Rio Tinto (RIO) Stock Forecast & Price Target

$59.83 -1.27 (-2.08%)

Closing price 07/14/2025 03:59 PM Eastern

Extended Trading

$59.47 -0.36 (-0.60%)

As of 08:32 AM Eastern

Rio Tinto - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2025)

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.

Consensus Rating

Moderate Buy

Based on 11 Analyst Ratings

Sell
0

Hold
5

Buy
6

Based on 11 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Rio Tinto in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Out of the 11 analysts, 5 have given a hold rating, 3 have given a buy rating, and 3 have given a strong buy rating for RIO.

Consensus Price Target

$73.00
22.02% Upside

According to the 11 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Rio Tinto, the average price target is $73.00. The highest price target for RIO is $73.00, while the lowest price target for RIO is $73.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 22.02% from the current price of $59.83.

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RIO Analyst Ratings Over Time

Type	Current Forecast 7/15/24 to 7/15/25	1 Month Ago 6/15/24 to 6/15/25	3 Months Ago 4/16/24 to 4/16/25	1 Year Ago 7/16/23 to 7/15/24
Strong Buy	3 Strong Buy rating(s)	3 Strong Buy rating(s)	3 Strong Buy rating(s)	0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy	3 Buy rating(s)	4 Buy rating(s)	4 Buy rating(s)	4 Buy rating(s)
Hold	5 Hold rating(s)	4 Hold rating(s)	4 Hold rating(s)	4 Hold rating(s)
Sell	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target	$73.00	$73.00	$73.00	N/A
Forecasted Upside	22.02% Upside	25.96% Upside	27.78% Upside	N/A
Consensus Rating	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy

RIO Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.

RIO Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.

Rio Tinto Stock vs. The Competition

Type	Rio Tinto	Basic Materials Companies	S&P 500
Consensus Rating Score	2.82	2.76	2.53
Consensus Rating	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy
Predicted Upside	22.02% Upside	269.87% Upside	10.67% Upside
News Sentiment Rating	Positive News See Recent RIO News	Positive News	Positive News

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Rating

Upside/Downside

Action

Time Frame

Start Date

End Date

Show

Export to Excel

Date	Brokerage	Analyst Name	Action	Rating
7/3/2025	Berenberg Bank 2 of 5 stars	R. Hatch Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Reiterated Rating	Buy ➝ Hold
7/2/2025	Barclays 3 of 5 stars		Reiterated Rating	Overweight ➝ Overweight
6/3/2025	Jefferies Financial Group 2 of 5 stars	Chris LaFemina Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Reiterated Rating	Buy ➝ Hold
4/9/2025	Morgan Stanley Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Downgrade	Overweight ➝ Equal Weight
3/27/2025	DZ Bank Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	R. Czerwensky Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Hold ➝ Strong-Buy
3/18/2025	JPMorgan Chase & Co. Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Initiated Coverage	Overweight
2/28/2025	Clarkson Capital Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	R. Department Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Strong-Buy
10/16/2024	Macquarie Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Reiterated Rating	Outperform ➝ Neutral
7/31/2024	Royal Bank Of Canada Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	K. Peker Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Hold
7/23/2024	Hsbc Global Res Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	S. Modi Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Strong-Buy
7/23/2024	HSBC Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Hold ➝ Buy
5/20/2024	Citigroup Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Downgrade	Buy ➝ Neutral
3/5/2024	Liberum Capital Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Reiterated Rating	Buy ➝ Hold
1/12/2024	The Goldman Sachs Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Initiated Coverage	Buy
12/5/2023	BNP Paribas Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Neutral ➝ Outperform
10/5/2023	UBS Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Sell ➝ Neutral

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Tuesday at 08:25 AM ET.

Should I Buy Rio Tinto Stock? RIO Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Monday, July 14, 2025. Please send any questions or comments about these Rio Tinto pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Rio Tinto
Bull Case

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Rio Tinto Group:

The current stock price is around $58.73, which may present a buying opportunity for investors looking for value.
Rio Tinto Group has received multiple recent upgrades from analysts, including a "strong-buy" rating from DZ Bank, indicating positive market sentiment.
The company has a solid market capitalization of approximately $73.64 billion, suggesting stability and a strong presence in the mining sector.
Rio Tinto Group operates in diverse segments such as Iron Ore, Aluminium, and Copper, which can help mitigate risks associated with reliance on a single commodity.
The stock has an average target price of $73.00, suggesting potential upside for investors based on analyst projections.

Rio Tinto
Bear Case

Investors should be bearish about investing in Rio Tinto Group for these reasons:

Despite recent upgrades, the stock has shown volatility, with a one-year high of $72.08 and a low of $51.67, indicating potential risks in price fluctuations.
The company has a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.10, which, while not excessively high, may suggest that the stock is not undervalued compared to its earnings.
Analysts have mixed ratings, with four holding, five buying, and three giving a strong buy, indicating uncertainty in the stock's future performance.
The 50-day and 200-day moving averages are around $59.44 and $60.04, respectively, suggesting that the stock is currently trading below these averages, which could be a bearish signal.
Market conditions and commodity prices can be unpredictable, which may impact the profitability of Rio Tinto Group's operations and, consequently, its stock performance.

RIO Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

: According to the research reports of 11 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Rio Tinto is $73.00, with a high forecast of $73.00 and a low forecast of $73.00.
: 11 Wall Street equities research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Rio Tinto in the last twelve months. There are currently 5 hold ratings, 3 buy ratings and 3 strong buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street equities research analysts is that investors should "moderate buy" RIO shares.
: According to analysts, Rio Tinto's stock has a predicted upside of 22.02% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.
: Rio Tinto has been rated by research analysts at Barclays, Berenberg Bank, Jefferies Financial Group, and Morgan Stanley in the past 90 days.
: Analysts like Rio Tinto more than other "basic materials" companies. The consensus rating score for Rio Tinto is 2.82 while the average consensus rating score for "basic materials" companies is 2.76. Learn more on how RIO compares to other companies.

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This page (NYSE:RIO) was last updated on 7/15/2025 by MarketBeat.com Staff

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Rio Tinto (RIO) Stock Forecast & Price Target