REV Group Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Key Takeaways

  • Record Q1 adjusted EBITDA of $36.8 million (up $6.3 million YoY) and 79% organic growth excluding divested bus businesses, exceeding typical seasonality.
  • Specialty Vehicles backlog hits $4.5 billion (2–2.5 years of visibility) with a record 9.5% adjusted EBITDA margin, driven by fire apparatus and ambulance throughput initiatives.
  • Recreational Vehicles segment sales fell 8.5% to $155 million and EBITDA declined 21% to $9.2 million; backlog declined 30% amid soft end-market demand despite improved retail activity at the Florida RV Super Show.
  • Resumed share repurchases under a $250 million authorization, returning $33 million for approximately 1.3% of shares year-to-date and leaving $217 million remaining for opportunistic capital deployment.
  • Reaffirmed fiscal 2025 guidance of $2.3–2.4 billion in net sales and $190–220 million in adjusted EBITDA, while noting limited direct tariff exposure (2% of direct materials) and ongoing supply chain mitigation efforts.
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Earnings Conference Call
REV Group Q1 2025
00:00 / 00:00

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Operator

Greetings, and welcome to the REV Group First Quarter twenty twenty five Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. A brief question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Drew Konop, Vice President, Investor Relations. Thank you, sir. You may begin.

Drew Konop
Drew Konop
VP, IR and Corporate Development at REV Group

Good morning, and thanks for joining us. Earlier today, we issued our first quarter fiscal twenty twenty five results. A copy of the release is available on our website at investors.revgroup.com. Today's call is being webcast and a slide presentation as well as reconciliations from non GAAP to GAAP financial measures is available on the Investors section of our website. Please refer now to Slide two of that presentation.

Drew Konop
Drew Konop
VP, IR and Corporate Development at REV Group

Our remarks and answers will include forward looking statements, which are subject to risks that could cause actual results to differ from those expressed or implied by such forward looking statements. These risks include, among others, matters that we have described in our Form eight K filed with the SEC earlier today or other filings we make with the SEC. We disclaim any obligation to update these forward looking statements, which may not be updated until our next quarterly earnings conference call, if at all. All references on this call to a quarter or year are to our fiscal quarter or fiscal year unless otherwise stated. Joining me on the call today is our President and CEO, Mark Skonechny as well as our CFO, Amy Campbell.

Drew Konop
Drew Konop
VP, IR and Corporate Development at REV Group

Please turn now to Slide three, and I'll turn the call over to Mark.

Mark Skonieczny
Mark Skonieczny
President , CEO & Director at REV Group

Thank you, Drew, and good morning to everyone joining us on today's call. Before we dive into the details of our quarterly performance, I want to take a moment to reflect on an important event that occurred within the past quarter, our Investor Day, which we hosted in connection with our earnings call in December. The event gave us an opportunity to share our strategic vision and unveil new intermediate financial targets, which outline a clear and disciplined path towards significant earnings growth. Importantly, these targets are built on a foundation of operational improvements and enhanced execution. We believe significant value lies within our four walls and we have a plan and team in place to achieve success.

Mark Skonieczny
Mark Skonieczny
President , CEO & Director at REV Group

During the event, we described how Rev Group presents a compelling investment opportunity due to a well diversified portfolio of products aligned with favorable macroeconomic trends. We are positioned to benefit from population growth and aging demographic and expanding urban sprawl, and we are uniquely suited to meet the strong demand for mission critical emergency vehicles related to essential services, as well as recreational vehicles that provide consumers the freedom to explore the outdoors in comfort. With a strong balance sheet and a disciplined approach to capital allocation that was presented during the Investor Day, we are well positioned to continue to provide attractive returns to shareholders through a combination of organic growth, share repurchases, dividends and a strategic and selective approach to acquisitions. If you have not already seen it, our Investor Day presentation is available on our website. I'm pleased to report that we've had an exceptionally strong start to the year with record first quarter adjusted EBITDA and cash efficiency that exceeded typical seasonality.

Mark Skonieczny
Mark Skonieczny
President , CEO & Director at REV Group

The results are even more impressive on an organic basis than adjust for the results of the two bus manufacturing businesses that were exited in fiscal twenty twenty four. This performance not only reflects the strength and resilience of our business model, but also positions us well to continue delivering on our long term strategy for value creation. The first quarter success serves as a solid foundation for the achievement of our full year's guidance. As we continue to execute on our productivity and throughput initiatives, we remain confident in our ability to meet the targets that we've set, providing an opportunity for sustained value for our shareholders. We're excited about the path ahead and are committed to maintaining this momentum.

Mark Skonieczny
Mark Skonieczny
President , CEO & Director at REV Group

Exiting the first fiscal quarter, our backlog remains strong at $4,500,000,000 providing two to two point five years of demand visibility within the Specialty Vehicles segment. This level of backlog also provides confidence in our ability to achieve our financial targets as we continue to drive profitability through increased manufacturing discipline. With orders already in place, we have the ability to plan a detailed truck by truck production schedule, order materials more efficiently, optimize resources and continue to drive margin through continuous improvement initiatives and a pipeline of lean projects. Now, I would like to address the recently enacted tariffs. I'll remind you that the majority of our operations are assembly in nature and therefore our exposure is primarily indirect from the sub assemblies we purchase through our supply base.

Mark Skonieczny
Mark Skonieczny
President , CEO & Director at REV Group

In regards to direct import exposure to tariffs, approximately 2% of our direct material purchases come from China, Mexico and Canada, and our raw material spend on steel and aluminum make up only about 5% of our total material costs. As it relates to indirect tariff impacts, our ability to navigate potential supply chain disruptions has been greatly improved since the initial rounds of tariffs in 2018. Over the past several years, we have implemented a multi sourcing strategy for key components, reducing the risk of sole source exposures. We continue to pursue alternative sourcing options across our direct material spend that may also provide cost improvement or tariff mitigation opportunities. Our supply chain team has been in active discussions with our supply base to understand the potential exposure based on their supply origins.

Mark Skonieczny
Mark Skonieczny
President , CEO & Director at REV Group

However, quantification of risk is difficult to calculate given the broader uncertainty in application of tariffs to products and raw materials within their value chain and alternatives available as specific tariffs are enacted. Our supply chain team will continue to monitor areas of exposure and implement proactive mitigation strategies. On the sales side, approximately 5% of our net sales are outside of The United States. Overall, our strong backlog, disciplined commercial activities and a fortified supply chain position us well for continued margin momentum and long term growth. We remain focused on delivering on our commitments while navigating the broader macroeconomic environment with confidence.

Mark Skonieczny
Mark Skonieczny
President , CEO & Director at REV Group

In January, the fortieth annual Florida RV Super Show proved to be a strong event for Rev Group's Recreational Vehicles segment. Despite a decline in overall show attendance, the consumer's appreciation for our portfolio of products was apparent with notable increases in retail sales across multiple brands. Fleetwood RV, Holley Rambler and American Coach Class A motorhome saw significant increase in show sales, driven by strong interest in new models, including the award winning Palisade. Renegade RV also experienced higher sales, showcasing its diverse lineup of Class C and Super C motorhomes built on various platform sizes. Midwest Automotive designs Class B vans, including a new heritage line, performed well with sales rising compared to the previous year.

Mark Skonieczny
Mark Skonieczny
President , CEO & Director at REV Group

Meanwhile, Lance Camper's new Squire travel trailers and truck campers contributed to a boost in overall sales. While the RV market remains challenged, the positive customer response and increased retail activity for our products reinforced confidence in the segment's product strategy and market positioning. We also attribute our success at the show to the great dealers we had representing our products. Despite continued external challenges, the company remains focused on innovation and dealer partnerships to drive growth. We believe a balanced approach to capital allocation underscores our commitment to delivering value to shareholders while maintaining flexibility to invest in future growth.

Mark Skonieczny
Mark Skonieczny
President , CEO & Director at REV Group

Within the quarter, we commenced share repurchases on our recent $250,000,000 authorization, returning $19,200,000 to our shareholders by repurchasing approximately 579,000 shares or just over 1% of common shares outstanding. We believe the repurchases were an attractive use of capital given the stock's valuation within the quarter and they demonstrate the confidence we have in our long term strategy, financial strength and ability to generate sustainable returns. We continue to purchase shares subsequent to the first quarter and through Friday, February 28, have purchased an additional 425,000 shares totaling $13,800,000 With these purchases, approximately $217,000,000 remains on our share repurchase program, which allows management to continue flexibility to deploy capital opportunistically. Finally, we remain focused on driving efficiency, improving margins and optimizing our existing backlog. We are executing with discipline against our booked orders and backlog, ensuring that we maximize returns while delivering high quality products that meet customer expectations.

Mark Skonieczny
Mark Skonieczny
President , CEO & Director at REV Group

Our teams have made meaningful progress in streamlining operations, identifying cost efficiencies and enhancing supply chain resilience, all of which are contributing to improved financial performance. This disciplined approach reinforces our confidence in achieving sustainable growth. While market conditions remain dynamic across our operating segments, today we are reaffirming our fiscal twenty twenty five outlook. We believe the momentum we are building positions us for both short term and long term success. Turning to Slide four.

Mark Skonieczny
Mark Skonieczny
President , CEO & Director at REV Group

First quarter sales were $525,000,000 a decrease of $61,000,000 from the prior year. As a reminder, we exited the bus manufacturing business in fiscal twenty twenty four with the divestiture of Collins Bus in January and the wind down and sale of E and C in October. The prior year's quarter included $76,600,000 of net sales attributed to these bus businesses. Excluding the impact of divested bus businesses, net sales increased $15,700,000 or 3.1% compared to prior year quarter. Year over year revenue growth in the Specialty Vehicles segment was partially offset by lower sales in the Recreational Vehicles segment.

Mark Skonieczny
Mark Skonieczny
President , CEO & Director at REV Group

The sales growth in Specialty Vehicles was driven by revenue increases in both the Fire and Ambulance groups. I am pleased that these teams exceeded our expectations within the quarter and continue to demonstrate the success of various throughput initiatives that have been enacted over the past two years. Record first quarter consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $36,800,000 increased $6,300,000 Excluding the impact of divested bus businesses, which generated $9,900,000 in the prior year quarter, adjusted EBITDA increased $16,200,000 or 79%. Year over year earnings growth was driven by the Specialty Vehicles segment, partially offset by lower earnings in the Recreational Vehicles segment. Over the past year, I have commented that the Fire Group is catching up to the Ambulance Group in terms of productivity gains and plant efficiency.

Mark Skonieczny
Mark Skonieczny
President , CEO & Director at REV Group

Over the past three quarters, Fire has made great progress resulting in impressive year over year performance. I continue to believe that exiting the second quarter of this year, Fire and Amylons will be on equal footing, operating at plant efficiencies, which provide a solid foundation with stability to implement additional lean activities. With that, please turn to Slide five, and I'll turn the call over to Amy for detailed segment financials.

Amy Campbell
Amy Campbell
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at REV Group

Thank you, Mark. First quarter Specialty Vehicle segment sales were $370,200,000 a decrease of $47,000,000 compared to the prior year. As Mark mentioned, the prior year's quarter included $76,600,000 of net sales attributable to the bus manufacturing businesses that were divested within fiscal twenty twenty four. Excluding the impact of the divested businesses, segment net sales increased $29,600,000 or 8.7% when compared to the prior year quarter. The increase in net sales was primarily due to increased sales of fire apparatus and an increased mix of modular ambulance units, which carry a higher average selling price than Type two vans, along with favorable price realization.

Amy Campbell
Amy Campbell
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at REV Group

These were partially offset by lower sales of terminal trucks and industrial sweepers. Adjusted EBITDA of $35,200,000 was a segment first quarter record increasing by $9,000,000 versus the prior year. Making this even more impressive, the prior year's quarter included $9,900,000 of adjusted EBITDA attributable to the divested bus businesses. Excluding the prior year contribution from bus, Specialty Vehicles adjusted EBITDA increased $18,900,000 or 116%. The increase in earnings was primarily due to initiatives put in place that resulted in increased sales of fire apparatus, a favorable mix of ambulance units and favorable price realization, partially offset by lower sales of terminal trucks and industrial sweepers along with inflationary pressures.

Amy Campbell
Amy Campbell
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at REV Group

Specialty Vehicles adjusted EBITDA margin of 9.5% is also a record for the first quarter segment performance. Excluding the impact of the bus businesses, segment margin improved four seventy basis points year over year, driven primarily by price realization and improved operations that have increased throughput. Over the past several quarters, enhancements to production processes, focus on supply chain management and improved workforce productivity contributed to higher output, better cost controls and improved profitability. These initiatives along with targeted capital investments, lean manufacturing principles and data driven decision making have contributed to optimizing resources while delivering high quality units. Specialty Vehicles segment's backlog of $4,200,000,000 is also a record.

Amy Campbell
Amy Campbell
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at REV Group

Adjusting for $84,000,000 of E and C bus backlog that was included in the prior year's total, backlog grew 12% versus the prior year. The increase was related to solid industry demand for fire apparatus and ambulances along with pricing actions that include the pass through of inflationary pressures of components such as chassis. These were partially offset by increased production against the backlog and lower demand for terminal trucks and street sweepers. The top line outlook for Specialty Vehicles segment is for continued year over year growth in high single to low double digit range from a pro form a fiscal twenty twenty four base that has been adjusted for the removal of bus sales. Just as a reminder, the total bus performance in fiscal twenty twenty four was $163,600,000 of net sales and $17,600,000 of adjusted EBITDA.

Amy Campbell
Amy Campbell
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at REV Group

The expected revenue increases in 2025 organic net sales are expected to convert at an incremental margin of approximately 40 on a full year basis. And for modeling purposes, we expect approximately 40% to 45% of segment adjusted EBITDA to be in the first half of the year and 55% to 60% in the second half, in line with our typical seasonality. Turning to Slide six, Recreational Vehicle segment sales of $155,000,000 decreased $14,400,000 or 8.5% versus last year's first quarter. Lower sales were primarily the result of a decline in unit volumes related to soft end market demand. Fewer shipments in the Class A, Class B and Class C units were partially offset by increased shipments of towable and camper units.

Amy Campbell
Amy Campbell
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at REV Group

Despite a decline in shipments, stat survey data indicates that retail registrations for our Class A and Class C motorized products along with our Lance Camper brand have outperformed their respective product categories over the most recent trailing twelve month period. While the market remains challenged, net sales for recreation did exceed our expectations for the quarter, driven primarily by greater than expected wholesale and retail demand in the Class A category and lower than expected dealer assistance. Wholesale shipments in the quarter also benefited from activity leading up to the Tampa RV Super Show. Adjusted EBITDA of $9,200,000 was a decrease of $2,400,000 or 21% versus the prior year. The decrease was primarily a result of lower unit volume, increased dealer assistance versus the prior year and inflationary pressures, partially offset by actions taken to better align fixed and variable cost with end market demand.

Amy Campbell
Amy Campbell
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at REV Group

We are pleased that the segment has continued to execute with discipline and achieved a decremental margin of 16% year over year, while maintaining a 5.9% adjusted EBITDA margin for the quarter. Segment backlog of $265,000,000 declined 30% versus the prior year. The decrease is primarily related to soft end market demand and dealer destocking that resulted in lower wholesale shipments over the past year. Over the same period, segment retail sales outpaced wholesale shipments, reducing the number of units on dealer lots and improving the overall age and health of dealer inventories. As Mark mentioned, Rev's products attracted consumer attention and performed well at this year's Tampa Super Show, resulting in increased retail sales for our dealers as compared to 2024.

Amy Campbell
Amy Campbell
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at REV Group

While this may present an opportunity for dealer restocking into the upcoming selling season, we continue our tempered approach to full year expectations for the Recreation segment until we witness sustained retail sales improvement. Therefore, today, we reaffirm the original guidance provided in December with full year recreational vehicle segment revenue and adjusted EBITDA to be approximately flat versus fiscal twenty twenty four. Turning to Slide seven, trade working capital on 01/31/2025 was $290,200,000 an increase of $42,000,000 compared to $248,200,000 at the end of fiscal twenty twenty four. The increase was primarily timing related driven by an increase in accounts receivable and lower accounts payable, partially offset by increased customer advances. Year to date, cash from operating activities was an outflow of $13,100,000 which included almost $12,000,000 of management incentive payments made during the period.

Amy Campbell
Amy Campbell
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at REV Group

In addition, we spent $4,900,000 on capital expenditures within the first quarter. Net debt as of January 31 was $108,400,000 including $31,600,000 of cash on hand. This includes $19,200,000 used within the first quarter to repurchase 579,000 common shares at an average price of $33.09 In the quarter, we also paid cash dividends totaling $3,900,000 bringing the total of cash returned to shareholders in the first quarter to $23,100,000 In addition, we declared a quarterly debt cash dividend of $0.06 per common share payable on April 11 to shareholders of record on March 28. At quarter's end, the company maintained ample liquidity for our strategic initiatives with approximately $262,900,000 available on our ABL revolving credit facility. Last month, we refinanced the ABL credit facility, extending its maturity to 02/1930 and details can be found in the eight K filed with the SEC on February twenty four of this year.

Amy Campbell
Amy Campbell
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at REV Group

As previously mentioned, today we reaffirm our fiscal full year 2025 guidance that was provided on our fourth quarter twenty twenty four earnings call. We continue to expect high single to low double digit revenue growth in the Specialty Vehicles segment versus a 2024 pro form a revenue base of $1,560,000,000 which excludes sales from the divested bus businesses. Net sales in the Recreational Vehicle segment are expected to be roughly flat year over year. Consolidated top line guidance is in the range of $2,300,000,000 to $2,400,000,000 or mid single digit growth at the midpoint versus fiscal twenty twenty five's pro form a of $2,200,000,000 in net sales. Adjusted EBITDA guidance remains $190,000,000 to $220,000,000 an increase of 48% at the midpoint versus twenty twenty five's pro form a $145,200,000 of adjusted EBITDA.

Amy Campbell
Amy Campbell
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at REV Group

As Mark said, this was an exceptional first quarter with a record start as we begin fiscal twenty twenty five. We are pleased with the momentum demonstrated by the Specialty Vehicles segment and continued cost containment and commercial discipline within recreational vehicles. We expect to deliver healthy earnings growth and stronger free cash flow throughout the remainder of the year. I want to close by thanking our team for their dedication and strong performance. With that, I would now like to turn it back to the operator and open it up for questions. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We will now be conducting a question and answer session. Our first question comes from the line of Mike Schluskey with D. A. Davidson. Please proceed with your question.

Michael Shlisky
Managing Director & Senior Equity Research Analyst at D.A. Davidson

Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. Good morning, Mark. And I'm not seeing any background noise there. So first, Mark, I want to make sure I understood some of your tariff discussions during your prepared remarks there.

Michael Shlisky
Managing Director & Senior Equity Research Analyst at D.A. Davidson

You said the components that you get from Canada Mexico are just 2% of costs, and most of what you do is assemble within The United States. But you still can't say whether tariffs will be a big issue for you going forward. I'm not sure I understood why tariffs how it could be an issue for you, I suppose, other than like very broad macro. Maybe just maybe just give a little more detail as to what the possible tariff impacts are as you see them today?

Mark Skonieczny
Mark Skonieczny
President , CEO & Director at REV Group

I think, Mike, that's what I said on the prepared remarks. And obviously, it's a fluid situation. So again, our direct exposure is, as I said, 2% across those geographies and then our direct aluminum and steel is only 5%. So, when you look at the majority of our purchases, our sub assemblies that we then assemble all in The United States And the majority of our purchases from suppliers are domestically sourced. But again, I'd like to reiterate, going through COVID and then all the initiatives we've done over the last two to three years to strengthen our supply base.

Mark Skonieczny
Mark Skonieczny
President , CEO & Director at REV Group

We feel a lot better about where we are now. We've highlighted in the past our multi sourcing strategy and that we've expanded our supply base and the ability to mitigate tariffs. I do want to remind you that even during COVID, which saw a bigger spike, we were actually price cost positive during that period, and we've only strengthened our supply base then from there. Also, and I think I talked about during COVID when I was the CFO is these longer cycle build cycles where we have the fixed contracts like in Fire, we actually have three to four months of inventory sitting there. So, it's really something that really is going to develop over the second quarter and then we'll understand better what the exposure is exiting Q2 and into Q3 and Q4 as we see the fluidity or what becomes more determined from a tariff front.

Michael Shlisky
Managing Director & Senior Equity Research Analyst at D.A. Davidson

Okay, great. Thanks for that. Moving on to the RV group, I'm so surprised to hear, look, everything went pretty well, it sounds like at the Tampa show, there are some more shows I think coming up on the calendar, but the big one of the bigger ones here in Tampa did go okay. You mentioned that you want to see actual retail sales get better before you think about increasing your outlook for '25 in that group. I'm surprised, I mean, I guess, when you want to see wholesale sales get better, would that be enough to increase the guidance there or am I just missing that this is basically a build to order business anyway? I'm just trying to figure out like what is still missing to feel better about what's going on in that group that's been happening.

Mark Skonieczny
Mark Skonieczny
President , CEO & Director at REV Group

Yes,

Mark Skonieczny
Mark Skonieczny
President , CEO & Director at REV Group

I still think you had some destocking events, but we do want to still see that wholesale of retail get back to one to one relationship, right, because retails have been outpacing historic over the few last quarters. So I think that's really what I'm seeing. When you look at the original guidance, it was heavily weighted towards the back end of the year. So we feel good exiting Q1, entering Q2, what our order looked like that are hitting the factories. But essentially, we do want to see Q3 and Q4 come in or at least show through Q2 bookings that we'll be able to see that through the new '26 model year.

Mark Skonieczny
Mark Skonieczny
President , CEO & Director at REV Group

And we'll see those orders start getting placed here in the March and April frame as we always talk about. So that's really indication of when people start placing the model year '26 unit, so we'll get a better view on Q3 and Q4. And then obviously the sell through on the '24 and '25 model year product that are sitting in our dealer inventories.

Michael Shlisky
Managing Director & Senior Equity Research Analyst at D.A. Davidson

Okay. Maybe one last one for me. Maybe just update us on the pricing in fire emergency. I guess maybe just a two part question here. I mean, in the past, you've talked about being mid term divis pricing for '25 maybe even for '26, thanks to the orders that you booked recently.

Michael Shlisky
Managing Director & Senior Equity Research Analyst at D.A. Davidson

But then I just want to make sure I understand if the prices go up on some of your raw materials or some of your assemblies from tariffs, do you have the ability to go back and tweak the pricing based on things that are kind of out of reps' control?

Amy Campbell
Amy Campbell
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at REV Group

Yes. Thanks, Mike. So certainly on and so the mid single digit price increases or what we continue to expect you know, for the next several years for specialty vehicles. You know, when you look at recreation terminal trucks, street sweepers, we can pass through inflationary cost headwinds on those products. We can also pass through cost increases on commercial chassis on all of our ambulances and some of our fire trucks.

Amy Campbell
Amy Campbell
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at REV Group

And we have historically, these are fixed bid contracts by and large. Some of them do have some room to go back, but we have historically honored those fixed bid contracts. With that though, I would say that we've been very disciplined and strategic in our commercial pricing strategy over the last couple of years to allow some room to protect us or defend against any unknown inflationary headwinds that were unknown at the time that we were taking price increases. So, there is some limited ability to go back, very limited ability to go back and reprice those fixed contracts. But I think by and large not knowing the full extent of what inflation we're going to have, we've allowed for some unknown inflation in the years ahead when we've taken those price increases.

Michael Shlisky
Managing Director & Senior Equity Research Analyst at D.A. Davidson

Okay. Thank you so much. I'll pass them along.

Mark Skonieczny
Mark Skonieczny
President , CEO & Director at REV Group

Thanks, Mike.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Mig Dobre with Baird. Please proceed with your question.

Mircea Dobre
Associate Director of Research & Senior Research Analyst at Robert W. Baird & Co

Thank you. Good morning. I want to pick up on that comment there. When you look at your business here, you obviously have a sizable amount of backlog and I'm talking about specialty vehicles here. And it sounds like there's no kind of a real repricing mechanism, I guess, for what's in the backlog, but you've made some provided some buffer for inflation.

Mircea Dobre
Associate Director of Research & Senior Research Analyst at Robert W. Baird & Co

So I'm curious as to that buffer how you calculated it. Is it normal inflation? Is it something that's maybe more like in terms of what we've seen over the past few years? How much of a cushion do you have here? Because I think this is one of the debates that are being held out there, right, where you have a lot of backlog, that's a good thing, but that may also be a bad thing if we're going to start to see yet another pulse of inflation here because of tariffs going forward.

Mircea Dobre
Associate Director of Research & Senior Research Analyst at Robert W. Baird & Co

So how comfortable can we get with the backlog? And I guess my follow-up to this is, in terms of new orders coming in, do you get to the point where you sort of say, look, I've got enough risk in the backlog that I currently have, I don't really need to add more to it given that you're not really going to be shipping these incoming orders until two to three years out. So how do you evaluate the risk on the new orders that you're taking in now?

Amy Campbell
Amy Campbell
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at REV Group

Yes. So we are looking at the new orders that we're taking in now, Mig, and we certainly need to continue to take orders, right? Municipalities need fire trucks, they need ambulances. We're meeting and discussing what the annual price increase should be. We normally announce one around this time of the year and the teams are actively working on understanding what the risk for inflation is and what that price increase that we announced this year should be.

Amy Campbell
Amy Campbell
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at REV Group

So that work is underway. And I think when you look at we can talk about that backlog, but as Mark mentioned, the direct exposure that we have to import tariff increases is really only 2% in those geographies. We source our metals domestically and we've obviously seen some increases recently in the spot prices as potential tariffs go on steel and aluminum. But the direct exposure is pretty limited. And I think at this point, there's just too many moving pieces and too much uncertainty to quantify and understand the implications of the full implications of any broader tariff increases as we go forward.

Mircea Dobre
Associate Director of Research & Senior Research Analyst at Robert W. Baird & Co

But you're a sophisticated buyer of chassis. You have good knowledge on that. And I guess I'm trying to understand when you look

Amy Campbell
Amy Campbell
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at REV Group

And we can pass through, Meg.

Mark Skonieczny
Mark Skonieczny
President , CEO & Director at REV Group

Yes, our contract and ambulance are pass through, Meg. Just recall that, right? So, the contract mechanism, that's a pass through cost.

Mircea Dobre
Associate Director of Research & Senior Research Analyst at Robert W. Baird & Co

But on fire, how do we deal with that?

Mark Skonieczny
Mark Skonieczny
President , CEO & Director at REV Group

Well, fire, we do majority of our fire is built by us and our COE, but obviously we have some exposure with the commercial chassis, but we're obviously working where we don't put it on a Spartan, but the majority of ours are purpose built through our COE or through our operations. So, we do have some commercial chassis that we'd have exposure to. But again, the largest part is purpose built by us.

Amy Campbell
Amy Campbell
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at REV Group

And sourced in The U. S. Those components are sourced from The U. S.

Mircea Dobre
Associate Director of Research & Senior Research Analyst at Robert W. Baird & Co

Okay. I do want to ask a question about the quarter itself and guidance. Your EBITDA came in above consensus, but I'm curious if that was also the case relative to your internal budget. When I'm looking at last year, for instance, similarly, you posted a somewhat similar EBITDA beat relative to where the consensus was at the time and you ended up raising full year guidance by $5,000,000 You chose not to do that this time. So maybe I'm curious, how did the quarter go relative to your expectation?

Mircea Dobre
Associate Director of Research & Senior Research Analyst at Robert W. Baird & Co

And the fact that we're keeping EBITDA unchanged, is that a function of factoring in some additional uncertainty? Or are there other elements that we need to be aware of?

Amy Campbell
Amy Campbell
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at REV Group

So the first quarter, Mig, did come in a little better than our expectations. We had that in the prepared comments. We saw some nice wholesale orders for our Class A coaches in advance of the Tampa RV show. And we also saw some lower discounting and some higher sales in specialty vehicles as well. So we did outperform our expectations for the quarter.

Amy Campbell
Amy Campbell
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at REV Group

And taking into consideration the guide in the first quarter as well, we took into consideration those known and I would say unknown risks around inflation. It's early in the year. We had a nice speed. We have a broad range. And when you look at those, what called known and unknown risks, the bottom half of that range is appropriate.

Amy Campbell
Amy Campbell
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at REV Group

And I think we also see a pathway to even with known tariff risk to be able to still deliver on the top half of the range. So we took into account the beat in the quarter, the forecast that we got a few weeks ago from our business units, the range known and unknown risks. We certainly expect some cost increases that we talked about and believe that that range was appropriate this time and a lot of uncertainty. We'll get a lot more certain about the impacts of tariffs and inflationary cost pressures in the next few months and update that range in the second quarter.

Mircea Dobre
Associate Director of Research & Senior Research Analyst at Robert W. Baird & Co

Understood. My final question, just on specialty vehicles order intake and you talked about demand being resilient on fire. So I guess we heard you guys talk in the past about order moderation at a point in time because obviously the backlog is extended and demand has been really strong. Are you sort of at the point where you can see demand being stronger for longer? Are you seeing any benefit from maybe investment following the West Coast wildfires?

Mircea Dobre
Associate Director of Research & Senior Research Analyst at Robert W. Baird & Co

How does that impact your business? And again, how should investors think about the tenure of orders for the rest of fiscal twenty twenty five here given what you've seen in Q1? Thank you.

Amy Campbell
Amy Campbell
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at REV Group

I think it's too early to know the impact of demand coming out of the LA fires. We certainly have seen some inbound increases. We've seen there was a nice article about some orders that were recently placed in California for our fire trucks or S-one 80 fire trucks. But it is too early. What I would say if you look at orders are lumpy, orders in the first quarter came in higher than we expected in our AOP.

Amy Campbell
Amy Campbell
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at REV Group

We've long talked about normalizing orders. When you look back at 2024, while they've come down off of their peak, they're still meaningfully above long term trends. And I think it's too early to know. I think that we they did come last year. They're still above long term trends.

Amy Campbell
Amy Campbell
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at REV Group

We continue to focus in our factories to increase throughput, work through the backlog and provide our customers the fire trucks they need. So I think we will continue to see some normalization, but will that normalized level be higher than where it was in the past? It's just too early to tell, Nick.

Mircea Dobre
Associate Director of Research & Senior Research Analyst at Robert W. Baird & Co

All right. Best of luck. Thank you.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Jerry Revich with Goldman Sachs. Please proceed with your question.

Jerry Revich
Jerry Revich
Senior Investment Leader & Head of US Machinery, Infrastructure, Sustainable Tech franchise at Goldman Sachs

Yes. Hi. Good morning, everyone. I'm wondering if we just continue the conversation that you just had with Miga. When we look at the above trend orders, Amy, that you spoke to in Fire, how would you attribute that to the company's potentially higher market share in this cycle versus just elevated industry demand?

Jerry Revich
Jerry Revich
Senior Investment Leader & Head of US Machinery, Infrastructure, Sustainable Tech franchise at Goldman Sachs

Can you just break that out for us? Where do you think your share is on Fire versus history and industry units versus history based on the metrics you track?

Amy Campbell
Amy Campbell
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at REV Group

Yes. So my comments were specifically on industry demand. We have seen industry demand come off of peaks from a few years ago, but still above, it's about 5,000 fire trucks last year. We believe long term trend levels were closer to 4,000 levels. So it's come off of the 6,000 level we saw a few years ago, but still 5,000 last year.

Amy Campbell
Amy Campbell
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at REV Group

We really don't like to talk about market share. I think we've seen, it can be lumpy. We've seen some benefits from our S-one 80 program, but I think I'll leave it there.

Jerry Revich
Jerry Revich
Senior Investment Leader & Head of US Machinery, Infrastructure, Sustainable Tech franchise at Goldman Sachs

Fair enough. Can we have a similar conversation on ambulances? You mentioned a couple of quarters ago that orders were starting to slow towards historical levels. Can you just update us on where industry levels stand and if you want to weigh in on market share on that product line directionally?

Amy Campbell
Amy Campbell
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at REV Group

Yes,

Amy Campbell
Amy Campbell
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at REV Group

I think market share on that product line has stayed pretty consistent and we have seen, ambulance demand normalize twenty twenty four industry levels actually won't come out for another month. So ask me I guess in four to six weeks or next quarter. Jerry, we don't have the 2024 industry volumes for ambulance just yet.

Jerry Revich
Jerry Revich
Senior Investment Leader & Head of US Machinery, Infrastructure, Sustainable Tech franchise at Goldman Sachs

Okay. But does that comment Sam from a couple of quarters ago that you're probably still above normal in that category?

Amy Campbell
Amy Campbell
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at REV Group

Yes. That would be my expectation.

Jerry Revich
Jerry Revich
Senior Investment Leader & Head of US Machinery, Infrastructure, Sustainable Tech franchise at Goldman Sachs

Okay. Super. And then just separately, just to follow-up on the tariff conversation, just on the scenario that there is higher direct exposure than we think and if our bill of goods moves up, let's say, five points higher, would you folks in that scenario consider passing through a surcharge and obviously pretty wide range of outcomes on what can happen in the industry. So just curious how do you think about that potential tail risk and the company's response in that scenario?

Mark Skonieczny
Mark Skonieczny
President , CEO & Director at REV Group

Yes, I think there's different mechanisms we can use. Certainly one is surcharges and one that we've used, I think Amy said that earlier that in select situations we've gone back and some contracts where we could and actually applied a surcharge. So I think that's what we would do, Jerry, and I think that's how we'll probably see it like we did during COVID in our indirect exposure that we'll be able to keep that outside of the normal piece price so that we can track it specifically as we see increases that will come through surcharges and that as the tariffs or of the increases come down, then we're able to take those off or shut them off quickly as well. So, I think we're well equipped to manage the process, but I can't reiterate enough how much improvement we made to supply chain, which we've talked about for the last four years, five years now that I've been here. So, I think we're well on our way to being a lot more ready for this situation than we were entering COVID when that started.

Jerry Revich
Jerry Revich
Senior Investment Leader & Head of US Machinery, Infrastructure, Sustainable Tech franchise at Goldman Sachs

Super. Thanks, Mark. Thanks, Amy.

Mark Skonieczny
Mark Skonieczny
President , CEO & Director at REV Group

Yes. Thank you.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Angel Castillo with Morgan Stanley. Please proceed with your question.

Angel Castillo
Angel Castillo
Executive Director at Morgan Stanley

Hi, good morning and thanks for taking my question. Just wanted to go back to maybe some of the discussion as you're thinking about potential kind of announcements of price increases here. What are you seeing in terms of the customer price elasticity? Obviously, you mentioned some of the normalization in volumes, but given the uncertainty and what seems to have been pretty strong orders here in the first quarter, I guess, one, do you expect that maybe there was any kind of pull forward of those orders to try to get ahead of kind of any incremental pass through of inflation? And or what are you hearing from customers in terms of price elasticity and kind of desire to order beyond 2027, '20 '20 '8?

Amy Campbell
Amy Campbell
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at REV Group

Yes. I mean, I think, Angel, right, this is a unique industry. These are municipally funded vehicles with a normal replacement cycle that obviously can be extended, but already pretty extended lead times. It is really too early to have, I'd say, any meaningful from the customer feedback on price their what their buying patterns are going to be based on potential tariffs which the impacts of those are still pretty uncertain at this point as well. So I think it really underscores I think the investment model for rev is this municipally funded healthy, consistent replacement cycle that will keep demand strong.

Amy Campbell
Amy Campbell
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at REV Group

It's been strong over the last several years. And while it's maybe come off of peaks, continues to be above long term trends. And I think science right now would suggest that that's going to be the case.

Angel Castillo
Angel Castillo
Executive Director at Morgan Stanley

That's very helpful. Thank you. And then I wanted to switch over to maybe capital allocation. You noted resuming your buyback, but also kind of a continuation of strong levels of kind of repurchases here in kind of fiscal 2Q to date. Could you talk about your kind of anticipation of this going forward?

Angel Castillo
Angel Castillo
Executive Director at Morgan Stanley

And as you've kind of started to develop your M and A pipeline or bolt on opportunities, can you just give us an update there? Any kind of, I guess, pipeline opportunities moving closer to timing wise to be done earlier? Or just how should we think about the broader capital allocation dynamic here?

Amy Campbell
Amy Campbell
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at REV Group

Yes. Well, I'm not going to lay out our detailed plans for share buybacks. We do firmly believe that the stock is an attractive investment throughout certainly throughout the entire first quarter as we were buying back shares and continues to be. And so that'll likely continue to be a part of our capital allocation strategy, I expect, as we move forward. And in terms of M and A, we continue to look, build our pipeline, do our research.

Amy Campbell
Amy Campbell
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at REV Group

We're going to be disciplined and strategic. When is the right time and the right target for Rev Group that drives real shareholder value. And I think we've been clear in the interim, we believe a good use of capital until we find that acquisition is share buyback.

Angel Castillo
Angel Castillo
Executive Director at Morgan Stanley

Very helpful. Thank you.

Mark Skonieczny
Mark Skonieczny
President , CEO & Director at REV Group

Thanks, Angel.

Operator

We have no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the floor back over to management for closing comments.

Amy Campbell
Amy Campbell
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer at REV Group

No, I think that's it. But thank you everyone for joining the call today.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation and have a wonderful day.

Executives
    • Drew Konop
      Drew Konop
      VP, IR and Corporate Development
    • Mark Skonieczny
      Mark Skonieczny
      President , CEO & Director
    • Amy Campbell
      Amy Campbell
      Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Analysts