UBS Group AG Grows Position in BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. $BBAI

Key Points

• UBS Group AG increased its stake in BigBear.ai by 145.7% in Q4, buying 6,158,665 shares to hold 10,386,833 shares (about 2.38% of the company) valued at roughly $56.1 million.
• BigBear.ai reported operational progress in Q1 with $34.4M revenue that beat estimates, a larger backlog and over $60M in national‑security wins, and management reaffirmed FY2026 guidance (a wide $135M–$165M range).
• However, the company missed on EPS (reported -$0.12 vs. -$0.08 est.), still shows negative margins and ROE, the stock pulled back on the news, and analysts remain mixed with an average "Hold" rating and $5.50 target.

UBS Group AG lifted its holdings in shares of BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BBAI - Free Report) by 145.7% during the 4th quarter, according to its most recent disclosure with the Securities & Exchange Commission. The fund owned 10,386,833 shares of the company's stock after purchasing an additional 6,158,665 shares during the quarter. UBS Group AG owned about 2.38% of BigBear.ai worth $56,089,000 as of its most recent SEC filing.

Several other hedge funds have also made changes to their positions in BBAI. Invesco Ltd. boosted its holdings in shares of BigBear.ai by 26.4% during the first quarter. Invesco Ltd. now owns 26,728 shares of the company's stock worth $76,000 after purchasing an additional 5,579 shares during the last quarter. AQR Capital Management LLC acquired a new stake in shares of BigBear.ai during the first quarter worth $88,000. MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS Ltd. boosted its holdings in shares of BigBear.ai by 54.0% during the first quarter. MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS Ltd. now owns 456,661 shares of the company's stock worth $1,306,000 after purchasing an additional 160,096 shares during the last quarter. NewEdge Advisors LLC boosted its holdings in shares of BigBear.ai by 441.1% during the first quarter. NewEdge Advisors LLC now owns 74,318 shares of the company's stock worth $213,000 after purchasing an additional 60,583 shares during the last quarter. Finally, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. boosted its holdings in shares of BigBear.ai by 569.0% during the first quarter. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. now owns 2,340,713 shares of the company's stock worth $6,694,000 after purchasing an additional 1,990,822 shares during the last quarter. Institutional investors and hedge funds own 7.55% of the company's stock.

Analysts Set New Price Targets

BBAI has been the topic of several analyst reports. Cantor Fitzgerald decreased their price objective on BigBear.ai from $6.00 to $5.00 and set a "neutral" rating on the stock in a report on Tuesday, March 3rd. HC Wainwright cut their price objective on BigBear.ai from $8.00 to $6.00 and set a "buy" rating on the stock in a research report on Tuesday, March 3rd. Wall Street Zen lowered BigBear.ai from a "hold" rating to a "sell" rating in a research report on Saturday, January 10th. Finally, Weiss Ratings reaffirmed a "sell (d-)" rating on shares of BigBear.ai in a research report on Monday, April 20th. One investment analyst has rated the stock with a Buy rating, one has given a Hold rating and one has issued a Sell rating to the company. According to data from MarketBeat.com, the stock presently has an average rating of "Hold" and an average target price of $5.50.

BigBear.ai News Roundup

Here are the key news stories impacting BigBear.ai this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Company reported increased backlog and notable national‑security wins (management cited roughly $75M of Q1 wins and more than $60M tied to national security), which bolsters revenue visibility from federal spending. BigBear.ai Announces First Quarter 2026 Results
• Positive Sentiment: Operational signs of improvement: Q1 revenue of $34.4M beat estimates, gross margin rose to ~34%, and net loss narrowed, indicating progress on margin and revenue quality. BBAI Reports Q1 Loss, Beats Revenue Estimates
• Neutral Sentiment: Company reaffirmed FY2026 revenue guidance in a wide $135M–$165M range (consensus ~$142.8M) — supportive that management sees growth, but the wide band leaves investor uncertainty on precise near‑term trajectory. BigBear.ai Announces First Quarter 2026 Results
• Neutral Sentiment: Management commentary and the earnings call provide detail on strategy (Ask Sage acquisition and focus on federal AI), which may clarify execution over coming quarters but hasn’t fully shifted near‑term sentiment. BigBear.ai Q1 2026 Earnings Transcript
• Negative Sentiment: EPS missed estimates: reported ($0.12) vs. consensus (~$0.08) and the company still shows large negative net margin and negative ROE, highlighting ongoing profitability and cash‑flow concerns that pressured the stock. MarketBeat Q1 Summary
• Negative Sentiment: Market reaction: some coverage noted a share decline (Invezz described a ~5% drop) despite the revenue beat, reflecting investor focus on earnings loss, margin volatility and execution risk. BBAI stock plunges 5% despite revenue beat

Insider Buying and Selling

In related news, Director Pamela Joyce Braden sold 80,000 shares of BigBear.ai stock in a transaction dated Monday, March 16th. The stock was sold at an average price of $4.00, for a total value of $320,000.00. Following the completion of the transaction, the director directly owned 508,687 shares in the company, valued at approximately $2,034,748. This trade represents a 13.59% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a document filed with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is accessible through this link. Company insiders own 0.54% of the company's stock.

BigBear.ai Stock Down 0.4%

NYSE:BBAI opened at $4.16 on Wednesday. The company has a market capitalization of $1.99 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of -4.16 and a beta of 3.25. BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. has a one year low of $2.96 and a one year high of $9.39. The stock has a 50-day simple moving average of $3.75 and a 200 day simple moving average of $5.13. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.16, a quick ratio of 1.78 and a current ratio of 1.78.

BigBear.ai (NYSE:BBAI - Get Free Report) last posted its quarterly earnings results on Tuesday, May 5th. The company reported ($0.12) EPS for the quarter, missing analysts' consensus estimates of ($0.08) by ($0.04). The firm had revenue of $34.44 million during the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $33.60 million. BigBear.ai had a negative return on equity of 18.22% and a negative net margin of 230.21%.The firm's revenue for the quarter was down 1.1% on a year-over-year basis. During the same quarter last year, the business posted ($0.25) earnings per share. Sell-side analysts predict that BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. will post -0.3 EPS for the current fiscal year.

BigBear.ai Company Profile

BigBear.ai is a provider of artificial intelligence (AI) and data analytics solutions designed to deliver actionable insights for public sector and commercial clients. Headquartered in Columbia, Maryland, the company specializes in advanced analytics, machine learning, predictive modeling and network analysis to support decision-making in complex, data-rich environments. Its clientele spans defense and intelligence agencies, civil government organizations and enterprise businesses seeking to enhance mission outcomes and operational efficiency.

The company’s flagship offerings include an AI-driven analytics platform that integrates data engineering, algorithm development and visualization tools.

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