Q3 EPS Estimates for Groupon Lifted by Northland Securities

Key Points

• Northland Securities raised Groupon’s Q3 2026 EPS estimate to $0.02 from a projected loss of $0.03, while forecasting a $0.06 per-share loss for full-year 2026 and $0.28 EPS in Q4.
• Groupon’s latest quarterly results beat expectations, with an adjusted loss of $0.04 per share versus the $0.06 consensus estimate, although revenue of $124.67 million fell short of the $127.09 million forecast.
• Despite the improved earnings outlook, analyst sentiment remains cautious: Groupon has an average “Reduce” rating and a consensus price target of $26, compared with its reported opening price of $20.35.

Groupon, Inc. (NASDAQ:GRPN - Free Report) - Northland Securities increased their Q3 2026 earnings per share (EPS) estimates for Groupon in a research note issued to investors on Monday, August 17th. Northland Securities analyst B. Brooks now expects that the coupon company will earn $0.02 per share for the quarter, up from their prior estimate of ($0.03). The consensus estimate for Groupon's current full-year earnings is ($0.17) per share. Northland Securities also issued estimates for Groupon's Q4 2026 earnings at $0.28 EPS and FY2026 earnings at ($0.06) EPS.

Groupon (NASDAQ:GRPN - Get Free Report) last released its quarterly earnings results on Thursday, August 6th. The coupon company reported ($0.04) earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, beating analysts' consensus estimates of ($0.06) by $0.02. The firm had revenue of $124.67 million for the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $127.09 million.

GRPN has been the topic of several other research reports. Citigroup reaffirmed an "outperform" rating on shares of Groupon in a report on Tuesday, June 9th. Weiss Ratings reissued a "sell (d-)" rating on shares of Groupon in a research note on Tuesday, June 9th. The Goldman Sachs Group reissued a "sell" rating and issued a $22.00 price objective on shares of Groupon in a research note on Monday, August 10th. Finally, Wall Street Zen upgraded Groupon from a "sell" rating to a "hold" rating in a report on Saturday, August 8th. One analyst has rated the stock with a Buy rating, one has given a Hold rating and two have issued a Sell rating to the company. According to data from MarketBeat, the stock presently has an average rating of "Reduce" and a consensus price target of $26.00.

Groupon Stock Performance

NASDAQ:GRPN opened at $20.35 on Thursday. Groupon has a 52-week low of $9.17 and a 52-week high of $29.90. The firm has a market capitalization of $827.63 million, a PE ratio of -6.54 and a beta of 0.23. The stock has a 50-day simple moving average of $23.56 and a two-hundred day simple moving average of $17.42.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

Several large investors have recently made changes to their positions in GRPN. Versant Capital Management Inc lifted its position in shares of Groupon by 92.7% during the second quarter. Versant Capital Management Inc now owns 1,299 shares of the coupon company's stock valued at $31,000 after buying an additional 625 shares during the last quarter. Caitong International Asset Management Co. Ltd purchased a new stake in Groupon during the 3rd quarter valued at about $32,000. Johnson Financial Group Inc. purchased a new stake in Groupon in the fourth quarter valued at approximately $35,000. Quarry LP boosted its holdings in shares of Groupon by 48.1% in the 3rd quarter. Quarry LP now owns 1,938 shares of the coupon company's stock valued at $45,000 after acquiring an additional 629 shares during the last quarter. Finally, Raymond James Financial Inc. purchased a new stake in Groupon in the second quarter valued at $69,000. 90.05% of the stock is owned by institutional investors.

Key Headlines Impacting Groupon

Here are the key news stories impacting Groupon this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Northland raised its FY2026 EPS forecast substantially: The analyst now expects a loss of $0.06 per share, compared with a previous forecast for a $0.20 loss. Northland also projects Groupon will turn profitable in the third quarter with $0.02 EPS. The improved full-year outlook may support investor confidence in the company’s turnaround. Groupon FY2026 earnings estimate update
• Positive Sentiment: Northland increased all of its 2027 quarterly estimates and raised its FY2027 forecast: The firm now projects $1.13 EPS for 2027, up from $0.98, with quarterly estimates of $0.07, $0.23, $0.33 and $0.49. These revisions imply expectations for accelerating profitability and could be the strongest bullish catalyst in the recent coverage. Groupon FY2027 earnings estimate update
• Positive Sentiment: “Mystery vacations” are gaining attention online: A Yahoo Finance interview with CEO Dusan Senkypl highlighted the viral interest in Groupon’s mystery vacation offerings. Increased consumer engagement could help visibility and demand, though the report does not provide measurable sales or financial results. Groupon mystery vacations interview
• Neutral Sentiment: Groupon announced direct investor-outreach events: Management launched an investor-relations account on X and scheduled appearances, live X Spaces and a September 10 investor Q&A. The initiative may improve communication with retail shareholders, but it does not change earnings or guidance. Groupon investor engagement announcement
• Negative Sentiment: One near-term estimate was trimmed: Northland reduced its Q4 2026 EPS forecast to $0.28 from $0.29. While the change is minor and outweighed by broader upgrades, it signals that the path to profitability may remain uneven. Groupon Q4 2026 earnings estimate update

About Groupon

Groupon, Inc operates an online marketplace that connects subscribers with local merchants offering discounted goods, services and experiences. Through its website and mobile applications, Groupon provides time-limited deals across categories such as restaurants, travel, beauty and wellness, home services, and consumer products. Merchants partner with Groupon to attract new customers and drive foot traffic, leveraging the platform's targeted marketing tools and large subscriber base to promote special offers and vouchers.

Founded in Chicago in 2008 by Andrew Mason, Eric Lefkofsky and Brad Keywell, Groupon pioneered the daily-deals model, quickly growing its user community and merchant network.

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