Roth Capital Issues Pessimistic Forecast for APA Earnings

Key Points

• Roth Capital has revised its Q3 2025 earnings estimate for APA Corporation down to $0.79 per share from a previous forecast of $0.86 per share, maintaining a "Neutral" rating and a price target of $23.00.
• APA’s consensus full-year earnings estimate stands at $4.03 per share, with other analysts offering mixed ratings — three have rated it as a Buy and sixteen as a Hold.
• APA recently announced a quarterly dividend of $0.25 per share, yielding approximately 4.3% annually, with the dividend payment scheduled for November 21st.

APA Corporation (NASDAQ:APA - Free Report) - Stock analysts at Roth Capital lowered their Q3 2025 earnings estimates for APA in a report issued on Tuesday, October 14th. Roth Capital analyst L. Mariani now anticipates that the company will earn $0.79 per share for the quarter, down from their prior forecast of $0.86. Roth Capital currently has a "Neutral" rating and a $23.00 price objective on the stock. The consensus estimate for APA's current full-year earnings is $4.03 per share. Roth Capital also issued estimates for APA's Q4 2025 earnings at $0.68 EPS and FY2025 earnings at $3.39 EPS.

A number of other research analysts have also weighed in on the company. The Goldman Sachs Group upgraded APA from a "strong sell" rating to a "hold" rating in a research report on Monday, October 6th. Weiss Ratings restated a "hold (c)" rating on shares of APA in a research report on Tuesday. Raymond James Financial restated an "outperform" rating and set a $28.00 price objective (up from $26.00) on shares of APA in a research report on Wednesday, September 10th. JPMorgan Chase & Co. increased their price target on APA from $23.00 to $25.00 and gave the company a "neutral" rating in a report on Friday, October 10th. Finally, Scotiabank boosted their price objective on shares of APA from $22.00 to $26.00 and gave the company a "sector perform" rating in a research report on Thursday, October 9th. Three equities research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, sixteen have issued a Hold rating and two have assigned a Sell rating to the stock. Based on data from MarketBeat, APA has an average rating of "Hold" and a consensus target price of $24.16.

APA Trading Up 1.4%

APA stock opened at $23.24 on Thursday. APA has a 1-year low of $13.58 and a 1-year high of $25.83. The business has a 50 day simple moving average of $22.77 and a two-hundred day simple moving average of $19.57. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.62, a current ratio of 0.80 and a quick ratio of 0.80. The company has a market capitalization of $8.31 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.77, a PEG ratio of 6.53 and a beta of 1.16.

APA (NASDAQ:APA - Get Free Report) last released its earnings results on Wednesday, August 6th. The company reported $0.87 earnings per share for the quarter, beating analysts' consensus estimates of $0.45 by $0.42. APA had a net margin of 10.53% and a return on equity of 20.98%. The company had revenue of $2.18 billion for the quarter, compared to analysts' expectations of $2.03 billion. During the same quarter in the previous year, the company earned $1.17 EPS. APA's revenue for the quarter was down 14.4% on a year-over-year basis.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

Several hedge funds and other institutional investors have recently bought and sold shares of APA. Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management LLC lifted its holdings in shares of APA by 2.9% in the 1st quarter. Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management LLC now owns 36,439,749 shares of the company's stock worth $765,964,000 after buying an additional 1,029,961 shares during the period. Harris Associates L P lifted its holdings in shares of APA by 1.9% in the 1st quarter. Harris Associates L P now owns 25,708,527 shares of the company's stock worth $540,393,000 after buying an additional 488,530 shares during the period. Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc. raised its holdings in shares of APA by 2.0% in the second quarter. Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc. now owns 14,208,961 shares of the company's stock valued at $259,882,000 after acquiring an additional 275,981 shares in the last quarter. Dimensional Fund Advisors LP raised its holdings in shares of APA by 46.8% in the first quarter. Dimensional Fund Advisors LP now owns 9,080,787 shares of the company's stock valued at $190,876,000 after acquiring an additional 2,894,543 shares in the last quarter. Finally, AQR Capital Management LLC raised its holdings in shares of APA by 157.1% in the second quarter. AQR Capital Management LLC now owns 3,060,135 shares of the company's stock valued at $55,970,000 after acquiring an additional 1,869,891 shares in the last quarter. Institutional investors own 83.01% of the company's stock.

APA Announces Dividend

The business also recently announced a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Friday, November 21st. Stockholders of record on Wednesday, October 22nd will be given a dividend of $0.25 per share. The ex-dividend date of this dividend is Wednesday, October 22nd. This represents a $1.00 dividend on an annualized basis and a dividend yield of 4.3%. APA's dividend payout ratio (DPR) is 33.44%.

About APA

APA Corporation, an independent energy company, explores for, develops, and produces natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids. It has oil and gas operations in the United States, Egypt, and North Sea. The company also has exploration and appraisal activities in Suriname, as well as holds interests in projects located in Uruguay and internationally.

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