Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Price Target Cut to $102.00 by Analysts at UBS Group

Key Points

• UBS Group trimmed its price target on Warrior Met Coal to $102 from $104 but retained a buy rating; the consensus from analysts is a "Moderate Buy" with an average price target of about $102.80.
• Q1 results missed estimates—EPS $1.37 vs. $1.40 expected and revenue $458.6M vs. $467.5M—though the company swung to GAAP net income ($72.3M) as the Blue Creek ramp boosted production and margins.
• Shares dropped about 3.9% to $86.33 on heavy volume after the release, with analysts pointing to softer realized prices/shipments and recent insider/institutional selling as contributors to the sell‑off.

Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC - Get Free Report) had its target price reduced by stock analysts at UBS Group from $104.00 to $102.00 in a note issued to investors on Friday,Benzinga reports. The brokerage presently has a "buy" rating on the stock. UBS Group's price target would suggest a potential upside of 18.15% from the company's previous close.

HCC has been the subject of several other research reports. B. Riley Financial reaffirmed a "buy" rating on shares of Warrior Met Coal in a research report on Friday, February 13th. Jefferies Financial Group increased their price objective on shares of Warrior Met Coal from $95.00 to $120.00 and gave the company a "buy" rating in a research report on Tuesday, January 20th. Citigroup raised their price target on shares of Warrior Met Coal from $80.00 to $100.00 and gave the stock a "buy" rating in a research report on Wednesday, March 18th. Wall Street Zen raised shares of Warrior Met Coal from a "hold" rating to a "buy" rating in a research report on Sunday, February 15th. Finally, Zacks Research raised shares of Warrior Met Coal from a "strong sell" rating to a "hold" rating in a research report on Monday, April 6th. Four analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating and three have assigned a Hold rating to the stock. Based on data from MarketBeat, the company presently has an average rating of "Moderate Buy" and an average price target of $102.80.

Warrior Met Coal Stock Down 3.9%

NYSE:HCC traded down $3.52 during trading hours on Friday, hitting $86.33. The stock had a trading volume of 2,600,373 shares, compared to its average volume of 936,185. The company has a current ratio of 3.19, a quick ratio of 2.27 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11. Warrior Met Coal has a 1-year low of $40.80 and a 1-year high of $105.35. The business has a 50 day simple moving average of $88.04 and a two-hundred day simple moving average of $84.69. The company has a market cap of $4.56 billion, a PE ratio of 79.21 and a beta of 0.67.

Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC - Get Free Report) last issued its quarterly earnings data on Thursday, April 30th. The company reported $1.37 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of $1.40 by ($0.03). Warrior Met Coal had a net margin of 4.35% and a return on equity of 2.71%. The firm had revenue of $458.59 million during the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $467.54 million. During the same period last year, the business earned ($0.16) EPS. The firm's revenue was up 52.9% compared to the same quarter last year. Analysts predict that Warrior Met Coal will post 7.79 EPS for the current year.

Hedge Funds Weigh In On Warrior Met Coal

Hedge funds have recently added to or reduced their stakes in the business. Allianz Asset Management GmbH boosted its holdings in Warrior Met Coal by 9.2% in the third quarter. Allianz Asset Management GmbH now owns 1,543,673 shares of the company's stock worth $98,239,000 after purchasing an additional 130,396 shares during the period. Victory Capital Management Inc. lifted its stake in Warrior Met Coal by 7.3% in the third quarter. Victory Capital Management Inc. now owns 818,593 shares of the company's stock valued at $52,095,000 after buying an additional 55,416 shares during the last quarter. QV Investors Inc. bought a new stake in Warrior Met Coal in the third quarter valued at $10,549,000. Capital International Investors lifted its stake in Warrior Met Coal by 27.1% in the third quarter. Capital International Investors now owns 852,403 shares of the company's stock valued at $54,247,000 after buying an additional 181,975 shares during the last quarter. Finally, Affinity Wealth Management LLC bought a new stake in Warrior Met Coal in the third quarter valued at $2,167,000. Institutional investors and hedge funds own 92.28% of the company's stock.

Warrior Met Coal News Summary

Here are the key news stories impacting Warrior Met Coal this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Blue Creek ramp and profitability turnaround — Warrior reported a swing to net income of $72.3M (GAAP $1.37/sh) vs a loss a year ago as Blue Creek production ramped and mix/credits improved margins. This demonstrates operational leverage as the new mine reaches volume. Business Wire: Q1 2026 Results
• Positive Sentiment: Shareholder returns maintained — Management reiterated near‑term return plans, including a regular quarterly cash dividend ($0.08/sh payable May 7), which supports income-focused holders. QuiverQuant: Q1 Results & Dividend
• Neutral Sentiment: Record production and sales were highlighted on the call — Management talked up record sales/production and the profitable ramp, which supports medium-term supply expectations but doesn't eliminate near-term pricing/volume uncertainty. Yahoo: Earnings Highlights
• Neutral Sentiment: Full earnings/IR materials available — Slide deck and call transcripts provide detail for modeling shipments, costs and cash return cadence; useful for re‑estimating near‑term cash flow. Q1 Slide Deck
• Negative Sentiment: Miss vs some street expectations — While EPS improved year‑over‑year, the quarter fell short of the consensus EPS (~$1.40) and revenue (~$467.5M), and analysts flagged softer realized prices and shipment volumes as headwinds — a key reason for today's sell‑off. MarketBeat: Q1 Results & Miss
• Negative Sentiment: Insider and institutional selling pressure — Recent insider sales (CEO and others) and large institutional portfolio reductions in recent quarters can amplify downside when a cyclical name disappoints. That supply-side activity likely heightened selling after the print. QuiverQuant: Insider & Institutional Activity

Warrior Met Coal Company Profile

Warrior Met Coal NYSE: HCC is a leading producer of premium metallurgical coal, operating deep underground mining complexes in Central Alabama's Blue Creek and Brookwood mining districts. The company focuses exclusively on the extraction and sale of high-grade hard coking coal, a critical raw material used in steel production. Its mining operations harness longwall mining technology and rigorous safety protocols to deliver consistent coal quality to customers worldwide.

Warrior Met Coal's product portfolio centers on premium hard coking coal, semisoft coking coal, and pulverized coal injection (PCI) products.

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