NASDAQ:SBRA Sabra Health Care REIT Q4 2024 Earnings Report $17.50 +0.08 (+0.44%) As of 10:49 AM Eastern This is a fair market value price provided by Polygon.io. Learn more. ProfileEarnings HistoryForecast Sabra Health Care REIT EPS ResultsActual EPS$0.36Consensus EPS $0.36Beat/MissMet ExpectationsOne Year Ago EPSN/ASabra Health Care REIT Revenue ResultsActual Revenue$182.35 millionExpected Revenue$178.01 millionBeat/MissBeat by +$4.35 millionYoY Revenue GrowthN/ASabra Health Care REIT Announcement DetailsQuarterQ4 2024Date2/19/2025TimeAfter Market ClosesConference Call DateThursday, February 20, 2025Conference Call Time1:00PM ETUpcoming EarningsSabra Health Care REIT's Q2 2025 earnings is scheduled for Wednesday, August 6, 2025, with a conference call scheduled on Thursday, August 7, 2025 at 1:00 PM ET. Check back for transcripts, audio, and key financial metrics as they become available.Conference Call ResourcesConference Call AudioConference Call TranscriptSlide DeckPress Release (8-K)Annual Report (10-K)SEC FilingEarnings HistoryCompany ProfileSlide DeckFull Screen Slide DeckPowered by Sabra Health Care REIT Q4 2024 Earnings Call TranscriptProvided by QuartrFebruary 20, 2025 ShareLink copied to clipboard.PresentationSkip to Participants Operator00:00:00Good day. My name is Aaron, and I will be your conference operator for today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the twenty twenty four Sabra Fourth Quarter Earnings Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers' remarks, there will be a question and answer session. Operator00:00:31With that, I would like to now turn the call over to Lucas Hartwich, EVP, Finance. Mr. Hartwich, please go ahead. Lukas HartwichExecutive Vice President Finance at Sabra Health Care REIT00:00:39Thank you, and good morning. Before we begin, I want to remind you that we will be making forward looking statements in our comments and in response to your questions concerning our expectations regarding our future financial position and results of operations, including our earnings guidance for 2025 and our expectations regarding our tenants and operators and our expectations regarding our acquisition, disposition and investment plans. These forward looking statements are based on management's current expectations and are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially, including the risks listed in our Form 10 K for the year ended 12/31/2024, as well as in our earnings press release included as Exhibit 99.1 to the Form eight K we furnished with the SEC yesterday. We undertake no obligation to update our forward looking statements to reflect subsequent events or circumstances, and you should not assume later in the quarter that the comments we make today are still valid. In addition, references will be made during this call to non GAAP financial results. Lukas HartwichExecutive Vice President Finance at Sabra Health Care REIT00:01:41Investors are encouraged to review these non GAAP financial measures as well as the explanation and reconciliation of these measures to the comparable GAAP results included on the Financials page of the Investors section of our website at sabrahealth.com. Our Form 10 ks, earnings release and supplement can also be accessed in the Investors section of our website. And with that, let me turn the call over to Rick Matros, CEO, President and Chair of Sabra Healthcare REIT. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:02:07Thanks, Lucas. Appreciate it. Thanks, everybody, for joining the call. We appreciate it. Let me start by sending out love and prayers to the Bebas family. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:02:15Their bodies will return to Israel today. May the memories of Kefir and Ariel and Shiri be a blessing. Thanks for Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:02:26allowing me that. So, moving on Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:02:29to Sabra. First, I want to comment on the promotions that we announced this week for Kara, Lucas, and Anna. We're really blessed to have the three of them as part of our team. They're fantastic. And they exemplify everything that's good and important about Sabra. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:02:44And, also exemplifies the depth of our team. And, just really appreciate them and look forward to work with them in the years ahead. Moving on to the performance for the quarter. Sabre delivered what's been a success a succession of a number of great quarters in a row. Our senior housing and skilled portfolio continue to strengthen. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:03:07Workforce availability does remain a challenge to the sector. But our tenants have been able to implement strategies to mitigate those challenges. And labor has stabilized. Our SHOP same store occupancy was up 80 basis points sequentially with margins up 20 basis points. Our SHOP cash NOI was up 17.9 for the quarter. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:03:27Our senior housing triple net coverage stayed steady at 1.36. Our skilled occupancy was up 60 basis points sequentially with skilled mix up 30 basis points. Our EBITDA coverage hit an all time high of 2.09. Our skilled margins are now higher than we've seen in years. Our top 10 had another strong quarter. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:03:49For 2025, we'll continue to build upon the strategy we successfully executed in 2024 as evidenced by our 7% year over year normalized AFFO growth. We would anticipate a higher volume of deals in 2025. The increased volume we started to see before year end has accelerated since with more opportunities that we've seen in quite a long time. The opportunities are primarily sharp, but we are seeing more skilled opportunities. The fact that we had nothing new to announce this particular quarter shouldn't reflect on what we think will get done this year. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:04:21We fully anticipate to have a busy year, and a year that will have higher volumes than we had last year. Let me move on to the regulatory and political environment. The political environment's potential impact on our business has been an overhang. But I'd like to make a couple of points. First, the threat of Medicaid cuts. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:04:42We take that very seriously. While any actions that may be taken are unpredictable, there are natural guardrails in place. And I want to go through some of those guardrails. As it pertains specifically to Medicaid cuts, Congress has been historically protective of the elderly population, particularly those vulnerable institutionalized folks. The Medicaid budget inclusive of matching funds is critical to the governors of all states, both red and blue. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:05:06And, in fact, the red states have been the greater recipients of Medicare, of Medicaid, access, the expansion of Medicaid access in recent years. So, in addition to the bipartisan support that we've always had in Congress, the governors of the states, again, both red and blue, will be united to protect, the elderly in our facilities and the Medicaid budgets that are so critical to them. We have a robust lobbying effort that we expect will be successful. And a couple of other things I think to point out in terms of how much in the beginning of the process we're in. The House budget has $880,000,000 of unspecified $880,000,000,000 of unspecified Medicaid cuts. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:05:50The Senate version has no Medicaid cuts and overturns the staffing mandate. So, you've got opposite sides of the spectrum. You have no specificity on where those Medicaid cuts are. So, a very, very long way to go. Finally, as I noted earlier, I think the final guardrail for us is the strength of our portfolio. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:06:10Having margins, rent coverage, shop margins where they are, with organic growth still to come in all in both those segments, I think puts us in a very good position to withstand anything that may happen going forward. And with that, I will turn the call over to Talia. Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:06:28Thank you, Rick. Sabra's managed senior housing portfolio had another solid quarter. The total managed portfolio, including non stabilized communities and joint venture assets at share, had sequential revenue growth of 3.5%, cash NOI growth of 5.4% with margin expansion of 50 basis points. These statistics demonstrate sequential improvement in operating results that reflect the continued recovery in Sabra's senior housing portfolio. In the fourth quarter, we added one property to Sabra's managed portfolio. Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:07:03We see opportunities for external growth setting up well alongside internal growth. Sabra's same store managed senior housing portfolio, including joint venture assets at Cher, continued its strong performance this quarter. The key numbers are revenue for the quarter grew 7.4 year over year with our Canadian communities growing revenue by 10.6% in the same period. Both of these results are consistent with the growth statistics we reported last quarter. Fourth quarter occupancy in our same store portfolio grew by 2.3% year over year. Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:07:41Notably, our domestic portfolio occupancy grew 2.8% during that period, while our Canadian portfolio grew 1.2% in the same period. RevPOR in the fourth quarter of twenty twenty four continued to rise with an increase of 4.5% year over year, while EXPOR rose a near 0.6% for the same period. Total expenses for the same store portfolio rose 3.4% in the fourth quarter on a year over year basis. Insurance costs have the largest percentage increase among all expenses, but represent less than three percent of total expenses. Labor cost, which represent more than 50% of expenses, grew 2.1% in the quarter on a year over year basis. Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:08:30Cash NOI for the quarter grew 17.9% year over year just above last quarter's results. In our U. S. Communities, cash NOI grew 15.2% on a year over year basis while in our Canadian communities, cash NOI for the quarter increased 26.9% over the same period, benefiting from the continuous strong performance of our joint venture properties. Overall, we expect to see revenue growth continue to outpace expense growth as it has in recent quarters resulting in ongoing growth in cash NOI. Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:09:06Cash NOI margins should continue to expand across the portfolio as the senior housing industry builds revenue by balancing occupancy and rate and expenses, especially labor costs remain stable. With this as a backdrop, we are seeing significant transaction volume in the senior housing space. Virtually all of the deals are structured to transact as managed rather than leased properties. Our cost of capital now allows us to pursue these opportunities, which can generally be described as newer, nearly stabilized senior housing communities that offer care to residents. Our net lease stabilized senior housing portfolio also continues to do well with strong rent coverage reflecting the underlying operational recovery. Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:09:51And with that, I will turn the call over to Mike Casa, Sabra's Chief Financial Officer. Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:09:56Thanks, Talia. For the fourth quarter of twenty twenty four, we recognized normalized FFO per share of $0.35 and normalized AFFO per share of $0.36 Normalized AFFO totaled $86,900,000 this quarter, which is in line with the third quarter. I'd like to highlight a few key components of this quarter's earnings. Cash rental income for our triple net portfolio totaled $90,000,000 for the quarter, which was down $1,800,000 due to timing of cash basis tenant rents and the impact of asset sales. Cash NOI from our managed senior housing portfolio totaled $24,100,000 for the quarter compared to $22,900,000 last quarter. Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:10:37This increase was driven primarily by continued sequential same store growth as well as the impact of a 92 unit property acquired at the beginning of the fourth quarter. Recurring cash G and A was $10,200,000 this quarter and slightly better than the $10,400,000 per quarter run rate we've provided on the last several calls. Normalized FFO per share and normalized AFO per share were 1.39 and $1.44 respectively for the full year, which represents 7% year over year growth. This growth is a result of steady performance improvements in our managed senior housing portfolio, continued stability in our triple net portfolio and disciplined capital allocation, three factors that we expect to contribute to further growth in 2025 as illustrated in our full year 2025 guidance. Our full year 2025 guidance on a diluted per share basis is as follows: net income $0.67 to $0.7 FFO $1.42 to $1.45 normalized FFO $1.43 to $1.46 AFFO $1.47 to $1.5 and normalized AFFO, $1.48 to $1.51 At the midpoint, we expect both normalized FFO per share and normalized AFFO per share to increase approximately 4% over 2024. Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:11:58It is important to note that our guidance does not assume any 2025 investment, disposition or capital markets activity. There are a few other important assumptions in our guidance I would like to point out. Cash NOI growth in our triple net portfolio is expected to be low single digit in line with contractual escalators. Additionally, our guidance assumes no additional tenants are placed on cash basis for revenue recognition. Cash NOI growth for our same store managed senior housing portfolio is expected to be in the low to mid teens. Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:12:30As the portfolio gets closer to full recovery, this growth rate may decelerate. And as a result, our guidance assumes the growth rate in the first half of the year will be higher than the growth rate in the second half of the year. General and administrative expenses is expected to be approximately $50,000,000 and includes $11,000,000 of stock based compensation expense. The weighted average share count assumed in our guidance is approximately $240,000,000 and $241,000,000 shares for normalized FFO and normalized AFFO respectively and is in line with our fourth quarter weighted average share count after adjusting for the timing of ATM share issuances during the quarter. Now briefly turning to the balance sheet. Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:13:11Our net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio was 5.27 times as of 12/31/2024, a decrease of 0.03 times from 09/30/2024 and a decrease of nearly half a turn from 12/31/2023. This improvement in our leverage is driven primarily by the continued NOI growth in our managed senior housing portfolio, accretive capital recycling and prudent use of our ATM to fund growth. As of 12/31/2024, we are in compliance with all of our debt covenants and have ample liquidity of $980,000,000 consisting of unrestricted cash and cash equivalents of $60,500,000 available borrowings under our revolving credit facility of $893,400,000 and $26,100,000 related to shares outstanding under Ford sales agreements under our ATM program. As of 12/31/2024, we also had $382,800,000 available under the ATM program. Finally, on 02/03/2025, Sabra's Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.3 per share of common stock. Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:14:16The dividend will be paid on 02/28/2025, to common stockholders of record as of the close of business on 02/14/2025. The dividend is adequately covered and represents a payout of 83% of our fourth quarter normalized AFFO per share. And with that, we'll open up lines for Q and A. Operator00:14:35Thank you. Our first question for today comes from the line of Farrell Granath with Bank of America. Your line is live. Farrell GranathEquity Research Associate at Bank of America Merrill Lynch00:14:55Hi. Thank you so much. My first question is in regards to the occupancy for your SHOP portfolio. Just looking ahead to 2025, what are your thoughts of the pacing of the occupancy, either an acceleration or deceleration, just generally in the senior housing space? Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:15:15It's an interesting question because what we're seeing is operators balancing out pushing rate versus occupancy because they can't not everyone can do both at the same time. And so that's so it's very hard for me to sit here and handicap, which is how much occupancy is going to increase versus a focus on revenue increases by driving Rev four. Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:15:49We're Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:15:51seeing very strong we have seen very strong increases in our Canadian portfolio, which is now seem to be stable getting ramping down in terms of the rate of growth. But there's still plenty of room in our domestic portfolio. And I think that, certainly in IL, it will continue to get pushed. On the occupancy side in AL, I think there's definitely continued there'll be continued push, but a desire also to raise RevPOR at the same time. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:16:21And Farrell, the only other thing I would add is, so the way I would look at it is, it's not going to be a deceleration. It's just a function of how much it's going to accelerate, to Talia's point. Farrell GranathEquity Research Associate at Bank of America Merrill Lynch00:16:32Great. Thank you for that. And also, I know you made some comments on the opportunity set that you're seeing in 2025, an increase in it, both the mix of SHOP and the SNIFFs. I was curious if are you seeing any impacts in pricing when it's coming to sniffs specifically due to the current environment? Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:16:54It's interesting you say that. We were just at the ECAP conference, week ten days ago. I would say that the transaction market in skilled nursing is robust right now. There is a lot of money chasing deals and opportunities still, whether lenders and the healthcare REITs are able to continue to participate in that, right now, in an accretive fashion is the big challenge, how to figure that out. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:17:31So, it's the strategic buyers that are chasing the money. That's what the issue is from a competitive perspective. So, they're valuing these assets not just based on the nursing facility, but on the revenue it generates for all their ASR businesses. So, they're operating entities, so they're able to pay up. So, as Talia said, they've been it's been pretty frothy for those guys. Farrell GranathEquity Research Associate at Bank of America Merrill Lynch00:17:54Okay. Thank you so much. Operator00:17:56Thank you for your questions. Our next question comes from the line of John Kilachowski with Wells Fargo. Your line is live. John KilichowskiVice President - Equity Research Analyst at Wells Fargo00:18:06Thank you. Good afternoon. Maybe just to follow-up that last question. Rick, just from your opening remarks, it sounds like you feel a lot more confident in the acquisition pipeline this year versus last year, at least you expect an acceleration. I'm curious what you're seeing or what's changed quarter over quarter or from the past couple of months till now that makes you feel confident in your ability to accelerate these deals given, like you said, it's pretty frothy for some of your competition to bid up on deals? Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:18:36So, let me make a couple of comments and turn it over to Talia. First, we're not doing the kinds of deals that some of our competitors are doing. There's been a lot of loan volume. And we're just, as we've talked about in quarters past, and I think you know, John, we're just not interested in pursuing that unless there's a very specific reason that's tied to one of Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:18:56our operators. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:18:58So if you take all that volume away, it changes the picture for everybody. But just to remind everyone, last year there were a couple of things. One, acquisition opportunities were just starting to pick up over the course of the year, particularly on the shop side. And our cost of capital was improving over the cost of the year. So, this year, we enter into it in a much different place with its much higher deal volume. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:19:25And our cost of capital allows us to do the deals that we would like to do. Client? Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:19:30Sure. I mean, how does this I'm clearing at least 10 confidentiality agreements a week and we're only in mid February. There's just a lot of deals coming into the market. And there's a few sources for them for the most part. One source is a lot of private equity firms that have assets that have either are at funds that are at end of life or beyond. Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:20:09Similar to other kinds of investors, there are PE funds that have just decided the price is good enough now, let's just get out. So we're seeing quite a bit of that because there's been enough of a recovery to recoup and just exit. We're also starting to see green shoots on some interesting refinancing, recapitalization opportunities because three months ago, you recall four months ago, everyone expected interest rates to be declining. And actually, what's happened is that has reversed and interest rates have gone up, the ten years at about a 4.5 now. So there's opportunities to refinance and not do much on the cash in refi to refinance out banks that have loans, that sort of disappeared. Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:21:09And now we're seeing more refis looking for pref equity, mezzanine debt, etcetera. So there's sort of a new stream of opportunities coming in. But there's the recovery, but sort of you could really pull back zoom out here for a sec. There's been enough of recovery that people that have wanted to exit can finally hit a number that feels okay and they can exit as opposed to continue to carry. And they're really willing to do that. Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:21:39And that's really the breakpoint that we've hit over the last few months. John KilichowskiVice President - Equity Research Analyst at Wells Fargo00:21:44Okay. Got it. I appreciate the detailed answer. And then just one more from me on the SHOP guide. Earlier in the opening remarks, there was a comment made about the back half maybe experiencing some modest deceleration in that growth, just given it gets harder the comp year over year. John KilichowskiVice President - Equity Research Analyst at Wells Fargo00:22:01How do we pair that with the fact that you in this business, there should be greater operating leverage as you hit those sort of higher occupancy marks and I think you're at 85.8% and kind of once you reach those higher 80% marks, we've always heard in this business you really start to see the operating leverage of the business shine that maybe should allow for more growth. So could you help us sort of pair those two comments together? Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:22:26Yes. I think it's us trying to be a little bit conservative in those assumptions. I think that's a big component Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:22:33of it. I'm not going Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:22:34to hide that fact. But also, I mean, last year we saw quite a bit of occupancy growth year over year. We're sitting at about 85.5% as of the fourth quarter. If you think that this thing stabilizes at the upper 80s, low 90s, you're starting to get to a point where those occupancy gains aren't going to be as easy to come by versus where they were a year or two ago, right? So it's just us trying to be conservative on those assumptions and that growth, still acknowledging the fact, as you pointed out and as Talia pointed out, that the operating leverage kicking in is something that not only are we seeing right now, but we expect to see even more so, as occupancy continues to get closer to that, call it, 90% level. Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:23:20So that's effectively it. I mean, I don't think there's much more to look into it besides that. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:23:25Your point is correct, John. Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:23:27Yes. That's why I noted that export has increased 0.6%, which is essentially it's essentially flat, which goes to operating leverage. John KilichowskiVice President - Equity Research Analyst at Wells Fargo00:23:39Okay. Great. Thank you. Operator00:23:41Thank you for your questions. Our next question is from the line of Nick Joseph with Citi Research. Your line is live. Michael GriffinAnalyst at Citigroup00:23:52Hey, there. It's Michael Griffin here with Nick. Rick, I think in your opening remarks, you talked a little bit about some strategies that your operators have implemented to effectively mitigate costs. Can you maybe expand on that a bit? What some of these initiatives could be? Michael GriffinAnalyst at Citigroup00:24:10And is there the opportunity within operators in your portfolio to share best practices, just given cost mitigation is going to remain to be a focus? Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:24:21I think it's a couple of things. One, in terms of recruiting, they've embraced digital marketing for recruiting in very many cases, which has been really helpful getting just more people into the door to be considered. The other is I think there's been a complete revamping of the onboarding processes, with all of our operators. So, the onboarding process has been lengthened. There typically are mentors that are assigned to new employees. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:24:51And I think that's really helped get some traction with longevity. So, So, I think those are the two main things, obviously, we saw in 2022, a rebasing of wages. And so, that's kind of normalized since then. So, you know, we've always competed with the service sector, but I think the rebasing of the wages during COVID has made our operators a more attractive destination as opposed to other service kinds of positions. So, it's really those things. Michael GriffinAnalyst at Citigroup00:25:26Yes. That's a helpful context there. Appreciate it. And then maybe just going back to the acquisition pipeline, Talia, you talked a bit about looking at more stabilized product that had a care component. Should we read into that that the pipeline is tilted maybe more toward AL relative to IL within the managed portfolio? Michael GriffinAnalyst at Citigroup00:25:47And what kind of yields or IRRs are you underwriting to for prospective transactions? Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:25:55So I'd say that we're seeing, I think that assets with care components are by definition doing better now. The recovery, has really affected them now because they're able to charge rate. That's part of as opposed to necessarily drive to maximum occupancy. Of course, they have a higher cost structure. But there's been a lot of those built. Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:26:26Oftentimes, they're IL, AL memory care, by the way. So that is, in fact, what we're seeing mostly. We are seeing some standalone IL, but not that much. And I'm sorry, what was your the second part of the question? What you're underwriting to? Michael GriffinAnalyst at Citigroup00:26:43From yields or IRR is what you're underwriting to? Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:26:47We're still seeing deals that so that going in might be seven to 7.5 but stabilize it above that. And that's, that's still happening. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:27:03I would also just, know or reiterate really, strategically, we are focused on increasing our SHOP exposure. But within our SHOP exposure to your point in your question, you should see over time our AL increase and our IL, IL decrease, which should help our growth numbers as well. Operator00:27:31Our next question is from the line of Alan Wurschmidt with KeyBanc Capital Markets. Austin WurschmidtSenior Equity Research Analyst at KeyBanc Capital Markets00:27:39It's Austin Wurschmidt here. Austin WurschmidtSenior Equity Research Analyst at KeyBanc Capital Markets00:27:42Just going back Austin WurschmidtSenior Equity Research Analyst at KeyBanc Capital Markets00:27:45to your comment about kind of full recovery in the Shaw portfolio, my sense was that was an occupancy comment. I guess, can you kind of share where margins and NOI stack up relative to occupancy? And what kind of the full recovery and future upside entails for those metrics as well? Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:28:06I think I went through where we are today in my comments. I think there's visibility on getting somewhere close to where we were pre pandemic here now in senior housing. Austin WurschmidtSenior Equity Research Analyst at KeyBanc Capital Markets00:28:23Got it. I mean, are there Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:28:24any Particularly in those assets where you can really drive rate, which is based on location, etcetera, vintage, things like that. Austin WurschmidtSenior Equity Research Analyst at KeyBanc Capital Markets00:28:38I mean, are there any regions or operators specifically that have already surpassed, I guess, the full recovery point and would give you even more confidence about the balance of the portfolio being able to grow again beyond what you're deeming to be kind of full recovery? Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:28:56Yes. I think we definitely have operators both in our senior housing and our skilled portfolio that have surpassed where they were pre pandemic. And, and so we look to do more deals with them. But our portfolio has gotten so strong and a lot of that, happened with some of the steps that we took during the pandemic, that all of our operators are on that path. Some are just further ahead than others. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:29:24But we're at the point right now where we don't have stragglers that we had pre pandemic. And it's also why we've been as selective as we've been in terms of the deals that we've done, both in terms of market operator and the age of the assets that we're buying. So we think with everything that we did last year, and actually we had a lot of volume actually in 2022 as well, we've really enhanced the quality of the portfolio from a market asset and operating perspective. Austin WurschmidtSenior Equity Research Analyst at KeyBanc Capital Markets00:29:59And then just last one. Rick, you mentioned kind of you expect to do more investments this year relative to last year. I mean, how significant of a year over year increase could we see given all the reasons Natalia highlighted around what's going on in private equity and with higher interest rates today? Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:30:18Before the pandemic, if you exclude, some of the really big moves that we made, we typically did several hundred million a year, that we'd like to get. I'm not going to predict that will exactly be there this year. But that's certainly a goal for us is to get back to the level of investments that we did on a routine basis prior to the pandemic. Austin WurschmidtSenior Equity Research Analyst at KeyBanc Capital Markets00:30:43That's all for me. Very helpful. Thank you. Operator00:30:46Thank you for your questions. Our next question comes from the line of Vikram Malhotra with Mizuho. Your line is live. Analyst00:30:56Hey, this is Georgi on for Vikram. Just on the external growth pipeline, can you just talk about what does the competition look like for stabilized assets in the senior housing? Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:31:12Mostly the health care REITs for the NICER assets, the institutional quality assets, I'd say. Below that kind of quality level, I think you've probably got some high net worth. We're not seeing private equity in The States right now, though there are starting there's starting to be rumblings of their coming back. It's hard to be a levered buyer right now. There's just not enough spread between the cost of debt and cap rate. Analyst00:31:50That's helpful. And just have one more on the SHOP portfolio. Can you just provide more color on what January bobs were compared to last year? Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:32:05I don't have the exact numbers for the portfolio with me. But it's been it's sort of in the 4% to 5% range is what we're seeing in our larger operators and they're achieving those. Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:32:21Yeah. And the other thing to point out too is that rent bumps aren't all done on January. Right? It varies operator by operator. Right? Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:32:31Some do them on an anniversary date of the of the lease, some do them in January. It varies. Mike is right. Analyst00:32:40Great. Thank you. Operator00:32:42Thank you for your questions. Our next question comes from the line of Juan Sanabria with BMO Capital Markets. Your line is live. Juan SanabriaManaging Director at BMO Capital Markets00:32:53Hi. Thanks for the time. Just hoping you could talk a little bit about the infrastructure, the platform. Guidance seems to call for kind of flat G and A. So just curious how you guys are investing in the systems that it seems to be a strength of the REITs to have the platforms and the capital to invest behind, the business. Juan SanabriaManaging Director at BMO Capital Markets00:33:16So presumably, the moat will get wider as that happens over time. And I was just curious on your latest initiatives around being a leader in shop. Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:33:29Yes. I mean, look, we've been in SHOP for a while now and we established the infrastructure several years ago and we started our foray into that. So from a systems perspective, from a technology perspective, from a personnel perspective, those are pretty well established to the point where adding additional scale in there, any additional costs are going to be really incremental. It's not anything major to take on larger portfolios or more operators whatever it may be. And that's where probably the biggest impact I would say from a G and A perspective would be on the shop side. Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:34:07To the extent there's any triple net, you know, we could absorb that without adding any headcount realistically. So does that answer your question, Juan? Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:34:16Yes. And I would just add, Juan, that on from a systems perspective, we're continually upgrading and improving our system so that the technology that we have in place continues to get better, allows us to, provide different levels of support to our operators to interact differently, to have more visibility, to have more predictability, as we start building artificial intelligence capabilities into our systems. Juan SanabriaManaging Director at BMO Capital Markets00:34:44You said the key word there. Just curious on the '25, you talked about acquisitions ramping up. But curious if there's any dispositions. You had some sales in the fourth quarter, which we didn't necessarily model. So just curious, how we should be thinking about sales and dispositions for 2025? Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:35:05Yes. The dispositions that we had in the quarter were sort of ordinary course of business. And I think what we talked about, in the last several quarters that we had one snip portfolio that's still in the process of being sold, that's about $50,000,000 Other than that, what we've said is that everything else is ordinary course of business. And ordinary course of business for us historically has been sort of $50,000,000 to $100,000,000 plus a year in disposition. So, there was nothing kind of unusual about it. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:35:32And you can tell by the number of facilities in what was a relatively small proceed number that they weren't producing very much. Operator00:35:46Thank you for your questions. Our next question is from the line of Richard Anderson with Wedbush. Your line is live. Rich AndersonManaging Director at Wedbush Securities00:35:55Thanks. Good morning out there. So I want to talk about the Yes, so Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:35:59Rich, I just want to first say to you that a few quarters ago, three quarters ago, I believe, you said, can you foresee the day when your coverage is over two times? Rich AndersonManaging Director at Wedbush Securities00:36:12So that's all the questions I have. No, just kidding. So on the pipeline, I want to talk about the accretive dilutive math on that. Like you look at your trading at around 12 times forward AFFO, that's like an eight ish type of AFFO yield. I don't know if you'd think about it that way. Rich AndersonManaging Director at Wedbush Securities00:36:33But do you would you say you're breakeven in the first year of investment and grow from there? Or I'm just curious how you think about that from an accretive dilution standpoint? Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:36:44Yes. I mean, based on where our stock is at right now as well as where we could issue debt at or using any kind of leverage, somewhere in the low to mid-7s on a going in yield is breakeven or slightly accretive. We also want Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:37:03to add Rich AndersonManaging Director at Wedbush Securities00:37:03a couple of You mean a blend Rich AndersonManaging Director at Wedbush Securities00:37:05you mean a blend low to mid-7s? Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:37:06Yes, yes. The blend of the equity at today's prices plus debt, right? We think we could go in with initial yield to somewhere low to mid-7s and be breakeven to slightly accretive. But like Talia mentioned earlier, there's also opportunities that we're looking at where it's around that level, but there is also some growth baked into it. So it's not only just looking at that initial yield, but looking at the long term growth profile and how that compares to the expectations built into our cost of capital. Rich AndersonManaging Director at Wedbush Securities00:37:40Okay. So, Michael, if you're due $500,000,000 this coming year, would it be safe to say half of that is funded with equity or more or less? Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:37:51The numbers I've been throwing out usually is like sixtyforty equity debt just to kind of keep our leverage where it's at or around five times. Rich AndersonManaging Director at Wedbush Securities00:37:59Yes. Okay. And then, Rick back to you, big picture you mentioned the spread between the House and the Senate in terms of Medicaid, who knows exactly what is actually in those that line of thinking from the House perspective. But if it's so wide like that, I mean, isn't there a concern that at least there'll be some of it, I mean, to find a middle ground between those two, governing bodies. I'm just curious how we get through this with and avoid any kind of disruption at all? Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:38:31So, fair question. So, and this is probably not going to sound great because the numbers are so enormous. Anything over a trillion would be some cause to worry. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:38:46And if Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:38:47anything under a trillion Operator00:38:57Ladies and gentlemen, we have lost our main speaker line. Please hold and we'll work to get them back. I'll put you back into hold music until we have them back on with us. Give us one second. We'll be right back on. Operator00:41:28Ladies and gentlemen, we really appreciate your patience here. Richard, I know you were in the middle of your question here. We'll bring you back up on to the stage. Go ahead. Rich AndersonManaging Director at Wedbush Securities00:41:36Well, Rick was in the middle of answering the question. I guess I broke the Internet with it. But, you were saying, Rick on this? Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:41:44Yeah. So, what I was saying was, you're talking about really big numbers here. If the number is over a trillion, it creates a lot of concern regardless of how the Medicaid cuts are divvy out. So, it gets better as big as the $880,000,000,000 sounds. But since you're starting it with zero at the Senate and eight eighty at the House, that number is going to come down. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:42:10Hopefully, it goes away, particularly when the governors start getting involved in the fight, but it's going to come down. So, given how strong the portfolio's performance is with rent coverage and, the margins and it's continuing to improve and still got room to grow ahead of it, I think that we'll be okay, even if there's some kind of a hit. So, does that answer your question? Rich AndersonManaging Director at Wedbush Securities00:42:36Yeah, it does. And how would you how would you parlay that into Medicare, you know, different forces at work, but just curious. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:42:44Yeah. It's different forces at work. I think, look, everything's being tested right now at the courts. You know, they're they can't just do this if they want to do it. They may try to, but they can't just do it. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:42:57There's statutory issues, and, and Congress has to be involved. So, I actually think that I have less concerns about Medicare than I do about some kind of hit on Medicaid, even though I'm more optimistic and pessimistic about Medicaid or certainly the overall impact of it. Rich AndersonManaging Director at Wedbush Securities00:43:25Okay. And, much respect, you're open to comment. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:43:28You know Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:43:28as well as I do. I mean, you're all over this kind of stuff, politically, like I am. I mean, we're living in a time that's completely unpredictable. Right? So, so, you know, I just tend to fall back on the bipartisan support, the lobbying efforts, the fact that this stuff is statutory, you've got states involved, as well as both chambers of Congress. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:43:56It's just not going to be that simple to hurt people who are most dependent upon government aid. Rich AndersonManaging Director at Wedbush Securities00:44:03Fair enough. And just want to say much respect to your opening comments on this call by the way. Rich AndersonManaging Director at Wedbush Securities00:44:09Thanks everybody. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:44:10Thanks Rick. Thank you. Operator00:44:11Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Alex Sajan with Baird Equity Research. Your line is live. Alec FeyginEquity Research Analyst at Baird00:44:20Hello, and thanks for taking my question. I'll echo what Rich said, respect to those opening comments and to your point, the world's unpredictable in so many different facets. But my question is, do you expect specialty and behavior coverage to improve as the year progresses? Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:44:42I think it's just going to kind of meander around where it is. A lot of the fluctuations are the behavioral hospitals we have, which, it's just a really dynamic business. The coverage is fantastic. So, there's no sort of there's no sort of concerning trends. But, yes, I think it's just going to kind of meander around where it is. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:45:02I don't think it's going to be consequential. Alec FeyginEquity Research Analyst at Baird00:45:06Got it. And kind of changing back, but what is the current size of the cash basis tenant base? And then did the dispositions in the quarter include tenants on cash basis? Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:45:19So in terms of the cash basis tenant base, I like to quantify that in I put it in two buckets. There's really the ones that we're really focused on are the ones that are not paying us full rent and paying us random amounts month to month, quarter to quarter. And that component of the cash basis tenant pool is a couple of percentage points. I don't know, it's less than 5% of our NOI. And regarding your question on some of the sales that we had in the quarter, yes, that was related to some of our cash basis tenants. Alec FeyginEquity Research Analyst at Baird00:46:05All right. Thank you. Operator00:46:08Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Michael Stryk with Green Street. Your line is live. Michael StroyeckAnalyst - Equity Research at Green Street Advisors, LLC00:46:17Thanks and good morning. Maybe one on the transaction market. Is there any recurring theme on potential deals that the company has looked at and then ultimately passed on, particularly within shop? Is it also just a function of price like what you're seeing with NIF transactions or maybe something else that leads to not closing on these deals? Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:46:42I think there are a couple of characteristics that we're focused on. One is the quality of the asset itself, of the real estate, and that we look at vintage of the asset as well. So that's one thing. We look at the market and we look at frankly long term viability of the asset. Those are critical factors. Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:47:12The SHOP, what we're seeing now generally is high quality assets. And it's an opportunity as Rick described earlier to improve our portfolio over time to add really high quality assets. Michael StroyeckAnalyst - Equity Research at Green Street Advisors, LLC00:47:30I guess on those high quality assets that you're bidding on, is it just a function of different cap rates that you're describing versus where the deals ultimately trade at? Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:47:43I think the band of cap rates is fairly narrow. Often times, the seller or the operator have an ability to sway where who the buyer will be. And so relationships come to bear here. We're also seeing off market deals where relationships are definitely part of the discussion. Michael StroyeckAnalyst - Equity Research at Green Street Advisors, LLC00:48:14Got it. Okay. And then maybe one just on, SNF coverage levels. The magnitude of the SNF coverage increase during the quarter seemed fairly outsized relative to the actual occupancy gains we saw. Can you just help us understand what drove such a healthy step up in coverages? Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:48:34Yeah. I think it's where occupancy kicked in. It was a big jump in terms of the impact on operating leverage. Really kind of as simple as that. Lucas, do Lukas HartwichExecutive Vice President Finance at Sabra Health Care REIT00:48:44you have? Medicaid too. Yeah. Yeah. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:48:47The Medicaid increases have, kicked in. And then the market basket, the market basket as well. Oh, no, not the market. I'm sorry. But the Medicaid increases that kicked in in July and August really had the biggest impact. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:49:03So, it's this next quarter since we report a quarter arrears that you'll also see impact from the Medicare market basket. Michael StroyeckAnalyst - Equity Research at Green Street Advisors, LLC00:49:12Got it. That's helpful. Thank you. Operator00:49:15Thank you. Our next Operator00:49:17question is from the line of Aaron Hecht with JMP Securities. Aaron HechtManaging Director at JMP Securities LLC00:49:23Hi, guys. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:49:23Your line is live. Go ahead. Aaron HechtManaging Director at JMP Securities LLC00:49:25Thank you. I I was Aaron HechtManaging Director at JMP Securities LLC00:49:26just looking at your loan book. It looks like it's around $400,000,000 It sounded like that's not an area you want to be focused on and the maturity date ranges are pretty wide. Is there anything coming up soon in terms of maturities? And do you expect those to convert to ownership or do you just recycle out of those as they come due? Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:49:52So, there's nothing imminent, in that loan pool. I think individually there are some that we'd like to refine, redeploy the capital and others that where we have an opportunity to buy, in which case we'll consider that when that window opens. There's nothing really actionable there at this moment. Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:50:17Okay. Yeah. I was really looking at Aaron HechtManaging Director at JMP Securities LLC00:50:19the three mortgage loans. And it looks like the first maturity date is in '26, and that's the big bucket. Is there a big maturity in '26? Or is that more back end weighted? Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:50:32There's a maturity at the end of twenty six. So it's essentially two years away. Just under two years Aaron HechtManaging Director at JMP Securities LLC00:50:40away. So, besides on that? Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:50:45It's the majority yes, about $300,000,000 It's the majority of that bucket. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:50:48CRCA loan. Aaron HechtManaging Director at JMP Securities LLC00:50:50Okay. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:50:51So, that I mean, that discussion is going to be that they want to take us out, which would be fine. And they want to have a conversation about flipping it into a triple net. We might have had that conversation as well. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:51:04So, that one just remains to be seen. We're happy with how things are going there. The loan is performing. So, we'll just sort of play it as it goes along. Aaron HechtManaging Director at JMP Securities LLC00:51:14Okay. Thanks, Rick. Appreciate that. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:51:17Yeah. Operator00:51:18Thank you for your question. We have our next question from the line of Omotayo Yokusanya with Deutsche Bank. Your line is live. Omotayo OkusanyaManaging Director at Deutsche Bank00:51:37Yes. Good afternoon, everyone. Great comments at the beginning of the call this year, Rick. Speaking on this topic of Medicare and Medicaid, what are your thoughts around if they are eventually to get cut at a kind of more impact the CHIP program versus kind of classic Medicare and Medicaid on the skilled nursing side? Is that all kind of still depend on this trillion dollar number you're talking about? Omotayo OkusanyaManaging Director at Deutsche Bank00:52:06How do we kind of think about that of a billion? Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:52:09Say it one more time, Tyler, you're breaking up a little bit. Omotayo OkusanyaManaging Director at Deutsche Bank00:52:13Sure. So I was talking about again the potential Medicare and Medicaid cuts that we've been discussing on the call. And just speaking to that in terms of the potential amount, is it possible in any way that all the cuts just kind of boil down more towards like the CHIP program or you know than anything else versus you know cuts to Medicare, Medicaid that was impacted nursing like how do we kind of handicap the probability of something like that happening? Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:52:45Yes. So, I think it's a fair question. And I think the answer is yes, there are other programs out there like CHIP's Medicaid expansion generally that probably get targeted first. Some of the home based and community programs get targeted first as well. So, yes, I think that's a fair statement, which goes to some of why we feel at least comfortable that even if something does happen, it won't be anything that sort of creates real damage to the space or the portfolio. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:53:24And the other thing I didn't mention on my opening remarks is depending on what the final number is and what sectors get hit, you may see sectors kind of uniting together in their lobbying efforts. There may be some common cause here as well. So, I'm not even sure that you'll see lobbying efforts that are completely independent of each other. So, both in the sectors, from organizations like AARP, there's going to be a lot of activity here around any potential cuts that affect, the indigent and the elderly. Omotayo OkusanyaManaging Director at Deutsche Bank00:54:03That's helpful. And one other one, I know it's still pretty early, but any thoughts at this point about how Robert Kennedy may want to run CMS and what the implications are for the industry? Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:54:17I have zero idea how to predict anything about this dude. But ask Elon, maybe he's got more insight than I do. Omotayo OkusanyaManaging Director at Deutsche Bank00:54:30I appreciate it. Operator00:54:34Thank you for your questions. We have no further questions at this time. So I'd like to turn the call back over to Mr. Matros. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:54:42Thanks, everybody, for your time today. Appreciate the support as always. And we look forward to seeing many of you, at the Citi conference. Have a good day. Aaron HechtManaging Director at JMP Securities LLC00:54:51Thank you. Operator00:54:52And ladies and gentlemen, that will end Sabra's twenty twenty four fourth quarter earnings call. Have a great rest of your day. Take care.Read moreParticipantsExecutivesLukas HartwichExecutive Vice President FinanceRick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the BoardTalya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVPAnalystsMichael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REITFarrell GranathEquity Research Associate at Bank of America Merrill LynchJohn KilichowskiVice President - Equity Research Analyst at Wells FargoMichael GriffinAnalyst at CitigroupAustin WurschmidtSenior Equity Research Analyst at KeyBanc Capital MarketsAnalystJuan SanabriaManaging Director at BMO Capital MarketsRich AndersonManaging Director at Wedbush SecuritiesAlec FeyginEquity Research Analyst at BairdMichael StroyeckAnalyst - Equity Research at Green Street Advisors, LLCAaron HechtManaging Director at JMP Securities LLCOmotayo OkusanyaManaging Director at Deutsche BankPowered by Key Takeaways Strong Q4 operating performance: SHOP same‐store occupancy rose 80 bps sequentially with cash NOI up 17.9% and margins up 20 bps, while skilled nursing occupancy gained 60 bps and EBITDA coverage hit an all‐time high of 2.09. Robust managed senior housing recovery: Total managed portfolio delivered sequential revenue growth of 3.5% and cash NOI growth of 5.4%, with same‐store revenue up 7.4% YoY, occupancy up 2.3% and RevPOR up 4.5%. 2025 financial guidance: Management expects normalized FFO of $1.43–$1.46 and normalized AFFO of $1.48–$1.51 per share (≈4% growth), low‐single digit triple‐net NOI gains, low‐mid teen managed SHOP NOI growth and a $0.30 quarterly dividend. Active acquisition pipeline: Anticipates higher deal volume in 2025 across SHOP and skilled nursing, targeting nearly stabilized assets with blended entry yields in the low‐to‐mid 7% range funded with roughly 60% debt. Regulatory outlook and risk mitigation: While potential Medicaid cuts remain an overhang, management cites bipartisan congressional and gubernatorial support, robust lobbying efforts and strong portfolio fundamentals to withstand any headwinds. AI Generated. May Contain Errors.Conference Call Audio Live Call not available Earnings Conference CallSabra Health Care REIT Q4 202400:00 / 00:00Speed:1x1.25x1.5x2xTranscript SectionsPresentationParticipants Earnings DocumentsSlide DeckPress Release(8-K)Annual report(10-K) Sabra Health Care REIT Earnings HeadlinesSabra Health Care REIT Breaks Above 200-Day Moving Average - Bullish for SBRAMay 29 at 6:37 PM | nasdaq.comSabra Health Care REIT, Inc. to Participate in Nareit’s REITweek 2025 Investor Conference and Attend ASHA’s 2025 Mid-Year MeetingMay 23, 2025 | finance.yahoo.comBuffett’s Next Move Could Shock Wall StreetIn just a few weeks, a move decades in the making could be revealed — and when it is, it could ignite the next great gold rush. Savvy insiders are quietly positioning now… before Buffett makes it official. Garrett Goggin has already pinpointed four tiny-gold-miners that could 100X once the announcement hits. It’s the perfect moment to be greedy — before the herd wakes up.May 30, 2025 | Golden Portfolio (Ad)Sabra Healthcare REIT Director Cashes In on Major Stock Sale!May 22, 2025 | tipranks.comSabra Health Care REIT, Inc. to Participate in Nareit's REITweek 2025 Investor Conference and Attend ASHA's 2025 Mid-Year MeetingMay 22, 2025 | businesswire.comEarnings call transcript: Sabra Healthcare REIT Meets Q1 2025 Expectations, Stock RisesMay 8, 2025 | investing.comSee More Sabra Health Care REIT Headlines Get Earnings Announcements in your inboxWant to stay updated on the latest earnings announcements and upcoming reports for companies like Sabra Health Care REIT? Sign up for Earnings360's daily newsletter to receive timely earnings updates on Sabra Health Care REIT and other key companies, straight to your email. Email Address About Sabra Health Care REITSabra Health Care REIT (NASDAQ:SBRA) engages in the business of acquiring, financing, and owning real estate property. 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PresentationSkip to Participants Operator00:00:00Good day. My name is Aaron, and I will be your conference operator for today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the twenty twenty four Sabra Fourth Quarter Earnings Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers' remarks, there will be a question and answer session. Operator00:00:31With that, I would like to now turn the call over to Lucas Hartwich, EVP, Finance. Mr. Hartwich, please go ahead. Lukas HartwichExecutive Vice President Finance at Sabra Health Care REIT00:00:39Thank you, and good morning. Before we begin, I want to remind you that we will be making forward looking statements in our comments and in response to your questions concerning our expectations regarding our future financial position and results of operations, including our earnings guidance for 2025 and our expectations regarding our tenants and operators and our expectations regarding our acquisition, disposition and investment plans. These forward looking statements are based on management's current expectations and are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially, including the risks listed in our Form 10 K for the year ended 12/31/2024, as well as in our earnings press release included as Exhibit 99.1 to the Form eight K we furnished with the SEC yesterday. We undertake no obligation to update our forward looking statements to reflect subsequent events or circumstances, and you should not assume later in the quarter that the comments we make today are still valid. In addition, references will be made during this call to non GAAP financial results. Lukas HartwichExecutive Vice President Finance at Sabra Health Care REIT00:01:41Investors are encouraged to review these non GAAP financial measures as well as the explanation and reconciliation of these measures to the comparable GAAP results included on the Financials page of the Investors section of our website at sabrahealth.com. Our Form 10 ks, earnings release and supplement can also be accessed in the Investors section of our website. And with that, let me turn the call over to Rick Matros, CEO, President and Chair of Sabra Healthcare REIT. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:02:07Thanks, Lucas. Appreciate it. Thanks, everybody, for joining the call. We appreciate it. Let me start by sending out love and prayers to the Bebas family. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:02:15Their bodies will return to Israel today. May the memories of Kefir and Ariel and Shiri be a blessing. Thanks for Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:02:26allowing me that. So, moving on Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:02:29to Sabra. First, I want to comment on the promotions that we announced this week for Kara, Lucas, and Anna. We're really blessed to have the three of them as part of our team. They're fantastic. And they exemplify everything that's good and important about Sabra. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:02:44And, also exemplifies the depth of our team. And, just really appreciate them and look forward to work with them in the years ahead. Moving on to the performance for the quarter. Sabre delivered what's been a success a succession of a number of great quarters in a row. Our senior housing and skilled portfolio continue to strengthen. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:03:07Workforce availability does remain a challenge to the sector. But our tenants have been able to implement strategies to mitigate those challenges. And labor has stabilized. Our SHOP same store occupancy was up 80 basis points sequentially with margins up 20 basis points. Our SHOP cash NOI was up 17.9 for the quarter. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:03:27Our senior housing triple net coverage stayed steady at 1.36. Our skilled occupancy was up 60 basis points sequentially with skilled mix up 30 basis points. Our EBITDA coverage hit an all time high of 2.09. Our skilled margins are now higher than we've seen in years. Our top 10 had another strong quarter. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:03:49For 2025, we'll continue to build upon the strategy we successfully executed in 2024 as evidenced by our 7% year over year normalized AFFO growth. We would anticipate a higher volume of deals in 2025. The increased volume we started to see before year end has accelerated since with more opportunities that we've seen in quite a long time. The opportunities are primarily sharp, but we are seeing more skilled opportunities. The fact that we had nothing new to announce this particular quarter shouldn't reflect on what we think will get done this year. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:04:21We fully anticipate to have a busy year, and a year that will have higher volumes than we had last year. Let me move on to the regulatory and political environment. The political environment's potential impact on our business has been an overhang. But I'd like to make a couple of points. First, the threat of Medicaid cuts. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:04:42We take that very seriously. While any actions that may be taken are unpredictable, there are natural guardrails in place. And I want to go through some of those guardrails. As it pertains specifically to Medicaid cuts, Congress has been historically protective of the elderly population, particularly those vulnerable institutionalized folks. The Medicaid budget inclusive of matching funds is critical to the governors of all states, both red and blue. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:05:06And, in fact, the red states have been the greater recipients of Medicare, of Medicaid, access, the expansion of Medicaid access in recent years. So, in addition to the bipartisan support that we've always had in Congress, the governors of the states, again, both red and blue, will be united to protect, the elderly in our facilities and the Medicaid budgets that are so critical to them. We have a robust lobbying effort that we expect will be successful. And a couple of other things I think to point out in terms of how much in the beginning of the process we're in. The House budget has $880,000,000 of unspecified $880,000,000,000 of unspecified Medicaid cuts. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:05:50The Senate version has no Medicaid cuts and overturns the staffing mandate. So, you've got opposite sides of the spectrum. You have no specificity on where those Medicaid cuts are. So, a very, very long way to go. Finally, as I noted earlier, I think the final guardrail for us is the strength of our portfolio. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:06:10Having margins, rent coverage, shop margins where they are, with organic growth still to come in all in both those segments, I think puts us in a very good position to withstand anything that may happen going forward. And with that, I will turn the call over to Talia. Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:06:28Thank you, Rick. Sabra's managed senior housing portfolio had another solid quarter. The total managed portfolio, including non stabilized communities and joint venture assets at share, had sequential revenue growth of 3.5%, cash NOI growth of 5.4% with margin expansion of 50 basis points. These statistics demonstrate sequential improvement in operating results that reflect the continued recovery in Sabra's senior housing portfolio. In the fourth quarter, we added one property to Sabra's managed portfolio. Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:07:03We see opportunities for external growth setting up well alongside internal growth. Sabra's same store managed senior housing portfolio, including joint venture assets at Cher, continued its strong performance this quarter. The key numbers are revenue for the quarter grew 7.4 year over year with our Canadian communities growing revenue by 10.6% in the same period. Both of these results are consistent with the growth statistics we reported last quarter. Fourth quarter occupancy in our same store portfolio grew by 2.3% year over year. Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:07:41Notably, our domestic portfolio occupancy grew 2.8% during that period, while our Canadian portfolio grew 1.2% in the same period. RevPOR in the fourth quarter of twenty twenty four continued to rise with an increase of 4.5% year over year, while EXPOR rose a near 0.6% for the same period. Total expenses for the same store portfolio rose 3.4% in the fourth quarter on a year over year basis. Insurance costs have the largest percentage increase among all expenses, but represent less than three percent of total expenses. Labor cost, which represent more than 50% of expenses, grew 2.1% in the quarter on a year over year basis. Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:08:30Cash NOI for the quarter grew 17.9% year over year just above last quarter's results. In our U. S. Communities, cash NOI grew 15.2% on a year over year basis while in our Canadian communities, cash NOI for the quarter increased 26.9% over the same period, benefiting from the continuous strong performance of our joint venture properties. Overall, we expect to see revenue growth continue to outpace expense growth as it has in recent quarters resulting in ongoing growth in cash NOI. Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:09:06Cash NOI margins should continue to expand across the portfolio as the senior housing industry builds revenue by balancing occupancy and rate and expenses, especially labor costs remain stable. With this as a backdrop, we are seeing significant transaction volume in the senior housing space. Virtually all of the deals are structured to transact as managed rather than leased properties. Our cost of capital now allows us to pursue these opportunities, which can generally be described as newer, nearly stabilized senior housing communities that offer care to residents. Our net lease stabilized senior housing portfolio also continues to do well with strong rent coverage reflecting the underlying operational recovery. Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:09:51And with that, I will turn the call over to Mike Casa, Sabra's Chief Financial Officer. Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:09:56Thanks, Talia. For the fourth quarter of twenty twenty four, we recognized normalized FFO per share of $0.35 and normalized AFFO per share of $0.36 Normalized AFFO totaled $86,900,000 this quarter, which is in line with the third quarter. I'd like to highlight a few key components of this quarter's earnings. Cash rental income for our triple net portfolio totaled $90,000,000 for the quarter, which was down $1,800,000 due to timing of cash basis tenant rents and the impact of asset sales. Cash NOI from our managed senior housing portfolio totaled $24,100,000 for the quarter compared to $22,900,000 last quarter. Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:10:37This increase was driven primarily by continued sequential same store growth as well as the impact of a 92 unit property acquired at the beginning of the fourth quarter. Recurring cash G and A was $10,200,000 this quarter and slightly better than the $10,400,000 per quarter run rate we've provided on the last several calls. Normalized FFO per share and normalized AFO per share were 1.39 and $1.44 respectively for the full year, which represents 7% year over year growth. This growth is a result of steady performance improvements in our managed senior housing portfolio, continued stability in our triple net portfolio and disciplined capital allocation, three factors that we expect to contribute to further growth in 2025 as illustrated in our full year 2025 guidance. Our full year 2025 guidance on a diluted per share basis is as follows: net income $0.67 to $0.7 FFO $1.42 to $1.45 normalized FFO $1.43 to $1.46 AFFO $1.47 to $1.5 and normalized AFFO, $1.48 to $1.51 At the midpoint, we expect both normalized FFO per share and normalized AFFO per share to increase approximately 4% over 2024. Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:11:58It is important to note that our guidance does not assume any 2025 investment, disposition or capital markets activity. There are a few other important assumptions in our guidance I would like to point out. Cash NOI growth in our triple net portfolio is expected to be low single digit in line with contractual escalators. Additionally, our guidance assumes no additional tenants are placed on cash basis for revenue recognition. Cash NOI growth for our same store managed senior housing portfolio is expected to be in the low to mid teens. Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:12:30As the portfolio gets closer to full recovery, this growth rate may decelerate. And as a result, our guidance assumes the growth rate in the first half of the year will be higher than the growth rate in the second half of the year. General and administrative expenses is expected to be approximately $50,000,000 and includes $11,000,000 of stock based compensation expense. The weighted average share count assumed in our guidance is approximately $240,000,000 and $241,000,000 shares for normalized FFO and normalized AFFO respectively and is in line with our fourth quarter weighted average share count after adjusting for the timing of ATM share issuances during the quarter. Now briefly turning to the balance sheet. Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:13:11Our net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio was 5.27 times as of 12/31/2024, a decrease of 0.03 times from 09/30/2024 and a decrease of nearly half a turn from 12/31/2023. This improvement in our leverage is driven primarily by the continued NOI growth in our managed senior housing portfolio, accretive capital recycling and prudent use of our ATM to fund growth. As of 12/31/2024, we are in compliance with all of our debt covenants and have ample liquidity of $980,000,000 consisting of unrestricted cash and cash equivalents of $60,500,000 available borrowings under our revolving credit facility of $893,400,000 and $26,100,000 related to shares outstanding under Ford sales agreements under our ATM program. As of 12/31/2024, we also had $382,800,000 available under the ATM program. Finally, on 02/03/2025, Sabra's Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.3 per share of common stock. Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:14:16The dividend will be paid on 02/28/2025, to common stockholders of record as of the close of business on 02/14/2025. The dividend is adequately covered and represents a payout of 83% of our fourth quarter normalized AFFO per share. And with that, we'll open up lines for Q and A. Operator00:14:35Thank you. Our first question for today comes from the line of Farrell Granath with Bank of America. Your line is live. Farrell GranathEquity Research Associate at Bank of America Merrill Lynch00:14:55Hi. Thank you so much. My first question is in regards to the occupancy for your SHOP portfolio. Just looking ahead to 2025, what are your thoughts of the pacing of the occupancy, either an acceleration or deceleration, just generally in the senior housing space? Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:15:15It's an interesting question because what we're seeing is operators balancing out pushing rate versus occupancy because they can't not everyone can do both at the same time. And so that's so it's very hard for me to sit here and handicap, which is how much occupancy is going to increase versus a focus on revenue increases by driving Rev four. Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:15:49We're Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:15:51seeing very strong we have seen very strong increases in our Canadian portfolio, which is now seem to be stable getting ramping down in terms of the rate of growth. But there's still plenty of room in our domestic portfolio. And I think that, certainly in IL, it will continue to get pushed. On the occupancy side in AL, I think there's definitely continued there'll be continued push, but a desire also to raise RevPOR at the same time. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:16:21And Farrell, the only other thing I would add is, so the way I would look at it is, it's not going to be a deceleration. It's just a function of how much it's going to accelerate, to Talia's point. Farrell GranathEquity Research Associate at Bank of America Merrill Lynch00:16:32Great. Thank you for that. And also, I know you made some comments on the opportunity set that you're seeing in 2025, an increase in it, both the mix of SHOP and the SNIFFs. I was curious if are you seeing any impacts in pricing when it's coming to sniffs specifically due to the current environment? Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:16:54It's interesting you say that. We were just at the ECAP conference, week ten days ago. I would say that the transaction market in skilled nursing is robust right now. There is a lot of money chasing deals and opportunities still, whether lenders and the healthcare REITs are able to continue to participate in that, right now, in an accretive fashion is the big challenge, how to figure that out. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:17:31So, it's the strategic buyers that are chasing the money. That's what the issue is from a competitive perspective. So, they're valuing these assets not just based on the nursing facility, but on the revenue it generates for all their ASR businesses. So, they're operating entities, so they're able to pay up. So, as Talia said, they've been it's been pretty frothy for those guys. Farrell GranathEquity Research Associate at Bank of America Merrill Lynch00:17:54Okay. Thank you so much. Operator00:17:56Thank you for your questions. Our next question comes from the line of John Kilachowski with Wells Fargo. Your line is live. John KilichowskiVice President - Equity Research Analyst at Wells Fargo00:18:06Thank you. Good afternoon. Maybe just to follow-up that last question. Rick, just from your opening remarks, it sounds like you feel a lot more confident in the acquisition pipeline this year versus last year, at least you expect an acceleration. I'm curious what you're seeing or what's changed quarter over quarter or from the past couple of months till now that makes you feel confident in your ability to accelerate these deals given, like you said, it's pretty frothy for some of your competition to bid up on deals? Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:18:36So, let me make a couple of comments and turn it over to Talia. First, we're not doing the kinds of deals that some of our competitors are doing. There's been a lot of loan volume. And we're just, as we've talked about in quarters past, and I think you know, John, we're just not interested in pursuing that unless there's a very specific reason that's tied to one of Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:18:56our operators. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:18:58So if you take all that volume away, it changes the picture for everybody. But just to remind everyone, last year there were a couple of things. One, acquisition opportunities were just starting to pick up over the course of the year, particularly on the shop side. And our cost of capital was improving over the cost of the year. So, this year, we enter into it in a much different place with its much higher deal volume. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:19:25And our cost of capital allows us to do the deals that we would like to do. Client? Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:19:30Sure. I mean, how does this I'm clearing at least 10 confidentiality agreements a week and we're only in mid February. There's just a lot of deals coming into the market. And there's a few sources for them for the most part. One source is a lot of private equity firms that have assets that have either are at funds that are at end of life or beyond. Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:20:09Similar to other kinds of investors, there are PE funds that have just decided the price is good enough now, let's just get out. So we're seeing quite a bit of that because there's been enough of a recovery to recoup and just exit. We're also starting to see green shoots on some interesting refinancing, recapitalization opportunities because three months ago, you recall four months ago, everyone expected interest rates to be declining. And actually, what's happened is that has reversed and interest rates have gone up, the ten years at about a 4.5 now. So there's opportunities to refinance and not do much on the cash in refi to refinance out banks that have loans, that sort of disappeared. Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:21:09And now we're seeing more refis looking for pref equity, mezzanine debt, etcetera. So there's sort of a new stream of opportunities coming in. But there's the recovery, but sort of you could really pull back zoom out here for a sec. There's been enough of recovery that people that have wanted to exit can finally hit a number that feels okay and they can exit as opposed to continue to carry. And they're really willing to do that. Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:21:39And that's really the breakpoint that we've hit over the last few months. John KilichowskiVice President - Equity Research Analyst at Wells Fargo00:21:44Okay. Got it. I appreciate the detailed answer. And then just one more from me on the SHOP guide. Earlier in the opening remarks, there was a comment made about the back half maybe experiencing some modest deceleration in that growth, just given it gets harder the comp year over year. John KilichowskiVice President - Equity Research Analyst at Wells Fargo00:22:01How do we pair that with the fact that you in this business, there should be greater operating leverage as you hit those sort of higher occupancy marks and I think you're at 85.8% and kind of once you reach those higher 80% marks, we've always heard in this business you really start to see the operating leverage of the business shine that maybe should allow for more growth. So could you help us sort of pair those two comments together? Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:22:26Yes. I think it's us trying to be a little bit conservative in those assumptions. I think that's a big component Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:22:33of it. I'm not going Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:22:34to hide that fact. But also, I mean, last year we saw quite a bit of occupancy growth year over year. We're sitting at about 85.5% as of the fourth quarter. If you think that this thing stabilizes at the upper 80s, low 90s, you're starting to get to a point where those occupancy gains aren't going to be as easy to come by versus where they were a year or two ago, right? So it's just us trying to be conservative on those assumptions and that growth, still acknowledging the fact, as you pointed out and as Talia pointed out, that the operating leverage kicking in is something that not only are we seeing right now, but we expect to see even more so, as occupancy continues to get closer to that, call it, 90% level. Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:23:20So that's effectively it. I mean, I don't think there's much more to look into it besides that. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:23:25Your point is correct, John. Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:23:27Yes. That's why I noted that export has increased 0.6%, which is essentially it's essentially flat, which goes to operating leverage. John KilichowskiVice President - Equity Research Analyst at Wells Fargo00:23:39Okay. Great. Thank you. Operator00:23:41Thank you for your questions. Our next question is from the line of Nick Joseph with Citi Research. Your line is live. Michael GriffinAnalyst at Citigroup00:23:52Hey, there. It's Michael Griffin here with Nick. Rick, I think in your opening remarks, you talked a little bit about some strategies that your operators have implemented to effectively mitigate costs. Can you maybe expand on that a bit? What some of these initiatives could be? Michael GriffinAnalyst at Citigroup00:24:10And is there the opportunity within operators in your portfolio to share best practices, just given cost mitigation is going to remain to be a focus? Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:24:21I think it's a couple of things. One, in terms of recruiting, they've embraced digital marketing for recruiting in very many cases, which has been really helpful getting just more people into the door to be considered. The other is I think there's been a complete revamping of the onboarding processes, with all of our operators. So, the onboarding process has been lengthened. There typically are mentors that are assigned to new employees. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:24:51And I think that's really helped get some traction with longevity. So, So, I think those are the two main things, obviously, we saw in 2022, a rebasing of wages. And so, that's kind of normalized since then. So, you know, we've always competed with the service sector, but I think the rebasing of the wages during COVID has made our operators a more attractive destination as opposed to other service kinds of positions. So, it's really those things. Michael GriffinAnalyst at Citigroup00:25:26Yes. That's a helpful context there. Appreciate it. And then maybe just going back to the acquisition pipeline, Talia, you talked a bit about looking at more stabilized product that had a care component. Should we read into that that the pipeline is tilted maybe more toward AL relative to IL within the managed portfolio? Michael GriffinAnalyst at Citigroup00:25:47And what kind of yields or IRRs are you underwriting to for prospective transactions? Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:25:55So I'd say that we're seeing, I think that assets with care components are by definition doing better now. The recovery, has really affected them now because they're able to charge rate. That's part of as opposed to necessarily drive to maximum occupancy. Of course, they have a higher cost structure. But there's been a lot of those built. Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:26:26Oftentimes, they're IL, AL memory care, by the way. So that is, in fact, what we're seeing mostly. We are seeing some standalone IL, but not that much. And I'm sorry, what was your the second part of the question? What you're underwriting to? Michael GriffinAnalyst at Citigroup00:26:43From yields or IRR is what you're underwriting to? Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:26:47We're still seeing deals that so that going in might be seven to 7.5 but stabilize it above that. And that's, that's still happening. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:27:03I would also just, know or reiterate really, strategically, we are focused on increasing our SHOP exposure. But within our SHOP exposure to your point in your question, you should see over time our AL increase and our IL, IL decrease, which should help our growth numbers as well. Operator00:27:31Our next question is from the line of Alan Wurschmidt with KeyBanc Capital Markets. Austin WurschmidtSenior Equity Research Analyst at KeyBanc Capital Markets00:27:39It's Austin Wurschmidt here. Austin WurschmidtSenior Equity Research Analyst at KeyBanc Capital Markets00:27:42Just going back Austin WurschmidtSenior Equity Research Analyst at KeyBanc Capital Markets00:27:45to your comment about kind of full recovery in the Shaw portfolio, my sense was that was an occupancy comment. I guess, can you kind of share where margins and NOI stack up relative to occupancy? And what kind of the full recovery and future upside entails for those metrics as well? Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:28:06I think I went through where we are today in my comments. I think there's visibility on getting somewhere close to where we were pre pandemic here now in senior housing. Austin WurschmidtSenior Equity Research Analyst at KeyBanc Capital Markets00:28:23Got it. I mean, are there Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:28:24any Particularly in those assets where you can really drive rate, which is based on location, etcetera, vintage, things like that. Austin WurschmidtSenior Equity Research Analyst at KeyBanc Capital Markets00:28:38I mean, are there any regions or operators specifically that have already surpassed, I guess, the full recovery point and would give you even more confidence about the balance of the portfolio being able to grow again beyond what you're deeming to be kind of full recovery? Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:28:56Yes. I think we definitely have operators both in our senior housing and our skilled portfolio that have surpassed where they were pre pandemic. And, and so we look to do more deals with them. But our portfolio has gotten so strong and a lot of that, happened with some of the steps that we took during the pandemic, that all of our operators are on that path. Some are just further ahead than others. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:29:24But we're at the point right now where we don't have stragglers that we had pre pandemic. And it's also why we've been as selective as we've been in terms of the deals that we've done, both in terms of market operator and the age of the assets that we're buying. So we think with everything that we did last year, and actually we had a lot of volume actually in 2022 as well, we've really enhanced the quality of the portfolio from a market asset and operating perspective. Austin WurschmidtSenior Equity Research Analyst at KeyBanc Capital Markets00:29:59And then just last one. Rick, you mentioned kind of you expect to do more investments this year relative to last year. I mean, how significant of a year over year increase could we see given all the reasons Natalia highlighted around what's going on in private equity and with higher interest rates today? Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:30:18Before the pandemic, if you exclude, some of the really big moves that we made, we typically did several hundred million a year, that we'd like to get. I'm not going to predict that will exactly be there this year. But that's certainly a goal for us is to get back to the level of investments that we did on a routine basis prior to the pandemic. Austin WurschmidtSenior Equity Research Analyst at KeyBanc Capital Markets00:30:43That's all for me. Very helpful. Thank you. Operator00:30:46Thank you for your questions. Our next question comes from the line of Vikram Malhotra with Mizuho. Your line is live. Analyst00:30:56Hey, this is Georgi on for Vikram. Just on the external growth pipeline, can you just talk about what does the competition look like for stabilized assets in the senior housing? Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:31:12Mostly the health care REITs for the NICER assets, the institutional quality assets, I'd say. Below that kind of quality level, I think you've probably got some high net worth. We're not seeing private equity in The States right now, though there are starting there's starting to be rumblings of their coming back. It's hard to be a levered buyer right now. There's just not enough spread between the cost of debt and cap rate. Analyst00:31:50That's helpful. And just have one more on the SHOP portfolio. Can you just provide more color on what January bobs were compared to last year? Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:32:05I don't have the exact numbers for the portfolio with me. But it's been it's sort of in the 4% to 5% range is what we're seeing in our larger operators and they're achieving those. Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:32:21Yeah. And the other thing to point out too is that rent bumps aren't all done on January. Right? It varies operator by operator. Right? Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:32:31Some do them on an anniversary date of the of the lease, some do them in January. It varies. Mike is right. Analyst00:32:40Great. Thank you. Operator00:32:42Thank you for your questions. Our next question comes from the line of Juan Sanabria with BMO Capital Markets. Your line is live. Juan SanabriaManaging Director at BMO Capital Markets00:32:53Hi. Thanks for the time. Just hoping you could talk a little bit about the infrastructure, the platform. Guidance seems to call for kind of flat G and A. So just curious how you guys are investing in the systems that it seems to be a strength of the REITs to have the platforms and the capital to invest behind, the business. Juan SanabriaManaging Director at BMO Capital Markets00:33:16So presumably, the moat will get wider as that happens over time. And I was just curious on your latest initiatives around being a leader in shop. Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:33:29Yes. I mean, look, we've been in SHOP for a while now and we established the infrastructure several years ago and we started our foray into that. So from a systems perspective, from a technology perspective, from a personnel perspective, those are pretty well established to the point where adding additional scale in there, any additional costs are going to be really incremental. It's not anything major to take on larger portfolios or more operators whatever it may be. And that's where probably the biggest impact I would say from a G and A perspective would be on the shop side. Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:34:07To the extent there's any triple net, you know, we could absorb that without adding any headcount realistically. So does that answer your question, Juan? Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:34:16Yes. And I would just add, Juan, that on from a systems perspective, we're continually upgrading and improving our system so that the technology that we have in place continues to get better, allows us to, provide different levels of support to our operators to interact differently, to have more visibility, to have more predictability, as we start building artificial intelligence capabilities into our systems. Juan SanabriaManaging Director at BMO Capital Markets00:34:44You said the key word there. Just curious on the '25, you talked about acquisitions ramping up. But curious if there's any dispositions. You had some sales in the fourth quarter, which we didn't necessarily model. So just curious, how we should be thinking about sales and dispositions for 2025? Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:35:05Yes. The dispositions that we had in the quarter were sort of ordinary course of business. And I think what we talked about, in the last several quarters that we had one snip portfolio that's still in the process of being sold, that's about $50,000,000 Other than that, what we've said is that everything else is ordinary course of business. And ordinary course of business for us historically has been sort of $50,000,000 to $100,000,000 plus a year in disposition. So, there was nothing kind of unusual about it. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:35:32And you can tell by the number of facilities in what was a relatively small proceed number that they weren't producing very much. Operator00:35:46Thank you for your questions. Our next question is from the line of Richard Anderson with Wedbush. Your line is live. Rich AndersonManaging Director at Wedbush Securities00:35:55Thanks. Good morning out there. So I want to talk about the Yes, so Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:35:59Rich, I just want to first say to you that a few quarters ago, three quarters ago, I believe, you said, can you foresee the day when your coverage is over two times? Rich AndersonManaging Director at Wedbush Securities00:36:12So that's all the questions I have. No, just kidding. So on the pipeline, I want to talk about the accretive dilutive math on that. Like you look at your trading at around 12 times forward AFFO, that's like an eight ish type of AFFO yield. I don't know if you'd think about it that way. Rich AndersonManaging Director at Wedbush Securities00:36:33But do you would you say you're breakeven in the first year of investment and grow from there? Or I'm just curious how you think about that from an accretive dilution standpoint? Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:36:44Yes. I mean, based on where our stock is at right now as well as where we could issue debt at or using any kind of leverage, somewhere in the low to mid-7s on a going in yield is breakeven or slightly accretive. We also want Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:37:03to add Rich AndersonManaging Director at Wedbush Securities00:37:03a couple of You mean a blend Rich AndersonManaging Director at Wedbush Securities00:37:05you mean a blend low to mid-7s? Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:37:06Yes, yes. The blend of the equity at today's prices plus debt, right? We think we could go in with initial yield to somewhere low to mid-7s and be breakeven to slightly accretive. But like Talia mentioned earlier, there's also opportunities that we're looking at where it's around that level, but there is also some growth baked into it. So it's not only just looking at that initial yield, but looking at the long term growth profile and how that compares to the expectations built into our cost of capital. Rich AndersonManaging Director at Wedbush Securities00:37:40Okay. So, Michael, if you're due $500,000,000 this coming year, would it be safe to say half of that is funded with equity or more or less? Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:37:51The numbers I've been throwing out usually is like sixtyforty equity debt just to kind of keep our leverage where it's at or around five times. Rich AndersonManaging Director at Wedbush Securities00:37:59Yes. Okay. And then, Rick back to you, big picture you mentioned the spread between the House and the Senate in terms of Medicaid, who knows exactly what is actually in those that line of thinking from the House perspective. But if it's so wide like that, I mean, isn't there a concern that at least there'll be some of it, I mean, to find a middle ground between those two, governing bodies. I'm just curious how we get through this with and avoid any kind of disruption at all? Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:38:31So, fair question. So, and this is probably not going to sound great because the numbers are so enormous. Anything over a trillion would be some cause to worry. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:38:46And if Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:38:47anything under a trillion Operator00:38:57Ladies and gentlemen, we have lost our main speaker line. Please hold and we'll work to get them back. I'll put you back into hold music until we have them back on with us. Give us one second. We'll be right back on. Operator00:41:28Ladies and gentlemen, we really appreciate your patience here. Richard, I know you were in the middle of your question here. We'll bring you back up on to the stage. Go ahead. Rich AndersonManaging Director at Wedbush Securities00:41:36Well, Rick was in the middle of answering the question. I guess I broke the Internet with it. But, you were saying, Rick on this? Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:41:44Yeah. So, what I was saying was, you're talking about really big numbers here. If the number is over a trillion, it creates a lot of concern regardless of how the Medicaid cuts are divvy out. So, it gets better as big as the $880,000,000,000 sounds. But since you're starting it with zero at the Senate and eight eighty at the House, that number is going to come down. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:42:10Hopefully, it goes away, particularly when the governors start getting involved in the fight, but it's going to come down. So, given how strong the portfolio's performance is with rent coverage and, the margins and it's continuing to improve and still got room to grow ahead of it, I think that we'll be okay, even if there's some kind of a hit. So, does that answer your question? Rich AndersonManaging Director at Wedbush Securities00:42:36Yeah, it does. And how would you how would you parlay that into Medicare, you know, different forces at work, but just curious. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:42:44Yeah. It's different forces at work. I think, look, everything's being tested right now at the courts. You know, they're they can't just do this if they want to do it. They may try to, but they can't just do it. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:42:57There's statutory issues, and, and Congress has to be involved. So, I actually think that I have less concerns about Medicare than I do about some kind of hit on Medicaid, even though I'm more optimistic and pessimistic about Medicaid or certainly the overall impact of it. Rich AndersonManaging Director at Wedbush Securities00:43:25Okay. And, much respect, you're open to comment. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:43:28You know Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:43:28as well as I do. I mean, you're all over this kind of stuff, politically, like I am. I mean, we're living in a time that's completely unpredictable. Right? So, so, you know, I just tend to fall back on the bipartisan support, the lobbying efforts, the fact that this stuff is statutory, you've got states involved, as well as both chambers of Congress. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:43:56It's just not going to be that simple to hurt people who are most dependent upon government aid. Rich AndersonManaging Director at Wedbush Securities00:44:03Fair enough. And just want to say much respect to your opening comments on this call by the way. Rich AndersonManaging Director at Wedbush Securities00:44:09Thanks everybody. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:44:10Thanks Rick. Thank you. Operator00:44:11Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Alex Sajan with Baird Equity Research. Your line is live. Alec FeyginEquity Research Analyst at Baird00:44:20Hello, and thanks for taking my question. I'll echo what Rich said, respect to those opening comments and to your point, the world's unpredictable in so many different facets. But my question is, do you expect specialty and behavior coverage to improve as the year progresses? Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:44:42I think it's just going to kind of meander around where it is. A lot of the fluctuations are the behavioral hospitals we have, which, it's just a really dynamic business. The coverage is fantastic. So, there's no sort of there's no sort of concerning trends. But, yes, I think it's just going to kind of meander around where it is. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:45:02I don't think it's going to be consequential. Alec FeyginEquity Research Analyst at Baird00:45:06Got it. And kind of changing back, but what is the current size of the cash basis tenant base? And then did the dispositions in the quarter include tenants on cash basis? Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:45:19So in terms of the cash basis tenant base, I like to quantify that in I put it in two buckets. There's really the ones that we're really focused on are the ones that are not paying us full rent and paying us random amounts month to month, quarter to quarter. And that component of the cash basis tenant pool is a couple of percentage points. I don't know, it's less than 5% of our NOI. And regarding your question on some of the sales that we had in the quarter, yes, that was related to some of our cash basis tenants. Alec FeyginEquity Research Analyst at Baird00:46:05All right. Thank you. Operator00:46:08Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Michael Stryk with Green Street. Your line is live. Michael StroyeckAnalyst - Equity Research at Green Street Advisors, LLC00:46:17Thanks and good morning. Maybe one on the transaction market. Is there any recurring theme on potential deals that the company has looked at and then ultimately passed on, particularly within shop? Is it also just a function of price like what you're seeing with NIF transactions or maybe something else that leads to not closing on these deals? Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:46:42I think there are a couple of characteristics that we're focused on. One is the quality of the asset itself, of the real estate, and that we look at vintage of the asset as well. So that's one thing. We look at the market and we look at frankly long term viability of the asset. Those are critical factors. Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:47:12The SHOP, what we're seeing now generally is high quality assets. And it's an opportunity as Rick described earlier to improve our portfolio over time to add really high quality assets. Michael StroyeckAnalyst - Equity Research at Green Street Advisors, LLC00:47:30I guess on those high quality assets that you're bidding on, is it just a function of different cap rates that you're describing versus where the deals ultimately trade at? Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:47:43I think the band of cap rates is fairly narrow. Often times, the seller or the operator have an ability to sway where who the buyer will be. And so relationships come to bear here. We're also seeing off market deals where relationships are definitely part of the discussion. Michael StroyeckAnalyst - Equity Research at Green Street Advisors, LLC00:48:14Got it. Okay. And then maybe one just on, SNF coverage levels. The magnitude of the SNF coverage increase during the quarter seemed fairly outsized relative to the actual occupancy gains we saw. Can you just help us understand what drove such a healthy step up in coverages? Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:48:34Yeah. I think it's where occupancy kicked in. It was a big jump in terms of the impact on operating leverage. Really kind of as simple as that. Lucas, do Lukas HartwichExecutive Vice President Finance at Sabra Health Care REIT00:48:44you have? Medicaid too. Yeah. Yeah. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:48:47The Medicaid increases have, kicked in. And then the market basket, the market basket as well. Oh, no, not the market. I'm sorry. But the Medicaid increases that kicked in in July and August really had the biggest impact. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:49:03So, it's this next quarter since we report a quarter arrears that you'll also see impact from the Medicare market basket. Michael StroyeckAnalyst - Equity Research at Green Street Advisors, LLC00:49:12Got it. That's helpful. Thank you. Operator00:49:15Thank you. Our next Operator00:49:17question is from the line of Aaron Hecht with JMP Securities. Aaron HechtManaging Director at JMP Securities LLC00:49:23Hi, guys. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:49:23Your line is live. Go ahead. Aaron HechtManaging Director at JMP Securities LLC00:49:25Thank you. I I was Aaron HechtManaging Director at JMP Securities LLC00:49:26just looking at your loan book. It looks like it's around $400,000,000 It sounded like that's not an area you want to be focused on and the maturity date ranges are pretty wide. Is there anything coming up soon in terms of maturities? And do you expect those to convert to ownership or do you just recycle out of those as they come due? Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:49:52So, there's nothing imminent, in that loan pool. I think individually there are some that we'd like to refine, redeploy the capital and others that where we have an opportunity to buy, in which case we'll consider that when that window opens. There's nothing really actionable there at this moment. Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:50:17Okay. Yeah. I was really looking at Aaron HechtManaging Director at JMP Securities LLC00:50:19the three mortgage loans. And it looks like the first maturity date is in '26, and that's the big bucket. Is there a big maturity in '26? Or is that more back end weighted? Talya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVP at Sabra Health Care REIT00:50:32There's a maturity at the end of twenty six. So it's essentially two years away. Just under two years Aaron HechtManaging Director at JMP Securities LLC00:50:40away. So, besides on that? Michael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REIT00:50:45It's the majority yes, about $300,000,000 It's the majority of that bucket. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:50:48CRCA loan. Aaron HechtManaging Director at JMP Securities LLC00:50:50Okay. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:50:51So, that I mean, that discussion is going to be that they want to take us out, which would be fine. And they want to have a conversation about flipping it into a triple net. We might have had that conversation as well. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:51:04So, that one just remains to be seen. We're happy with how things are going there. The loan is performing. So, we'll just sort of play it as it goes along. Aaron HechtManaging Director at JMP Securities LLC00:51:14Okay. Thanks, Rick. Appreciate that. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:51:17Yeah. Operator00:51:18Thank you for your question. We have our next question from the line of Omotayo Yokusanya with Deutsche Bank. Your line is live. Omotayo OkusanyaManaging Director at Deutsche Bank00:51:37Yes. Good afternoon, everyone. Great comments at the beginning of the call this year, Rick. Speaking on this topic of Medicare and Medicaid, what are your thoughts around if they are eventually to get cut at a kind of more impact the CHIP program versus kind of classic Medicare and Medicaid on the skilled nursing side? Is that all kind of still depend on this trillion dollar number you're talking about? Omotayo OkusanyaManaging Director at Deutsche Bank00:52:06How do we kind of think about that of a billion? Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:52:09Say it one more time, Tyler, you're breaking up a little bit. Omotayo OkusanyaManaging Director at Deutsche Bank00:52:13Sure. So I was talking about again the potential Medicare and Medicaid cuts that we've been discussing on the call. And just speaking to that in terms of the potential amount, is it possible in any way that all the cuts just kind of boil down more towards like the CHIP program or you know than anything else versus you know cuts to Medicare, Medicaid that was impacted nursing like how do we kind of handicap the probability of something like that happening? Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:52:45Yes. So, I think it's a fair question. And I think the answer is yes, there are other programs out there like CHIP's Medicaid expansion generally that probably get targeted first. Some of the home based and community programs get targeted first as well. So, yes, I think that's a fair statement, which goes to some of why we feel at least comfortable that even if something does happen, it won't be anything that sort of creates real damage to the space or the portfolio. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:53:24And the other thing I didn't mention on my opening remarks is depending on what the final number is and what sectors get hit, you may see sectors kind of uniting together in their lobbying efforts. There may be some common cause here as well. So, I'm not even sure that you'll see lobbying efforts that are completely independent of each other. So, both in the sectors, from organizations like AARP, there's going to be a lot of activity here around any potential cuts that affect, the indigent and the elderly. Omotayo OkusanyaManaging Director at Deutsche Bank00:54:03That's helpful. And one other one, I know it's still pretty early, but any thoughts at this point about how Robert Kennedy may want to run CMS and what the implications are for the industry? Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:54:17I have zero idea how to predict anything about this dude. But ask Elon, maybe he's got more insight than I do. Omotayo OkusanyaManaging Director at Deutsche Bank00:54:30I appreciate it. Operator00:54:34Thank you for your questions. We have no further questions at this time. So I'd like to turn the call back over to Mr. Matros. Rick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the Board at Sabra Health Care REIT00:54:42Thanks, everybody, for your time today. Appreciate the support as always. And we look forward to seeing many of you, at the Citi conference. Have a good day. Aaron HechtManaging Director at JMP Securities LLC00:54:51Thank you. Operator00:54:52And ladies and gentlemen, that will end Sabra's twenty twenty four fourth quarter earnings call. Have a great rest of your day. Take care.Read moreParticipantsExecutivesLukas HartwichExecutive Vice President FinanceRick MatrosChief Executive Officer, President and Chair of the BoardTalya Nevo-HacohenChief Investment Officer, Treasurer, and EVPAnalystsMichael CostaExecutive VP, CFO & Secretary at Sabra Health Care REITFarrell GranathEquity Research Associate at Bank of America Merrill LynchJohn KilichowskiVice President - Equity Research Analyst at Wells FargoMichael GriffinAnalyst at CitigroupAustin WurschmidtSenior Equity Research Analyst at KeyBanc Capital MarketsAnalystJuan SanabriaManaging Director at BMO Capital MarketsRich AndersonManaging Director at Wedbush SecuritiesAlec FeyginEquity Research Analyst at BairdMichael StroyeckAnalyst - Equity Research at Green Street Advisors, LLCAaron HechtManaging Director at JMP Securities LLCOmotayo OkusanyaManaging Director at Deutsche BankPowered by