While much of the media attention in the health care space has been around COVID-19 treatments and vaccines, several companies that aren't involved in those areas have quietly gone about their business to produce impressive growth. These three health care leaders are all finding ways to generate growth both in-house and through takeovers—and each has plenty more growth to come.
What is Driving Growth at UnitedHealth Group?
UnitedHealth Group's (NYSE:UNH) revenue and EPS have consistently trended higher in each of the last five years. Its five-year earnings growth rate of 25% is among the best in the S&P 500—and for good reason.
The world's largest health care services company's sheer size gives it a major leg up in the managed care industry. It is approaching 60 million individual customers worldwide most of which are in the United States.
The key Medicare Advantage market accounts for much of the growth and is about to get even bigger. Last month UnitedHealth launched its enhanced health care plans for 2021 and noted plans to expand into 300 more U.S. counties encompassing more than 3 million new customers. Medicare and Medicaid enrollments are expected to be a major growth driver in 2021.
Once a simple health insurance company, UnitedHealth has branched into different areas over the years to keep the growth train rolling. For instance, the OptumRx prescription drug business is growing like gangbusters. Increased health care, vision, and prescription plan demand combined to generate 21% revenue growth in the third quarter. The division, which didn't exist six years ago, now accounts for nearly half of total revenue.
Optum is more than just prescriptions. It offers a more modern, tech-focused potpourri of health services for consumers, hospitals, doctors, and pharmacies. Health care consumers demand more resources and products these days and UnitedHealth is fulfilling those needs.
About 25 sell-side analysts cover UnitedHealth and there is nary a sell rating to be found. In fact, most have maintained buy ratings for some time. Earlier this month Piper Sandler became the first firm to toss out a price target north of $400. Given UnitedHealth's leadership position and growth plans, it’s certainly an achievable milestone.
Is Bristol-Myers Squibb a Good Value?
Bristol-Myers Squibb (NYSE:BMY) has put up some nice growth numbers as well. Earnings per share have grown at a 24% clip over the past five years outpacing the 19% industry average. And going forward growth is expected to accelerate thanks to continued strength in its core competencies and some savvy acquisitions.
To combat rising competition from generic drugs, Bristol-Myers Squibb is finding new ways to strengthen its portfolio and generate growth. Much of this growth will be derived from the company's $74 billion acquisition of Celgene. Celgene's oncology portfolio includes Revlimid for the treatment of multiple myeloma which is recording strong sales growth.
However, Bristol-Myers hasn't rested on its laurels when it comes to its M&A strategy. It also brought MyoKardia into the fold to bolster its cardiovascular offerings. The addition of several valuable MyoKardia drugs is expected to help drive further growth at the quickly diversifying biopharmaceutical company.
While Bristol-Myers Squibb has lately taken the inorganic path to growth it has some growth assets of its own. Its blockbuster Opdivo drug for the treatment of non-small cell lung cancer headlines a robust oncology portfolio. Outside of oncology Bristol-Myers Squibb has a strong presence in the cardiovascular drug market led by Eliquis which has become the leading oral anti-coagulant drug globally.
There's a lot to like about where Bristol-Myers Squibb's business is headed. Today it is a stronger company with Celgene and Myokardia and it wouldn't be a surprise to see more value-added acquisitions occur. Plus, the valuation is fairly cheap. The stock trades at 10x both trailing and forward earnings which points to the possibility that the market is underappreciating the potential growth spurt that Celgene can provide. The 2.9% dividend yield is also attractive and makes this growth story a compelling value play as well.
Will Teladoc's Growth Endure Post-Vaccine?
Virtual medical care access provider Teladoc Health (NYSE:TDOC) has been one of the more prominent stock winners to emerge from the pandemic. Limitations on hospital and medical office capacity, as well as consumer uneasiness about entering medical facilities, have accelerated the adoption of telemedicine globally. Meanwhile, Teladoc has been aggressive on the expansion front to capitalize on the surge in telehealth demand.
But while the company has been categorized as a major beneficiary of the 'stay-at-home' economy, Teladoc has been growing rapidly well before the COVID-19 outbreak. A consistent rise in patient membership and visits drove a five-year sales growth rate of 64% through 2019.
Teledoc's membership rates have soared this year leading to infectious top-line growth. Revenue is expected to nearly double this year and analysts are forecasting 80%-plus growth in 2021. And while a ramp in investments to build out its provider network and platform in 2020 is likely to lead to a steeper loss, the tide is expected to turn dramatically next year. The consensus forecast for 2021 bottom-line growth is around 40%.
Shares of Teladoc have come down in price in recent weeks amid positive vaccine developments. The market is thinking there will be less of a need for telemedicine in the post-pandemic world, but there are signs that remote medical demand is here to stay.
The credibility of virtual health care is solidifying, and consumers are taking a liking to the convenience. Teladoc's network has expanded into 175 countries and covers the full gamut of medical specialties from the common cold to more advanced areas. Members can access professional care year-round, 24-hour care without having to flip through a decade-old magazine in the dreaded waiting room.
Teladoc is not yet profitable making it a clear growth investment. Yet far from a one-hit wonder, the company is establishing itself as the global leader in a global virtual health care market that is forecast to grow 17% annually through 2025. As it continues to build out its stable of telehealth companies through acquisition and gather more members worldwide, profitability will eventually come. For now, investors should consider taking advantage of the pullback and enjoy this multi-year growth ride.
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There are more than 500 brokerages and research houses that hire analysts to issue ratings and recommendations. Collectively, these brokerages and their analysts publish approximately 250,000 ratings each year. Every trading day, there are nearly 700 reports and recommendations that are released to the public. To say that it's difficult to separate the signal from the noise when interpreting this data would be an understatement.
MarketBeat has developed a system to track each brokerage and research house's stock recommendations and score them based on their past performance. If Goldman Sachs predicted that Apple's stock price would hit $150.00 on a specific date, how accurate were they? If Bank of America issued a "strong-buy" rating on a stock, how did that stock perform compared to the broader market over the following twelve months? This tracking system has been applied to the 1,000,000+ ratings that MarketBeat has tracked during the last ten years to identify which brokerages you can really trust (and which you can safely ignore).
This slide show lists the 10 brokerages who have issued the most accurate analyst recommendations over the past several years, as measured by the performance of their "buy" ratings and the accuracy of their price targets.
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