Lundin Gold Q3 2026 Earnings Results & Report

Lundin Gold EPS Results

• Actual EPS: C$1.75
• Consensus EPS: N/A
• Beat/Miss: N/A
• One Year Ago EPS: N/A
• EPS Beat Rate: 3 of last 8 quarters

Lundin Gold Revenue Results

• Actual Revenue: C$901.15 million
• Expected Revenue: N/A
• Beat/Miss: N/A
• YoY Revenue Growth: N/A

Lundin Gold (TSE:LUG), headquartered in Vancouver, Canada, owns the Fruta del Norte gold mine in southeast Ecuador. Fruta del Norte is among the highest-grade operating gold mines in the world. The Company's board and management team have extensive expertise and are dedicated to operating Fruta del Norte responsibly. The Company operates with transparency and in accordance with international best practices. Lundin Gold is committed to delivering value to its shareholders through operational excellence and growth, while simultaneously providing economic and social benefits to impacted communities, fostering a healthy and safe workplace and minimizing the environmental impact. Furthermore, Lundin Gold is focused on continued exploration on its extensive and highly prospective land package to identify and develop new resource opportunities to ensure long-term sustainability and growth for the Company and its stakeholders.

Lundin Gold Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Key Takeaways

• Positive Sentiment: Lundin Gold reported record Q3 production of about 154,000 ounces, supported by higher-than-planned grades and record mine and mill throughput. Management said it remains on track to meet 2026 production guidance of 475,000–525,000 ounces, though Q4 production is expected to moderate as grades normalize and after scheduled maintenance.
• Positive Sentiment: Strong operations generated $377 million in operating cash flow and $331 million in free cash flow; the company ended the quarter with $574 million in cash. It returned $261 million to shareholders in Q3 and declared a $1.14-per-share dividend, continuing its policy of returning 100% of normalized free cash flow.
• Positive Sentiment: The mine-to-mill expansion study has advanced to final cost estimates and scheduling, with an integrated investment decision expected in Q4. Underground development at FDNS and FDN East is progressing, while management said further throughput growth beyond the contemplated project may be constrained without a significant new discovery.
• Positive Sentiment: Exploration results included a new epithermal gold discovery, Quebrada Dorada, which doubles the known strike length of the trend to 8 km, alongside encouraging results at FDNS, FDN East, and Bonza Sur. Lundin Gold plans to release a maiden resource estimate for its Sandia copper-gold deposit in early 2027.
• Negative Sentiment: The company said the calculation of Ecuador’s sovereign adjustment remains under discussion, with differences involving the interpretation of its agreements. Mediation is expected to begin early in 2027, and management could not provide a resolution timeline.

Presentation

[Operator]

Morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Lundin Gold Q3 2026 earnings call. At this time, all lines are in listen-only mode. Following the presentation, we will conduct a question-answer session. If at any time during this call you require immediate assistance, please press star zero for the operator. This call is being recorded on Thursday, November 5, 2026. I would now like to turn the conference over to Jamie Beck, President and CEO. Please go ahead, sir.

[Jamie Beck, President and CEO at Lundin Gold]

Thank you, operator, and good morning, everyone. Thank you all for joining us today. I am joined by Terry Smith, our Chief Operating Officer, and Chester See, our Chief Financial Officer. We are going to take you through our results for the third quarter of 2026. Please note Lundin Gold's disclaimers on this slide. This discussion includes forward-looking information. Actual future results may differ from expected results for a variety of reasons, as described in the caution regarding forward-looking information and statements section of our press release. Lundin Gold is a US dollar reporting entity, and all amounts in this presentation refer to US dollars unless otherwise noted. Record third quarter production of approximately 154,000 ounces of gold was supported by accelerated mining rates and processing of higher grade ore earlier than planned. This brings our year-to-date production to approximately 392,000 ounces.

[Jamie Beck, President and CEO at Lundin Gold]

We processed 535,000 tons in the quarter, resulting in an average throughput of more than 5,800 tons per day through the mill, a new record for FDN. Fourth quarter production is expected to moderate as head grades normalize in line with the mine sequence and as a result of the planned process plant maintenance shutdown completed in early October. With year-to-date production representing 78% of the midpoint of our annual guidance, we remain well-positioned to achieve our 2026 production guidance. Cash operating costs and all-in sustaining costs for the third quarter were aligned with our plans and reflect the higher gold ounces sold. Margins remain strong, with the business generating $377 million in operating cash flow and finishing the quarter with a cash balance of $574 million.

[Jamie Beck, President and CEO at Lundin Gold]

The business generated free cash flow of $331 million in the quarter, and we returned $261 million to shareholders through cash dividends, bringing this year's total to $832 million, excluding the LunR equity dividend. We also repurchased a total of 49,500 shares during the quarter, returning another $3 million through our normal course issuer bid. We have declared a third quarter dividend of $1.14 per share, bringing this year's total cash dividend to $3.43 per share, and marking our fifth consecutive quarter of returning 100% of normalized free cash flow to our shareholders. We continue to advance our integrated mine mill expansion plans. Plant expansion engineering has progressed sufficiently to develop final cost estimates and a project schedule, while the capital requirements to bring FDNS into production have also been prepared. With this information, we expect to make an integrated investment decision in the fourth quarter.

[Jamie Beck, President and CEO at Lundin Gold]

We also advanced development outside of FDN, completing 102 m of development towards FDNS from the south portal and 39 m of development towards FDNE from the main FDN ore body. Additionally, we made meaningful exploration progress across the district, discovering a new epithermal gold deposit we are calling Quebrada Dorada, and expanding the known limits of mineralization at FDNS, FDNE, and at FDN. We've also recommenced drilling at Bonza Sur, targeting higher grade zones to assess potential for underground development. Looking forward, we plan to deliver a maiden mineral resource at our Sandia copper gold porphyry deposit in early 2027, a critical step forward for our growing copper district. With that, I'd like to turn the call over to Terry to discuss our operations in more detail.

[Terry Smith, COO at Lundin Gold]

Thanks, Jamie, and good morning, everyone. During the quarter, we recorded zero lost time injuries and zero medical treatment incidents, resulting in a total recordable incident rate of zero for the quarter and 0.19 for the year. We are proud to be able to report a quarter with zero recordable incidents, but lagging indicators like reportable incidents only tell part of the story. That's why we also monitor leading indicators, which allows us to work upstream of incidents and make sure they never happen. Those leading indicators are reflected in how we promote our safety culture at FDN, consistent leadership visibility in the field, identifying hazards before work starts, and reinforcing the right and responsibility of every worker to stop a job that doesn't feel safe. Turning to operations, the third quarter set new records for mined and processed tonnages, as well as ounces produced.

[Terry Smith, COO at Lundin Gold]

We mined a record of 555,000 tons during the third quarter and processed a record of 535,000 tons at an average head grade of 10.1 g per ton, with recoveries of just over 88%. The plant averaged 5,800 tons per day, supported by strong feed from the mine and limited maintenance during the quarter. Higher than planned grades, together with record mine and mill throughput, resulted in exceptionally strong production in the quarter. As Jamie noted, fourth quarter production is expected to moderate as head grades normalize in line with the mine sequence, having accessed higher-grade stopes earlier than planned, and because of the scheduled process plant maintenance shutdown completed in early October. With strong performance year-to-date, we remain on track to meet our 2026 production guidance of 475,000-525,000 ounces.

[Terry Smith, COO at Lundin Gold]

The expansion project progressed to detailed engineering during the quarter, incorporating equipment, vendor design, and the finalization of cost estimates and schedules. Capital estimates were also developed for the mine, including development, equipment, and infrastructure requirements to bring FDNS into production. With this information, we expect to make an integrated investment decision in the fourth quarter, which will consider optimized mining rates at both FDN and FDNS, as well as enhanced processing capacity. We expect to provide further details, including capital cost and timing, following that investment decision. While we are completing our mine-to-mill study, we continue to make great progress on our underground development efforts at FDNS and at FDN East. As Jamie mentioned, we completed 102 m of development during the quarter from the south portal, a critical heading as it will provide ventilation for future mining in FDNS.

[Terry Smith, COO at Lundin Gold]

Development towards the FDN East ore body advanced 39 m in the third quarter. This development will give us better access for drilling in support of conversion and exploration programs at FDN East. Now, over to Chester to speak to the financials.

[Chester See, CFO at Lundin Gold]

Thanks, Terry, and good morning, everyone. The third quarter delivered strong financial results, reflecting another quarter of solid operational performance supported by record production. Net revenues were $633 million, and income from mining operations totaled $468 million from 148,000 ounces sold. Year-to-date gold sales have trailed production due to timing of shipments, and we expect the majority of these ounces to be sold in the fourth quarter. Cash operating costs averaged $862 per ounce, and AISC averaged $1,037 per ounce, giving us a robust AISC margin of approximately 76%. Free cash flow in the third quarter totaled $331 million, or $1.37 per share, reflecting exceptional operating cash flow generation of $377 million. Capital spending during the quarter remained focused on advancing both our operations and growth initiatives. Sustaining capital was primarily directed towards surface infrastructure, including quarry and waste dump development, mine equipment overhauls, and other site infrastructure projects.

[Chester See, CFO at Lundin Gold]

Non-sustaining capital focused on underground development towards FDNS and FDN East, process plant expansion engineering, and related growth initiatives. From a balance sheet perspective, we ended the third quarter with $574 million in cash and $477 million in working capital. During the first nine months of the year, we generated $872 million in operating cash flow after our annual tax and profit-sharing payments of $221 million, bought back 3 million of our shares, and returned $832 million to shareholders through cash dividends, demonstrating our continued commitment to capital returns.

[Chester See, CFO at Lundin Gold]

Consistent with our capital allocation framework, the board declared a quarterly dividend of $1.14 per share for the third quarter, consisting of a $0.30 fixed dividend and an $0.84 variable dividend, representing 100% of normalized free cash flow for the quarter, which is consistent with the payout levels we have made over the last several quarters and above our policy minimum of 50%. The dividend will be paid on December 23rd to shareholders of record on December 8th. For additional detail, please refer to the November 4th dividend announcement. In addition, we intend to continue using our cash resources to enhance shareholder returns by making purchases under our normal course issuer bid on an opportunistic basis, reflecting our confidence in the long-term value of the business. With that, I'll turn the call back to Jamie.

[Jamie Beck, President and CEO at Lundin Gold]

Thanks, Chester. I'll finish with a brief update on exploration and our priorities for the remainder of the year. Starting with FDNS, conversion drilling is demonstrating the continuity of high-grade zones within the known ore body. These intercepts are important as they support potential reserve and resource growth at FDNS. Highlights include 11 m at 124.3 g per ton gold, which included 1 m at 1,290 g per ton gold, 7.6 m at 102.4 g per ton gold. On the exploration side, drilling outside the mineral resource envelope has again confirmed continuity along the down-dip extension and along the upper contact of FDNS, highlighting additional growth potential beyond the defined resource. Exploration highlights this quarter include 8.5 m at 21 g per ton.

[Jamie Beck, President and CEO at Lundin Gold]

As we continue to drill FDNS, we are getting a good sense of what the ore body looks like, and we are gaining confidence in both the scale and continuity of the deposit, as well as the potential for expansion. Turning to FDN East, we commenced conversion drilling during the quarter, an important step in refining the geologic model of the deposit. Drilling so far has confirmed the continuity of mineralization on the western veins at FDN East. Highlights include 4.5 m at 59.1 g per ton gold and 3.9 m at 18.5 g per ton, 5.4 meters at 5.8 g per ton gold, and 8.4 m at 6.7 g per ton. As Terry mentioned, development is progressing towards the ore body at FDN East, which will give us much better angles, as well as shorter drilling distances for advancing our conversion and exploration programs.

[Jamie Beck, President and CEO at Lundin Gold]

We restarted drilling at Bonza Sur this year to get a better understanding of the nature of the higher-grade zones within the deposit. This drilling has confirmed the presence of discrete higher-grade veins within the larger disseminated halo. These zones are important, as they provide us with the potential underground optionality at Bonza Sur. Recent drilling has intercepted the two highest-grade intercepts ever drilled at Bonza Sur, including 3.1 m at 204.3 g per ton gold, and that included 0.6 m at 1,035 g per ton. Additionally, 3.3 m at 242.6 g per ton gold, and that included 0.7 m at 1,090 g per ton. These results reinforce the opportunity for incremental near-mine additions that could be integrated efficiently into future mine plans. Finally, our broader exploration program delivered the discovery of a new epithermal gold deposit, which we have named Quebrada Dorada.

[Jamie Beck, President and CEO at Lundin Gold]

While still early days, this discovery is meaningful, as it doubles the strike length of the epithermal gold trend from 4 km to 8 km. Highlight intercepts include 13.1 m at 6.5 g per ton gold and 3.2 m at 20.2 g per ton gold. We have two rigs actively drilling at Quebrada Dorada, and we look forward to seeing how the deposit evolves over time. I'll close with a brief review of our 2026 objectives. We continue our focus on health, safety, and environmental performance. Operationally, we are well on track to achieve our production and cost guidance, with fourth quarter production expected to moderate following the record high third quarter. Our drill programs are progressing well, with more than 100,000 m of drilling completed so far.

[Jamie Beck, President and CEO at Lundin Gold]

The program has delivered three discoveries this year, and we are ramping up our regional program, targeting new discoveries on our broader land package. The mine-to-mill expansion study continues to advance, with an integrated investment decision targeted for late 2026, and FDNS underground development is well underway. Finally, we remain committed to capital returns, as demonstrated by the announcement of another quarterly dividend, returning 100% of free cash flow to shareholders. Looking forward, we remain on track to release the results of our maiden mineral resource estimate at Sandia in early 2027, a critical step in demonstrating the potential of our copper-gold porphyry district. Overall, we enter the fourth quarter in a strong position at our operations. Growth, exploration programs, and capital returns all remain firmly on track. Operator, with that, we are now ready to open it up for questions.

[Operator]

Thank you, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, we now begin the question-and-answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. If your question has been answered and you would like to withdraw from the queue, please press star followed by the number two. If you are using a speakerphone, please lift your handset before pressing any keys. One moment, please, while we compile the roster. The first question comes from George Eadie with UBS. You may go ahead.

[George Eadie, Analyst at UBS]

Yeah. Hi, team. Thanks for the call this morning. Can I ask, on the exploration portfolio, as this continues to expand, how do you rank Bonza Sur, FDN East, and the newer epithermal targets in terms of development potential, and what is next to come into the plan, I guess, after FDNS?

[Jamie Beck, President and CEO at Lundin Gold]

Yeah. Thanks, George. I think our ranking system is pretty crude. Anything that is close to our existing underground development ranks high in terms of priority. Anything that is further away ranks a little lower. I think the goal here is to have a balance in terms of how we are exploring. Clearly, a big focus on the conversion drilling of the known deposits and exploration as we look to grow those. But we have also balanced that, I think, with new discoveries at Quebrada Dorada and our regional program. So, hopefully, we can do a little bit of everything, prioritizing what is closest to the existing operations.

[George Eadie, Analyst at UBS]

Okay. Yeah, no, that makes sense. Thanks. Just on the sovereign adjustment, can you maybe please help us understand where the interpretation differs, and then also the timeline and process for the resolution and what happens next, I guess?

[Jamie Beck, President and CEO at Lundin Gold]

Yeah, sure. The sovereign adjustment is a complex calculation. I think it's challenged a little bit by the fact that we, as Lundin Gold, will very likely be the first, I guess, taxpayer of sorts who's ever going to be paying the sovereign adjustment in-country. So, it's not surprising to us that there's going to be a few bumps in the road, I guess, as we try and sort out exactly how the calculations work. But the main areas revolve around some of the specifics contained within our exploitation agreement, and supported by our investment protection agreement. So, it's really around the mechanics of the calculation. I think we've tried to be really clear with the Ecuadorian government that, listen, we're fully prepared to pay the sovereign adjustment.

[Jamie Beck, President and CEO at Lundin Gold]

In fact, we'll be thrilled to do it because it means that both FDN and Lundin Gold and the government of Ecuador have been incredibly successful here. But we do need to follow along rule of law and make sure that that payment aligns with our agreements. So, on timing, unfortunately, I can't really guide much. We're following the process that we have in front of us. The next stages are an initiation of some mediation, which is likely to kick off early in the new year. So, nothing immediate to report on that. We'll keep the market posted on any developments with respect to sovereign adjustment.

[George Eadie, Analyst at UBS]

Okay. Super helpful. Thanks, guys.

[Operator]

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, as a reminder, if you have any questions, please press star one. Your next question comes from Jeremy Hoy with Canaccord Genuity. Please go ahead.

[Jeremy Hoy, Analyst at Canaccord Genuity]

Jamie and team, thanks for taking my question. I would like to revisit something that was discussed last quarter on the conference call, which was the expansion that you guys are contemplating. If I recall that you were talking about, in terms of scope, to think about an increase in throughput that likely offsets any gradual decline in grade and keeps production around the 500,000-ounce level. As you guys continue to see success on the exploration front in the main epithermal system and nearby, has that thinking evolved at all? Is there potentially incremental steps, something 6,000 or slightly above that maintains that 500 and potentially another step beyond that? Just curious about for any color that you guys could provide sort of in the near and potentially longer term for the epithermal stuff.

[Jamie Beck, President and CEO at Lundin Gold]

Sure. Yeah, no, we will come out, as we said in the call, with a more comprehensive overview of really what this mine-to-mill expansion looks like, the scope that is being contemplated, and how this is going to support our view moving forward. With all of these types of expansions, inevitably you run into a bottleneck somewhere. FDN itself has continued to surprise, I think, to the upside. Every time we think we have reached the limit, the team has found incremental ways to push beyond that successfully. I think we are getting pretty darn close after we announce this next one. We are getting pretty darn close to sort of where we think the limit sits with respect to material movement underground from a mining perspective, and really our critical front end of the plant on the SAG mill.

[Jamie Beck, President and CEO at Lundin Gold]

Incremental expansion sort of, I guess, beyond what we are contemplating in this mine-to-mill project is perhaps going to be a little more challenged and would require probably a significant new discovery. If we were to find the mythical second half of the FDN ore body, another 9, 10 million ounce deposit somewhere on the project, of course, that would justify the development of a second processing facility here. I think what we are seeing right now look to be more mine life extensions, and we are pretty confident we will be able to continue to do that for many years to come.

[Jeremy Hoy, Analyst at Canaccord Genuity]

Understood, Jamie. Thanks for the color. I will step back in the queue.

[Operator]

Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. I will turn it back to Jamie for some closing remarks.

[Jamie Beck, President and CEO at Lundin Gold]

I mean, what can I say? Just an outstanding quarter. Congratulations to all the team at FDN and the team sitting around the table here. Record production, record revenues, and another outstanding quarter in terms of returning 100% of free cash flow, a normalized free cash flow back to shareholders. We have also added in this year the LunR equity distribution and started a moderate buyback on our NCIB program. So, outstanding operations, outstanding safety record, and a consistent track record of shareholder returns. Excited for what the rest of the year holds. Thank you very much.

[Operator]

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes your conference call for today. We thank you for participating and ask that you please disconnect your lines. Have a great day.

Participants

Executives

• Jamie Beck, President and CEO
• Terry Smith, COO
• Chester See, CFO

Analysts

• George Eadie, Analyst at UBS
• Jeremy Hoy, Analyst at Canaccord Genuity