BigBear.ai (NYSE:BBAI) Trading Up 1% - What's Next?

Key Points

• BigBear.ai shares were up about 1%, trading near $4.18 on Monday with ~45.5M shares changing hands (roughly 8% below average); the company has a market cap of ~$2.0B, a 50-day/200-day moving average of $3.75/$5.16 and a beta of 3.25.
• Analyst sentiment is mixed: there is one Buy, one Hold and one Sell rating giving an average rating of "Hold" and an average target price of $5.50, while recent price targets were trimmed (Cantor Fitzgerald $6 → $5; HC Wainwright $8 → $6).
• In the latest quarter BigBear.ai beat EPS (−$0.01 vs. −$0.05 expected) but missed revenue ($27.3M vs. $33.3M expected), with revenue down 37.7% YoY and materially negative profitability (net margin −230.21%, negative ROE); analysts expect about −0.3 EPS for the year.

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BBAI - Get Free Report)'s stock price was up 1% on Monday . The company traded as high as $4.35 and last traded at $4.1830. Approximately 45,473,063 shares were traded during trading, a decline of 8% from the average daily volume of 49,665,402 shares. The stock had previously closed at $4.14.

Wall Street Analysts Forecast Growth

BBAI has been the subject of several research reports. Cantor Fitzgerald cut their price objective on BigBear.ai from $6.00 to $5.00 and set a "neutral" rating for the company in a research note on Tuesday, March 3rd. Wall Street Zen lowered BigBear.ai from a "hold" rating to a "sell" rating in a research note on Saturday, January 10th. HC Wainwright cut their price objective on BigBear.ai from $8.00 to $6.00 and set a "buy" rating for the company in a research note on Tuesday, March 3rd. Finally, Weiss Ratings reiterated a "sell (d-)" rating on shares of BigBear.ai in a research note on Monday, April 20th. One investment analyst has rated the stock with a Buy rating, one has assigned a Hold rating and one has assigned a Sell rating to the company's stock. Based on data from MarketBeat.com, BigBear.ai presently has an average rating of "Hold" and an average target price of $5.50.

BigBear.ai Price Performance

The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.16, a current ratio of 1.78 and a quick ratio of 1.78. The stock's fifty day moving average is $3.75 and its 200-day moving average is $5.16. The stock has a market cap of $2.00 billion, a PE ratio of -4.18 and a beta of 3.25.

BigBear.ai (NYSE:BBAI - Get Free Report) last announced its quarterly earnings data on Monday, March 2nd. The company reported ($0.01) earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, beating analysts' consensus estimates of ($0.05) by $0.04. BigBear.ai had a negative net margin of 230.21% and a negative return on equity of 18.22%. The firm had revenue of $27.30 million during the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $33.31 million. During the same quarter in the prior year, the firm posted ($0.43) earnings per share. BigBear.ai's quarterly revenue was down 37.7% on a year-over-year basis. As a group, equities analysts anticipate that BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. will post -0.3 EPS for the current year.

Insiders Place Their Bets

In related news, Director Pamela Joyce Braden sold 80,000 shares of the stock in a transaction that occurred on Monday, March 16th. The stock was sold at an average price of $4.00, for a total value of $320,000.00. Following the completion of the transaction, the director directly owned 508,687 shares in the company, valued at approximately $2,034,748. This represents a 13.59% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The sale was disclosed in a legal filing with the SEC, which is accessible through this link. Insiders own 0.54% of the company's stock.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

Hedge funds have recently added to or reduced their stakes in the business. Root Financial Partners LLC grew its position in BigBear.ai by 617.5% in the fourth quarter. Root Financial Partners LLC now owns 5,381 shares of the company's stock worth $29,000 after acquiring an additional 4,631 shares during the period. CWM LLC raised its stake in shares of BigBear.ai by 237.5% in the 3rd quarter. CWM LLC now owns 4,640 shares of the company's stock valued at $30,000 after acquiring an additional 3,265 shares during the period. PNC Financial Services Group Inc. lifted its holdings in shares of BigBear.ai by 150.9% in the 4th quarter. PNC Financial Services Group Inc. now owns 5,640 shares of the company's stock worth $30,000 after acquiring an additional 3,392 shares during the last quarter. Hazlett Burt & Watson Inc. lifted its holdings in shares of BigBear.ai by 3,355.6% in the 3rd quarter. Hazlett Burt & Watson Inc. now owns 4,976 shares of the company's stock worth $32,000 after acquiring an additional 4,832 shares during the last quarter. Finally, HM Payson & Co. lifted its holdings in shares of BigBear.ai by 616.9% in the 4th quarter. HM Payson & Co. now owns 7,169 shares of the company's stock worth $39,000 after acquiring an additional 6,169 shares during the last quarter. 7.55% of the stock is currently owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.

About BigBear.ai

BigBear.ai is a provider of artificial intelligence (AI) and data analytics solutions designed to deliver actionable insights for public sector and commercial clients. Headquartered in Columbia, Maryland, the company specializes in advanced analytics, machine learning, predictive modeling and network analysis to support decision-making in complex, data-rich environments. Its clientele spans defense and intelligence agencies, civil government organizations and enterprise businesses seeking to enhance mission outcomes and operational efficiency.

The company’s flagship offerings include an AI-driven analytics platform that integrates data engineering, algorithm development and visualization tools.

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