Timbercreek Financial TSE: TF reported a strong finish to fiscal 2025, highlighting a surge in fourth-quarter origination activity and continued confidence in improving Canadian commercial real estate conditions, while also disclosing a net loss tied to valuation adjustments and dispositions connected to legacy “stage” loans and assets.
Origination rebound drove portfolio growth
Management said Q4 originations exceeded CAD 330 million, helping drive portfolio growth of 18% from Q3. Head of Canadian Originations and Global Syndications Geoff McTait reported that the company advanced nearly CAD 334 million across 23 new net mortgage investments and advances in the quarter, “predominantly targeting low LTV multifamily assets.” Those new investments were offset by CAD 135 million of repayments, resulting in a turnover ratio of 12% and a quarter-end portfolio balance of CAD 1.24 billion, up CAD 185 million from Q3.
McTait also noted gross originations of CAD 425 million in Q4 and said the momentum carried into 2026, producing a “healthy new business pipeline.” He attributed stronger transaction conditions to monetary easing and said commercial real estate transaction volume in Canada was about CAD 47 billion last year, with projections nearing CAD 56 billion by the end of 2026.
Portfolio composition and interest rate dynamics
On portfolio metrics, management said 84% of investments were in cash-flowing properties at quarter-end, with multi-residential real estate accounting for roughly 62% of the portfolio. First mortgages represented 95% of the portfolio, and weighted average loan-to-value (LTV) was 67.4% in Q4, slightly below Q3.
The weighted average interest rate (WAIR) decreased to 8.1% in Q4 from 8.3% in Q3 and 8.9% in the prior-year quarter, reflecting Bank of Canada policy rate cuts. The company said the WAIR was approaching a long-term average of about 8%. Management emphasized that 89% of the portfolio was floating-rate with rate floors, and roughly 97% of those loans were at their floor rates.
Scott Rowland, delivering prepared remarks on behalf of CEO Blair Tamblyn (who was unable to attend due to travel delays), said lower policy rates were now “working in our favor” by reducing funding costs and supporting net interest margins as origination activity accelerates. In the Q&A, the team added that as prime declines, Timbercreek has opportunities to expand credit spreads, offsetting some pressure on borrower coupon rates while also benefiting from lower facility costs and higher fee generation tied to increased volume.
Financial results: stable distributable income, but net loss from legacy items
Chief Financial Officer Tracy Johnston said Q4 net investment income on financial assets measured at amortized cost was CAD 25.7 million, consistent with Q3. Distributable income (DI) rose to CAD 15.0 million, or CAD 0.18 per share, from CAD 14.1 million, or CAD 0.17 per share, in Q3. The payout ratio on distributable income was 95% in Q4, and management said results remained within its targeted range and continued to support the monthly dividend.
However, Timbercreek posted a net loss of CAD 1.1 million in the quarter. Johnston attributed the loss to three items linked to the ongoing resolution of legacy loans and assets:
- Expected credit losses (ECLs) of CAD 8.3 million, driven by updated market appraisals on a small number of remaining stage loans.
- A net fair value loss of CAD 4.5 million on net mortgage investments measured at fair value through profit or loss, reflecting a lower-than-anticipated sales price on underlying collateral.
- A CAD 2.1 million loss on the disposition of a land inventory asset that included an operating marina; management said associated operating losses at the marina would not recur.
Johnston added that, over the past three years, EPS and distributable income per share have been relatively stable, with quarterly DI per share ranging between CAD 0.17 and CAD 0.21 and averaging CAD 0.19 over that period.
Stage loans: progress, provisions, and redeployment plans
Management reiterated its focus on reducing Stage loan balances back to historical levels and redeploying capital into new accretive investments. Rowland said the company resolved CAD 6.5 million of Stage 3 loans in December 2025 and described “notable progress” across the remaining files, including zoning and other milestones that should position assets for sale. The company expects “substantial progress” throughout 2026 and said it aims to reduce stage loan balances to traditional levels by year-end.
During the Q&A, management discussed how it evaluates bids for impaired assets, emphasizing it is not forced to accept pricing if it is dilutive, but also noting that selling and redeploying capital into higher-yielding loans—along with generating new fees—can be accretive over time. The company said Stage loans tend to have lower WAIRs and do not turn over like the rest of the bridge loan book, which can weigh on the distributable income model.
In response to a question about a large Stage 2 retail property in Vancouver (CAD 158 million), management said the asset was on the watch list but was not technically in default and continued to perform, which is why it remained Stage 2 rather than Stage 3. The company said it took about CAD 5 million of provisioning on that position during the year and indicated total provision on it of about CAD 6.4 million. Management described the exposure as multiple well-located Vancouver redevelopment sites and said the length of time in Stage 2 related to rezoning timelines. It expects the largest component—about 45% of the exposure—to be listed for sale in Q1 2026, with hoped-for resolution in later Q2 or Q3, while other components could be addressed later in 2026.
Funding, leverage, and outlook for 2026
Addressing leverage, management said it typically operates with about 50% leverage, describing an equity component of roughly 40% to 45% and about “CAD 0.45-ish of leverage across the book.” It also pointed to syndications—often through an A/B structure—to manage capacity and improve equity returns as its credit facility approaches optimal utilization.
Management said it expects to be near an “optimal level” in Q1 and into Q2, with a strong pipeline alongside repayment activity that supports redeployment and fee generation. Rowland said 2026 outlook is “increasingly constructive,” citing improving transaction volumes and a stronger opportunity set, while acknowledging macro risks. The company also reiterated expectations for portfolio growth and further progress on Stage loan resolutions, which it believes will support distributable income as capital is redeployed.
About Timbercreek Financial TSE: TF
Timbercreek Financial Corp is a Canada-based non-banking commercial real estate lender. The company provides shorter-duration, customized financing solutions to professional real estate investors. It invests directly in a diversified portfolio of structured mortgage loans primarily secured by stabilized, income-producing commercial real estates, such as multi-residential, office and retail buildings located in urban markets across Canada. The company's strategy is to preserve investor capital by lending mainly against income producing real estate, mitigate concentration risk by diversifying geographically by asset type and borrower and ensure loan to value ratios.
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