KeyCorp Predicts Intel's Q4 Earnings (NASDAQ:INTC)

Key Points

• KeyCorp analyst J. Vinh forecasts Intel will post EPS of ($0.01) for Q4 2025, keeps an Overweight rating with a $60 price target, and models EPS improving through 2026 (Q1 2026: ($0.07); Q2 2026: $0.03; Q4 2026: $0.18).
• Intel last reported $0.23 EPS on $13.65 billion in revenue and has set Q4 2025 guidance at $0.08 EPS, while the consensus full-year estimate sits at ($0.11) per share.
• Analyst sentiment is mixed — the MarketBeat consensus rating is "Reduce" with a $38.08 target, but bullish catalysts (nearly sold-out 2026 server CPU capacity and improved 18A foundry yields) could drive upside, tempered by execution, capex cyclicality and cash-burn risks.

Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC - Free Report) - Research analysts at KeyCorp issued their Q4 2025 EPS estimates for shares of Intel in a report released on Monday, January 12th. KeyCorp analyst J. Vinh anticipates that the chip maker will post earnings of ($0.01) per share for the quarter. KeyCorp currently has a "Overweight" rating and a $60.00 target price on the stock. The consensus estimate for Intel's current full-year earnings is ($0.11) per share. KeyCorp also issued estimates for Intel's Q1 2026 earnings at ($0.07) EPS, Q2 2026 earnings at $0.03 EPS and Q4 2026 earnings at $0.18 EPS.

Intel (NASDAQ:INTC - Get Free Report) last issued its earnings results on Thursday, October 23rd. The chip maker reported $0.23 earnings per share for the quarter. The firm had revenue of $13.65 billion during the quarter, compared to analysts' expectations of $13.10 billion. Intel had a net margin of 0.37% and a negative return on equity of 0.75%. The firm's revenue for the quarter was up 3.0% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same period last year, the firm posted ($0.46) earnings per share. Intel has set its Q4 2025 guidance at 0.080-0.080 EPS.

Several other equities research analysts also recently commented on the company. Melius raised Intel from a "hold" rating to a "buy" rating and set a $50.00 target price for the company in a report on Monday, January 5th. TD Cowen upped their price objective on shares of Intel from $35.00 to $38.00 and gave the company a "hold" rating in a research note on Friday, October 24th. JPMorgan Chase & Co. raised their target price on shares of Intel from $21.00 to $30.00 and gave the stock an "underweight" rating in a report on Friday, October 24th. Truist Financial upped their price target on shares of Intel from $21.00 to $39.00 and gave the company a "hold" rating in a research report on Friday, October 24th. Finally, Needham & Company LLC reaffirmed a "hold" rating on shares of Intel in a research note on Friday, October 24th. Five analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, twenty-five have assigned a Hold rating and seven have given a Sell rating to the company. According to data from MarketBeat, the stock currently has an average rating of "Reduce" and a consensus target price of $38.08.

Intel Price Performance

Shares of NASDAQ:INTC opened at $48.72 on Thursday. The company has a market capitalization of $232.74 billion, a PE ratio of 4,876.88, a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 31.98 and a beta of 1.35. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.38, a quick ratio of 1.25 and a current ratio of 1.60. The stock has a fifty day moving average of $38.56 and a 200-day moving average of $31.71. Intel has a one year low of $17.67 and a one year high of $49.00.

Institutional Trading of Intel

Several hedge funds and other institutional investors have recently modified their holdings of the company. Corundum Trust Company INC acquired a new position in Intel in the 3rd quarter worth about $29,000. Provenance Wealth Advisors LLC grew its stake in shares of Intel by 89.2% in the 3rd quarter. Provenance Wealth Advisors LLC now owns 946 shares of the chip maker's stock valued at $32,000 after buying an additional 446 shares in the last quarter. GoalVest Advisory LLC acquired a new position in Intel in the third quarter worth approximately $34,000. Strengthening Families & Communities LLC bought a new position in Intel during the third quarter valued at approximately $33,000. Finally, Holos Integrated Wealth LLC acquired a new stake in Intel in the fourth quarter valued at approximately $42,000. 64.53% of the stock is currently owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.

Key Headlines Impacting Intel

Here are the key news stories impacting Intel this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Analyst upgrades and bullish research highlight near-term revenue upside from strong AI server CPU demand and higher pricing — KeyBanc moved Intel to Overweight and set a high price target, citing nearly sold-out server CPU supply for 2026 and potential for a 10–15% price increase on chips. Intel (INTC) Stock: Why This Chip Maker Just Got One of Wall Street’s Highest Price Targets
• Positive Sentiment: Market commentary says Intel’s server CPU capacity for 2026 is nearly sold out, boosting revenue visibility and giving Intel leverage to raise prices — a direct demand-driven driver for near-term earnings. Stock Market Today, Jan. 14: Intel Jumps on Sold Out 2026 Server CPU Capacity
• Positive Sentiment: Foundry progress: reports of improved yields on Intel’s 18A process (yields >60% cited) have fueled speculation Intel can scale contract manufacturing, becoming a credible alternative to TSMC and unlocking a higher-margin revenue stream. “The Number Two Chip Foundry,” Intel Stock Blasts Up on New Appraisal
• Neutral Sentiment: TSMC capacity constraints are being framed as a secular tailwind for Intel (more foundry demand could flow to Intel), but converting that into sustainable revenue requires execution and customer wins. TSMC Says 'No More' To Nvidia: Why That Is Intel's Golden Ticket
• Neutral Sentiment: Political and sentiment drivers (U.S. government stake, public endorsements) have amplified the rally — helpful for momentum but not a substitute for sustained operational results. President Donald Trump Says, “The United States Government Is Proud to Be a Shareholder of Intel.” Should You?
• Negative Sentiment: Risk note — some analysts and deep-dive pieces warn of hidden cyclical risk from a U.S. capex boom (large capital spending can amplify cyclicality) and suggest caution; a downgrade-style narrative could pressure the stock if growth or margins disappoint. Intel's U.S. Capex Boom Carries A Hidden Cyclical Risk (Rating Downgrade)
• Negative Sentiment: Operational/financial cautions remain: analysts note Intel still faces cash-burn and execution risks scaling foundry and data-center products; if yields, customer wins or margin improvement slow, upside could reverse quickly. Why Intel Stock Popped Today

Intel Company Profile

Intel Corporation, founded in 1968 by Robert Noyce and Gordon E. Moore and headquartered in Santa Clara, California, is a leading global designer and manufacturer of semiconductor products. The company is historically notable for introducing the first commercial microprocessor and for driving the x86 architecture that underpins many personal computers and servers. Intel's core business spans the design, fabrication and marketing of processors, chipsets and related components for a wide range of computing applications.

Intel's product portfolio includes client and mobile processors marketed under brands such as Intel Core and Pentium, as well as high-performance Xeon processors for data centers and cloud infrastructure.

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