NETSTREIT Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Key Takeaways

  • Positive Sentiment: NETSTREIT raised its 2025 net investment guidance to $350–$400 million after closing a record $203.9 million of acquisitions in Q3 across 50 properties at a 7.4% blended cash yield, citing improved cost of capital and a large opportunity set.
  • Positive Sentiment: The company strengthened its liquidity and capital position with a $209.7 million follow‑on, additional ATM proceeds, >$1.1 billion total liquidity, adjusted net debt of $623.5 million and pro‑forma leverage of 3.6x, giving it dry powder to accelerate growth.
  • Positive Sentiment: Portfolio fundamentals remain strong: industry‑leading 99.9% occupancy, weighted average lease term up to 9.9 years, ~62% ABR from investment‑grade or IG‑profile tenants, only 2.7% of ABR expiring through 2027, and no credit losses in the quarter.
  • Negative Sentiment: Management reiterated 2025 AFFO guidance ($1.29–$1.31) despite heavy late‑quarter acquisitions because timing of closings and uncertain forward/taxable equity settlement (treasury stock dilution) could cause 1.5–2.5 cents of dilution and limit near‑term per‑share upside.
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Earnings Conference Call
NETSTREIT Q3 2025
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Operator

Greetings and welcome to the NETSTREIT Corp Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded.

Operator

It is now my pleasure to introduce Matt Miller, Capital Markets and IR. Please go ahead.

Matt Miller
Matt Miller
VP of Capital Markets and Investor Relations at NETSTREIT Corp.

We thank you for joining us for NETSTREIT's third quarter 2025 earnings conference call. In addition to the press release distributed yesterday after market close, we posted a supplemental package and an updated investor presentation. Both can be found in the investor relations section of the company's website at netstreit.com. On today's call, management's remarks and answers to your questions may contain forward-looking statements, as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements address matters that are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ from those discussed today.

Matt Miller
Matt Miller
VP of Capital Markets and Investor Relations at NETSTREIT Corp.

For more information about these risk factors, we encourage you to review our Form 10-K for the year ended December 31st, 2024, and our other SEC filings. All forward-looking statements are made as of the date hereof, and NETSTREIT assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements in the future. In addition, certain financial information presented on this call includes non-GAAP financial measures. Please refer to our earnings release and supplemental package for definitions of our non-GAAP measures, reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP measure, and an explanation of why we believe such non-GAAP financial measures are useful to investors.

Matt Miller
Matt Miller
VP of Capital Markets and Investor Relations at NETSTREIT Corp.

Today's conference call is hosted by NETSTREIT's Chief Executive Officer, Mark Manheimer, and Chief Financial Officer, Dan Donlan. They will make some prepared remarks, and then we will open up the call for questions.

Matt Miller
Matt Miller
VP of Capital Markets and Investor Relations at NETSTREIT Corp.

Now, I'll turn the call over to Mark.

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

Thank you, Matt, and good morning, everyone. We appreciate you joining us today to discuss our strong third quarter results, which were highlighted by record quarterly investment activity, well-executed capital markets transactions, and consistent performance from our defensive net lease portfolio. Looking ahead to the fourth quarter and beyond, we expect to remain highly acquisitive due to our improved cost of capital, our attractive opportunity set, and well-capitalized balance sheet. With that in mind, we are increasing our 2025 net investment guidance range to $350 million-$400 million, from $125 million-$175 million. Additionally, our year-to-date disposition activity has us well ahead of schedule to exceed our year-end diversification goals, as evidenced by our top five tenancy declining 600 basis points this year to 22.9% at quarter end.

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

Our momentum on the external growth front picked up considerable pace in the quarter as we closed a record $203.9 million of investments across 50 properties at a blended cash yield of 7.4%. These assets, which are primarily within resilient sectors such as grocery, auto service, convenience stores, and quick service restaurants, have an average lease term remaining of 13.4 years, and more than 1/3 of these investments are occupied by Investment Grade or Investment Grade profile tenants. Our weighted average lease term now stands at 9.9 years, up from 9.5 years a year ago, providing a strong foundation for predictable cash flows. Our ability to quickly ramp investments after raising capital in late July illustrates the inherent strength of our relationship-driven investment underwriting and closing teams.

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

We would also note that our later start in the quarter did result in a substantial number of investments closing in the last week of the quarter, which limits their impact to the full year results. On the disposition front, we sold 24 properties for $37.8 million at a 7.2% cap rate, allowing us to recycle the proceeds into higher yielding opportunities as we have done every quarter in our existence. Please note that we see the fourth quarter as our last quarter of elevated disposition volume due to our focus on diversification, as we plan to return to our more normal disposition volumes focused on credit risk and opportunistic sales.

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

Turning to the portfolio, we ended the quarter with 721 investments with 114 tenants in 28 industries, generating more than $183 million in ABR across 45 states. With more than 62% of our ABR being generated from tenants with investment grade ratings or investment grade profiles, and only 2.7% of our ABR expiring through 2027, our portfolio should continue to produce consistent and predictable cash flow. Our active portfolio management continues to contribute to our occupancy rate remaining at an industry-leading 99.9% with no material tenant disruptions. With that in mind, we expect to have our lone vacant property, a former Big Lots, leased by the fourth quarter to an investment grade tenant at more than a 20% increase in rent, with rent to commence later in 2026. While we have been able to generate highly favorable cash yields on investments as a public company, we are proud of our best-in-class credit loss statistics, as we again had no credit losses in the quarter.

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

On the left side of the balance sheet, we believe our job is to find assets that generate the best risk-adjusted returns available, which is supported by our creative, multi-pronged investment approach, proven underwriting method, and proactive asset management process. By adhering to those core competencies, we aim to provide attractive and consistent cash flow generation for our investors. Looking at the right side of the balance sheet, we had an active quarter adding long-dated unsecured debt, further extending our debt maturity profile, and decreased our leverage with significant equity raising, which has accelerated our ability to accretively grow our portfolio and, in turn, enhance our earnings power as we look out to 2026 and beyond.

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

Ending with the macro, while we have seen softness develop in the lower and middle-income consumer and some noise in the private credit markets, our focus remains on accretive investments in high-quality and less volatile necessity-based retail properties. We believe our tenant quality, diversification, and emphasis on opportunities with the best risk-adjusted returns positions us well for any and all macroeconomic environments. With that in mind, we are currently seeing the most attractive opportunity set that we have seen since going public over five years ago, and we are excited to have the dry powder to execute and drive growth well into the future.

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

With that, I'll turn it over to Dan for more details on our financials and outlook.

Daniel Donlan
Daniel Donlan
CFO and Treasurer at NETSTREIT Corp.

Thank you, Mark. Looking at our third quarter earnings, we report a net income of $621,000 or $0.01 per diluted share. Core FFO for the quarter was $26.4 million or $0.31 per diluted share. AFFO was $28 million or $0.33 per diluted share, which was an increase of 3.1% over last year. Turning to the expense front, our total recurring G&A in the quarter increased year over year to $5.1 million, which is mostly a result of our staffing levels normalizing after we restructured various roles last year. That said, with our total recurring G&A representing 10.6% of total revenues this quarter versus our 11.1% quarterly average last year, our G&A continues to rationalize relative to our revenue base, and we expect this rationalization to accelerate in 2026 and beyond.

Daniel Donlan
Daniel Donlan
CFO and Treasurer at NETSTREIT Corp.

Turning to capital markets activities in the third quarter, we completed a 12.4 million share follow-on offering in July, which raised $209.7 million in net proceeds. Turning to the ATM, we sold 1.2 million shares for $20.6 million of net proceeds in the quarter, and subsequent to quarter end, we sold an additional 1.6 million shares for $29.7 million of net proceeds. Looking at the balance sheet, our adjusted net debt, which includes the impact of all forward equity, was $623.5 million. Our weighted average debt maturity was 4.2 years, and our weighted average interest rate was 4.45%. Including extension options, which can be exercised at our discretion, we have no material debt maturing until February 2028.

Daniel Donlan
Daniel Donlan
CFO and Treasurer at NETSTREIT Corp.

In addition, our total liquidity was over $1.1 billion at quarter end, which consisted of $53 million of cash on hand, $500 million available on our revolving credit facility, $431 million of unsettled forward equity, and $150 million of undrawn term loan capacity. From a leverage perspective, our pro forma adjusted net debt to annualized adjusted EBITDA re was 3.6x at quarter end, which remains well below our targeted range of 4.5x-5.5x. Moving on to 2025 guidance, we are reiterating our AFFO per share guidance range of $1.29-$1.31, and are increasing our net investment activity range to $350 million-$400 million from the prior range of $125 million-$175 million. We continue to expect cash G&A to range between $15 million and $15.5 million.

Daniel Donlan
Daniel Donlan
CFO and Treasurer at NETSTREIT Corp.

Additionally, with our outstanding forward equity increasing to $430 million this quarter from $202 million last quarter, our AFFO per share guidance now assumes $0.015-$0.025 of dilution from the treasury stock method. Lastly, on October 24th, the board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.215 per share. The dividend will be payable on December 15th to shareholders of record as of December 1st.

Daniel Donlan
Daniel Donlan
CFO and Treasurer at NETSTREIT Corp.

With that, operator, we will now open the line for questions.

Operator

Thank you. We'll now be conducting a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. One moment, please, while we poll for questions. Thank you. Our first question is from John Kilichowski with Wells Fargo.

John Kilichowski
John Kilichowski
Equity Research Analyst at Wells Fargo

Hi. Good morning. Thank you. Mark, you know, you made the comment in the opening remarks that you're currently seeing the most attractive opportunity set that you've seen. Maybe could you dive deeper there in terms of the assets that you're looking at, pricing, and then maybe the cadence that you think you can achieve going forward from here?

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

Yeah, sure. Good to hear from you, John. Yeah, so I mean, very similar types of assets. I mean, we're looking at a lot of C stores, quick service restaurants, grocery, QSR, similar to what we've really kind of done in the last several quarters. Pricing very close to what we did in the most recent quarter, so I think we're probably going to be in the [73-74] range. Maybe a little bit more investment grade so far. We'll kind of see what we source from here on out. But, you know, pretty confident that we should be able to, you know, be, you know, at the high end of the acquisition range, provided.

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

And then, you know, looking forward to 2026, you know, not giving guidance on acquisitions at this point, but I think you can expect the dispositions to come in quite a bit. We'll continue to opportunistically sell some assets and focus on, you know, potential credit issues down the line and try to get out ahead of that, which we, you know, did even when we were in diversification mode. But, you know, we've really accomplished the goals that we set out at the beginning of the year on the dispos side. So, it feels like the net investments, you know, should be a little bit higher next year.

John Kilichowski
John Kilichowski
Equity Research Analyst at Wells Fargo

Okay. That was very helpful. And then, just from a pricing perspective, I know this quarter there was a step down, but you had communicated that, several times intra-quarter. I'm just curious, are the cap rates that you're seeing today a better run rate for the business going forward?

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

Yeah, I think so. And, and yeah, I mean, I appreciate your comment there. We did try to make that clear in the second quarter that the 7.8% was not going to be repeated, and we'd return back to that kind of 7.4%-7.5% type cap rate range. I think, right now, you know, the 10-year has come in, you know, from call it 4.5% to 4%, inside 4% right now. And so a little bit more competition in the space. So I think it's reasonable to assume that there could be another 10 basis points of compression, looking, you know, looking forward into 2026, but that's always difficult to predict outside of, you know, call it 60-90 days, on a go-forward basis.

John Kilichowski
John Kilichowski
Equity Research Analyst at Wells Fargo

Very helpful. Thank you.

Operator

Our next question is from Michael Goldsmith with UBS.

Michael Goldsmith
Michael Goldsmith
Equity Research Analyst at UBS

Good morning. Thanks a lot for taking my questions. You know, lots of activity in the quarter, but the guidance didn't really move. So can you just talk a little bit about, you know, what are the factors that that maybe didn't move the 2025 AFFO for share outlook? And, you know, I guess how that how will that impact, you know, how will that impact the earnings growth kind of going forward? Thanks.

Daniel Donlan
Daniel Donlan
CFO and Treasurer at NETSTREIT Corp.

Yeah. Hey, Michael. I think there's really two drivers to the guidance. The first being that while we had a ton of activity in the third quarter, the timing of that activity on the investment side was heavily weighted to the back half of the quarter. We closed basically $100 million on the last two days of the quarter, whereas the loan payoffs and the dispositions were heavily weighted to the front end. And you can see that in on the income statement. You know, our total revenues went up $22,000 quarter-over-quarter. So, certainly, timing has played a big part in that. Whereas in the second quarter, it was the exact opposite was true. The other is just the unknown nature of the treasury stock dilution. I mean, we clearly know how much we've raised.

Daniel Donlan
Daniel Donlan
CFO and Treasurer at NETSTREIT Corp.

We know how much we're thinking about raising. It's just the price at which the stock is going to average over the quarter is unknowable. And so we certainly baked in a ton of conservatism. What I can say is if this stock kind of stays where it opened this morning, you know, obviously the bottom end of the range would be, you know, nowhere possible. But you know, hopefully that's not the case. And we think our stock price should continue to season and move higher from here, just given the growth that we see coming in 2026 from everything that we're doing here in 2025. You know, I'm sure as you know, what you do in the third and the fourth quarter has a very big impact on what can happen in the following year.

Daniel Donlan
Daniel Donlan
CFO and Treasurer at NETSTREIT Corp.

We're cognizant of that too. So, I certainly think, you know, looking at where our cost of capital is today, where we've already raised capital in terms of our term loans, we have another $150 million we can draw down on, basically, in the mid-fours. And assuming we can get an IG rating coming up here shortly, you know, that moves down even further from there. So if you think about that accretion, you know, we feel pretty strongly we can get back to certainly an above-average growth rate in 2026 and beyond.

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

Just a little bit of color on the extreme nature of the timing of our acquisitions in the quarter. You know, we raised capital at the end of July. So we're, you know, we don't want to get over our skis and start deploying capital before we raise it. So we really had a couple of months to deploy the capital. We were really only planning on doing a little bit more, as well, you know, on top of the, you know, covering the dispositions that we did. But raising capital at the end of July, you know, kind of put us in a spot where we had, you know, two months to close. And you know, we're still able to hit pretty good numbers. But you know, to Dan's point, that was all very late in the quarter.

Michael Goldsmith
Michael Goldsmith
Equity Research Analyst at UBS

Got it. Thanks for that, guys. I really appreciate it. My follow-up question is just on the equity that needs to be settled. How are you thinking about that? And then what would be kind of the accretion on that equity, associated with future deals?

Daniel Donlan
Daniel Donlan
CFO and Treasurer at NETSTREIT Corp.

Yeah. So in terms of the forward equity, you know, as you think about it, you also got to think about where we raised the prior equity versus where our prior cap rates were. You know, in the first half of the year, we averaged a 7.7%. So, some of the equity raised, that was at lower stock prices than we are today. The spread is still fairly high on that, anywhere from 135-150 basis points when you think about where, you know, where we raised the term loan capital. As we sit here today, you know, our spreads are closer to, you know, call it, you know, 165-170, which is still a very healthy spread when you think about the historical average for the sector over the last, you know, +20 years.

Daniel Donlan
Daniel Donlan
CFO and Treasurer at NETSTREIT Corp.

So, I think for us, that should allow us, again, to continue to grow AFFO per share as we look out to 2026, you know, at a fairly healthy pace. And then should ramp up further, hopefully, in 2027 as some of the lower priced, you know, forwards get settled over the course of 2026. But, you know, for modeling purposes, I think you should settle somewhere around 8 million-9 million shares, at the end of the fourth quarter. And then, you know, we should get rid of most of what was raised over the course of 2024 and 2025, you know, ratably over the course of 2026.

Michael Goldsmith
Michael Goldsmith
Equity Research Analyst at UBS

Thank you very much. Good luck in the fourth quarter.

Daniel Donlan
Daniel Donlan
CFO and Treasurer at NETSTREIT Corp.

Thanks, Michael.

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

Thanks.

Operator

Our next question is from Greg McGinniss with Scotiabank.

Greg McGinniss
Greg McGinniss
Director at Scotiabank

Hey, good morning. So I really weren't surprised by the lower cash cap rates achieved this quarter because of, you know, the commentary that you guys have been providing. We were a little surprised by the, you know, limited increase in IG or IG-like acquisitions. Now it sounds like you're not really expecting much of an increase on that front going forward either. Could you just help us understand what you're seeing on pricing for the IG or equivalent assets and potential for increased acquisition levels, within that subset, as your cost of equity improves?

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

Yeah, sure. So I'd say there's probably about a 50 basis points difference in terms of the Investment Grade and Investment Grade, you know, like, you know, assets that we acquired versus the non-Investment Grade. So, enough of a delta there where we, you know, as long as we're not taking, you know, you know, much more risk, that's something that we're, you know, you know, more than comfortable doing. There just is a lot more attractive opportunities in the non-Investment Grade side at this point. I am expecting the fourth quarter to be a little bit more heavy on the Investment Grade side than what we've done, you know, for this year. But, you know, the reality is we, you know, Investment Grade is just not really something that we focused on, focus on. We're looking, you know, for the best risk-adjusted returns that we can.

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

You know, in some quarters, that's going to be high. In some quarters, that's going to be low. You know, we're really kind of focused on getting the best pricing that we can, managing the portfolio, and then, you know, not having credit losses, which I think we've been able to accomplish both really strong pricing, with minimal loss.

Greg McGinniss
Greg McGinniss
Director at Scotiabank

Are you seeing any trends in terms of what you're looking to acquire, from that standpoint, on an industry level in terms of where you're seeing the better, risk-adjusted returns now versus maybe historically?

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

Yeah, sure. I mean, you know, certainly, I've seen more opportunities on the convenience store side. You know, quick service restaurants is another area that has been a focus. You know, grocery, auto services, that's really been kind of the main four group four food groups that we've had the most success. But there's always, you know, a deal here or there that's outside of those. You know, we've added a bit more Tractor Supply. You saw that move up, you know, quite a bit. You know, we're adding a little bit more in the fourth quarter. But it's a pretty broad diversified mix what we're adding in the fourth quarter.

Greg McGinniss
Greg McGinniss
Director at Scotiabank

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Our next question is from Haendel St. Juste with Mizuho Securities.

Haendel St. Juste
Haendel St. Juste
Managing Director at Mizuho Securities

Hey, thanks for calling on me here. Appreciate the time. Wanted to ask about competition. Certainly come up quite a bit on the calls so far this quarter. You mentioned that you're seeing a bit of competition from private equity. I'm curious what you think their investment strategy is, where are they deploying more capital versus where you are looking to deploy, and how you'll be able to insulate yourself from that a bit. Thanks.

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

Yeah, that's a great question, Haendel. You know, it's been a, you know, a big topic. You know, I think every private equity firm is a little different. You know, you saw a couple, you know, larger private equity firms kind of get in the game a few years ago and didn't really make, you know, much of an impact, quite frankly. Then you've seen, you know, a couple more in the in the last couple of years, really, you know, kind of smaller teams, going out elephant hunting. You know, a lot of those have been more focused on industrial, but even on the retail side, you know, kind of looking for the larger transactions, to, you know, to put a lot of capital to work.

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

So we're not really running into, obviously, the industrial side, but also, you know, if someone's, you know, kind of doing nine-figure, you know, type transactions, that's not going to be, you know, where we play. More recently, you know, we've seen, you know, one large player, focused on smaller transactions, but, you know, further down the credit curve than really where we like to play, although we have seen them a little bit on the sale-leaseback side. You know, but there's, you know, more than enough opportunity where, and especially being that they are looking at a different, you know, credit profile for the most part than what we're looking at, not going to have a big impact on us. But they're really the first one that we've seen out there, you know, in the investment world.

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

I think, you know, with how fragmented the net lease retail space is and how little institutionally owned it is, there's just, you know, a lot of opportunity for even more groups to come in without having a large impact on the pricing that we're seeing.

Haendel St. Juste
Haendel St. Juste
Managing Director at Mizuho Securities

Appreciate the thoughts there. Maybe as a follow-up, I was curious, maybe an update just more broadly on your strategic plans to reduce your Dollar General. Walgreens, CVS, looks like you made quite a bit of progress in your quarter. Curious how the pricing came in versus prior sales versus your expectations. And then looking ahead, any other categories that you're looking to call a bit into next year, understanding that much of the heavy lifting has already been done. Thanks.

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

Yep. Yeah, I mean, I think, you know, the heavy lifting, you know, to your point, is really already done. You know, we made a big move on the dollar store side. Pricing, you know, was, you know, pretty attractive. We did do a little bit more with some institutions where the cap rate was maybe slightly higher than the 1031 market. So I think the remaining sales that we have, in that space are going to be 1031 driven. We were already in a pretty good spot going into the quarter, as it relates to pharmacy. So, we're being a little bit more selective on pricing there. And so we've hit our goal on Walgreens of getting that below 3%, just about there on CVS. Certainly, we'll be there here in the next couple of weeks.

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

So, getting those down, you know, we can be a little bit more choosy when it comes to the pricing and not feel as much pressure there. So, I'd expect, you know, us to continue to run the portfolio with tenants below 5%. You know, Walgreens will continue to decrease over time, a little bit less of a, you know, a little bit less pressure there. But, you know, that'll still continue to come down with a sale here or there. And then with us not adding to either of those sectors, just increasing the asset base will decrease those exposures over time.

Haendel St. Juste
Haendel St. Juste
Managing Director at Mizuho Securities

Thank you.

Operator

Our next question is from Smedes Rose with Citi.

Smedes Rose
Smedes Rose
Director at Citigroup

Hi, thanks. I just wanted to understand maybe the opportunity set a little a little better. I mean, you significantly increased the acquisitions, you know, outlook, obviously, for the year. I know part of that is driven by a better cost of capital. But also, I mean, is the overall market kind of expanding? Because, I mean, we just hear from other companies too. It seems like the acquisitions outlook just continues to sort of accelerate. I'm wondering if you think that is sort of going to continue indefinitely, or is there anything in particular that's driving that?

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

Yeah, no, it's yeah, we certainly are seeing a lot more opportunity. Yeah, I think to your point, others are saying the same thing on their calls. So I don't think it's just us. Thinking through really what's driving that, you know, rates have come in enough where you have, you know, the ten-year's gone from, you know, 4.5% to 4%, the 5-year, which is probably more important to 1031 buyers, you know, down around 3.6% or wherever. I haven't looked today. But yeah, I mean, that's an area where, you know, it pencils on the debt side. So I think, you know, we're at a point where, you know, rates aren't really restrictive to getting deals done.

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

I think that's kind of opened up the maybe not the floodgates, but I think on the margin, you know, seeing a more opportunity across the board, with every different approach to acquisitions that we take, we're seeing more opportunity, really everywhere.

Smedes Rose
Smedes Rose
Director at Citigroup

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Our next question is from Linda Tsai with Jefferies.

Linda Tsai
Linda Tsai
Senior Analyst at Jefferies

Hi. Yeah, it makes a lot of sense to continue diversification in your portfolio, reducing the drug and dollar stores and AAP exposure. That being said, where do you think spreads between acquisitions and disposition cap rates could trend into 2026?

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

Hey, Linda. Yeah, I mean, it's probably a little bit difficult to say, because, you know, we're going to be more opportunistic on the disposition side. So, you know, the cap rates could come in a little bit if we're, you know, if we see some good opportunities there. You know, we had some pressure on our, you know, put some pressure on ourselves by setting, you know, some diversification goals where, you know, we were selling, you know, assets in industries that were maybe a little bit out of favor. So, I think that made it a little bit more difficult, but certainly, a, you know, a strong 1031 market, allowed us to be able to hit those goals, you know, a little bit ahead of time. So, but the dispositions really aren't going to drive much next year.

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

You know, we'll probably return to a $15 million-$25 million pace, which I think is historically what we had done, you know, you know, coming into 2025. But overall, I think the cap rates will probably be a little bit lower on the disposition side.

Linda Tsai
Linda Tsai
Senior Analyst at Jefferies

Thanks for that. Then just, in terms of your investment spread at 160 bps relative to your WACC, how do you think that could trend, say, by like the second half of 2026?

Daniel Donlan
Daniel Donlan
CFO and Treasurer at NETSTREIT Corp.

Yeah, I mean, you tell me where the stock's going to go, Linda, and I can give you that answer. I think, you know, as we look at the cap rates, as Mark said, we think cap rates, you know, may could potentially drift down, you know, 10 basis points over the next, you know, six to eight months. It's really unsure. You know, I think we have a very good value proposition here. We've got our cost of capital back. We can continue to grow earnings at a healthier clip and a stronger clip than we did last year. So it really just all depends on kind of the stock price. And then to a lesser degree, you know, the where debt is.

Daniel Donlan
Daniel Donlan
CFO and Treasurer at NETSTREIT Corp.

I mean, we've basically satisfied our debt needs for the next, call it, 12-15 months. So, you know, any type of, you know, our capital raising and/or our usage of debt is going to be relegated to the, you know, to the credit facility as well as just bringing, settling the forwards over the course of 2026. So, you know, I'm hopeful that we're hopeful the stock price can continue to move higher, just given the opportunity set that we're seeing. And so, I think spreads can hang out where they are or move higher. But I think the one thing we feel confident in at least over the next six months is that cap rates should remain in and around kind of where they have been.

Linda Tsai
Linda Tsai
Senior Analyst at Jefferies

Just one last question. Your tenant credit outlook versus a year ago, how does that compare?

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

Yeah, not much different. I mean, I guess, you know, a year ago, we had, you know, Big Lots, which we knew was, you know, something that we had to work through. Right now, we don't really have anything on the credit watch list. You know, you know, some coverages have moved around a little bit here or there, but nothing that we're concerned about, you know, concerned with.

Linda Tsai
Linda Tsai
Senior Analyst at Jefferies

Thank you.

Operator

Our next question is from Jay Kornreich with Cantor Fitzgerald.

Jay Kornreich
Jay Kornreich
VP of REIT Equity Research at Cantor Fitzgerald

Hey, good morning. Thank you. I wanted to go back to the pace of growth going forward. You mentioned a robust opportunity set and net investments to pick up in 2026. Be curious just about how you think about your goals for next year. Are you more focused on getting to a certain quarterly investment pace? Is it more about achieving a certain earnings growth level? Just how do you think about that now that you've returned to that opportunity set?

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

Yeah, I mean, I think you have to evaluate what the opportunity set is. And, you know, right now, it's robust. We expect that to continue. And then you have to, you know, consider your cost of capital, which is, you know, which is improving. Certainly not, you know, quite where we want it to be. And you need to consider, you know, your team and, you know, what we're capable of. And I think we're capable of, you know, significantly more than what we've done in the past. And so I think there's an opportunity as our stock has continued to recover and get better, that we can ramp acquisitions, you know, beyond what we've done historically. You know, to what level remains to be seen.

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

You know, I guess we'll, you know, decide when we want to give, AFFO per share guidance and acquisitions guidance, you know, at a later date. But I think right now, that's trending to a larger number.

Jay Kornreich
Jay Kornreich
VP of REIT Equity Research at Cantor Fitzgerald

Okay. And then just as a follow-up, you referenced the prospects of getting Investment Grade rating. Can you just give an update as to, I guess, where that process stands and potential timing to achieve that?

Daniel Donlan
Daniel Donlan
CFO and Treasurer at NETSTREIT Corp.

Yeah, I mean, I think, you know, we, you know, I think what we've said all along is that we would hope that we have some type of discussion in this year. And I think that still remains true. But, you know, obviously, nothing is set in stone. And so, you know, I think we'll continue to say, you know, hopefully, we can, you know, do something by the end of the year.

Jay Kornreich
Jay Kornreich
VP of REIT Equity Research at Cantor Fitzgerald

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Our next question is from Wes Golladay with Baird.

Wes Golladay
Wes Golladay
Senior Research Analyst at Baird

Hey, good morning, guys. Looking outside of traditional acquisitions, are you seeing any development opportunities? Do you have any appetite to increase the loans?

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

Good question, Wes. So, yeah, we are seeing good opportunities, both on the loan side and the development side, but you know, really not seeing enough of you know, a risk-adjusted return on the development side to really kind of ramp that. You know, we've continued to work with a few tenants you know, directly on some development. That's been you know, pretty good. And I think we'll probably see one or two you know, new tenants you know, kind of pop up in our top tenant list you know, in 2026 you know, from that. But it's I don't think it's going to be as big a piece of what we've done historically. The loan book, we've you know, decided to kind of bring that down a little bit you know, over time.

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

Yeah, but we're still seeing some pretty good opportunities to replace some of the loans that are being paid off.

Wes Golladay
Wes Golladay
Senior Research Analyst at Baird

All right. Thanks for the time.

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

Thanks, Wes.

Operator

Our next question is from Upal Rana with KeyBanc Capital Markets.

Upal Rana
Upal Rana
Director and Equity Research Analyst at KeyBanc Capital Markets

Great. Thank you. Just one quick one from me. You know, I want to get your thoughts on the auto parts exposure as it makes up about 2.5% of your ABR. You just given some of the recent bankruptcy news out there. Thanks.

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

Yeah, sure. I mean, you know, so we've got, you know, really three, you know, tenants there, you know, Advance Auto, which has been, you know, brought down quite a bit, closer to 1% at this point. You know, O'Reilly's and AutoZone. We don't really think that, you know, the most recent bankruptcy is, you know, something that is going to impact them or even really tangential to them. Really, the bankruptcies that we've seen and, you know, kind of the, you know, the cockroaches that, you know, that people are talking about, we haven't seen the spread of the cockroaches at this point. And we, you know, some of that is really due to fraud, which we don't think is really indicative of what's really going on in the economic market.

Upal Rana
Upal Rana
Director and Equity Research Analyst at KeyBanc Capital Markets

Okay. Great. That was helpful. Thank you.

Operator

Our next question is from Jana Galan with Bank of America.

Jana Galan
Jana Galan
Research Analyst at Bank of America

Thank you. Good morning. Given the increased competition for net lease retail strategies, are you seeing any changes in lease structures, whether it's term or escalators or options? Just curious if people are trying to compete on the, you know, something other than price.

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

Hey, Jana. Yeah, we haven't really seen any change. I mean, I think, you know, the institutional capital that's coming to the space, I think they're, you know, pushing to try to get a lot of the same things that our public peers are trying to get, which is longer leases with, you know, with good rental escalations. So we haven't really seen much of a change in terms of lease structures.

Jana Galan
Jana Galan
Research Analyst at Bank of America

Thank you.

Operator

Our next question is from Daniel Guglielmo with Capital One Securities.

Daniel Guglielmo
Daniel Guglielmo
Equity Research Analyst at Capital One

Hi, everyone. Thank you for taking my questions. Based on the commentary and results, you all are exiting the recycling phase and headed back into a growth and scaling phase. Looking back on the recycling efforts, are there any learnings that you're going to take with you as net acquisitions ramp back up?

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

Yeah, I mean, I think we've always been confident in our ability to, you know, to reduce exposures. And I think maybe the lesson learned, you know, for us is, you know, having some larger concentrations with publicly traded companies that are, you know, constantly in the news cycle, at the tenant level. Even if you've got really strong assets that generate a lot of cash flow, sometimes it doesn't matter and can still impact your cost of capital, which matters as an external, you know, growth vehicle, you know, like we are. So, I think we're going to be a little bit more cognizant of allowing some exposures to get higher, which is a little bit easier to do now that we've got, you know, about $2.5 billion of assets. You know, so being a little bit bigger does help that.

Daniel Guglielmo
Daniel Guglielmo
Equity Research Analyst at Capital One

Okay. Great. Yeah, I appreciate that. And makes sense. And then we always like to look at the ABR by state slide. So when you think about the existing pipeline, are there states or regions where you see better investment opportunities over the next year or so?

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

Yeah, I mean, we're somewhat agnostic to what state, you know, an asset's in. You know, we're focused a little bit more on, you know, the micro market of, you know, you know, does that location have the, you know, the demographics to, you know, to support not only the use of the tenant of the asset that we're buying, but also potentially, you know, you know, future uses and future tenants? And, you know, I see I think overall, we're probably seeing a little bit more opportunity in the Sun Belt where you're seeing more population growth. You know, Texas is a big state. So that being our our number one state, you know, we kind of think of Texas as kind of being like two or three states, you know, depending on what region of Texas you're in.

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

And so, you know, kind of, you know, breaking that up by state sometimes, you know, you know, I think you see a lot of our peers also have Texas as the number one state. But I wouldn't draw too many conclusions from what's in the pipeline or where we're looking to grow. I think it's really just where the opportunities are, where we can get the best risk-adjusted returns, and that can be in really any state.

Daniel Guglielmo
Daniel Guglielmo
Equity Research Analyst at Capital One

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. I'd like to hand the floor back over to Mark Manheimer for any closing comments.

Mark Manheimer
Mark Manheimer
President and CEO at NETSTREIT Corp.

Well, thanks, everybody, for joining today. We appreciate the interest in the company and, you know, look forward to meeting up with everybody in the conference season. Take care.

Operator

Thank you. This concludes today's conference. We thank you again for your participation. You may now disconnect.

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