Roth Capital Has Negative Estimate for TKO Group Q4 Earnings

Key Points

• Roth Capital has lowered its Q4 2025 earnings estimate for TKO Group from $0.17 to $0.13 per share, while the consensus estimate for the full year remains at $3.88 per share.
• Despite Roth's bearish outlook, several analysts have raised their price targets for TKO Group, with notable increases from JPMorgan, Guggenheim, and UBS now setting targets between $182.00 and $200.00.
• TKO Group's recent reported earnings included an EPS of $1.17, falling short of the consensus estimate of $1.23, despite generating a revenue of $1.31 billion, which exceeded expectations.

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:TKO - Free Report) - Stock analysts at Roth Capital decreased their Q4 2025 earnings per share (EPS) estimates for shares of TKO Group in a note issued to investors on Thursday, August 7th. Roth Capital analyst E. Handler now anticipates that the company will post earnings of $0.13 per share for the quarter, down from their prior forecast of $0.17. The consensus estimate for TKO Group's current full-year earnings is $3.88 per share. Roth Capital also issued estimates for TKO Group's FY2026 earnings at $2.18 EPS.

A number of other equities research analysts have also recently commented on TKO. UBS Group raised their price target on TKO Group from $195.00 to $200.00 and gave the company a "buy" rating in a report on Thursday. Susquehanna assumed coverage on TKO Group in a research note on Monday, April 28th. They set a "positive" rating and a $180.00 target price on the stock. Northcoast Research cut TKO Group from a "buy" rating to a "neutral" rating in a report on Thursday, July 10th. Guggenheim increased their price objective on shares of TKO Group from $175.00 to $190.00 and gave the company a "buy" rating in a report on Friday, May 9th. Finally, Sanford C. Bernstein initiated coverage on shares of TKO Group in a research report on Wednesday, June 4th. They set an "outperform" rating and a $190.00 price objective on the stock. Three analysts have rated the stock with a hold rating, eleven have given a buy rating and one has assigned a strong buy rating to the company's stock. According to data from MarketBeat, the stock presently has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" and a consensus price target of $173.83.

TKO Group Price Performance

Shares of TKO traded up $2.40 during trading hours on Friday, reaching $163.14. 1,539,909 shares of the stock traded hands, compared to its average volume of 882,431. The company has a market cap of $32.29 billion, a P/E ratio of 67.41 and a beta of 0.72. The company has a current ratio of 1.30, a quick ratio of 1.25 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28. The company's 50-day moving average price is $169.75 and its two-hundred day moving average price is $160.69. TKO Group has a 52-week low of $113.16 and a 52-week high of $182.60.

TKO Group (NYSE:TKO - Get Free Report) last posted its quarterly earnings results on Wednesday, August 6th. The company reported $1.17 earnings per share for the quarter, missing analysts' consensus estimates of $1.23 by ($0.06). The firm had revenue of $1.31 billion during the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $1.23 billion. TKO Group had a return on equity of 2.82% and a net margin of 5.40%. The business's revenue for the quarter was up 53.7% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same quarter in the previous year, the company earned $0.72 earnings per share.

TKO Group Dividend Announcement

The firm also recently disclosed a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Monday, June 30th. Shareholders of record on Friday, June 13th were paid a $0.38 dividend. This represents a $1.52 dividend on an annualized basis and a dividend yield of 0.9%. The ex-dividend date of this dividend was Friday, June 13th. TKO Group's dividend payout ratio (DPR) is presently 62.81%.

Insiders Place Their Bets

In other TKO Group news, major shareholder Lake West Voteco L.L.C Silver bought 1,579,080 shares of the firm's stock in a transaction dated Tuesday, June 3rd. The shares were purchased at an average cost of $158.32 per share, for a total transaction of $249,999,945.60. Following the transaction, the insider owned 4,158,517 shares of the company's stock, valued at $658,376,411.44. This represents a 61.22% increase in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is available through this link. Also, Director Peter C. B. Bynoe purchased 980 shares of the company's stock in a transaction that occurred on Thursday, June 5th. The stock was bought at an average price of $169.59 per share, with a total value of $166,198.20. Following the transaction, the director owned 2,747 shares of the company's stock, valued at $465,863.73. This represents a 55.46% increase in their position. The disclosure for this purchase can be found here. Insiders sold 73,725 shares of company stock valued at $12,501,561 in the last three months. Corporate insiders own 61.30% of the company's stock.

Institutional Trading of TKO Group

Hedge funds and other institutional investors have recently bought and sold shares of the stock. Financial Gravity Companies Inc. purchased a new position in TKO Group during the second quarter worth $45,000. Intech Investment Management LLC bought a new stake in shares of TKO Group in the 2nd quarter worth about $2,913,000. Cetera Investment Advisers boosted its stake in shares of TKO Group by 8.8% during the 2nd quarter. Cetera Investment Advisers now owns 4,838 shares of the company's stock worth $880,000 after purchasing an additional 393 shares during the period. Creative Planning grew its holdings in TKO Group by 10.4% during the 2nd quarter. Creative Planning now owns 12,256 shares of the company's stock valued at $2,230,000 after purchasing an additional 1,156 shares during the last quarter. Finally, SG Americas Securities LLC grew its holdings in TKO Group by 52.5% during the 2nd quarter. SG Americas Securities LLC now owns 16,161 shares of the company's stock valued at $2,940,000 after purchasing an additional 5,562 shares during the last quarter. Hedge funds and other institutional investors own 89.79% of the company's stock.

About TKO Group

TKO Group Holdings, Inc operates as a sports and entertainment company. The company produces and licenses live events, television programs, and long-form and short-form content, reality series, and other filmed entertainment on digital and linear channels and via pay-per-view. It is involved in the merchandising of video games, apparel, equipment, trading cards, memorabilia, digital goods, and toys, as well as sale of travel packages and tickets.