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How to invest in wheat: Is it a hedge against inflation?

How to invest in wheat: Is it a hedge against inflation?

Key Points

  • Investing in wheat can diversify your portfolio and provide steady returns, but familiarize yourself with current market prices first.
  • You can purchase shares of companies that produce wheat products or own agricultural land where it is grown, invest in a commodity index fund or purchase futures contracts for wheat.
  • Before trading, develop a long-term investment strategy for short-term gains or long-term dividend income.
  • MarketBeat previews top five stocks to own in January.

Almost every time you make a sandwich, you consume one of the world's most common grains: wheat. Investing in this ubiquitous dietary staple can reap various benefits, from helping you diversify your portfolio to earning high yields if the market's right. 

Wheat is a versatile commodity used in nearly every country and a relatively low-risk way to enter the tricky commodities markets. Whether you're a seasoned investor or a novice looking to branch out into new markets, understanding the different ways to invest in wheat is the best way to make informed decisions about this investment. 

In this article, we'll look at how to invest in wheat, its advantages and disadvantages, and how to do it right.

Overview of wheat investing

As a commodity, investing in wheat can be a lucrative venture if you're willing to take the risk. Wheat is an essential staple in people's diets worldwide, from sourdough bread to Belgian beer.

This inherent stability, combined with various investing methods and low-risk volatility, makes it an alluring commodity. However, weather conditions, crop yields, global demand and supply chain disruptions influence the wheat market. As a result, prices can fluctuate from year to year.

Understanding the wheat market 

At the heart of the wheat market is supply and demand. When supply exceeds demand, prices will fall; when demand outweighs supply, prices will rise. However, the wheat market is more than a simple equation.

Geography plays a role, too. From vast fields in the Midwestern United States to the plains of Russia, every region producing wheat has unique factors influencing prices and the market.

Weather patterns play a role in determining crop yields. A drought in a major wheat-producing region can decrease supply, causing prices to soar. However, a good weather season can result in a surplus, leading to a price decline.

Moreover, trade policies, tariffs and political tensions between many countries can disrupt the flow of wheat exports and imports. Changes in currency exchange rates can also influence the profitability of wheat.

Understanding the wheat market means analyzing all these factors and looking at trends and forecasts. Be sure to monitor global weather patterns and stay informed about political developments and trade agreements that could affect the flow of wheat across borders.

Agriculture stocks to buy now infographic for stocks to consider.

Types of wheat investments 

When it comes to investing in wheat, each option comes with its own set of pros and cons. Be sure to take the time to look closely at them before making a decision.

Futures contracts

These contracts allow you to buy or sell a specific quantity of wheat at a predetermined price on a particular future date. This way, you can speculate on wheat's price movements without owning the physical commodity.

  • Pros: Futures contracts offer high liquidity, meaning you can enter and exit positions easily. They also provide leverage, meaning you can control a larger amount of wheat with a smaller initial investment. This can lead to potentially higher returns.
  • Cons: Futures contracts involve a higher level of risk. Price fluctuations can lead to major losses if they're not managed properly. And they require a certain level of expertise and knowledge to navigate.

Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) 

ETFs are investment funds that track the performance of an underlying index, in this case, the wheat market. By investing in an ETF, you gain exposure to the price movements of wheat without directly owning it.

  • Pros: ETFs provide diversification by presenting you with a basket of different wheat-related assets.
  • Cons: ETFs can have management fees and expenses, affecting your returns. An ETF's performance depends on the wheat market's overall performance, so if the market isn't doing well, your investment could suffer.

Agricultural stocks

Another way to invest in wheat is by buying stocks of companies in the agricultural industry, like grain producers or food processors.

  • Pros: Investing in stocks lets you directly own a portion of a company and potentially benefit from its success. You can also get dividends, which can be a source of passive income.
  • Cons: Investing in individual stocks can be risky and unpredictable. The success of any given company you invest in depends on factors beyond wheat prices, such as management decisions, competition and market demand for their products.

Direct investment 

Direct investment in the wheat market is more involved and hands-on. It requires purchasing physical wheat or buying farmland to grow and harvest wheat yourself.

  • Pros: It gives you direct control over your investment and gives you a tangible asset. You can take advantage of fluctuations in the market by selling your wheat at the right time and potentially reap higher profits.
  • Cons: Direct investment in the wheat market requires a lot of capital. Acquiring farmland, machinery and hiring skilled labor can be costly. It demands deep knowledge and expertise in farming practices, weather patterns and supply chain management.

To succeed in direct investment, you must put in the time and effort to learn the wheat market in all its nuances. But stay updated on weather forecasts, global trade policies and market trends and develop a deep understanding of agriculture and farming practices, and you may just succeed.

Commodity funds

Commodity funds are investment vehicles that pool money from multiple investors to invest in a diversified portfolio of commodities, including wheat.

  • Pros: Commodity funds offer diversification, reducing the risk of investing in a single commodity like wheat. Longtime experts navigate commodity funds on the commodities market.
  • Cons: Commodity funds may have higher fees and expenses. The fund's performance is tied to the overall performance of the commodities market. Your investment may suffer if the market suffers.

Risk management in investing in wheat

The wheat market is highly volatile and subject to countless external factors. That means your risk management strategy is crucial. The most important of these is diversification. By spreading your funds across different types of wheat investments, including futures contracts, ETFs, agricultural stocks and even direct investments, you can reduce your exposure to any single investment. It helps cushion potential losses in one area with gains in another, providing you with a more stable overall portfolio.

Staying informed about market trends is another key aspect of risk management. Keeping a close eye on supply and demand dynamics, weather patterns and political developments can help. For example, if there's a drought in a major wheat-producing region, you may see a decrease in supply and an increase in prices. But if you're paying attention, you can adjust your investments as needed. Subscribe to industry publications, attend conferences and follow reputable sources to stay informed about the latest developments.

Set clear financial goals and stick to them. Determine how much risk you're willing to take on and what level of returns you expect. Risk helps you make decisions that align with your risk tolerance and goals.

Stop-loss orders can also be a useful tool. These orders automatically sell your investments if they reach a certain threshold, helping to limit your losses. Set these thresholds carefully, considering market volatility and your risk tolerance.

Finally, have a well-defined exit strategy. Set specific profit targets and stop-loss levels for each investment. By having predetermined points where you sell or adjust your positions, you can avoid being driven by emotion and have a better chance of sticking to your risk management plan.

Wheat investing methods

You can invest in wheat in various ways, including futures contracts, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and direct investment. Each method has advantages and disadvantages, so learn about each before deciding which is best for you. Here's an overview of the different options.

Commodities 

Is wheat a commodity? Yes. One of the most popular ways to invest in wheat is through futures contracts. So, how to invest in wheat futures? 

These contracts are agreements to buy or sell a certain amount of wheat at an agreed-upon price on a set date in the future. These contracts allow you to speculate on the price of wheat without taking ownership of it. They also help to hedge against market volatility, as the contracts mitigate the risk of price fluctuations (below) in wheat commodities.

But buying wheat futures contracts involves considerable risk due to its leverage nature, meaning that your losses can exceed your initial investments if prices move against expectations. Wheat futures contracts trade on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) and other exchanges worldwide.

Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) 

Another option for investing in grains is buying shares in wheat-related ETFs. These funds are collections of stocks, bonds or commodities that track an underlying index. Most ETFs related to wheat track the commodity's price, allowing you to gain exposure to the wheat market without the need to trade individual stocks or futures contracts. Suppose you're trying to figure out how to invest in wheat ETF. 

In that case, one option is the iShares MSCI Agriculture Producers ETF NYSEARCA: VEGI. This fund tracks the global agricultural industry and VEGI holdings include agriculture-related stocks and commodity-tracking derivatives.

Other options include the Teucrium Wheat Fund NYSEARCA: WEAT, which focuses exclusively on grains.

Stocks 

Investing in individual stocks is another popular way to benefit from the wheat market. You must buy shares of a company that produces, processes or trades wheat. These companies usually have operations worldwide. Some examples of popular wheat stocks include Archer-Daniels-Midland CompanyNYSE: ADM, Bunge Limited NYSE: BG and GrainCorp ASX: GNC. Bunge earnings come from its global agribusiness and food company that produces and markets agricultural commodities such as wheat to food processors, industrial users and retailers.

ADM analyst ratings note that the company is an American global food processing corporation that produces grain-based products such as flour from wheat grains.

GrainCorp is an Australian grain merchant that buys grain from farmers for processing into food ingredients for sale to domestic and international grain markets.

Investing in wheat stock by buying individual stocks is riskier than how to invest in wheat commodities or ETFs, as there are a variety of factors that can affect stock prices, especially when growing conditions are so fickle. Company management, market conditions and economic news can all affect the success of an individual wheat stock.

Direct investing

Finally, in investigating how to invest in grain futures, suppose you prefer to take ownership of physical assets to benefit from market changes or for hedging. In that case, direct investment is your way forward for investing in corn and wheat. 

You can buy actual commodities like wheat through an online broker or through contracts with local farmers, where you buy the wheat at a certain price and then sell it when the market price rises. However, this is a more risky strategy as it requires an in-depth knowledge of the market and a large capital base to make profits.

Steps to invest in wheat

Investing in wheat can be a great way to profit from market movements and diversify your portfolio. Here are some steps you should take to invest in wheat.

Step 1: Research the market. 

Research the market and gain a good understanding of what's driving prices. Familiarize yourself with the different types of traded wheat and look at their current prices using a price of wheat chart. Examine how supply and demand affect them and the various factors influencing production. Keep up to date with global weather conditions, current events and government policies affecting agriculture, all of which can have a significant impact on wheat prices.

Step 2: Decide how you want to invest.

Once you have researched the market, decide how you want to invest: through stocks, futures contracts, ETFs or direct investments. Each option has its own pros and cons, so weighing up your choices will help you decide which route is best for you.

Step 3: Open an account.

Open an account with a broker or financial institution that offers services for your chosen investment (stocks, futures trading, ETFs or direct investments). Select a reputable broker with competitive fees and features that meet your needs.

Step 4: Monitor your investments.

Lastly, once you have an account set up and have invested in wheat, monitor your investments regularly. Keep track of price movements and any news or developments related to the industry so that you can make informed decisions.

Factors affecting wheat investments 

The most important factors affecting wheat commodities include global production levels and weather conditions, such as drought or cold spells. Other variables can range from government policies to geopolitical events like trade disputes or wars. Oil prices influence the cost of transportation and availability of fertilizers, affecting supply and demand dynamics for wheat futures worldwide.

On top of these external influences, if you're wondering how to trade wheat, you must also pay attention to internal financial news related to wheat: millers, farmers, exporters, etc., including sales figures for wheat products, mergers and acquisitions and changes in management or company strategies. 

Another internal factor to consider is market sentiment. If there is a general feeling of optimism about the industry's future, this can positively affect futures grain prices. Conversely, market pessimism can lead to price drops. Changes in interest rates, inflation and currency values can directly impact wheat prices. 

Stay abreast of any technological advancements in the agricultural industry that could impact the production and efficiency of wheat farming, and keep an eye on currency exchange rates, as fluctuations can affect the price of wheat. For example, if the U.S. dollar increases in value relative to other currencies, it can become more expensive for foreign buyers to purchase U.S. wheat exports, which can drive down demand and prices.

Sustainable and ethical wheat investments

There's a mounting interest in sustainable and ethical investing worldwide, and it's sparked a new wave of awareness in the agricultural sector, particularly wheat. More and more, investors are starting to seek out wheat investment options that are socially responsible.

The fact is, traditional farming methods often involve the use of harmful pesticides, excessive irrigation and intensive farming techniques that deplete nutrients in the soil over time. In turn, we get erosion, water pollution and less biodiversity.

With investors searching for a better way, sustainable and ethical wheat investments have emerged. These focus on promoting soil health, conserving water, and ensuring farms use fair labor practices.

Many of these companies specialize in organic farming, which avoids pesticides and synthetic fertilizers in favor of natural methods. They aim to restore soil health and biodiversity and reduce the carbon footprint of farming through crop rotation and cover cropping. Organic products are a growing market that investors can tap into, but they can also contribute to a more sustainable and environmentally friendly agricultural industry.

Pros and cons of investing in wheat

Investing in wheat can be profitable, but like any other asset, it comes with risks. Here are some of the pros and cons of investing in wheat.

Pros

Here are the major pros of how to buy wheat stocks:

  • Hedge against inflation: As the cost of other assets increases, wheat prices also tend to rise, allowing you to recoup your losses if your other investments don't perform as expected.
  • Stability: Wheat is one of the most widely traded commodities in the world and has historically been fairly stable during times of uncertainty. Thus, there may be less risk involved than investing in other assets.
  • Regulation: Since it is a physical commodity, many countries have measures in place to prevent supply and demand imbalance, which can reduce its price volatility over time.
  • Demand: Since we use wheat in many products, from bread to beer, there is always demand for it, regardless of economic or political conditions.

Cons 

Like any asset class, there are also risks in learning how to buy wheat commodities:

  • Volatility: While wheat can provide an effective inflation hedge, it can also be vulnerable to large fluctuations due to weather conditions, such as drought or cold spells. Since its production depends heavily on agricultural practices and technological advances made by farmers and companies, the prices will likely reflect those changes. Government policies or geopolitical tensions could also impact prices, making wheat more unpredictable than other asset classes.
  • Exchange rates: As a physical commodity trading on international established and emerging markets, you must account for currency exchange rates between countries. If the U.S. dollar increases relative to another currency, foreign buyers may not be willing to pay as much for U.S. exports, making prices drop accordingly.

Tips for investing in wheat 

Figuring out how to invest in corn and wheat or grain futures can be a great way to diversify your portfolio and provide some steady returns. However, there are several things you should know before investing. Here are some tips for investing in wheat:

  • Prepare thoroughly: Research the global production levels of wheat and other geopolitical factors that could impact demand or prices in different markets, including government policies, currency exchange rates, weather forecasts, etc. Familiarize yourself with current wheat futures prices so you have an understanding of trends.
  • Develop a strategy: This means deciding whether to invest in wheat for short-term gains or long-term stability. Do you want to focus on one specific market or spread your investments across different regions?
  • Monitor the news: Pay attention to internal financial news related to agricultural practices, technological advancements made by farmers, changes in management strategies of companies involved and general market sentiment that could impact supply and demand dynamics.
  • Diversify your portfolio: Investing in wheat should be just one part of a diversified portfolio. Spread your investments across different asset classes, industries and geographical areas to reduce your overall risk and maximize potential returns.
  • Manage risk: Investing in wheat can be risky, so have a solid risk management strategy in place. This means preparing for potential losses and setting limits on how much you are willing to invest in wheat. One way to manage risk is by using stop-loss orders, which automatically sell your position if it reaches a certain price point. 

Wheat: An investor's potential bread and butter

Investing in wheat can help diversify your portfolio and provide solid returns. However, understanding the risks associated with this asset class and the potential price fluctuations due to external factors such as weather or government policies can make sure you make wise decisions when exploring this asset class.

FAQs 

Now that you're on your way to becoming an expert in wheat investments, you may still have a few questions.

Can I buy shares in wheat?

Yes, you can buy shares in wheat. You can purchase shares of companies that produce wheat products or own agricultural land where it's grown. Alternatively, you could invest in a commodity index fund that tracks the price of wheat. Finally, you could also purchase grain futures contracts. 

What are good wheat stocks to buy?

The most popular wheat stocks include Bunge, Archer Daniels Midland and GrainCorp. Before making any decisions, consider the risks associated with investing in any stock, including those in the wheat trade. This includes researching individual companies' financials, examining their production levels and market shares, tracking news of agricultural practices or changes in management strategies and understanding how external factors may affect a company's profits or losses over time.

Is wheat traded on the stock market? 

Yes, wheat is traded on the stock market. You can buy shares in companies that produce wheat products or own agricultural land where it is grown. Alternatively, you could also invest in an ETF that tracks the price of wheat. Finally, you could purchase futures contracts for wheat during wheat futures trading hours. However, before committing any money, consider the risks and understand how external factors like weather or government policies may affect prices.

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Claire Shefchik
About The Author

Claire Shefchik

Contributing Author

Energy, Commodities

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Companies Mentioned in This Article

CompanyMarketRank™Current PricePrice ChangeDividend YieldP/E RatioConsensus RatingConsensus Price Target
Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM)
4.7286 of 5 stars
$52.95+1.7%3.78%15.13Reduce$60.62
Bunge Global (BG)
4.6929 of 5 stars
$84.79+0.1%3.21%10.73Moderate Buy$118.00
iShares MSCI Agriculture Producers ETF (VEGI)N/A$38.26+0.7%1.67%8.65Hold$38.26
MSCI (MSCI)
4.9055 of 5 stars
$629.08+0.0%1.02%41.31Moderate Buy$631.83
Teucrium Wheat Fund (WEAT)N/A$4.91+0.2%N/AN/AN/AN/A
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