Capital One Financial Forecasts ConocoPhillips Q3 Earnings

Key Points

• ConocoPhillips is projected to earn $1.56 per share for Q3 2025, down from a previous estimate of $1.59, with full-year earnings expected to be $8.16 per share.
• In its most recent earnings report, ConocoPhillips reported $1.42 earnings per share, exceeding the consensus estimate by $0.06, with a revenue of $14.94 billion, surpassing expectations.
• The company recently declared a quarterly dividend of $0.78, representing a 3.2% yield, with a payout ratio of 41.88% for shareholders of record on August 18th.

ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP - Free Report) - Capital One Financial lowered their Q3 2025 earnings estimates for ConocoPhillips in a report issued on Thursday, August 21st. Capital One Financial analyst P. Johnston now forecasts that the energy producer will post earnings of $1.56 per share for the quarter, down from their previous estimate of $1.59. The consensus estimate for ConocoPhillips' current full-year earnings is $8.16 per share. Capital One Financial also issued estimates for ConocoPhillips' Q4 2025 earnings at $1.64 EPS, Q1 2026 earnings at $1.40 EPS, Q2 2026 earnings at $1.47 EPS, Q3 2026 earnings at $1.50 EPS, Q4 2026 earnings at $1.52 EPS and FY2026 earnings at $5.89 EPS.

ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP - Get Free Report) last released its quarterly earnings results on Thursday, August 7th. The energy producer reported $1.42 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, beating analysts' consensus estimates of $1.36 by $0.06. The company had revenue of $14.94 billion for the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $14.39 billion. ConocoPhillips had a net margin of 15.26% and a return on equity of 14.60%. ConocoPhillips's revenue was up 4.3% on a year-over-year basis. During the same quarter in the prior year, the firm earned $1.98 earnings per share.

A number of other research analysts have also recently weighed in on COP. Scotiabank boosted their price objective on shares of ConocoPhillips from $95.00 to $100.00 and gave the company a "sector perform" rating in a research report on Friday, July 11th. Royal Bank Of Canada cut their price objective on shares of ConocoPhillips from $115.00 to $113.00 and set an "outperform" rating on the stock in a research report on Friday, July 11th. Raymond James Financial boosted their price objective on shares of ConocoPhillips from $109.00 to $117.00 and gave the company an "outperform" rating in a research report on Tuesday, July 22nd. Bank of America cut their price objective on shares of ConocoPhillips from $107.00 to $106.00 and set a "neutral" rating on the stock in a research report on Friday, May 23rd. Finally, Morgan Stanley reiterated an "overweight" rating and set a $123.00 price objective (up previously from $119.00) on shares of ConocoPhillips in a research report on Sunday, August 10th. Sixteen equities research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating and four have assigned a Hold rating to the company. According to data from MarketBeat.com, the company presently has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" and a consensus target price of $120.95.

ConocoPhillips Trading Down 1.1%

COP stock traded down $1.11 during mid-day trading on Monday, reaching $97.08. 7,051,629 shares of the stock traded hands, compared to its average volume of 6,992,280. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35, a quick ratio of 1.10 and a current ratio of 1.27. ConocoPhillips has a one year low of $79.88 and a one year high of $116.08. The stock has a market capitalization of $121.24 billion, a PE ratio of 13.03, a PEG ratio of 2.57 and a beta of 0.67. The business has a 50-day moving average price of $93.86 and a two-hundred day moving average price of $93.18.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

Hedge funds and other institutional investors have recently added to or reduced their stakes in the business. Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc. raised its position in shares of ConocoPhillips by 0.7% in the 2nd quarter. Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc. now owns 40,382,724 shares of the energy producer's stock worth $3,623,946,000 after acquiring an additional 287,970 shares in the last quarter. Wellington Management Group LLP lifted its position in shares of ConocoPhillips by 1.4% during the first quarter. Wellington Management Group LLP now owns 31,610,608 shares of the energy producer's stock valued at $3,319,746,000 after buying an additional 437,709 shares during the last quarter. Fisher Asset Management LLC lifted its position in shares of ConocoPhillips by 1.6% during the second quarter. Fisher Asset Management LLC now owns 14,393,875 shares of the energy producer's stock valued at $1,291,706,000 after buying an additional 224,201 shares during the last quarter. Northern Trust Corp lifted its position in shares of ConocoPhillips by 27.6% during the fourth quarter. Northern Trust Corp now owns 13,757,835 shares of the energy producer's stock valued at $1,364,364,000 after buying an additional 2,971,661 shares during the last quarter. Finally, Ameriprise Financial Inc. lifted its position in shares of ConocoPhillips by 31.4% during the second quarter. Ameriprise Financial Inc. now owns 10,778,664 shares of the energy producer's stock valued at $966,267,000 after buying an additional 2,575,803 shares during the last quarter. 82.36% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors.

Insider Transactions at ConocoPhillips

In other ConocoPhillips news, EVP Kirk L. Johnson bought 5,300 shares of the company's stock in a transaction on Monday, June 16th. The shares were bought at an average cost of $94.24 per share, for a total transaction of $499,472.00. Following the acquisition, the executive vice president directly owned 14,527 shares in the company, valued at approximately $1,369,024.48. The trade was a 57.44% increase in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a legal filing with the SEC, which can be accessed through this hyperlink. 0.24% of the stock is currently owned by insiders.

ConocoPhillips Announces Dividend

The firm also recently announced a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Tuesday, September 2nd. Shareholders of record on Monday, August 18th will be issued a dividend of $0.78 per share. This represents a $3.12 annualized dividend and a yield of 3.2%. The ex-dividend date is Monday, August 18th. ConocoPhillips's dividend payout ratio is presently 41.88%.

ConocoPhillips Company Profile

ConocoPhillips explores for, produces, transports, and markets crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, liquefied natural gas (LNG), and natural gas liquids in the United States, Canada, China, Libya, Malaysia, Norway, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company's portfolio includes unconventional plays in North America; conventional assets in North America, Europe, Asia, and Australia; global LNG developments; oil sands assets in Canada; and an inventory of global exploration prospects.