FY2027 EPS Estimates for Gevo Cut by Northland Securities

Key Points

• Analyst J. Grampp at Northland Securities cut FY2027 EPS for Gevo to $0.00 from $0.01 while maintaining an Outperform rating and a $3.00 price target, versus a consensus full‑year EPS of ($0.42).
• Q4 beat: Gevo reported an EPS loss of ($0.02) (vs. ($0.03) expected) and revenue of $45.35M (vs. $43.52M), and management is targeting $40M adjusted EBITDA in 2026 with SAF/ethanol capacity expansion plans.
• Despite recent beats and significant institutional buying, the company remains unprofitable with negative net margin and ROE, and analysts are mixed (average rating "Hold" and average target $6.42), highlighting execution and timing risks.

Gevo, Inc. (NASDAQ:GEVO - Free Report) - Equities researchers at Northland Securities decreased their FY2027 earnings per share estimates for shares of Gevo in a research note issued to investors on Friday, March 6th. Northland Securities analyst J. Grampp now expects that the energy company will post earnings of $0.00 per share for the year, down from their previous estimate of $0.01. Northland Securities has a "Outperform" rating and a $3.00 price objective on the stock. The consensus estimate for Gevo's current full-year earnings is ($0.42) per share.

Gevo (NASDAQ:GEVO - Get Free Report) last issued its quarterly earnings results on Thursday, March 5th. The energy company reported ($0.02) earnings per share for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of ($0.03) by $0.01. The company had revenue of $45.35 million for the quarter, compared to analysts' expectations of $43.52 million. Gevo had a negative return on equity of 7.20% and a negative net margin of 21.07%.

GEVO has been the subject of several other reports. Weiss Ratings reiterated a "sell (d-)" rating on shares of Gevo in a report on Thursday, January 22nd. Wall Street Zen downgraded Gevo from a "hold" rating to a "sell" rating in a research note on Saturday. Two analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, two have issued a Hold rating and one has assigned a Sell rating to the company. According to data from MarketBeat.com, the company currently has an average rating of "Hold" and an average target price of $6.42.

Gevo Trading Up 13.2%

NASDAQ:GEVO opened at $2.14 on Monday. The firm has a market capitalization of $518.54 million, a P/E ratio of -16.46 and a beta of 1.51. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35, a current ratio of 1.82 and a quick ratio of 1.58. Gevo has a one year low of $0.92 and a one year high of $2.95. The company's 50-day simple moving average is $1.94 and its 200 day simple moving average is $2.04.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

Several hedge funds and other institutional investors have recently made changes to their positions in the company. First Bank & Trust purchased a new stake in shares of Gevo during the third quarter valued at approximately $6,007,000. Geode Capital Management LLC lifted its position in Gevo by 104.5% in the 2nd quarter. Geode Capital Management LLC now owns 5,623,004 shares of the energy company's stock valued at $7,424,000 after acquiring an additional 2,873,940 shares in the last quarter. Nuveen LLC boosted its stake in Gevo by 107.7% during the 4th quarter. Nuveen LLC now owns 4,138,251 shares of the energy company's stock valued at $8,277,000 after purchasing an additional 2,146,019 shares during the last quarter. Invesco Ltd. boosted its stake in Gevo by 41.3% during the 4th quarter. Invesco Ltd. now owns 5,878,866 shares of the energy company's stock valued at $11,758,000 after purchasing an additional 1,719,381 shares during the last quarter. Finally, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. increased its holdings in shares of Gevo by 118.1% in the 4th quarter. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. now owns 2,859,441 shares of the energy company's stock worth $5,719,000 after purchasing an additional 1,548,302 shares in the last quarter. Institutional investors own 35.17% of the company's stock.

More Gevo News

Here are the key news stories impacting Gevo this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Management set a target of $40M adjusted EBITDA in 2026 and announced expansion of its North Dakota platform to increase carbon capture and ethanol output — a concrete profitability milestone and capacity push that supports upside to future cash flow and valuation. Gevo targets $40M adjusted EBITDA in 2026 as North Dakota platform expands carbon and ethanol operations
• Positive Sentiment: Q4 results topped expectations: revenue of ~$45.4M beat consensus and EPS loss of ($0.02) was slightly better than estimates, signaling improving unit economics versus a year ago. That beat helped lift sentiment. Gevo Q4 earnings & transcript (MarketBeat)
• Positive Sentiment: Management highlighted dramatic revenue growth (reported commentary cited ~849% increase year-over-year) and ongoing SAF/ethanol expansion plans, reinforcing the growth narrative that investors reward. Gevo Inc (GEVO) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Revenue Growth and Strategic Expansion ...
• Neutral Sentiment: The company posted its full Q4 and FY2025 release and slide deck with operational and cash-flow updates; investors can review the slides for detailed project timing and capex cadence. Gevo Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results and Provides Business Update
• Neutral Sentiment: Earnings-call transcripts and analyst previews are available for detail on timing and commercial contracts; the call contains forward-looking statements that will shape near-term expectations. Gevo Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
• Negative Sentiment: Despite beats, Gevo remains unprofitable with negative net margin and negative ROE; management must convert revenue growth into sustained positive margins to justify the rally. Gevo, Inc. (GEVO) Reports Q4 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimates
• Negative Sentiment: Analysts and the market are focused on clarity around the near-term earnings path; uncertainty on timing of SAF/ethanol ramp and capital needs means execution risk remains elevated. What Gevo (GEVO)'s Latest Earnings and Guidance Reveal About Its Near‑Term Earnings Path

About Gevo

Gevo, Inc NASDAQ: GEVO is a renewable chemicals and biofuels company that develops and produces low-carbon alternatives to petroleum-based products. The company's core technology platform converts fermentable sugars into isobutanol, which can be further processed into sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), renewable gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel. Gevo's integrated biorefinery model combines fermentation, recovery, and downstream processing to deliver scalable, drop-in replacements for conventional fossil-derived hydrocarbons.

Gevo's primary products include isobutanol, a four-carbon alcohol used as a building block for various fuels and chemicals, and hydrocarbon fuels that meet ASTM specifications for aviation and road transport.

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