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Rio Tinto (RIO) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Rio Tinto logo
$106.68 +0.21 (+0.20%)
As of 01:28 PM Eastern
This is a fair market value price provided by Massive. Learn more.

Rio Tinto - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
0
Hold
12
Buy
4

Based on 16 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Rio Tinto in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 16 analysts, 12 have given a hold rating, and 4 have given a buy rating for RIO.

Consensus Price Target

$101.75
-4.62% Downside
According to the 16 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Rio Tinto, the average price target is $101.75. The highest price target for RIO is $120.00, while the lowest price target for RIO is $83.50. The average price target represents a forecasted downside of -4.62% from the current price of $106.68.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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RIO Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
5/29/25 to 5/29/26
1 Month Ago
4/29/25 to 4/29/26
3 Months Ago
2/28/25 to 2/28/26
1 Year Ago
5/29/24 to 5/29/25
Strong Buy
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
2 Strong Buy rating(s)
3 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
4 Buy rating(s)
4 Buy rating(s)
4 Buy rating(s)
4 Buy rating(s)
Hold
12 Hold rating(s)
11 Hold rating(s)
9 Hold rating(s)
3 Hold rating(s)
Sell
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$101.75$101.75$85.00$73.00
Forecasted Upside-4.62% Downside5.51% Upside-14.40% Downside21.29% Upside
Consensus RatingHoldHoldModerate BuyBuy

RIO Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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RIO Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

Rio Tinto Stock vs. The Competition

TypeRio TintoBasic Materials CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
2.25
2.58
2.52
Consensus RatingHoldModerate BuyModerate Buy
Predicted Upside-5.14% Downside198.38% Upside14.51% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Neutral News

See Recent RIO News
Positive News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
5/26/2026
Citigroup Inc. logo
Citigroup
4 of 5 stars
 Reiterated RatingNeutral
5/22/2026
Bank of America Corporation logo
Bank of America
4 of 5 stars
 DowngradeBuyNeutral
5/20/2026 Reiterated RatingBuy (B-)
5/15/2026 Reiterated RatingHold
4/27/2026 Set Target$120.00+20.49%
4/27/2026Boost TargetOutperform$82.00 ➝ $83.50-16.21%
4/7/2026 DowngradeStrong-BuyHold
3/9/2026DowngradeOverweightNeutral
2/24/2026DowngradeOverweightEqual Weight
2/20/2026 DowngradeStrong-BuyHold
1/28/2026 DowngradeOverweightEqual Weight
1/26/2026 DowngradeBuyHold
1/23/2026 UpgradeHoldBuy
1/22/2026 Reiterated RatingSector Perform
7/3/2025Reiterated RatingBuyHold
6/3/2025Reiterated RatingBuyHold
2/28/2025UpgradeStrong-Buy
10/16/2024 Reiterated RatingOutperformNeutral

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Friday at 01:29 PM ET.


Should I Buy Rio Tinto Stock? RIO Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Thursday, May 28, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Rio Tinto pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Rio Tinto
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Rio Tinto Group:

  • Rio Tinto Group has recently extended its partnership with Clontarf, supporting programs for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander young men, which reinforces its social license and strengthens community relationships.
  • The company has shown strong share momentum and improved valuation metrics, indicating bullish technicals that could attract more investors.
  • Analysts have recently upgraded their price targets for Rio Tinto Group, with some firms raising their targets, suggesting positive sentiment and potential for stock appreciation.
  • The current stock price is around $101.75, which reflects a consensus rating of "Hold" among analysts, indicating stability and potential for future growth.
  • Rio Tinto Group's diversification into diamonds through a joint venture with Angola’s state diamond company could provide long-term optionality, enhancing its portfolio and revenue streams.

Rio Tinto
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Rio Tinto Group for these reasons:

  • A recent workplace fatality at a Rio Tinto plant has raised concerns about operational safety, which could lead to increased scrutiny and potential regulatory costs.
  • Mixed views from analysts following Q1 production results indicate uncertainty regarding near-term volumes and segment mix, which may affect stock performance.
  • Despite some upgrades, caution remains regarding commodity prices and project timelines, which could impact future earnings and investor confidence.
  • While the company has strong fundamentals, the ongoing investigations related to the workplace incident may create reputational risks that could weigh on the stock.
  • Sector-wide M&A momentum and supply-chain focus, while supportive, may not directly benefit Rio Tinto Group in the short term, leading to potential missed opportunities.

RIO Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 16 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Rio Tinto is $101.75, with a high forecast of $120.00 and a low forecast of $83.50.

16 Wall Street research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Rio Tinto in the last twelve months. There are currently 12 hold ratings and 4 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street research analysts is that investors should "hold" RIO shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in RIO, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, Rio Tinto's stock has a predicted downside of -4.62% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Rio Tinto's stock had 3 downgrades by analysts.

Rio Tinto has been rated by research analysts at Argus, Bank of America, Citigroup, Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, JPMorgan Chase & Co., Sanford C. Bernstein, Weiss Ratings, and Zacks Research in the past 90 days.

Analysts like Rio Tinto less than other "basic materials" companies. The consensus rating for Rio Tinto is Hold while the average consensus rating for "basic materials" companies is Moderate Buy. Learn more on how RIO compares to other companies.


This page (NYSE:RIO) was last updated on 5/29/2026 by MarketBeat.com Staff.
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