Encore Capital Group Q3 2025 Earnings Report

Encore Capital Group EPS Results

• Actual EPS: $3.17
• Consensus EPS: $1.92
• Beat/Miss: Beat by +$1.25
• One Year Ago EPS: $1.26

Encore Capital Group Revenue Results

• Actual Revenue: $460.35 million
• Expected Revenue: $410.70 million
• Beat/Miss: Beat by +$49.66 million
• YoY Revenue Growth: +25.40%

Encore Capital Group Announcement Details

• Quarter: Q3 2025
• Date: 11/5/2025
• Time: After Market Closes
• Conference Call Date: Wednesday, November 5, 2025
• Conference Call Time: 2:00AM ET

Encore Capital Group (NASDAQ:ECPG), Inc. is a global specialty finance company that focuses on the purchase and management of nonperforming consumer receivables. Through its subsidiaries, the company acquires charged-off debt portfolios from credit card issuers, banks, and other financial institutions, and seeks to recover outstanding balances through a combination of customer outreach, payment arrangements, and, where appropriate, legal collection efforts. Encore’s business model emphasizes compliance with regulatory and industry standards to ensure ethical and transparent debt-recovery practices.

Headquartered in San Diego, California, Encore operates across North America and Europe. Its primary markets include the United States, the United Kingdom, and Canada, where the company maintains licensed collection entities and local operational teams. By leveraging data analytics and specialized technology platforms, Encore aims to optimize recovery rates while providing consumer-centric solutions, such as flexible repayment plans and financial-hardship assistance programs.

Founded in 1999, Encore Capital Group has grown through strategic acquisitions and the expansion of its service offerings. The company’s subsidiaries—most notably Midland Credit Management—have become well-established names in the debt-buying industry. Encore is led by a management team with deep experience in finance, compliance, and consumer-services operations, and its shares are traded on the NASDAQ stock exchange under the ticker symbol ECPG.

Encore Capital Group Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Key Takeaways

• Positive Sentiment: Record operating results: Global collections reached a record $663M (+20% YoY) and Q3 EPS was $3.17 (up >150% YoY), with ERC up 10% to $9.5B, driven primarily by MCM's U.S. performance.
• Positive Sentiment: Portfolio purchases were $346M in Q3 (+23% YoY), with 75% deployed in the U.S., and the company expects 2025 purchases to exceed $1.35B as MCM is "poised to well exceed" 2024 levels.
• Positive Sentiment: Operational improvements — new technologies and enhanced digital/omnichannel capabilities at MCM — materially boosted collections and led to $63.6M in changes in recoveries (≈$61.5M cash over forecast), suggesting sustainable upside as forecasts are updated.
• Positive Sentiment: Balance sheet and capital returns: leverage improved to 2.5x, liquidity was bolstered by a $150M increase to the U.S. facility and a $300M 6.625% note issuance, Encore repurchased ~$60M YTD and the board authorized an additional $300M buyback program.
• Negative Sentiment: Europe remains subdued — Cabot deployed selectively ($85M in Q3) with only modest collections growth (+8% YoY) — and higher funding needs pushed interest expense guidance up to ~ $295M for 2025, which could weigh on near-term margins.

Presentation

[Operator]

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Encore Capital Group's third quarter 2025 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star one one on your telephone. You'll then hear an automated message advising that your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star one one again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your first speaker today, Bruce Thomas, VP of Global Investor Relations for Encore. Please go ahead.

[Bruce Thomas, VP of Investor Relations at Encore Capital Group]

Thank you, Operator. Good afternoon, and welcome to Encore Capital Group's third quarter 2025 earnings call. Joining me on the call today are Ashish Masih, our President and Chief Executive Officer; Tomas Hernanz, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer; Ryan Bell, President of Midland Credit Management; and John Young, President of Cabot Credit Management. Ashish and Tomas will make prepared remarks today, and then we'll be happy to take your questions. Unless otherwise noted, comparisons on this conference call will be made between the third quarter of 2025 and the third quarter of 2024. In addition, today's discussion will include forward-looking statements that are based on current expectations and assumptions and are subject to risks and uncertainties. Actual results could differ materially from our expectations. Please refer to our SEC filings for a detailed discussion of potential risks and uncertainties. We undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statement.

[Bruce Thomas, VP of Investor Relations at Encore Capital Group]

During this call, we'll be using rounding and abbreviations for the sake of brevity. We will also be discussing non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures are included in our investor presentation, which is available on the Investor section of our website. As a reminder, following the conclusion of this call, a replay of this conference call, along with our prepared remarks, will also be available on the Investor section of our website. With that, let me turn the call over to Ashish Masih, our President and Chief Executive Officer.

[Ashish Masih, President and CEO at Encore Capital Group]

Thanks, Bruce, and good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining us. Encore delivered another strong performance in the third quarter as industry leadership and operational execution became increasingly evident in our results. Portfolio purchases in Q3 of $346 million were up 23% compared to the third quarter last year. Collections increased 20% to a record $663 million. Average receivable portfolios increased 16% to $4.2 billion. Estimated remaining collections, or ERC, increased 10% to a record $9.5 billion. Our record collections performance helped earnings increase sharply, with Q3 earnings per share of $3.17, up more than 150% compared to the third quarter a year ago. Our leverage improved to 2.5x at the end of Q3, compared to 2.7x a year ago and 2.6x in Q2 2025, even with continued significant portfolio purchases in the third quarter.

[Ashish Masih, President and CEO at Encore Capital Group]

Encore's strong operating and financial results are primarily driven by the exceptional performance of our MCM business in the U.S. across all dimensions of purchasing, collections, and efficiency. I will provide more details on MCM's results later in the presentation. In addition to delivering strong results in Q3, we repurchased $10 million of Encore shares in the third quarter, consistent with the framework we've laid out in the past. We also repurchased nearly $25 million of our shares so far in Q4, bringing our total to approximately $60 million year to date, reflecting our confidence in Encore's future prospects. In support of our ongoing commitment to return capital to shareholders, our board also recently authorized an additional $300 million under our share repurchase program.

[Ashish Masih, President and CEO at Encore Capital Group]

Before I continue our recap of the quarter, I believe it's helpful to remind investors of the critical role we play in the consumer credit ecosystem by assisting in the resolution of unpaid debts. These unpaid debts are an expected outcome of the lending business model. Our mission is to create pathways to economic freedom for the consumers we serve by helping them resolve their past due debts. We achieve this by engaging consumers in honest, empathetic, and respectful conversations. Our business is to purchase portfolios of non-performing loans at attractive returns while minimizing funding costs. For each portfolio that we own, we strive to exceed our collection expectations while both maintaining an efficient cost structure and ensuring the highest level of compliance and consumer focus.

[Ashish Masih, President and CEO at Encore Capital Group]

We achieve these objectives through a three-pillar strategy of participating in the largest and most valuable markets, developing and sustaining a competitive advantage in these markets, and maintaining a strong balance sheet. We employ a strategy across our two main businesses: Midland Credit Management, or MCM in the U.S., and Cabot Credit Management in select European markets. I would now like to highlight Encore's third-quarter performance in terms of several key metrics, starting with portfolio purchasing. Encore's global portfolio purchases for the third quarter were $346 million, an increase of 23% compared to Q3 2024. This increased level of purchasing will help drive Encore's continued collections growth for the rest of this year and well into the future.

[Ashish Masih, President and CEO at Encore Capital Group]

Our concentration of portfolio purchases in the U.S., where we allocated 75% of our deployed capital in the third quarter, is a reminder that the flexibility of our global funding structure allows us to direct our capital toward markets with the highest returns. Global collections in Q3 were up 20% to a record $663 million. The past few years of higher portfolio purchases at strong returns, particularly in the U.S., have led to meaningful growth in collections, which we expect to continue. Our global collections performance year to date through the third quarter, compared to our ERC at the end of 2024, was 108%. We believe that our ability to generate significant cash provides us with an important competitive advantage, which is also a key component of our three-pillar strategy.

[Ashish Masih, President and CEO at Encore Capital Group]

Similar to the dynamic I mentioned earlier, higher portfolio purchases at strong returns over the past few years have also led to meaningful growth in cash generation. Our cash generation for the third quarter, on a trailing 12-month basis, was up 23% compared to the same period a year ago, and we expect it to continue to grow. Let's now take a look at our two largest markets, beginning with the U.S. The U.S. Federal Reserve reports that revolving credit in the U.S. remains near record levels. At the same time, since bottoming out in late 2021, the credit card charge-off rate in the U.S. increased to its highest level in more than 10 years in 2024 and still remains at an elevated level. The combination of strong lending and elevated charge-off rates continues to drive robust portfolio supply in the U.S.

[Ashish Masih, President and CEO at Encore Capital Group]

Let me illustrate this impact by highlighting the annualized amount of net dollar charge-offs, which can be estimated by multiplying outstandings by the net charge-off rate. Using Q2 2025 data, the most recent quarter reported by the Federal Reserve, annualized net charge-off volume was $55 billion, which is over 3x the $17 billion in annualized net charge-off volume in Q4 2021, at the bottom of the current cycle. Similarly, U.S. consumer credit delinquencies, which are a leading indicator of future charge-offs, also remain near multi-year highs. With both lending and the charge-off rate at elevated levels, purchasing conditions in the U.S. market remain highly favorable. We are observing continued strong U.S. market supply and attractive pricing as well. Third-quarter delinquency data supports our expectation that the portfolio purchasing environment for our MCM business in the U.S. is expected to remain favorable for the foreseeable future.

[Ashish Masih, President and CEO at Encore Capital Group]

MCM continues to capture significant portions of this U.S. market supply opportunity, deploying $261 million in Q3 at very strong returns. This was a 13% increase in portfolio purchases compared to Q3 a year ago. For the full year in 2025, we expect MCM to well exceed its 2024 purchases of $999 million. In addition to its solid portfolio purchases in Q3, our MCM business continues to excel operationally. Although third-quarter collections in the U.S. are typically lower than second-quarter collections due to seasonality, MCM collections increased in the third quarter to a record $502 million, which was an increase of 25% compared to Q3 last year. The collections' overperformance in the U.S. was driven by the deployment of new technologies, enhanced digital capabilities, and continued operational innovation, which enabled us to reach more consumers, leading to more payments, as well as a larger payer book.

[Ashish Masih, President and CEO at Encore Capital Group]

These initiatives had a greater impact on the early stages of a portfolio's life cycle, leading to overperformance of our recent vintages. We expect that our collections forecast will gradually adjust to reflect the positive impact of these initiatives. Our outstanding results not only reflect the improvements we've made in our collections operation and the overall effectiveness of our collections platforms, but also the strength of the consumer. Despite some of the negative news and macro uncertainty in the U.S., our consumers' payment behavior remains stable. We continue to monitor for any signs of change. Turning to our business in Europe, Cabot delivered another quarter of solid performance in Q3. Cabot's portfolio purchases in the third quarter were $85 million, which was higher than the historical trend due to attractive spot market portfolio purchases.

[Ashish Masih, President and CEO at Encore Capital Group]

We continue to be selective with Cabot's deployment as the U.K. market remains impacted by subdued consumer lending and low delinquencies, in addition to continued robust competition. Cabot collections in the third quarter were $160 million, up 8% compared to Q3 last year. We continue to be focused on operational excellence and cost management, including leveraging relevant best practices from our MCM business. This is particularly relevant in the U.K., where banks are increasingly selling fresh portfolios and forward flows. Our operational focus and initiatives have enabled Cabot to deliver stable collections performance. I'd now like to hand the call over to Tomas for a more detailed look at our financial results.

[Tomas Hernanz, EVP and CFO at Encore Capital Group]

Thank you, Ashish. Moving to the financial results slide, in the third quarter, we delivered strong growth in collections and portfolio revenue of 20% and 13%, respectively. Strong collections performance was supported by the high levels of U.S. portfolio purchases in recent quarters, our focus on operational execution, operational improvements, and stable consumer behavior. Collections yield was 62.7% in Q3, an improvement of 2.5 percentage points compared to last year. Portfolio revenue increased by 13% to $370 million, supported by 16% growth in average receivable portfolios and a portfolio yield of 35%. As a reminder, changes in recoveries are the sum of two numbers. First, recoveries above or below forecast are the amount we collected above or below our ERC expectation for the quarter, and it's also known as cashovers or cashunders.

[Tomas Hernanz, EVP and CFO at Encore Capital Group]

Second, changes in expected future recoveries are the net present value of changes in the ERC forecast beyond the current quarter. Changes in recoveries were $63.6 million for the quarter. Of that total, the vast majority, $61.5 million, were recoveries above forecast. Changes in expected future recoveries were $2.2 million. Both of our businesses, MCM in the U.S. and Cabot in Europe, were once again net positive contributors to changes in recoveries. Put differently, we collected $61.5 million more than we forecasted in our ERC, which is incremental cash flow. The collections' overperformance in the U.S. was driven by the deployment of new technologies, enhanced digital capabilities, and continued operational innovation, which enabled us to reach more consumers, leading to more payments as well as a larger payer book.

[Tomas Hernanz, EVP and CFO at Encore Capital Group]

These initiatives had a greater impact on the early stages of a portfolio's life cycle, leading to overperformance for our recent vintages. We expect that our collection forecast will gradually adjust to reflect the positive impact of these initiatives. Debt purchasing revenue increased by 27% to $434 million, and the resulting debt purchasing yield was 41%. Approximately 6% was the impact of changes in recoveries. Servicing and other revenues were $27 million, bringing total revenues to $460 million, reflecting growth of 25%. Operating expenses increased only 10% to $287 million, compared to 20% growth in collections, reflecting significant operating leverage in the business. Cash efficiency margin for the quarter improved by 3.6 percentage points to 58.4% compared to 54.8% in Q3 last year. We expect cash efficiency margin of approximately 58% for 2025. Interest expense and other income increased by 12% to $73 million, reflecting higher debt balances.

[Tomas Hernanz, EVP and CFO at Encore Capital Group]

We now expect interest expense of approximately $295 million in 2025. Our tax provision of $25 million implies a corporate tax rate of approximately 25%, which is in line with our previous guidance. Finally, net income increased by 144% to $75 million, resulting in earnings per share for the quarter of $3.17 compared to $1.26 in Q3 last year. We believe our balance sheet provides us with very competitive funding costs when compared to our peers. Our funding structure also provides us with financial flexibility and diversified funding sources to compete effectively in this growing supply environment. Leverage growth at 2.5x a 0.2x improvement versus last year, and lower than a quarter ago. During Q3, we increased the size of our U.S. facility by $150 million to $450 million. We extended its maturity to 2028, leaving us with no material maturities until 2028.

[Tomas Hernanz, EVP and CFO at Encore Capital Group]

In October, we issued $300 million of senior secured high-yield notes due 2031 at an attractive coupon of 6.625%. Also, in October, we settled the $100 million of 2025 convertible notes entirely in cash. The combination of these three transactions improved our liquidity by up to $550 million, giving us strong liquidity to continue to grow our U.S. business during the remainder of this year and beyond. With that, I would like to turn it back over to Ashish.

[Ashish Masih, President and CEO at Encore Capital Group]

Thanks, Tomas. Now, I would like to remind everyone of our key financial objectives and priorities. Maintaining a strong and flexible balance sheet, including a strong double-B debt rating, as well as operating within our target leverage range of 2x-3x remain critical objectives. With regard to our capital allocation priorities, buying portfolios, particularly in today's attractive U.S. market, offers the best opportunity to create long-term shareholder value by deploying capital at attractive returns. This is indeed what we're doing, as highlighted by our recent purchasing history. Next on our capital allocation priority list are share repurchases. As I mentioned earlier, as of today, we repurchased approximately $60 million of Encore shares year to date, consistent with the framework we've laid out in the past. As a reflection of our confidence in Encore's future.

[Ashish Masih, President and CEO at Encore Capital Group]

In support of our ongoing commitment to return capital to shareholders, our board also recently authorized an additional $300 million under our share repurchase program. As a result of our strong performance so far this year and a positive outlook for the remainder of 2025, we are providing the following guidance on key metrics. As we originally guided, we anticipate global portfolio purchasing in 2025 to exceed the $1.35 billion of purchases we made in 2024, as MCM is poised to surpass the record level of purchasing of a year ago. In addition, we are again raising our guidance on global collections. We now expect collections to grow by approximately 18% to $2.55 billion. This is an increase of $50 million from our growth expectation from a quarter ago.

[Ashish Masih, President and CEO at Encore Capital Group]

We expect interest expense of approximately $295 million for the year, and we continue to expect our effective tax rate for the year to be in the mid-20s on a percentage basis. Now, we'd be happy to answer any questions that you may have. Operator, please open up the lines for questions.

[Operator]

Thank you. At this time, we will conduct the question-and-answer session. As a reminder, to ask a question, you need to press star one one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star one one again. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Our first question comes from John Rowan from Janney Montgomery Scott. Your line is open.

[John Rowan, Analyst at Janney Montgomery Scott]

Good afternoon, guys.

[Tomas Hernanz, EVP and CFO at Encore Capital Group]

Hi, John.

[John Rowan, Analyst at Janney Montgomery Scott]

Just on the portfolio purchases, obviously, guidance is above $1.35 billion, but you've read $1.1 billion already for the year now, with the third quarter included. Obviously, if $1.35 billion was the baseline, I know you're saying above that, it would indicate a relatively slow fourth quarter. I'm just wondering if you could give us any insight into purchasing for the fourth quarter. Do you have forward flows intact? I'm just trying to get an understanding of what the fourth quarter looks like because we have kind of a baseline number, but it could be anything above that number. Just trying to understand what it might look like in the fourth quarter.

[Ashish Masih, President and CEO at Encore Capital Group]

Yeah, John, this is Ashish. In terms of the broader market, we are predominantly deploying in the U.S., and that market is very solid and robust and continues to be very favorable in terms of volumes. There has been no change in any impact on the forward flows or anything like that. We are just reiterating our guidance. We are focused on returns, and we do expect to exceed that guidance that we have of 1.35. MCM is poised to well exceed its 2024 deployment, which was $1 billion, $999 million, to be precise. All things are good. I mean, there are some spot opportunities that come here and there, particularly more in Europe, but also in the U.S. at times.

[Ashish Masih, President and CEO at Encore Capital Group]

Quarter to quarter can be volatile at times, but overall purchasing trends, particularly in the U.S., look very solid, and we are on track to continue deploying, which is going to power our collections growth in the fourth quarter and next year as well.

[John Rowan, Analyst at Janney Montgomery Scott]

Okay. Your peer seems to be a little bit more conservative on the purchasing front. Is there anything that you can attribute that to, or juxtapose your very strong purchasing quarter relative to some of your other peers?

[Ashish Masih, President and CEO at Encore Capital Group]

I cannot comment on exactly what's happening at our peers, but as I said, our largest market focus is U.S., where we deployed 75% of our capital in Q3. At times, I would say if some other players deploy less, that's an opportunity. It increases our returns and increases our opportunity as well. We feel good with what we're buying, good with how the market is in terms of issuers, what they expect to sell. We continue to execute on that front.

[John Rowan, Analyst at Janney Montgomery Scott]

Okay. All right. Thank you.

[Operator]

Thank you. Our next question is from Mark Hughes with Truist. Your line is open.

[Mark Hughes, Equity Analyst at Truist Securities]

Yeah. Thank you very much. The collections multiple for the U.S. core paper and the U.K. core paper, can you share those? The queue is not out, so I'm just curious how they are this quarter.

[Ashish Masih, President and CEO at Encore Capital Group]

Yeah, Mark.

[Ashish Masih, President and CEO at Encore Capital Group]

Yeah. So this is Ashish. The collections multiple in 2025, and that again is a cumulative multiple in our queue. It's 2.3 for U.S. And 2.3 for Cabot as well. It's been very stable throughout the year with a little bit of variations here and there, but it's been stable.

[Mark Hughes, Equity Analyst at Truist Securities]

Yeah. Very good. How do you find the pricing return dynamic? Sounds like supply is good. I think in recent quarters, you've said kind of the pricing was relatively stable. Those collections multiples would be consistent with that. Any shading on that as you see it now?

[Ashish Masih, President and CEO at Encore Capital Group]

As I said, supply is good, and you also indicated. Pricing is stable again as well. Just to remind everyone, returns are a reflection of pricing as well as what you can collect. If we expect to collect more through the life of the portfolio, which is what we believe we do, you get a higher multiple. We are getting very good returns under these stable pricing conditions.

[Mark Hughes, Equity Analyst at Truist Securities]

Tomas, could you provide guidance for the cash efficiency margin or ratio?

[Tomas Hernanz, EVP and CFO at Encore Capital Group]

Yes. We indicate that we expect for the full year, 58%.

[Mark Hughes, Equity Analyst at Truist Securities]

58%. Okay. Thank you. You talk about new technologies, digital enhancements. It seems like it's really having a pretty meaningful impact on the business, both top and bottom line. Anything to expand on that? In particular, if you're still in the midst of doing that, are those partially implemented, fully implemented? It just seems like it's had a material kind of step up in the operations. If you could talk a little bit more about it, that'd be great.

[Ashish Masih, President and CEO at Encore Capital Group]

Yes, Mark. We have been on these things for quite a while, kind of implementing technologies and customer contact strategies, digital that enable omnichannel collections. All of this has been over time, but we are now seeing very clear improvement in our collections. As these are focused more on call center and digital, they are impacting more impacting the recent vintages, let's say the 2024 vintage on the front part of the curve because it is call center oriented. It is driving some of the overperformance that you see. We feel really good about it. We are in the midst of implementing. Over time, I am sure we will get the impact of this in other parts of the world, but also in MCM in the later parts of the portfolio's lifecycle. Overall, I would say this is leading to some of the overperformance that we talked about.

[Ashish Masih, President and CEO at Encore Capital Group]

Tomas and I talked about the changes and recoveries, what it is leading to. Overall, we feel really good about how the collections have gone this year. In terms of the three quarters this year, this has really allowed us to deliver very solid earnings. If you do the math for the three quarters of this year, we get to about $7.50. This is driven largely by MCM collections performance. We feel really good about our business and expect similarly strong performance to continue in Q4 and beyond.

[Mark Hughes, Equity Analyst at Truist Securities]

Yeah. Your own liabilities, your debt at this point, how much is fixed versus floating?

[Tomas Hernanz, EVP and CFO at Encore Capital Group]

Yeah. Approximately 75% is fixed and hedged, and approximately 25% is floating. That changes a little bit from one quarter to the next, and we usually have a few refinancings. Yeah, that's the right ballpark.

[Mark Hughes, Equity Analyst at Truist Securities]

I'm sorry, what were those? Did you say 35% is fixed?

[Tomas Hernanz, EVP and CFO at Encore Capital Group]

No. 75% is fixed and hedged, and 25% is floating, give or take.

[Mark Hughes, Equity Analyst at Truist Securities]

Okay. Thank you very much.

[Operator]

Thank you for your questions. Our next question comes from, pardon, Mike Grandai with Northland Capital Markets. Your line is open.

[Logan Hennen, Analyst at Northland Capital Markets]

Hey, this is Logan. I'm for Mike. Thanks for taking our question. First, collections were up 20% year-over-year, despite what seemed like a tougher macro in Q3. Can you guys provide some additional color on what you're seeing with the consumer and what drove another strong quarter of collections? Thanks.

[Ashish Masih, President and CEO at Encore Capital Group]

Yeah, Logan. There is definitely kind of noise out in the press around the consumer stress and whatnot. There are multiple signals there. Unemployment rate and all continues to be low. Overall, we are used to dealing with consumers who face some financial distress, and we are very flexible in how we work with them. We have seen no impact in terms of consumer behavior, whether it's on conversion of accounts to payers, strength of the payment plans, or the resilience of payment plans, or things of that nature. We see a very stable consumer behavior in the US market, which is what I think you're referring to.

[Logan Hennen, Analyst at Northland Capital Markets]

Got it. Yeah. That's great to hear. One more from us. You guys have continued to delever while generating significant cash. Looking out to mid-2026, if leverage goes from 2.5x-2.3x, how much cash could that free up for buybacks?

[Ashish Masih, President and CEO at Encore Capital Group]

You're right in observing. We are delivering, and actually, while we continue to purchase at very strong levels. That's a reflection of the power of our collections operation and the multiples and all of the cash we're generating. In terms of buybacks, I would say we've been very clear in our capital allocation. We're doing what we said in our priorities, and all future buybacks are going to be subject to kind of balance sheet, liquidity, and a whole range of things. We are doing exactly what we said about a year ago. With leverage at midpoint, we resumed share repurchases, and we've continued to do that every quarter. Very importantly, our recent increase in share repurchases reflects our confidence in the future prospect of Encore.

[Ashish Masih, President and CEO at Encore Capital Group]

That's what I can give you rather than give a specific number, but we have increased that pace recently, as you would notice.

[Logan Hennen, Analyst at Northland Capital Markets]

Got it. Thanks, guys. Congrats on another great quarter.

[Ashish Masih, President and CEO at Encore Capital Group]

Thank you.

[Operator]

Thank you. One moment. Our next question is from David Sharp with Citizens Capital Markets. Your line is open.

[Zach Oster, Analyst at Citizens Capital Markets]

Hi, this is Zach on for David. Thanks for taking our question and congrats on another strong quarter. I wanted to dig in a little bit on the dynamics in the European markets and kind of see if we can get a little bit more color on the outlook and also potential, especially digging in on the competitive side and seeing if there's a potential ramp in the future, kind of any other color that you can provide in that sense.

[Ashish Masih, President and CEO at Encore Capital Group]

In the European markets, things are kind of pretty similar to what they've been. There are kind of a couple of dynamics there. Supply is not really growing much. It's growing slowly as lending has been quite slow to grow, and charge-off rates and delinquency rates have been quite low still despite some of the consumer distress. Overall, supply is not growing as much. Pricing goes back and forth. At times, a year or two ago, we saw some improvements. Sometimes it can go back, but we are staying disciplined. We have a global balance sheet, and we don't have to deploy when we don't see the returns. We've taken actions in our business, managing cost structure, exiting some of the non-strategic markets a year ago. We're staying very disciplined. The business is very focused on operational excellence and just delivering stable collections performance.

[Ashish Masih, President and CEO at Encore Capital Group]

This year, they've exceeded the forecast expectations for all three quarters. It is on a more solid footing. We feel good where it is at. As opportunities come, and occasionally they do come because there's more of a spot sales in the European market, we will be sure to capitalize on them. Q3 actually was a bit higher than a normal run rate for Cabot for us, as you would see in the filings.

[Zach Oster, Analyst at Citizens Capital Markets]

Got it. Understood. Just one follow-up question. Just in terms of the buybacks, obviously, there is a big potential ramp. Quarter to date with $25 million deployed and the $300 million incremental authorization. Is the $25 million kind of a good way to think of a run rate per quarter? I was trying to get a sense of how aggressive these buybacks could be.

[Ashish Masih, President and CEO at Encore Capital Group]

All I can say is kind of following our capital allocation, we bought $60 million to date. On kind of the regular Q1, Q2, Q3, and we gave the incremental purchases we have done in Q4 of $25 million. That is $60 million. It is all subject to balance sheet, liquidity. We also, as I indicated, increased the purchasing recently to reflect our confidence and the future of Encore, kind of what we expect out in the future. That is what I can give you now. There is not a number. There are multiple factors that go in, as I just indicated. Hopefully, you see our signal from the $60 million purchases year to date.

[Zach Oster, Analyst at Citizens Capital Markets]

Got it. Yeah. No, definitely makes a lot of sense. Thank you.

[Operator]

Thank you. Our next question is from Robert Dodd with Raymond James. Your line is open.

[Robert Dodd, Analyst at Raymond James]

Hi, guys. Congrats on the operational performance. I mean, on the collections overperformance, can you give us any more? I mean, obviously, you're implementing these things, and they could eventually be reflected in the curve. If I look at the $63 million, I think, of changes, $64 million changes and recoveries, I mean, almost all of that was cash over collection, overperformance in the quarter, not changes in curves. If you expected it to be sustainable, I would have thought the curves would have moved up. Obviously, there's a lot of curves and a lot of different vintages. I'm just reading one number. At the same time, if it was one off, I would have expected that it would be a negative adjustment. Didn't see that either. Can you give us more on how sustainable.

[Robert Dodd, Analyst at Raymond James]

This kind of cash overperformance that seems to have really kicked in or accelerated this quarter? You've been overperforming all year. How sustainable is this kind of new level of collections performance?

[Ashish Masih, President and CEO at Encore Capital Group]

Yeah, Robert, thanks for your question and observations. Very accurate indeed. This is heavily driven by our MCM business, collecting exceptionally well. As indicated, some of these initiatives impact the early stage of the portfolio lifecycle. It is impacting some of the recent vintages, 2024, and even to some extent, 2025. To some extent, 2023. As you noted, this is 97% of the $63.6 million is cash overs, right? Over time, as data gets incorporated into forecasts, the positive impact of these initiatives will get reflected in the forecast that we put out there. It takes time because as you get actual data and we are seeing this performance improvement in the early part of the curve, kind of how it plays out in the later part of the curve, we have to see.

[Ashish Masih, President and CEO at Encore Capital Group]

We have a process, and we have to basically look at the actual results and then the forecast move over time. What I would tell you is we feel really good about this collections performance, whether it's showing up in the overperformance or in kind of the main forecast as portfolio revenue. As I said earlier on, the first three quarters, we earned $7.50. That I feel is a good representation, and we feel that it's something that we'd be looking forward to in Q4 and beyond because I'm feeling really good about how the business is performing, particularly driven by MCM's collection performance.

[Robert Dodd, Analyst at Raymond James]

Got it. Thank you. Thanks for the extra foresight. Looking to you, we've talked about the buyback. You talked about, obviously, you want to purchase receivables and the delinquency trends make it look like the market's going to remain pretty healthy for a while. I mean, there's always a third leg that we ask about, right? Acquisition opportunities and strategic M&A and things like that. At what point do you think that becomes maybe shifts from being the third leg to maybe moving up the ladder a little bit? That's mixing my metaphors, but is it just not interesting right now, or as you delever further and obviously use that for buybacks, does that become interesting at any point in this environment?

[Ashish Masih, President and CEO at Encore Capital Group]

No, Robert, that's a good point. It is clearly in our capital allocation hierarchy. It's kind of something that we look at regularly. What I would say, the bar is high. We look at every opportunity or at least hear about all the opportunities. We may not spend looking at all of them that's out there in each of our markets. In terms of growth potential or consolidation potential, we've done some of those really well. We bought two U.S. businesses back in 2013 and 2014. Those have performed fantastically well, for example. We would continue to look at those. The bar will be high, is high, as is evident from our track record. Again, we stay nimble and will be on the lookout if there's something interesting that creates sustained shareholder value for Encore shareholders. We'd be looking at it.

[Ashish Masih, President and CEO at Encore Capital Group]

Again, the bar remains high, so we would not be rushing into anything. We are very comfortable, given the size of the markets in the U.S., particularly, and the portfolio buying opportunities of the returns, to send capital that way because it is a very reliable way to generate collections and cash and value over time. We will be looking at other opportunities if they come by.

[Robert Dodd, Analyst at Raymond James]

Got it. Thank you.

[Operator]

Thank you. This does conclude our question-and-answer session. I would now like to turn it back to Mr. Masih for final remarks.

[Ashish Masih, President and CEO at Encore Capital Group]

Thanks for joining the call today and taking the time to do so. We look forward to providing fourth quarter and full year 2025 results in February.

[Operator]

This does conclude today's program. You may now disconnect.

Participants

Executives

• Tomas Hernanz, EVP and CFO
• Ashish Masih, President and CEO
• Bruce Thomas, VP of Investor Relations

Analysts

• Logan Hennen, Analyst at Northland Capital Markets
• Robert Dodd, Analyst at Raymond James
• Mark Hughes, Equity Analyst at Truist Securities
• John Rowan, Analyst at Janney Montgomery Scott
• Zach Oster, Analyst at Citizens Capital Markets