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Warner Music Group (WMG) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Warner Music Group logo
$27.84 -0.32 (-1.14%)
Closing price 09/10/2026 04:00 PM Eastern
Extended Trading
$27.84 0.00 (0.00%)
As of 09/10/2026 07:30 PM Eastern
Extended trading is trading that happens on electronic markets outside of regular trading hours. This is a fair market value extended hours price provided by Massive. Learn more.

Warner Music Group - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
0
Hold
4
Buy
12

Based on 16 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Warner Music Group in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Out of the 16 analysts, 4 have given a hold rating, and 12 have given a buy rating for WMG.

Consensus Price Target

$38.25
37.39% Upside
According to the 16 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Warner Music Group, the average price target is $38.25. The highest price target for WMG is $43.00, while the lowest price target for WMG is $33.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 37.39% from the current price of $27.84.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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WMG Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
9/11/25 to 9/11/26
1 Month Ago
8/12/25 to 8/12/26
3 Months Ago
6/13/25 to 6/13/26
1 Year Ago
9/11/24 to 9/11/25
Strong Buy
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
12 Buy rating(s)
13 Buy rating(s)
14 Buy rating(s)
8 Buy rating(s)
Hold
4 Hold rating(s)
4 Hold rating(s)
5 Hold rating(s)
9 Hold rating(s)
Sell
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$38.25$38.21$37.38$34.94
Forecasted Upside37.39% Upside54.15% Upside31.32% Upside2.04% Upside
Consensus RatingModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate Buy

WMG Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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WMG Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
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Warner Music Group Stock vs. The Competition

TypeWarner Music GroupCommunication Services CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
2.75
2.05
2.53
Consensus RatingModerate BuyHoldModerate Buy
Predicted Upside37.39% Upside139.69% Upside17.25% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Neutral News

See Recent WMG News
Positive News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
8/6/2026
Morgan Stanley logo
Morgan Stanley
3 of 5 stars
Reiterated RatingOverweight$36.00+37.10%
6/24/2026
Weiss Ratings logo
Weiss Ratings
5 of 5 stars
 Reiterated RatingHold (C)
6/22/2026
Zacks Research logo
Zacks Research
5 of 5 stars
 DowngradeStrong-BuyHold
5/8/2026Boost TargetBuy$40.00 ➝ $42.00+27.29%
5/8/2026 Reiterated RatingOutperform$43.00+29.78%
5/8/2026 Reiterated RatingOutperform
5/8/2026Boost TargetBuy$34.00 ➝ $36.00+15.98%
5/8/2026Boost TargetOverweight$40.00 ➝ $43.00+30.47%
2/13/2026UpgradeSector PerformSector Outperform
1/27/2026Initiated CoverageBuy$38.00+25.12%
1/21/2026Lower TargetBuy$41.00 ➝ $40.00+33.85%
12/15/2025Reiterated RatingOutperform$36.00+29.54%
12/11/2025Lower TargetBuy$38.00 ➝ $35.00+25.23%
11/25/2025Reiterated RatingNeutral
11/21/2025Lower TargetNeutral$36.00 ➝ $33.00+11.15%
10/14/2025Set TargetEqual WeightOverweight$34.00 ➝ $39.00+21.31%
9/10/2025Boost TargetBuy$44.00 ➝ $45.00+34.71%
8/7/2025 Reiterated RatingBuy
7/15/2025UpgradeSellNeutral$30.00-1.51%
7/9/2025Boost TargetEqual Weight$28.00 ➝ $30.00-0.85%
3/28/2025Initiated CoverageSector Perform$35.00+8.49%
1/30/2025Reiterated RatingNeutral$30.00 ➝ $30.00-6.92%
11/25/2024 Lower TargetHold$38.00 ➝ $35.00+9.89%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Friday at 04:07 AM ET.


Should I Buy Warner Music Group Stock? WMG Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Tuesday, September 8, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Warner Music Group pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Warner Music Group
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Warner Music Group Corp.:

  • Warner Music Group Corp. recently demonstrated strong financial performance by beating analyst expectations in its latest earnings report, posting earnings per share of $0.51 against a consensus estimate of $0.34, while revenue grew 10.4% year-over-year to $1.86 billion, indicating robust demand for its music catalog and streaming services.
  • The company has a favorable valuation profile with a current stock price of $28.03, which is significantly below the consensus price target of $38.77 from seventeen research firms, suggesting substantial upside potential as the stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.16.
  • Warner Music Group Corp. leads the major record labels in streaming growth, achieving an 11.3% increase in the second quarter of 2026 compared to the industry average of 8.3%, which highlights its competitive advantage in monetizing digital music consumption and outperforming peers like Universal Music Group.
  • Investors can benefit from a consistent and growing income stream, as the company recently increased its quarterly dividend to $0.20 per share, representing an annualized yield of approximately 2.9% and a payout ratio of 63.49%, which provides a tangible return on investment alongside potential capital appreciation.
  • The stock has received a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating from analysts, with thirteen firms issuing Buy ratings and only four issuing Hold ratings, reflecting broad institutional confidence in the company's strategic direction and its ability to navigate the evolving music industry landscape.

Warner Music Group
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Warner Music Group Corp. for these reasons:

  • Warner Music Group Corp. faces significant legal and regulatory risks from ongoing intellectual property disputes, including a lawsuit filed by Sony Music and Warner Music against Anthropic for allegedly misusing copyrighted song compositions to train AI models, which could result in costly litigation and potential changes to how music rights are licensed in the AI sector.
  • The company carries a high debt-to-equity ratio of 4.94, indicating a substantial leverage burden that could limit financial flexibility and increase vulnerability to interest rate fluctuations or economic downturns, despite its strong revenue growth and profitability metrics.
  • Recent leadership instability is a concern, as the company appointed an Acting Chief Financial Officer in July 2026 following the departure of its previous CFO, which may introduce uncertainty in financial management and strategic execution during a critical period of growth and legal challenges.
  • Short interest in the stock has been increasing, with shares shorted rising to 9.72 million as of August 2026, representing a 1.86% short percentage of the float, which suggests that a portion of the market is betting against the stock's future performance and could lead to increased volatility.
  • The stock's beta of 1.31 indicates higher volatility than the broader market, meaning investors may experience more significant price swings in response to market movements, which could be challenging for those with lower risk tolerance or shorter investment horizons.

WMG Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 16 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Warner Music Group is $38.25, with a high forecast of $43.00 and a low forecast of $33.00.

16 Wall Street equities research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Warner Music Group in the last twelve months. There are currently 4 hold ratings and 12 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street equities research analysts is that investors should "moderate buy" WMG shares.

According to analysts, Warner Music Group's stock has a predicted upside of 37.39% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Warner Music Group's stock had 1 downgrade by analysts.

Warner Music Group has been rated by research analysts at Morgan Stanley, Weiss Ratings, and Zacks Research in the past 90 days.

Analysts like Warner Music Group more than other "communication services" companies. The consensus rating for Warner Music Group is Moderate Buy while the average consensus rating for "communication services" companies is Hold. Learn more on how WMG compares to other companies.


MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for Warner Music Group analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 8/6/2026.
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