Q1 EPS Estimates for Dollar Tree Lowered by Zacks Research

Key Points

• Zacks Research trimmed Dollar Tree's near‑term estimates, lowering Q1 2027 EPS to $1.55 (from $1.58) and cutting forecasts for several nearer‑term quarters, which could introduce volatility around upcoming results.
• At the same time, Zacks raised medium‑/long‑term projections — including a FY2027 EPS of $6.68 and FY2029 EPS of $8.37 — implying expectations for earnings expansion over the next few years.
• Analyst sentiment is mixed (8 Buy / 9 Hold / 7 Sell) with a MarketBeat consensus Hold rating and $123.24 target; shares were trading around $105.74 (-1.2%) after Dollar Tree recently beat Q4 EPS estimates and reported 9% revenue growth.

Dollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR - Free Report) - Zacks Research decreased their Q1 2027 earnings per share estimates for Dollar Tree in a report released on Monday, March 30th. Zacks Research analyst Team now anticipates that the company will post earnings per share of $1.55 for the quarter, down from their prior estimate of $1.58. The consensus estimate for Dollar Tree's current full-year earnings is $5.39 per share. Zacks Research also issued estimates for Dollar Tree's Q2 2027 earnings at $1.04 EPS, Q3 2027 earnings at $1.39 EPS, Q4 2027 earnings at $2.70 EPS, FY2027 earnings at $6.68 EPS, Q1 2028 earnings at $1.66 EPS, Q2 2028 earnings at $1.21 EPS, Q3 2028 earnings at $1.57 EPS, Q4 2028 earnings at $3.02 EPS, FY2028 earnings at $7.45 EPS and FY2029 earnings at $8.37 EPS.

Several other research analysts also recently weighed in on the stock. Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft restated a "hold" rating and issued a $126.00 target price on shares of Dollar Tree in a research note on Thursday, January 8th. BMO Capital Markets reiterated an "underperform" rating on shares of Dollar Tree in a report on Tuesday, March 17th. Guggenheim reissued a "buy" rating and issued a $130.00 price objective on shares of Dollar Tree in a research report on Tuesday, March 17th. Sanford C. Bernstein upped their price objective on shares of Dollar Tree from $123.00 to $124.00 and gave the company a "market perform" rating in a research report on Tuesday, March 17th. Finally, Barclays reaffirmed an "overweight" rating on shares of Dollar Tree in a research report on Monday, March 16th. Eight investment analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, nine have assigned a Hold rating and seven have assigned a Sell rating to the company. Based on data from MarketBeat, the company presently has an average rating of "Hold" and a consensus target price of $123.24.

Dollar Tree Trading Down 1.2%

DLTR opened at $105.74 on Tuesday. The firm has a market capitalization of $20.86 billion, a P/E ratio of 16.92, a P/E/G ratio of 1.34 and a beta of 0.73. The firm's 50 day moving average is $119.75 and its 200-day moving average is $113.13. Dollar Tree has a 52-week low of $61.87 and a 52-week high of $142.40. The company has a quick ratio of 0.29, a current ratio of 1.07 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.65.

Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR - Get Free Report) last released its quarterly earnings results on Monday, March 16th. The company reported $2.56 EPS for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $2.53 by $0.03. The firm had revenue of $5.45 billion for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $5.46 billion. Dollar Tree had a return on equity of 32.24% and a net margin of 6.61%.Dollar Tree's revenue for the quarter was up 9.0% on a year-over-year basis. During the same period in the previous year, the company posted $2.11 EPS.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

A number of large investors have recently added to or reduced their stakes in the stock. Alliancebernstein L.P. increased its position in shares of Dollar Tree by 176.9% in the 2nd quarter. Alliancebernstein L.P. now owns 3,746,222 shares of the company's stock worth $371,026,000 after purchasing an additional 2,393,172 shares during the last quarter. Norges Bank acquired a new stake in shares of Dollar Tree in the 4th quarter valued at about $260,858,000. Jupiter Asset Management Ltd. bought a new position in shares of Dollar Tree during the third quarter worth about $118,811,000. Voya Investment Management LLC lifted its position in shares of Dollar Tree by 103.1% during the third quarter. Voya Investment Management LLC now owns 2,406,748 shares of the company's stock worth $226,729,000 after purchasing an additional 1,222,028 shares during the last quarter. Finally, EdgePoint Investment Group Inc. grew its stake in Dollar Tree by 12.3% in the second quarter. EdgePoint Investment Group Inc. now owns 10,825,801 shares of the company's stock worth $1,072,187,000 after purchasing an additional 1,184,294 shares in the last quarter. 97.40% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors.

Dollar Tree News Summary

Here are the key news stories impacting Dollar Tree this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Zacks raised several medium‑/longer‑term forecasts — including FY2027 (to $6.68) and FY2029 (to $8.37) and modest quarter upgrades for Q3 2027 and Q3/Q4 2028 — suggesting analysts see continued earnings expansion over the next few years. (Zacks Research notes)
• Positive Sentiment: Dollar Tree is investing in distribution network and AI‑driven systems as part of supply‑chain modernization, which could improve inventory discipline, reduce logistics costs and support margins over time. Article Title
• Neutral Sentiment: Coverage and commentary (e.g., The Motley Fool piece) references Dollar Tree’s consumer spending readouts from 2025 results in a broader retail/consumer context; useful for sentiment but not a direct catalyst. Article Title
• Negative Sentiment: Zacks trimmed several nearer‑term quarterly estimates (Q1/Q2 2027 and Q1/Q2 2028 cuts and a small FY2028 downgrade to $7.45 from $7.51), which introduces mixed near‑term guidance and potential volatility around upcoming quarterly results. (Zacks Research notes)

About Dollar Tree

Dollar Tree, Inc is a North American discount retailer that operates a portfolio of value-oriented store banners, primarily Dollar Tree and Family Dollar. The company's stores offer a broad assortment of everyday items at low price points, including household essentials, food and snacks, health and beauty products, cleaning supplies, seasonal and party goods, home décor, and basic apparel. Dollar Tree's merchandising strategy emphasizes high-turnover branded and private-label merchandise tailored to budget-conscious consumers, with Family Dollar complementing the chain by offering a wider range of price points and assortment depth in smaller-format neighborhood locations.

Founded in 1986 and headquartered in Chesapeake, Virginia, Dollar Tree has grown through both organic store openings and acquisitions.

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