Palantir just signed a major new deal with the US Army, and MarketBeat analyst Chris Markoch says it's proof the company is becoming nearly impossible to replace. The contract, split with Andoril and coordinated with L3 Harris, entrenches Palantir even deeper as a battlefield system integrator for the US military... and once a company drops Palantir, they lose the entire ontology built on top of it. There's no clean way to walk away.
Chris breaks down why the stock jumped roughly 30% after August earnings, what Alex Carp's sovereign AI pitch actually means in practice, and the discounted cash flow math behind Carp's $15-18 billion free cash flow target... including why hitting that number in the next two years could justify Palantir's valuation even if growth slows down after that.
We also get into the bull and bear case on Carp as a salesman, why commercial customers who adopt Palantir tend to expand their usage rather than leave, and what this all means for Palantir's next two to ten years.
00:00 Introduction
09:31 The DCF math behind Palantir's valuation
13:25 The new Army contract, explained
20:13 Why Palantir is becoming irreplaceable
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Bridget Bennett, Host
Digital Media Producer, MarketBeat
Always the talker, Bridget Bennett turned her passion for people and sharing stories into a career in communications. She started working as a journalist in high school at her local county paper in Ellendale, North Dakota. After moving to Dallas for college at Southern Methodist University, she quickly fell in love with visual storytelling and started her career as a news anchor and reporter.
Bridget brings her 12 years of experience in broadcast writing and video production to the MarketBeat content team. She's also an energetic, creative thinker and lifelong learner, so she's always bringing new ideas. Bridget is thrilled to be part of an innovative team that is constantly looking to create useful content people can connect with.
When she's not working, Bridget is a busy mom of three and can be found at just about every activity or outing in town. She is also an adoption and foster care advocate and helps support foster children and families through her nonprofit volunteer work. She and her husband, Jason, grew up together and have spent their lives exploring the world through travel, hiking and ministry.
Chris Markoch, Guest
MarketBeat Contributor, MarketBeat
Chris Markoch is a freelance financial copywriter with over five years of experience covering various aspects of the financial markets. You may find his writing a little different than other stock articles you’ve read. And that’s OK with him. Chris doesn’t have a traditional finance background. What he does bring to the table is a strong business and marketing background having worked for agencies that serviced Fortune 500 companies. With that in mind, he isn’t overly impressed with what companies say, and more focused on what they do. And because buyer behavior dictates so much of what happens with a stock, Chris always keeps the end consumer close in mind. Chris has been writing for MarketBeat since 2018.