Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) Stock Price Expected to Rise, TD Cowen Analyst Says

Key Points

• TD Cowen raised its price target on Tesla to $519 (from $509) and kept a buy rating, implying about a 22% upside, even as the MarketBeat consensus remains a "Hold" with a $410.86 target.
• Tesla beat Q4 estimates (EPS $0.50 vs. $0.45; revenue $24.90B vs. $24.75B) but reported year‑over‑year revenue decline and weaker profitability, and management is pivoting to "physical AI" initiatives while planning to more than double 2026 capex to roughly $20B, raising near‑term execution and cash‑flow risk.
• Insiders sold about 119,457 shares (~$53.5M) over the last quarter (including Kimbal Musk and James Murdoch), while institutional investors own roughly 66% of the stock.

Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA - Get Free Report) had its price objective upped by equities researchers at TD Cowen from $509.00 to $519.00 in a research note issued on Thursday,MarketScreener reports. The brokerage currently has a "buy" rating on the electric vehicle producer's stock. TD Cowen's target price indicates a potential upside of 22.18% from the stock's previous close.

A number of other analysts have also recently commented on TSLA. Cantor Fitzgerald restated an "overweight" rating and set a $510.00 price target on shares of Tesla in a research note on Thursday. Roth Mkm set a $505.00 price target on shares of Tesla and gave the stock a "buy" rating in a research note on Thursday, October 23rd. Mizuho set a $540.00 target price on Tesla and gave the stock an "outperform" rating in a report on Thursday. Melius Research set a $520.00 target price on Tesla and gave the company a "buy" rating in a research note on Monday, October 13th. Finally, Truist Financial reduced their price target on Tesla from $439.00 to $438.00 and set a "hold" rating on the stock in a research note on Thursday. Eighteen equities research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, thirteen have issued a Hold rating and eight have given a Sell rating to the company's stock. Based on data from MarketBeat.com, the stock presently has an average rating of "Hold" and a consensus target price of $410.86.

Tesla Stock Performance

Tesla stock traded down $6.68 during trading on Thursday, hitting $424.78. The stock had a trading volume of 13,567,057 shares, compared to its average volume of 58,620,512. The company has a quick ratio of 1.67, a current ratio of 2.07 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07. The stock's 50 day moving average is $446.48 and its two-hundred day moving average is $406.64. Tesla has a 1 year low of $214.25 and a 1 year high of $498.83. The stock has a market cap of $1.41 trillion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 282.25, a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 7.32 and a beta of 1.83.

Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA - Get Free Report) last issued its earnings results on Wednesday, January 28th. The electric vehicle producer reported $0.50 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $0.45 by $0.05. The firm had revenue of $24.90 billion for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $24.75 billion. Tesla had a return on equity of 6.61% and a net margin of 5.51%.The business's revenue was down 3.1% on a year-over-year basis. During the same period in the previous year, the company posted $0.73 earnings per share. As a group, analysts predict that Tesla will post 2.56 EPS for the current year.

Insider Buying and Selling

In other Tesla news, Director Kimbal Musk sold 56,820 shares of the company's stock in a transaction that occurred on Tuesday, December 9th. The shares were sold at an average price of $450.66, for a total transaction of $25,606,501.20. Following the completion of the sale, the director directly owned 1,391,615 shares of the company's stock, valued at approximately $627,145,215.90. This represents a 3.92% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The sale was disclosed in a filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is accessible through the SEC website. Also, Director James R. Murdoch sold 60,000 shares of the business's stock in a transaction dated Friday, January 2nd. The shares were sold at an average price of $445.40, for a total value of $26,724,000.00. Following the sale, the director directly owned 577,031 shares of the company's stock, valued at $257,009,607.40. This represents a 9.42% decrease in their position. The disclosure for this sale is available in the SEC filing. Over the last quarter, insiders have sold 119,457 shares of company stock worth $53,501,145. 19.90% of the stock is owned by insiders.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

Hedge funds and other institutional investors have recently added to or reduced their stakes in the business. Brighton Jones LLC raised its holdings in Tesla by 11.8% in the fourth quarter. Brighton Jones LLC now owns 87,929 shares of the electric vehicle producer's stock worth $35,509,000 after purchasing an additional 9,293 shares in the last quarter. Revolve Wealth Partners LLC boosted its holdings in shares of Tesla by 21.2% in the 4th quarter. Revolve Wealth Partners LLC now owns 5,317 shares of the electric vehicle producer's stock valued at $2,147,000 after acquiring an additional 931 shares during the last quarter. Bison Wealth LLC grew its position in Tesla by 52.2% during the 4th quarter. Bison Wealth LLC now owns 10,368 shares of the electric vehicle producer's stock worth $4,187,000 after purchasing an additional 3,558 shares during the period. Sivia Capital Partners LLC raised its position in Tesla by 9.1% during the second quarter. Sivia Capital Partners LLC now owns 12,135 shares of the electric vehicle producer's stock valued at $3,855,000 after acquiring an additional 1,011 shares in the last quarter. Finally, AGP Franklin LLC lifted its stake in shares of Tesla by 21.2% in the 2nd quarter. AGP Franklin LLC now owns 4,861 shares of the electric vehicle producer's stock valued at $1,544,000 after purchasing an additional 851 shares during the period. 66.20% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors.

Tesla News Summary

Here are the key news stories impacting Tesla this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Tesla beat Q4 estimates (EPS $0.50 vs. ~$0.45 est.) and slightly topped revenue expectations; energy/storage growth and 1.1M FSD subscriptions helped the upside. Earnings summary
• Positive Sentiment: Management pushed the “physical AI” narrative — robotaxi rollouts, Optimus robots and longer‑term software/FSD monetization are now core growth stories and have driven supportive analyst commentary and after‑hours buying. Business Insider: Tesla pivot
• Neutral Sentiment: Analyst reactions are mixed — some firms (e.g., Mizuho) raised targets on the AI/robotics story while others kept or trimmed price targets; Needham reiterated a Hold and Truist slightly cut its PT to $438. Analyst moves
• Neutral Sentiment: Tesla will discontinue Model S and Model X production to retool lines for Optimus — a strategic pivot that reduces legacy complexity but removes established (albeit small) luxury sales. CNBC: Model S/X end
• Negative Sentiment: Full‑year revenue fell for the first time in Tesla’s history and net income plunged, highlighting execution and demand risks that could pressure near‑term multiples. Reuters: revenue decline
• Negative Sentiment: Tesla plans to more than double capex to ~$20B in 2026 to fund robots, Cybercab and batteries — aggressive spending that raises execution and cash‑flow risk in the near term. Reuters: capex plan
• Negative Sentiment: Competition and regional weakness (notably Europe/China) and a falling brand valuation are headwinds to vehicle volumes and pricing power. Blockonomi: competition/Europe

About Tesla

Tesla, Inc NASDAQ: TSLA is an American company that designs, manufactures and sells electric vehicles, energy generation and energy storage products. Founded in 2003 by Martin Eberhard and Marc Tarpenning, Tesla grew into a vertically integrated mobility and clean‑energy company with Elon Musk serving as its chief executive officer. The company's stated mission is to accelerate the world's transition to sustainable energy, reflected in its combined focus on electric drivetrains, battery technology, renewable energy products and software.

Tesla's automotive business includes a lineup of battery‑electric vehicles and related services.

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