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Matson Q1 Earnings Call Highlights

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Key Points

  • Ocean Transportation outperformed expectations as post–Lunar New Year demand in the China service lifted results, while domestic volumes in Hawaii and Alaska were weaker and Logistics operating income declined, leaving consolidated operating income down year over year to $61.4 million in Q1.
  • Management raised its outlook, saying Q2 consolidated and Ocean Transportation operating income should be about $20 million higher year over year and full-year results should “modestly exceed” 2025, but warned of a near-term hit from a timing lag in fuel surcharge recovery with most recovery expected in Q3 and full recovery by year-end.
  • Matson generated strong cash flow (TTM $552.1 million) and returned $333.8 million to shareholders via dividends and repurchases, repurchasing ~400,000 shares in Q1 and adding 3 million shares to its buyback authorization while maintaining material vessel milestone and CapEx obligations covered largely by its Capital Construction Fund.
  • Five stocks to consider instead of Matson.

Matson NYSE: MATX executives said first-quarter 2026 results came in ahead of internal expectations in Ocean Transportation, driven by stronger-than-anticipated post–Lunar New Year demand in the company’s China service, while domestic volumes were softer and Logistics earnings declined year over year.

First-quarter performance and business trends

Chairman and CEO Matt Cox said Ocean Transportation operating income “exceeded our expectations, primarily due to higher freight demand post-Lunar New Year in our China service.” He added that Matson saw “lower year-over-year volume in Hawaii and Alaska” in its domestic lanes, and that Logistics operating income fell largely because of “a lower contribution from supply chain management.”

Cox also addressed geopolitical developments, stating that, “To date, the Iran conflict has not impacted our operating performance or service levels,” but has lifted fuel prices. He said Matson expects a near-term earnings impact from a timing lag in fuel surcharge recovery, with the recovery expected to catch up later in the year.

Trade lane updates: Hawaii, China, Guam, and Alaska

In Hawaii, Matson reported first-quarter container volume declined 5.6% year over year, which Cox attributed to “lower general demand” and the prior-year drydocking of a competitor’s vessel. For full-year 2026, management expects Hawaii volume “to be comparable” with 2025, citing stable market share and similar economic conditions.

Cox cited the University of Hawaiʻi Economic Research Organization’s February report, noting expectations for modest growth supported by construction, while “tourism remains soft and inflationary pressures persist.” He described rebuilding activity in Maui and broader construction as a “bright spot,” while international visitor trends remain weak.

In the China service, Matson’s first-quarter volume fell 9.5% year over year due to “lower general demand,” which Cox said aligned with expectations of a more traditional Lunar New Year cycle. However, demand after the holiday surprised to the upside, driven by “higher demand across several of our key market segments such as e-commerce, e-goods, and garments.” Cox also noted continued air-to-ocean conversions and “further growth and penetration into Southeast Asia ports.”

Management highlighted stronger contributions from feeder markets including Vietnam and Thailand. Cox said Matson’s Thailand feeder service, which began in late December 2025, “has received positive feedback and has exceeded our expectations to date on volume.”

With demand improving, Cox said the company is “focused on maximizing the yield on every sailing out of Shanghai,” with freight rates “at healthy levels.” Matson expects second-quarter 2026 China-service container volume to be higher than the prior-year period, which was affected by April 2025 tariff-related declines. For the full year, the company expects China-service volume to be “moderately higher” than 2025, assuming demand strength continues through peak season.

In Guam, first-quarter volume was flat year over year, and Matson expects full-year volume comparable with 2025, citing a stable near-term economic outlook. Alaska volume declined 2% year over year, primarily due to lower general demand, partially offset by additional sailings. For full-year 2026, Matson also expects Alaska volume comparable with last year, pointing to continued economic growth supported by low unemployment, job growth, and oil and gas activity.

SSAT contribution, Logistics results, and fuel-cost dynamics

Matson said its SSAT terminal joint venture contributed $5 million in the first quarter, down $1.6 million year over year, primarily due to lower lift volume. For full-year 2026, Cox said Matson expects SSAT’s contribution to be below the $32.5 million recorded in 2025.

In Logistics, first-quarter operating income was $6.8 million, down $1.7 million from the year-ago period due mainly to lower supply chain management contribution. For full-year 2026, Matson expects Logistics operating income “to approach” 2025 levels.

On fuel, Cox said the company’s surcharge mechanisms are designed to recover fuel costs over time and that Matson has historically “been successful in recouping the cost of fuel within any calendar year,” though quarterly timing can vary. He said the first-quarter impact was not material because fuel prices escalated late in the quarter, but management expects second-quarter results to be negatively affected by a lag in recovery, with most of the recovery expected in the third quarter and full recovery by year-end.

Financial results, capital returns, and updated outlook

Executive Vice President and CFO Joel Wine said first-quarter consolidated operating income declined $20.7 million year over year to $61.4 million. Ocean Transportation operating income fell $19 million, driven mainly by a lower contribution from the China service, and Logistics declined $1.7 million due to supply chain management.

Wine reported interest income of $6.1 million compared with $9.4 million in the prior-year quarter. The effective tax rate was 16.6% versus 21.6% a year earlier, which he attributed to “a discrete tax item that reduced taxable income.” Matson posted first-quarter net income of $56.6 million and diluted EPS of $1.85, while diluted weighted shares outstanding decreased 7.8% year over year.

For the trailing 12 months, Wine said Matson generated $552.1 million in cash flow from operations and returned $333.8 million to shareholders through dividends and repurchases. Maintenance capital expenditures were $156.9 million.

During the first quarter, Matson repurchased about 400,000 shares for $54.4 million. Wine said that from the start of the repurchase program in August 2021 through the end of March 2026, the company repurchased about 14.2 million shares, or 32.7% of shares outstanding, at a cost of about $1.3 billion. On April 23, 2026, Matson added 3 million shares to its repurchase authorization. Total debt ended the quarter at $351.1 million, down $10.1 million from the end of 2025’s fourth quarter.

Looking ahead, Wine said Matson expects second-quarter 2026 Ocean Transportation operating income to be approximately $20 million higher than the $98.6 million earned in the second quarter of 2025, driven primarily by the stronger China trade environment post–Lunar New Year. Logistics operating income is expected to “approach” the $14.4 million earned in the year-ago quarter. Consolidated operating income is also expected to be about $20 million higher year over year, including the anticipated second-quarter fuel recovery lag impact.

For full-year 2026, Matson raised its outlook, with Wine stating Ocean Transportation operating income is now expected to “modestly exceed” 2025 levels, and consolidated operating income is also expected to “modestly exceed the level achieved in the prior year.” Management said the outlook assumes fuel costs are recovered by year-end and reflects expectations for more normal seasonality, with the second and third quarters strongest.

Additional full-year expectations provided by Wine included depreciation and amortization of about $210 million (including roughly $35 million of drydocking amortization), interest income of about $16 million, interest expense of about $6 million, other income of about $7 million, an effective tax rate of about 21%, and drydocking payments of about $45 million.

On capital spending, Matson maintained its 2026 maintenance and other CapEx range of $150 million to $170 million, and estimated new vessel construction milestone payments and related costs of $400 million. As of March 31, Matson had about $100 million in cash and cash equivalents and roughly $522 million in its Capital Construction Fund, which Wine said covers about 93% of remaining milestone obligations.

In closing remarks, Cox said Matson remains focused on operational execution and customer service amid geopolitical uncertainty, and reiterated confidence in the company’s niche-market positioning and its ability to recover fuel costs. He also said Matson expects to continue returning excess cash to shareholders “in the absence of sizable growth projects or acquisitions.”

About Matson NYSE: MATX

Matson, Inc NYSE: MATX is a U.S.-based provider of ocean transportation and supply chain logistics services with a focus on Pacific trade lanes. The company operates a fleet of container ships that regularly service Hawaii, Alaska, Guam, Micronesia and other Pacific islands, as well as mainland U.S. ports. Matson's ocean transportation segment offers scheduled liner services, expedited shipping options and specialized project cargo handling for industries ranging from retail to heavy machinery.

In addition to its core liner operations, Matson offers ocean transportation services between Asia and the U.S.

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