, the company has an average rating of "Hold" and a consensus target price of $5.50.

BigBear.ai Price Performance

The stock has a 50 day moving average of $4.24 and a two-hundred day moving average of $5.68. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.16, a quick ratio of 1.78 and a current ratio of 1.78. The stock has a market cap of $1.70 billion, a PE ratio of -3.58 and a beta of 3.47.

BigBear.ai (NYSE:BBAI - Get Free Report) last posted its quarterly earnings data on Monday, March 2nd. The company reported ($0.01) EPS for the quarter, beating analysts' consensus estimates of ($0.05) by $0.04. The company had revenue of $27.30 million during the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $33.31 million. BigBear.ai had a negative net margin of 230.21% and a negative return on equity of 18.22%. The business's quarterly revenue was down 37.7% on a year-over-year basis. During the same period in the prior year, the firm earned ($0.43) earnings per share. Equities analysts anticipate that BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. will post -0.28 EPS for the current year.

Insider Activity at BigBear.ai

In related news, Director Pamela Joyce Braden sold 80,000 shares of the company's stock in a transaction that occurred on Monday, March 16th. The shares were sold at an average price of $4.00, for a total value of $320,000.00. Following the completion of the sale, the director owned 508,687 shares in the company, valued at approximately $2,034,748. This represents a 13.59% decrease in their position. The sale was disclosed in a legal filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which can be accessed through the SEC website. Company insiders own 0.54% of the company's stock.

Institutional Trading of BigBear.ai

Large investors have recently added to or reduced their stakes in the company. Invesco Ltd. lifted its holdings in shares of BigBear.ai by 26.4% in the first quarter. Invesco Ltd. now owns 26,728 shares of the company's stock valued at $76,000 after purchasing an additional 5,579 shares in the last quarter. AQR Capital Management LLC purchased a new position in shares of BigBear.ai during the first quarter valued at $88,000. MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS Ltd. raised its position in BigBear.ai by 54.0% during the first quarter. MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS Ltd. now owns 456,661 shares of the company's stock valued at $1,306,000 after buying an additional 160,096 shares during the period. NewEdge Advisors LLC lifted its stake in BigBear.ai by 441.1% in the 1st quarter. NewEdge Advisors LLC now owns 74,318 shares of the company's stock worth $213,000 after acquiring an additional 60,583 shares in the last quarter. Finally, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. lifted its stake in BigBear.ai by 569.0% in the 1st quarter. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. now owns 2,340,713 shares of the company's stock worth $6,694,000 after acquiring an additional 1,990,822 shares in the last quarter. 7.55% of the stock is owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.

About BigBear.ai

BigBear.ai is a provider of artificial intelligence (AI) and data analytics solutions designed to deliver actionable insights for public sector and commercial clients. Headquartered in Columbia, Maryland, the company specializes in advanced analytics, machine learning, predictive modeling and network analysis to support decision-making in complex, data-rich environments. Its clientele spans defense and intelligence agencies, civil government organizations and enterprise businesses seeking to enhance mission outcomes and operational efficiency.

The company’s flagship offerings include an AI-driven analytics platform that integrates data engineering, algorithm development and visualization tools.

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