NYSE:MUSA Murphy USA Q3 2026 Earnings Results & Report $534.75 +19.47 (+3.78%) As of 12:16 PM Eastern This is a fair market value price provided by Massive. Learn more. Murphy USA beat analyst expectations on both earnings and revenue in its Q3 2026 results, released October 28, 2026. The company reported EPS of $9.59 versus the $8.37 consensus estimate, while revenue of $6.89 billion topped the $6.25 billion estimate by $642.12 million. Revenue increased 34.8% year over year. Research:ProfileEarnings HistoryForecast Earnings Announcement Details QuarterQ3 2026Report DateOctober 28, 2026TimeAfter Market ClosesConference Call DateOctober 29, 2026Conference Call11:00 AM ET Murphy USA EPS ResultsActual EPS$9.59Consensus EPS $8.37Beat/MissBeat by +$1.22One Year Ago EPS$7.25EPS Beat Rate7 of last 8 quartersMurphy USA Revenue ResultsActual Revenue$6.89 billionExpected Revenue$6.25 billionBeat/MissBeat by +$642.12 millionYoY Revenue Growth+34.80%Conference Call ResourcesConference Call AudioConference Call TranscriptPress Release (8-K)Earnings HistoryCompany ProfilePowered by Murphy USA Q3 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptProvided by QuartrOctober 29, 2026ShareShareShare This ReportLink copied to clipboard.Key Takeaways Positive Sentiment: Store growth is accelerating: Murphy USA expects roughly 45–50 openings this year, has 55 stores under construction, and plans to sustain about 50 openings annually through at least 2027, supporting more consistent EBITDA growth. Positive Sentiment: Fuel volumes were resilient, with third-quarter same-store gallons outperforming OPIS by approximately six percentage points and October volumes flat year over year despite hurricane disruptions. Management believes elevated prices and volatility can increase customer price sensitivity and support market-share gains. Positive Sentiment: Tight fuel supply continues to benefit Murphy USA’s sourcing capabilities, with management expecting controllable fuel-supply earnings above the normalized $0.02–$0.03 per gallon range. Retail margins also benefit when price declines follow elevated prices, although results remain sensitive to volatile market conditions. Neutral Sentiment: The Murphy Automated Restaurant Solutions program, including the White Castle partnership, now has more than 100 units and has produced encouraging early results, but management said it is too early to assess scalable demand or economics. Negative Sentiment: QuickChek continues to face near-term pressure from its food-forward model and concentrated geographic footprint, while non-nicotine sales were pressured mainly by beer and lottery comparisons. Management said these pressures are reflected in full-year guidance and are expected to persist in the near term. AI Generated. May Contain Errors.Conference Call Audio Live Call not available Earnings Conference CallMurphy USA Q3 202600:00 / 00:00Speed:1x1.25x1.5x2xThere are 11 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Thank you for standing by. My name is Frida, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to Murphy USA's third quarter 2026 earnings Q&A call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, press star one again. Thank you. I would now like to turn the call over to Christian Pikul. Please go ahead. Speaker 100:00:35Hey, thanks, Frida. Good morning, everybody. Thanks for joining us. With me are Mindy West, Chief Executive Officer, and Donnie Smith, Chief Financial Officer. I know you've all probably accessed our earnings release and management commentary from the website last night, so we'll go ahead and kick off the Q&A session. Please limit yourself to one question and a follow-up, and then get back in the queue to make sure we get to everybody. Please also keep in mind that some of the comments made during this call, including the Q&A portion, will be considered forward-looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. As such, no assurances can be given that these events will occur or that the projections will be attained. A variety of factors exist that may cause actual results to differ. Speaker 100:01:15For further discussion of risk factors, please see the latest Murphy USA Forms 10-K, 10-Q, 8-K and other recent SEC filings. Murphy USA takes no duty to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements. During today's call, we may also provide certain performance measures that do not conform to generally accepted accounting principles or GAAP. We have provided schedules to reconcile those non-GAAP measures with the reported results on a GAAP basis as part of our earnings press release, which can be found on the investor section of our website. With that, let's go ahead and open up the call. I'll turn it back over to Frida. Operator00:01:51Your first question from the line of Jacob Aiken-Phillips with Melius Research. Your line is now open. Please go ahead. Speaker 200:02:00Hey. Good morning, everyone. Just on the unit pipeline, you have 18 stores through today and 55 under construction. Does the 45 openings this year still hold? How many construction sites are open this year versus the first and second quarters of 2027? Will 2027 be back half-weighted? Speaker 300:02:22Thanks for your question, Jacob. Yes, we're really pleased to have built a pipeline where we have 18 stores open year to date, 55, as you mentioned, under construction, and also a firm plan to start 15 to 20 between now and the end of January. Our guidance still holds. We'll be around that 45 to 50, obviously a little bit better than 45, we hope, as we end the year. Very difficult to predict what stores are going to open December 31, for example, versus January 2, because we have so many in flight right now. That's why we wanted to give you comfort in the stores under construction, because obviously, whatever doesn't open in December is going to open very soon within the new year, starting our 2027 pipeline off in a good direction. Speaker 300:03:13We are still firm that we have built our pipeline sufficient now to be able to carry out 50 stores a year, not just for this year, but also next year and maybe even do better than that by the time we get to 2028. I would also estimate that by 2028, our hope is to get our pipeline more rateable. Instead of opening everything kind of at the end of the year, first of the year, we're more rateable throughout the year. Too soon to tell how lumpy the pipeline is going to be in 2027. Obviously, we're going to have a slug of stores that are going to open early, but then we would also expect to have a nice complement of stores going behind that in the second, third, and fourth quarters as well. Speaker 200:03:57Super helpful. Just on the White Castle partnership, any early reads or customer behavior that you're willing to disclose? Speaker 300:04:06Yeah, that's a great question, Jacob, and one actually we anticipated getting. Just to clarify for everyone, we actually refer to that program internally as MARS, so Murphy Automated Restaurant Solutions. We view this as a test to scale program. Currently, we have more than 100 units in the market today and are deliberately scaling the program across new markets and formats. Our goal, though, really is threefold. It's to build evidence around customer demand, fit to our operating model, and also the store-level economics as we deploy this out. At this point, it's simply too early to comment on any scalable performance potential, although we will say the initial results that we've seen so far are encouraging. But that's really all that we really want to say at this time. Speaker 300:04:58Hopefully in future calls, we will have line of sight to some more details to be able to provide you. Operator00:05:05Your next question from the line of Bonnie Herzog with Goldman Sachs. Your line is now open. Please go ahead. Speaker 400:05:13All right. Thank you, and good morning. I just had a quick question on fuel volumes. You mentioned that you are confident in your SS fuel volume guidance of -1% to -3%, but then looking at year to date, your volumes are essentially flat. I know you have a tougher comp in Q4, but it does sort of suggest you'll maybe be at the, I guess, high end of that range. Hoping, Mindy, you could talk about how we should think about that, maybe what you're seeing from a fuel volume dynamic and any consumer behavior at the pump. Thank you. Speaker 300:05:52Yeah, I would say that our business is advantaged as we enter this more elevated price environment for longer because that is going to make customers more price sensitive. For the third quarter, I believe we have prices above $4.10 out of our 27 states. But I think the longer that continues, the more price fatigue there's going to be on our customer, the more budget fatigue there's going to be. So we would expect gallon growth from that. Also we're continuing to take share. What our third quarter results tell us is that we took share on both a total gallon basis, but also a same store basis as we were a plus 6 versus OPIS. So we were slightly positive when OPIS would tell us that we were going to be flat. Speaker 300:06:37So we know that higher absolute prices absolutely increase price sensitivity, but also we still need that right environment and price-wise to be able to create that separation to drive incremental value. We saw that a little bit for a third of this quarter, being in a high-priced environment combined with a favorable falloff, and we saw the behavior that we would expect. So for the fourth quarter, too soon to know what that's going to look like, but I would say that we are encouraged by volumes so far in the month of October being at 100% of the prior year, because that's despite some hurricane activity, which really took a large percentage of our stores down for several days. Speaker 300:07:19So we're optimistic about what we see and we're also optimistic as we go into 2027 because we think this heightened volatility and these higher prices are going to continue as we enter into next year. Speaker 400:07:32Yeah, that does make sense. If I could ask maybe just a follow-up on sticking with fuel, because on that point, looking at your fuel margins in the quarter, could you maybe just touch on a little bit more on the composition of total fuel contribution? What I mean by that is, I was looking at the retail fuel margins, seem to be a little bit more under pressure, so maybe talk about that. Then I know a lot of the fuel supply and RIN strength was due to uncontrollable factors, but how should we think about modeling the fuel supply segment, I guess, in Q4 and maybe next year, Mindy, based on what you just said? Thank you. Speaker 300:08:11Bonnie, I'm actually glad I'm not an analyst and don't actually have to model it because I appreciate there's a lot of moving parts, there's a lot of nuances that happen out there, and every one of those absolutely can make a difference in our results. I'll try to help you out as much as I can. As I unpack the third quarter, the retail margin, it may have looked soft to you, but actually what we saw in July was a run-up in price. That's not going to be an environment favorable to margin. Actually margin, prices creeped up for almost all of the quarter, which is not a great backdrop to earning margin. Speaker 300:08:52The fact that we were within a penny of the prior year, which had a falling price environment, is telling us that structural component that we talk about is still there causing pressure on those marginal retailers. It really wasn't until the last half of September where we had the elevated prices combined with a falloff that we were able to create that separation and drive both margin and volume. When I look at the fuel supply results, again, it was an upward sloping environment, so we had an impact on the uncontrollables, as we call them, especially during the month of July. From a controllable standpoint, product supply was still very tight. Not as tight as it was in the shock, maybe the first shock that we saw in the second quarter. Speaker 300:09:39The controllables were lower in the third quarter versus the second quarter because the second quarter was dealing with that initial shock. We still see a tight supply condition going into the fourth quarter. We don't expect that to alleviate. Don't know what's going to happen with the pricing environment, but want to remind people if we do see a falloff, yes, that will cause an effect in what we determine are uncontrollables, but that should also have a very positive effect on the retail side of the margin with expanded margin, and then hopefully also a chance to create separation and drive volume so that total fuel contribution would be very healthy in that type of environment. But appreciate, Bonnie, that there's lots of moving parts. Speaker 300:10:23I don't know how to tell you to model it, but look forward to unpacking the results for the fourth quarter when we are talking in January. Hopefully that helps a little bit at least. Operator00:10:35Your next question from the line of Tom Palmer with JPMorgan. Your line is now open. Please go ahead. Speaker 500:10:44Good morning. Thanks for the question. Maybe I could just follow up on Bonnie's question on fuel supply and clarify. On the controllable side, because they were bucketed in controllable RIN prices, how do they impact your fuel profit? Should we think about elevated RIN prices as being a more enduring tailwind, versus, say, the $0.03 or so outlook you've talked about in the past? Or is it more about the volatility of RINs? Just any help there. Thanks. Speaker 300:11:17The volatility of RINs can have an impact that is temporary, but largely RIN prices are a pass-through because the prices of RIN that we're getting was embedded in the cost that we incurred to get that supply in the first place. Yes, if RIN prices rise really rapidly or fall really rapidly, that may not have an impact immediately within the cost of our supply, but over the course of a few days, that's going to normalize out. We really don't concern ourselves with what the price of the RIN is because it is strictly a pass-through. That $0.02 to $0.03 that we talk about, that is what we would expect to earn during a normalized environment where that uncontrollable piece is more or less flat. Speaker 300:12:05That is the $0.02 to $0.03 that we believe that we can earn from the controllable side of the business. I will say in a tight supply environment like we are in now, that is where our fuel advantages are to the most effect because we have all this optionality around how we acquire supply so we can acquire it cheaper than we could if we just bought it at the rack. We would expect our product supply and wholesale business to earn over the $0.02 and $0.03 in a tight supply environment, and then obviously this uncontrollable piece will have an impact pertaining to the direction of the prices. Speaker 500:12:45Okay. Thank you for that. I just wanted to clarify, I know there was some language about this, but when we're looking at the stepped-up OpEx in the fourth quarter, I know a lot of it is kind of referring to lapse, but there is also maybe some deferral of certain things that are falling into 4Q. To what extent should we start thinking about any level of heightened OpEx growth next year? Or is that not the case? Speaker 300:13:13Well, we're always going to have a focus on controlling our costs. The elevated, we were actually down this quarter. We're expecting a little bit of a catch-up in next quarter, but also we're overlapping some initiatives that we deliberately put in place last year with regard to maintenance. As we overlap those cost savings that we already got in the fourth quarter of last year, that's part of what is driving the modest increase. But again, for guidance purposes, we still expect to end the year even below our very low guidance that we already put out there. As we enter next year, our intent is going to be to sustain the advantages that we already have and create some new ones as well. But too early to guide specifically as to what that's going to look like. Operator00:14:05Your next question from the line of Edward Kelly with Wells Fargo. Your line is now open. Please go ahead. Speaker 600:14:13Hi, good morning. I wanted to follow up on the fuel margins and you mentioned retail margins better than you would've thought in a rising price environment. Could you maybe provide a little bit of context around that, competitively and what's allowing that to happen? As part of that, as you think about maybe eventually, right, the situation in Iran stabilizing, curious as to what your thoughts are on where margins could settle out versus the $0.28 you earned in 2024 and 2025 on the retail side, and maybe how independent breakevens are informing that. Speaker 300:14:49Yeah. When we talk about a rising price environment not being conducive to margin, it is because you're constantly having to catch up for the price increases that you're incurring. The market continues to have to restore. In a choppy market, especially one that we saw during this quarter, it was very difficult to get ahead of it. We were always trying to restore the market versus the prior period where you had lower absolute prices, but a falloff in prices that sustained for a longer period of time. What we are also seeing is that, for instance, when we take share of market, which OPIS would indicate that we are, that is just putting more pressure on those marginal retailers who their only way to make up for that lost volume is to make up for it in margin. Speaker 300:15:39That is continuing to support that structural margin element that we talk about that maybe will be half a penny a year, don't know. But that certainly is seeming to hold up as our results this quarter would verify based on our retail margin being very close to what we reported last year in a completely different environment. As we look forward, we actually expect this heightened tight supply elevated volatility to carry on into next year. Speaker 300:16:13Don't know when the war is going to end, but even after it does, the normalization effect is going to be really complicated because we're going to have infrastructure impacts, refinery maintenance that's been postponed, supply chain recovery, strategic reserves have to be replenished. As long as supplies remain tight, we are going to expect continued volatility, which actually is an opportunity for the Murphy USA business because we are built for this environment, and our capabilities allow us to capitalize on that continued volatility. We will be able to capitalize on it on the product supply side, but that pressure that we're also putting that marginal retailer is going to allow margins to elevate for all in the business. Speaker 300:16:57We'll be able to capture benefits on both sides of the fuel business, and with all these stores that we have in the pipeline, they're going to open next year. They're going to open into a favorable environment also, which will increase our earnings power for 2027 and beyond. Speaker 600:17:15And maybe just as a follow-up from a competition standpoint, can you just talk about some of the differences that you are seeing in some of the markets that have been a little bit more difficult from a volume perspective? Whether you are seeing any easing there or are there any other changes that we should note in this regard? Speaker 300:17:34Yeah. No real changes. There continue to be areas of pressure, but pressure is just going to naturally shift across the chain over time as markets are simply all at different stages of maturity and competitive intensity. I know that Colorado and Florida have been two states that we have mentioned with material competitive pressure. But just like we discussed in this year's investor deck, Colorado is a great example of what happens when a market is starting to normalize. Volumes are still under pressure, and I can tell you that they still are. But CPG is more than offsetting that gallon decline, which is driving total contribution up for the market and for players like us. So look, we are still investing in desirable markets where people want to grow. Speaker 300:18:22That is fine because we know over time that competition is going to put additional pressure again on that marginal retailer supporting the structural margin. So yes, we had volume pressure in certain states. Colorado and Florida were two of those, but seven out of our top 10 actually showed same-store growth, which is the benefit of us having a broader footprint. So competitive intensity continues. I would not say it is any more or any less. I would just say the pockets of intensity tend to move over time and evolve, but in a very predictable way. Operator00:18:58Your next question from the line of Bobby Griffin with Raymond James. Your line is now open. Please go ahead. Speaker 700:19:05Good morning, guys. Thanks for taking the questions. I guess, Mindy, first I want to switch back to the stores. I think you guys have opened up a little over 40 over the trailing 12 months. Can you maybe talk a little bit how those have opened or performed in the first year? I think you guys were debating maybe a little bit different store prototypes or having a second prototype or something like that. Just any updates there on kind of that aspect of the store growth pipeline over the next couple years? Speaker 300:19:33Yeah, sure. Thanks for the question, Bobby. I would say the latest class, the build class, is ramping up good. Maybe a little bit slower on the fuel side, because remember, we opened a lot at the end of the year, so they ramped in first to all the winter storms impacting our network. They ramped into all this price increase. That wasn't a great environment to create separation and volume. But they're ramping despite the environment that they face. When we look at the build class from the year before, what we talked about in 2025 was we were seeing those build classes return 15%, fully ramped up after tax. That was in the trough environment. So we would expect that to be even better when we look at them this year. But we're building really strong assets to last for 30 years. Speaker 300:20:28As you know, our issue really hasn't been performance and still isn't. Our issue has been pace of store openings, because the math would tell you, had we opened 50 stores per year from 2021 to 2024, our EBITDA last year actually would have exceeded $1.1 billion. Obviously, we didn't do that. We opened 18 stores, 35, 22, and 29 stores, and that really created a tax on our business, not allowing us to show incremental EBITDA improvement in what was the worst possible fuel macro environment last year. That's why we're excited now to have our pipeline built up, because we can sustain that pace that we have talked about for the last several years, and we know that that's going to be able to drive ratable EBITDA improvement for us, regardless of the macro. Speaker 300:21:20Last year's stores are ramping in a challenged environment, but they're coming along fine. This year's build class is going to do just fine as well. We are continuing to build great sites and great locations. But also as the second part to your question, we are definitely looking at new formats, not completely abandoning the model. The 2,800 is still going to have its place in our portfolio, but we're also looking at are there things that we can do that are maybe slightly smaller, slightly larger, or just new and different from what we have done. We've also reimagined our raze and rebuild programs too, where it may not be a raze and rebuild that we do. We may do a heavy refresh, heavy remodel, do things like that. Just having a little more optionality in our model than what we have had before. Speaker 300:22:11But too soon to really talk about specifics as to what those will be. Speaker 700:22:16Okay. That's helpful. Makes sense. Then maybe switching gears just over to the inside store business, in particular on nicotine, obviously lapping the ZYN promo from last year. But just curious, what are you hearing from that category about the promo environment going into 2027? I believe with some of the FDA changes, vapes might have been hitting the floors late in Q3 or maybe early Q4, so just anything there on some of the changes there that were taking place. Speaker 300:22:42Yeah, sure. Look, it still continues to be very promotional, the whole category, as consumers are still really in a test-and-try environment. They're not necessarily really loyal to any one thing. We're seeing a lot of customer sets from the oral nicotine in particular, where we've seen people switching from their traditional method. We've seen people trying it in conjunction to their traditional. We're also seeing new nicotine customers that are new to us, buying from us instead of someone else. So, vendors are still going to be very promotional around this category and make investments with us because we offer a high ROI on that investment. Then you also mentioned the vape and other things that may be entering. Legal vape is an incremental opportunity. We do have one brand in our stores today. We have additional products expected in 2027. Speaker 300:23:39So it's still limited right now, but it will become more meaningful as more products are allowed to be available. It's been an important category historically, so we know there is opportunity as volume moves back into the legal channel. So we definitely expect that to happen and we will leverage our supply chain, our capabilities, the investments that we've made to be among the first to be able to offer that to our customers. Operator00:24:07Your next question from the line of Pooran Sharma with Stephens. Your line is now open. Please go ahead. Speaker 800:24:16Good morning. Thanks for the question. Speaker 300:24:18Good morning. Speaker 800:24:21Hey, good morning. Maybe wanted to just start out with the broader consumer. Wanted to get your view on maybe the different cohorts. I know you mainly index to lower income consumers, but in this higher gasoline price environment, are you seeing consumers trading down from premium and mid-grade to regular? More broadly, are you seeing consumers trading down from higher priced competitors to Murphy in general? Speaker 300:25:03Are you meaning strictly on the fuel side or also inside the store? Speaker 800:25:11On both, really. Speaker 300:25:13Okay. Perfect. Let's do both. Your specific question as to RUL, yes. RUL actually for the quarter was up almost 2.5%, was actually up double that in the month of September, as you are right, we are seeing both our customers trading down from premium and mid-grade, but also customers trading in from other competitors because of our low price. Inside the store, we would also characterize our customers as resilient despite the ongoing pressure. We are calling them selective but resilient. As we know, our customers have both discretionary and non-discretionary spend. We have seen them continue to spend on those non-discretionary purchases despite the rising fuel costs. But their purchases are remaining disciplined. They are not deteriorating. To give you a proof point, we have a static panel of over 2 million of our Murphy Drive Rewards customers. Speaker 300:26:15Their total spend is up $50 year-over-year with us, and that is driven by the higher fuel spend, right? But the merch spend is also remaining static, actually up slightly. Our customers are making the trade-off, but they are doing it in other areas of their household budgets to absorb that higher fuel spend. And we continue to resonate because of our value proposition, our everyday low price position. We stand for value, so we are helping to support them even as their household budgets are remaining constrained. Maybe a little bit of pressure on the non-discretionary purchases, but for those discretionary purchases in our store, even inside the store, those are very much tied to routine, everyday things, and customers are still finding room in their wallets to be able to come in our stores and purchase those. Speaker 800:27:07Great. Appreciate that color. Just for my follow-up, I wanted to ask about volumes. I know a few folks have asked about it already. But October volumes last year were about 2% lower, so I think it was a little bit easier comp. You finished Q4 last year around flattish volumes, which implies harder comps in November and December, as Bonnie Herzog had pointed out. As you mentioned, historically, a sustained decline in pricing is that type of environment where you can create some separation. As I'm looking to Q4, even though you have harder comps in November and December, if RBOB holds here or drops further, do you think it would be justified to think that you could see positive same-store gallon growth in November and December this year? Speaker 300:28:09We could, Pooran. I think October, the fact that we're flat despite the hurricane impacting our stores is significant because last year, while it was an easy comp, we didn't have any hurricane activity at all. But from a pricing standpoint, yes, last year was an absolutely low price, but we did have a down in October. We had another down in the month of November. So when we look at this October, we had an up and then a down, and it remains to be seen what we're going to have for the rest of the year. Speaker 300:28:40But if we continue to get sustained prices above $4, and if we can even rise a little bit from there, so we can get more of our network above the $4 mark, and importantly, our competitors way above that $4 mark, I think that that is going to make customers more price sensitive. Then obviously, if we could have a glide down in the second half of November that was on a sustained basis, not a choppy basis, that would certainly be an environment where even despite the difficult comp, we might could improve. But really too soon in the crystal ball to be able to tell what's going to happen for the rest of the year. Is it doable? Yes, but it would take the right set of conditions to make that happen. Operator00:29:23The queue is now open for follow-ups and additional questions. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your keypad to ask a question. To withdraw your question, press star one again. Your next question comes from Dan Guglielmo with Capital One Securities. Your line is now open. Please go ahead. Speaker 900:29:46Hi, everyone. Thank you for taking my question. Just one from me. You mentioned in an earlier answer that you expect the normalization effect to be complicated, and the team has so much experience in the industry. I am just curious, what do you look for when judging if we have reentered a normalized period? Speaker 300:30:07Well, the spot to rack differential is going to tell you one, but the leading indicators will be, one, does the war actually end, and does it actually end, or is it just talk that it will end? Finding out what is happening with the infrastructure overseas will be important. Refineries that have been running in North America full out for almost 2 years, refineries are not designed to do that. They are going to have to come down for maintenance. Do they have problems on the way up or not? How soon does the supply chain work its way out, and what really is the decrement to this overall supply chain that has to be filled? There will be some leading indicators for that, but those aren't things that are going to normalize within a week or 2. Speaker 300:30:53Those are things that are going to take months, and that is why we feel confident, at least at this point, that even if the war actually ended today, we would still have lingering impacts well into 2027, which works to our advantage because of the optionality we have around the fuel chain. We aren't dependent on one source of supply. We can get supply from a lot of places. So if supply happens to be tight in one area, we're not dependent on any one area. That is why we are built for this environment, and our capabilities are actually worth a whole lot, and our advantage is worth a whole lot. But those are the type of leading indicators that we would point to. But regardless of anything, these things are going to take months and months to work out. Speaker 900:31:44Great. Thank you. Operator00:31:49Your next question from the line of Brad Thomas with KeyBanc Capital Markets, your line is now open. Please go ahead. Speaker 1000:31:59Hi. Thanks so much. Mindy, a first one on QuickChek. Can you talk about its performance in the quarter and how you're thinking about its EBITDA going forward? Speaker 300:32:09We don't break out the QuickChek EBITDA, but happy to talk about it. That business does continue to face pressure. It is a different business. Look, it is food forward, not fuel forward. It is a higher cost model to run because of that. It also has a very concentrated geographic footprint, so it doesn't have the benefit of stores everywhere, where if you're experiencing competitive intensity in Colorado, we have all these other stores everywhere else that are doing just great. It is very concentrated geographically. So we're remaining focused on improving our merchandise performance through things like sharper pricing, right assortment, executing well on our food and beverage capability. We're also working on the cost side of our business, tightly aligning the labor and our operating costs to the actual customer demand that we're seeing. Speaker 300:33:02We're also implementing that sales first model that we have on the Murphy USA side into the QuickChek side, with the ability to upsell and better execute on promotions. To be quite candid, we expect all the pressures that we have been seeing and are seeing to continue to persist in the near term. That expectation, though, is reflected in the guidance that you've already seen for the full year. So, no additional increment, but that business does continue to face pressure. Speaker 1000:33:35I appreciate it. Then obviously, the overall business on track for a great year here. So I hate to nitpick on the non-nicotine same-store sales. But as you look at that area, clearly some challenges for the consumer. Maybe can you speak to, are you still seeing headwinds from SNAP and how big are those? Then anything interesting that you're seeing in the pipeline or that you're testing in stores that might be helpful to drive some more excitement in that area? Thanks. Speaker 300:34:07Yeah. That's a great question. Look, our non-nicotine performance is primarily due to two specific categories, which we've talked about before. It's beer and it's lottery. Those are discretionary categories. Obviously, higher gas prices are not helping those at all. Lottery was the largest driver of our same-store decline, but it's also comping prior year where we had a $1.8 billion Powerball. Beer, similarly, is also a headwind. We did see some moderation this quarter. It doesn't mean it's positive, it just means it's not as bad as it was. But if you exclude lottery and beer, our non-nicotine same-store margin was actually up 1% year over year. So that's showing you that customers are still engaging in the key categories. Pack Bev did really well. Snacks did really well. Speaker 300:34:59We are gaining share across our center-of-store categories versus Nielsen, so that speaks to the strength of our value proposition. Also, don't forget nicotine. We're continuing to drive results there and take share across that broad portfolio. SNAP, we're really not seeing a material impact yet, but as a reminder, our exposure there is limited to less than 2% of sales. SNAP is a currency, not a customer. So yet to be seen with, do those customers just come to our stores and buy those products like a Red Bull energy drink, for example, but pay with a different method? Then with regards to initiatives, look, we're continuing just to focus on the basics. Our offer being in stock, priced right, promoted effectively, and leveraging our continually sophisticated MDR capabilities. So those are the things that we're doing to address. Speaker 300:35:54But the primary culprits are lottery and beer, and that's not just a Murphy specific headwind, that's an industry headwind, as you guys know. Operator00:36:05We have reached the end of the Q&A session. I will now turn the call back to Mindy West for closing remarks. Speaker 300:36:12All right. Thanks, everyone. We are pleased with the results we have delivered so far this year. We are also even more confident in the underlying strength of our business, but we appreciate your continued interest in Murphy USA and look forward to updating you again next quarter. Operator00:36:29This concludes today's call. Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect.Read morePowered by Earnings DocumentsPress Release(8-K) Murphy USA Q3 2026 Earnings FAQ Did Murphy USA beat earnings estimates for Q3 2026? Murphy USA (NYSE:MUSA) reported earnings of $9.59 per share for Q3 2026, beating the consensus estimate of $8.37. The report was announced on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. What was Murphy USA's revenue for Q3 2026? Murphy USA reported revenue of $6.89 billion for Q3 2026, against a consensus estimate of $6.25 billion. Where can I read Murphy USA's Q3 2026 earnings call transcript? The full Murphy USA Q3 2026 earnings conference call transcript is published on this page, including prepared remarks and the analyst Q&A session, along with the participants who spoke on the call. Murphy USA Earnings HeadlinesMurphy USA: Margins Staying Wider For Longer1 hour ago | seekingalpha.comMurphy USA Inc. Reports Earnings Results for the Third Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2026October 29 at 1:02 AM | marketscreener.comMYour book attachedYour Download Link (Expiring) If you still haven't downloaded the free Simple Options Trading For Beginners guide...please take a few seconds and download it right now before your download link expires. That way, no matter what it costs in the future, you'll have a free copy on your computer.October 29 at 1:00 AM | Profits Run (Ad)Murphy USA Q3 2026: Fuel supply drives an 11.5% earnings beatOctober 28 at 8:01 PM | 247wallst.comMurphy USA (MUSA) Q3 Earnings and Revenues Beat EstimatesOctober 28 at 8:01 PM | finance.yahoo.comMurphy USA Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2026 ResultsOctober 28 at 4:31 PM | businesswire.comSee More Murphy USA Headlines Get Earnings Announcements in your inboxWant to stay updated on the latest earnings announcements and upcoming reports for companies like Murphy USA? Sign up for Earnings360's daily newsletter to receive timely earnings updates on Murphy USA and other key companies, straight to your email. Email Address About Murphy USAMurphy USA (NYSE:MUSA) is a U.S. operator of retail fuel and convenience stores. The company sells gasoline and diesel fuel along with tobacco products, packaged beverages, snacks, candy, grocery items, general merchandise and other convenience products. Many locations also offer prepared food and related services. The company operates stores under the Murphy USA and Murphy Express brands, with a network concentrated primarily in the Southern, Southeastern and Midwestern United States. Murphy USA locations are commonly situated near Walmart stores, while Murphy Express sites generally operate as standalone convenience stores. The company serves motorists and local communities through fuel sales and everyday convenience retailing. Murphy USA became an independent publicly traded company in 2013 following its separation from Murphy Oil Corporation. The company is headquartered in El Dorado, Arkansas, and is led by President and Chief Executive Officer Andrew Clyde.View Murphy USA ProfileRead more More Earnings Resources from MarketBeat Earnings Tools Today's Earnings Tomorrow's Earnings Next Week's Earnings Upcoming Earnings Calls Earnings Newsletter Earnings Call Transcripts Earnings Beats & Misses Corporate Guidance Earnings Screener Latest Articles Alphabet’s Cloud Is Paying Off—But the Bill for Building It Keeps GrowingPlugging In: Vertiv Cashes In On AI DemandConstellation Energy's Nuclear Expansion Gets a $5 Billion Opening, Not a GuaranteeVisa's Toll Booth Keeps Collecting, But the Price Is RisingEnphase Energy's Solar Slump Raises a Question About Its AI Data Center AmbitionsHeavy Metal: Why Nucor Could Be an Overlooked AI Infrastructure WinnerGarmin Raises Its Profit Outlook—Can the Stock Reach New Highs? 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There are 11 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Thank you for standing by. My name is Frida, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to Murphy USA's third quarter 2026 earnings Q&A call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, press star one again. Thank you. I would now like to turn the call over to Christian Pikul. Please go ahead. Speaker 100:00:35Hey, thanks, Frida. Good morning, everybody. Thanks for joining us. With me are Mindy West, Chief Executive Officer, and Donnie Smith, Chief Financial Officer. I know you've all probably accessed our earnings release and management commentary from the website last night, so we'll go ahead and kick off the Q&A session. Please limit yourself to one question and a follow-up, and then get back in the queue to make sure we get to everybody. Please also keep in mind that some of the comments made during this call, including the Q&A portion, will be considered forward-looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. As such, no assurances can be given that these events will occur or that the projections will be attained. A variety of factors exist that may cause actual results to differ. Speaker 100:01:15For further discussion of risk factors, please see the latest Murphy USA Forms 10-K, 10-Q, 8-K and other recent SEC filings. Murphy USA takes no duty to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements. During today's call, we may also provide certain performance measures that do not conform to generally accepted accounting principles or GAAP. We have provided schedules to reconcile those non-GAAP measures with the reported results on a GAAP basis as part of our earnings press release, which can be found on the investor section of our website. With that, let's go ahead and open up the call. I'll turn it back over to Frida. Operator00:01:51Your first question from the line of Jacob Aiken-Phillips with Melius Research. Your line is now open. Please go ahead. Speaker 200:02:00Hey. Good morning, everyone. Just on the unit pipeline, you have 18 stores through today and 55 under construction. Does the 45 openings this year still hold? How many construction sites are open this year versus the first and second quarters of 2027? Will 2027 be back half-weighted? Speaker 300:02:22Thanks for your question, Jacob. Yes, we're really pleased to have built a pipeline where we have 18 stores open year to date, 55, as you mentioned, under construction, and also a firm plan to start 15 to 20 between now and the end of January. Our guidance still holds. We'll be around that 45 to 50, obviously a little bit better than 45, we hope, as we end the year. Very difficult to predict what stores are going to open December 31, for example, versus January 2, because we have so many in flight right now. That's why we wanted to give you comfort in the stores under construction, because obviously, whatever doesn't open in December is going to open very soon within the new year, starting our 2027 pipeline off in a good direction. Speaker 300:03:13We are still firm that we have built our pipeline sufficient now to be able to carry out 50 stores a year, not just for this year, but also next year and maybe even do better than that by the time we get to 2028. I would also estimate that by 2028, our hope is to get our pipeline more rateable. Instead of opening everything kind of at the end of the year, first of the year, we're more rateable throughout the year. Too soon to tell how lumpy the pipeline is going to be in 2027. Obviously, we're going to have a slug of stores that are going to open early, but then we would also expect to have a nice complement of stores going behind that in the second, third, and fourth quarters as well. Speaker 200:03:57Super helpful. Just on the White Castle partnership, any early reads or customer behavior that you're willing to disclose? Speaker 300:04:06Yeah, that's a great question, Jacob, and one actually we anticipated getting. Just to clarify for everyone, we actually refer to that program internally as MARS, so Murphy Automated Restaurant Solutions. We view this as a test to scale program. Currently, we have more than 100 units in the market today and are deliberately scaling the program across new markets and formats. Our goal, though, really is threefold. It's to build evidence around customer demand, fit to our operating model, and also the store-level economics as we deploy this out. At this point, it's simply too early to comment on any scalable performance potential, although we will say the initial results that we've seen so far are encouraging. But that's really all that we really want to say at this time. Speaker 300:04:58Hopefully in future calls, we will have line of sight to some more details to be able to provide you. Operator00:05:05Your next question from the line of Bonnie Herzog with Goldman Sachs. Your line is now open. Please go ahead. Speaker 400:05:13All right. Thank you, and good morning. I just had a quick question on fuel volumes. You mentioned that you are confident in your SS fuel volume guidance of -1% to -3%, but then looking at year to date, your volumes are essentially flat. I know you have a tougher comp in Q4, but it does sort of suggest you'll maybe be at the, I guess, high end of that range. Hoping, Mindy, you could talk about how we should think about that, maybe what you're seeing from a fuel volume dynamic and any consumer behavior at the pump. Thank you. Speaker 300:05:52Yeah, I would say that our business is advantaged as we enter this more elevated price environment for longer because that is going to make customers more price sensitive. For the third quarter, I believe we have prices above $4.10 out of our 27 states. But I think the longer that continues, the more price fatigue there's going to be on our customer, the more budget fatigue there's going to be. So we would expect gallon growth from that. Also we're continuing to take share. What our third quarter results tell us is that we took share on both a total gallon basis, but also a same store basis as we were a plus 6 versus OPIS. So we were slightly positive when OPIS would tell us that we were going to be flat. Speaker 300:06:37So we know that higher absolute prices absolutely increase price sensitivity, but also we still need that right environment and price-wise to be able to create that separation to drive incremental value. We saw that a little bit for a third of this quarter, being in a high-priced environment combined with a favorable falloff, and we saw the behavior that we would expect. So for the fourth quarter, too soon to know what that's going to look like, but I would say that we are encouraged by volumes so far in the month of October being at 100% of the prior year, because that's despite some hurricane activity, which really took a large percentage of our stores down for several days. Speaker 300:07:19So we're optimistic about what we see and we're also optimistic as we go into 2027 because we think this heightened volatility and these higher prices are going to continue as we enter into next year. Speaker 400:07:32Yeah, that does make sense. If I could ask maybe just a follow-up on sticking with fuel, because on that point, looking at your fuel margins in the quarter, could you maybe just touch on a little bit more on the composition of total fuel contribution? What I mean by that is, I was looking at the retail fuel margins, seem to be a little bit more under pressure, so maybe talk about that. Then I know a lot of the fuel supply and RIN strength was due to uncontrollable factors, but how should we think about modeling the fuel supply segment, I guess, in Q4 and maybe next year, Mindy, based on what you just said? Thank you. Speaker 300:08:11Bonnie, I'm actually glad I'm not an analyst and don't actually have to model it because I appreciate there's a lot of moving parts, there's a lot of nuances that happen out there, and every one of those absolutely can make a difference in our results. I'll try to help you out as much as I can. As I unpack the third quarter, the retail margin, it may have looked soft to you, but actually what we saw in July was a run-up in price. That's not going to be an environment favorable to margin. Actually margin, prices creeped up for almost all of the quarter, which is not a great backdrop to earning margin. Speaker 300:08:52The fact that we were within a penny of the prior year, which had a falling price environment, is telling us that structural component that we talk about is still there causing pressure on those marginal retailers. It really wasn't until the last half of September where we had the elevated prices combined with a falloff that we were able to create that separation and drive both margin and volume. When I look at the fuel supply results, again, it was an upward sloping environment, so we had an impact on the uncontrollables, as we call them, especially during the month of July. From a controllable standpoint, product supply was still very tight. Not as tight as it was in the shock, maybe the first shock that we saw in the second quarter. Speaker 300:09:39The controllables were lower in the third quarter versus the second quarter because the second quarter was dealing with that initial shock. We still see a tight supply condition going into the fourth quarter. We don't expect that to alleviate. Don't know what's going to happen with the pricing environment, but want to remind people if we do see a falloff, yes, that will cause an effect in what we determine are uncontrollables, but that should also have a very positive effect on the retail side of the margin with expanded margin, and then hopefully also a chance to create separation and drive volume so that total fuel contribution would be very healthy in that type of environment. But appreciate, Bonnie, that there's lots of moving parts. Speaker 300:10:23I don't know how to tell you to model it, but look forward to unpacking the results for the fourth quarter when we are talking in January. Hopefully that helps a little bit at least. Operator00:10:35Your next question from the line of Tom Palmer with JPMorgan. Your line is now open. Please go ahead. Speaker 500:10:44Good morning. Thanks for the question. Maybe I could just follow up on Bonnie's question on fuel supply and clarify. On the controllable side, because they were bucketed in controllable RIN prices, how do they impact your fuel profit? Should we think about elevated RIN prices as being a more enduring tailwind, versus, say, the $0.03 or so outlook you've talked about in the past? Or is it more about the volatility of RINs? Just any help there. Thanks. Speaker 300:11:17The volatility of RINs can have an impact that is temporary, but largely RIN prices are a pass-through because the prices of RIN that we're getting was embedded in the cost that we incurred to get that supply in the first place. Yes, if RIN prices rise really rapidly or fall really rapidly, that may not have an impact immediately within the cost of our supply, but over the course of a few days, that's going to normalize out. We really don't concern ourselves with what the price of the RIN is because it is strictly a pass-through. That $0.02 to $0.03 that we talk about, that is what we would expect to earn during a normalized environment where that uncontrollable piece is more or less flat. Speaker 300:12:05That is the $0.02 to $0.03 that we believe that we can earn from the controllable side of the business. I will say in a tight supply environment like we are in now, that is where our fuel advantages are to the most effect because we have all this optionality around how we acquire supply so we can acquire it cheaper than we could if we just bought it at the rack. We would expect our product supply and wholesale business to earn over the $0.02 and $0.03 in a tight supply environment, and then obviously this uncontrollable piece will have an impact pertaining to the direction of the prices. Speaker 500:12:45Okay. Thank you for that. I just wanted to clarify, I know there was some language about this, but when we're looking at the stepped-up OpEx in the fourth quarter, I know a lot of it is kind of referring to lapse, but there is also maybe some deferral of certain things that are falling into 4Q. To what extent should we start thinking about any level of heightened OpEx growth next year? Or is that not the case? Speaker 300:13:13Well, we're always going to have a focus on controlling our costs. The elevated, we were actually down this quarter. We're expecting a little bit of a catch-up in next quarter, but also we're overlapping some initiatives that we deliberately put in place last year with regard to maintenance. As we overlap those cost savings that we already got in the fourth quarter of last year, that's part of what is driving the modest increase. But again, for guidance purposes, we still expect to end the year even below our very low guidance that we already put out there. As we enter next year, our intent is going to be to sustain the advantages that we already have and create some new ones as well. But too early to guide specifically as to what that's going to look like. Operator00:14:05Your next question from the line of Edward Kelly with Wells Fargo. Your line is now open. Please go ahead. Speaker 600:14:13Hi, good morning. I wanted to follow up on the fuel margins and you mentioned retail margins better than you would've thought in a rising price environment. Could you maybe provide a little bit of context around that, competitively and what's allowing that to happen? As part of that, as you think about maybe eventually, right, the situation in Iran stabilizing, curious as to what your thoughts are on where margins could settle out versus the $0.28 you earned in 2024 and 2025 on the retail side, and maybe how independent breakevens are informing that. Speaker 300:14:49Yeah. When we talk about a rising price environment not being conducive to margin, it is because you're constantly having to catch up for the price increases that you're incurring. The market continues to have to restore. In a choppy market, especially one that we saw during this quarter, it was very difficult to get ahead of it. We were always trying to restore the market versus the prior period where you had lower absolute prices, but a falloff in prices that sustained for a longer period of time. What we are also seeing is that, for instance, when we take share of market, which OPIS would indicate that we are, that is just putting more pressure on those marginal retailers who their only way to make up for that lost volume is to make up for it in margin. Speaker 300:15:39That is continuing to support that structural margin element that we talk about that maybe will be half a penny a year, don't know. But that certainly is seeming to hold up as our results this quarter would verify based on our retail margin being very close to what we reported last year in a completely different environment. As we look forward, we actually expect this heightened tight supply elevated volatility to carry on into next year. Speaker 300:16:13Don't know when the war is going to end, but even after it does, the normalization effect is going to be really complicated because we're going to have infrastructure impacts, refinery maintenance that's been postponed, supply chain recovery, strategic reserves have to be replenished. As long as supplies remain tight, we are going to expect continued volatility, which actually is an opportunity for the Murphy USA business because we are built for this environment, and our capabilities allow us to capitalize on that continued volatility. We will be able to capitalize on it on the product supply side, but that pressure that we're also putting that marginal retailer is going to allow margins to elevate for all in the business. Speaker 300:16:57We'll be able to capture benefits on both sides of the fuel business, and with all these stores that we have in the pipeline, they're going to open next year. They're going to open into a favorable environment also, which will increase our earnings power for 2027 and beyond. Speaker 600:17:15And maybe just as a follow-up from a competition standpoint, can you just talk about some of the differences that you are seeing in some of the markets that have been a little bit more difficult from a volume perspective? Whether you are seeing any easing there or are there any other changes that we should note in this regard? Speaker 300:17:34Yeah. No real changes. There continue to be areas of pressure, but pressure is just going to naturally shift across the chain over time as markets are simply all at different stages of maturity and competitive intensity. I know that Colorado and Florida have been two states that we have mentioned with material competitive pressure. But just like we discussed in this year's investor deck, Colorado is a great example of what happens when a market is starting to normalize. Volumes are still under pressure, and I can tell you that they still are. But CPG is more than offsetting that gallon decline, which is driving total contribution up for the market and for players like us. So look, we are still investing in desirable markets where people want to grow. Speaker 300:18:22That is fine because we know over time that competition is going to put additional pressure again on that marginal retailer supporting the structural margin. So yes, we had volume pressure in certain states. Colorado and Florida were two of those, but seven out of our top 10 actually showed same-store growth, which is the benefit of us having a broader footprint. So competitive intensity continues. I would not say it is any more or any less. I would just say the pockets of intensity tend to move over time and evolve, but in a very predictable way. Operator00:18:58Your next question from the line of Bobby Griffin with Raymond James. Your line is now open. Please go ahead. Speaker 700:19:05Good morning, guys. Thanks for taking the questions. I guess, Mindy, first I want to switch back to the stores. I think you guys have opened up a little over 40 over the trailing 12 months. Can you maybe talk a little bit how those have opened or performed in the first year? I think you guys were debating maybe a little bit different store prototypes or having a second prototype or something like that. Just any updates there on kind of that aspect of the store growth pipeline over the next couple years? Speaker 300:19:33Yeah, sure. Thanks for the question, Bobby. I would say the latest class, the build class, is ramping up good. Maybe a little bit slower on the fuel side, because remember, we opened a lot at the end of the year, so they ramped in first to all the winter storms impacting our network. They ramped into all this price increase. That wasn't a great environment to create separation and volume. But they're ramping despite the environment that they face. When we look at the build class from the year before, what we talked about in 2025 was we were seeing those build classes return 15%, fully ramped up after tax. That was in the trough environment. So we would expect that to be even better when we look at them this year. But we're building really strong assets to last for 30 years. Speaker 300:20:28As you know, our issue really hasn't been performance and still isn't. Our issue has been pace of store openings, because the math would tell you, had we opened 50 stores per year from 2021 to 2024, our EBITDA last year actually would have exceeded $1.1 billion. Obviously, we didn't do that. We opened 18 stores, 35, 22, and 29 stores, and that really created a tax on our business, not allowing us to show incremental EBITDA improvement in what was the worst possible fuel macro environment last year. That's why we're excited now to have our pipeline built up, because we can sustain that pace that we have talked about for the last several years, and we know that that's going to be able to drive ratable EBITDA improvement for us, regardless of the macro. Speaker 300:21:20Last year's stores are ramping in a challenged environment, but they're coming along fine. This year's build class is going to do just fine as well. We are continuing to build great sites and great locations. But also as the second part to your question, we are definitely looking at new formats, not completely abandoning the model. The 2,800 is still going to have its place in our portfolio, but we're also looking at are there things that we can do that are maybe slightly smaller, slightly larger, or just new and different from what we have done. We've also reimagined our raze and rebuild programs too, where it may not be a raze and rebuild that we do. We may do a heavy refresh, heavy remodel, do things like that. Just having a little more optionality in our model than what we have had before. Speaker 300:22:11But too soon to really talk about specifics as to what those will be. Speaker 700:22:16Okay. That's helpful. Makes sense. Then maybe switching gears just over to the inside store business, in particular on nicotine, obviously lapping the ZYN promo from last year. But just curious, what are you hearing from that category about the promo environment going into 2027? I believe with some of the FDA changes, vapes might have been hitting the floors late in Q3 or maybe early Q4, so just anything there on some of the changes there that were taking place. Speaker 300:22:42Yeah, sure. Look, it still continues to be very promotional, the whole category, as consumers are still really in a test-and-try environment. They're not necessarily really loyal to any one thing. We're seeing a lot of customer sets from the oral nicotine in particular, where we've seen people switching from their traditional method. We've seen people trying it in conjunction to their traditional. We're also seeing new nicotine customers that are new to us, buying from us instead of someone else. So, vendors are still going to be very promotional around this category and make investments with us because we offer a high ROI on that investment. Then you also mentioned the vape and other things that may be entering. Legal vape is an incremental opportunity. We do have one brand in our stores today. We have additional products expected in 2027. Speaker 300:23:39So it's still limited right now, but it will become more meaningful as more products are allowed to be available. It's been an important category historically, so we know there is opportunity as volume moves back into the legal channel. So we definitely expect that to happen and we will leverage our supply chain, our capabilities, the investments that we've made to be among the first to be able to offer that to our customers. Operator00:24:07Your next question from the line of Pooran Sharma with Stephens. Your line is now open. Please go ahead. Speaker 800:24:16Good morning. Thanks for the question. Speaker 300:24:18Good morning. Speaker 800:24:21Hey, good morning. Maybe wanted to just start out with the broader consumer. Wanted to get your view on maybe the different cohorts. I know you mainly index to lower income consumers, but in this higher gasoline price environment, are you seeing consumers trading down from premium and mid-grade to regular? More broadly, are you seeing consumers trading down from higher priced competitors to Murphy in general? Speaker 300:25:03Are you meaning strictly on the fuel side or also inside the store? Speaker 800:25:11On both, really. Speaker 300:25:13Okay. Perfect. Let's do both. Your specific question as to RUL, yes. RUL actually for the quarter was up almost 2.5%, was actually up double that in the month of September, as you are right, we are seeing both our customers trading down from premium and mid-grade, but also customers trading in from other competitors because of our low price. Inside the store, we would also characterize our customers as resilient despite the ongoing pressure. We are calling them selective but resilient. As we know, our customers have both discretionary and non-discretionary spend. We have seen them continue to spend on those non-discretionary purchases despite the rising fuel costs. But their purchases are remaining disciplined. They are not deteriorating. To give you a proof point, we have a static panel of over 2 million of our Murphy Drive Rewards customers. Speaker 300:26:15Their total spend is up $50 year-over-year with us, and that is driven by the higher fuel spend, right? But the merch spend is also remaining static, actually up slightly. Our customers are making the trade-off, but they are doing it in other areas of their household budgets to absorb that higher fuel spend. And we continue to resonate because of our value proposition, our everyday low price position. We stand for value, so we are helping to support them even as their household budgets are remaining constrained. Maybe a little bit of pressure on the non-discretionary purchases, but for those discretionary purchases in our store, even inside the store, those are very much tied to routine, everyday things, and customers are still finding room in their wallets to be able to come in our stores and purchase those. Speaker 800:27:07Great. Appreciate that color. Just for my follow-up, I wanted to ask about volumes. I know a few folks have asked about it already. But October volumes last year were about 2% lower, so I think it was a little bit easier comp. You finished Q4 last year around flattish volumes, which implies harder comps in November and December, as Bonnie Herzog had pointed out. As you mentioned, historically, a sustained decline in pricing is that type of environment where you can create some separation. As I'm looking to Q4, even though you have harder comps in November and December, if RBOB holds here or drops further, do you think it would be justified to think that you could see positive same-store gallon growth in November and December this year? Speaker 300:28:09We could, Pooran. I think October, the fact that we're flat despite the hurricane impacting our stores is significant because last year, while it was an easy comp, we didn't have any hurricane activity at all. But from a pricing standpoint, yes, last year was an absolutely low price, but we did have a down in October. We had another down in the month of November. So when we look at this October, we had an up and then a down, and it remains to be seen what we're going to have for the rest of the year. Speaker 300:28:40But if we continue to get sustained prices above $4, and if we can even rise a little bit from there, so we can get more of our network above the $4 mark, and importantly, our competitors way above that $4 mark, I think that that is going to make customers more price sensitive. Then obviously, if we could have a glide down in the second half of November that was on a sustained basis, not a choppy basis, that would certainly be an environment where even despite the difficult comp, we might could improve. But really too soon in the crystal ball to be able to tell what's going to happen for the rest of the year. Is it doable? Yes, but it would take the right set of conditions to make that happen. Operator00:29:23The queue is now open for follow-ups and additional questions. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your keypad to ask a question. To withdraw your question, press star one again. Your next question comes from Dan Guglielmo with Capital One Securities. Your line is now open. Please go ahead. Speaker 900:29:46Hi, everyone. Thank you for taking my question. Just one from me. You mentioned in an earlier answer that you expect the normalization effect to be complicated, and the team has so much experience in the industry. I am just curious, what do you look for when judging if we have reentered a normalized period? Speaker 300:30:07Well, the spot to rack differential is going to tell you one, but the leading indicators will be, one, does the war actually end, and does it actually end, or is it just talk that it will end? Finding out what is happening with the infrastructure overseas will be important. Refineries that have been running in North America full out for almost 2 years, refineries are not designed to do that. They are going to have to come down for maintenance. Do they have problems on the way up or not? How soon does the supply chain work its way out, and what really is the decrement to this overall supply chain that has to be filled? There will be some leading indicators for that, but those aren't things that are going to normalize within a week or 2. Speaker 300:30:53Those are things that are going to take months, and that is why we feel confident, at least at this point, that even if the war actually ended today, we would still have lingering impacts well into 2027, which works to our advantage because of the optionality we have around the fuel chain. We aren't dependent on one source of supply. We can get supply from a lot of places. So if supply happens to be tight in one area, we're not dependent on any one area. That is why we are built for this environment, and our capabilities are actually worth a whole lot, and our advantage is worth a whole lot. But those are the type of leading indicators that we would point to. But regardless of anything, these things are going to take months and months to work out. Speaker 900:31:44Great. Thank you. Operator00:31:49Your next question from the line of Brad Thomas with KeyBanc Capital Markets, your line is now open. Please go ahead. Speaker 1000:31:59Hi. Thanks so much. Mindy, a first one on QuickChek. Can you talk about its performance in the quarter and how you're thinking about its EBITDA going forward? Speaker 300:32:09We don't break out the QuickChek EBITDA, but happy to talk about it. That business does continue to face pressure. It is a different business. Look, it is food forward, not fuel forward. It is a higher cost model to run because of that. It also has a very concentrated geographic footprint, so it doesn't have the benefit of stores everywhere, where if you're experiencing competitive intensity in Colorado, we have all these other stores everywhere else that are doing just great. It is very concentrated geographically. So we're remaining focused on improving our merchandise performance through things like sharper pricing, right assortment, executing well on our food and beverage capability. We're also working on the cost side of our business, tightly aligning the labor and our operating costs to the actual customer demand that we're seeing. Speaker 300:33:02We're also implementing that sales first model that we have on the Murphy USA side into the QuickChek side, with the ability to upsell and better execute on promotions. To be quite candid, we expect all the pressures that we have been seeing and are seeing to continue to persist in the near term. That expectation, though, is reflected in the guidance that you've already seen for the full year. So, no additional increment, but that business does continue to face pressure. Speaker 1000:33:35I appreciate it. Then obviously, the overall business on track for a great year here. So I hate to nitpick on the non-nicotine same-store sales. But as you look at that area, clearly some challenges for the consumer. Maybe can you speak to, are you still seeing headwinds from SNAP and how big are those? Then anything interesting that you're seeing in the pipeline or that you're testing in stores that might be helpful to drive some more excitement in that area? Thanks. Speaker 300:34:07Yeah. That's a great question. Look, our non-nicotine performance is primarily due to two specific categories, which we've talked about before. It's beer and it's lottery. Those are discretionary categories. Obviously, higher gas prices are not helping those at all. Lottery was the largest driver of our same-store decline, but it's also comping prior year where we had a $1.8 billion Powerball. Beer, similarly, is also a headwind. We did see some moderation this quarter. It doesn't mean it's positive, it just means it's not as bad as it was. But if you exclude lottery and beer, our non-nicotine same-store margin was actually up 1% year over year. So that's showing you that customers are still engaging in the key categories. Pack Bev did really well. Snacks did really well. Speaker 300:34:59We are gaining share across our center-of-store categories versus Nielsen, so that speaks to the strength of our value proposition. Also, don't forget nicotine. We're continuing to drive results there and take share across that broad portfolio. SNAP, we're really not seeing a material impact yet, but as a reminder, our exposure there is limited to less than 2% of sales. SNAP is a currency, not a customer. So yet to be seen with, do those customers just come to our stores and buy those products like a Red Bull energy drink, for example, but pay with a different method? Then with regards to initiatives, look, we're continuing just to focus on the basics. Our offer being in stock, priced right, promoted effectively, and leveraging our continually sophisticated MDR capabilities. So those are the things that we're doing to address. Speaker 300:35:54But the primary culprits are lottery and beer, and that's not just a Murphy specific headwind, that's an industry headwind, as you guys know. Operator00:36:05We have reached the end of the Q&A session. I will now turn the call back to Mindy West for closing remarks. Speaker 300:36:12All right. Thanks, everyone. We are pleased with the results we have delivered so far this year. We are also even more confident in the underlying strength of our business, but we appreciate your continued interest in Murphy USA and look forward to updating you again next quarter. Operator00:36:29This concludes today's call. Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect.Read morePowered by