CT Real Estate Investment Trust Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Key Takeaways

  • Positive Sentiment: CT REIT reported 7.7% growth in diluted AFFO per unit and 9.2% growth in FFO per unit year over year. Results included CAD 2.5 million of lease surrender revenue; excluding it, AFFO per unit still rose 4.2% and FFO per unit 6.2%.
  • Positive Sentiment: Portfolio fundamentals remained strong, with 99.5% occupancy, same-property NOI growth of 3.8%, and 9.1% blended rent increases on renewals year to date. Canadian Tire renewals achieved a 10.8% increase.
  • Positive Sentiment: CT REIT completed CAD 114 million of acquisitions and intensifications in the first nine months of 2026. Its development pipeline totals 557,000 square feet and is 86.9% committed to lease; the new Kelowna redevelopment is already more than half leased at rents above the former Canadian Tire lease.
  • Positive Sentiment: Credit metrics improved, with indebtedness at 38.7% and interest coverage at 3.56 times, while liquidity exceeded CAD 304 million. Management said near-term maturities are manageable, though higher interest costs partially offset earnings growth.
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Earnings Conference Call
CT Real Estate Investment Trust Q3 2026
00:00 / 00:00

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Operator

Thank you for standing by. My name is Rivka, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to CT REIT's Q3 2026 earnings results conference call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question-and-answer period. If you would like to ask a question during that time, simply press star one one on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, please press star one one again. The speakers on today's call are Kevin Salsberg, President and Chief Executive Officer of CT REIT, Jodi Shpigel, Senior Vice President, Real Estate, and Lesley Gibson, Chief Financial Officer. Today's discussion contains information that may constitute forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable securities laws.

Operator

Although CT REIT believes that the forward-looking information in today's discussion is based on information, estimates, and assumptions that are reasonable, such information is necessarily subject to a number of risks, uncertainties, and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such forward-looking information. For information on these material risks, uncertainties, factors, and assumptions, please see the REIT's Q3 2026 and full-year 2025 MD&A, as well as the 2025 AIF, which are available on our website and filed on SEDAR+. The REIT does not undertake to update any forward-looking information, whether written or oral, except as required by applicable laws. I will now turn the call over to Kevin Salsberg, President and Chief Executive Officer of CT REIT. Kevin?

Kevin Salsberg
Kevin Salsberg
President and CEO at CT REIT

Thank you, Rivka. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. I am pleased to report that CT REIT delivered a very strong third quarter. Our results reflect a combination of reliable organic growth from our existing portfolio, contributions from the investments we have made over the past several years, and the continued financial discipline that underpins our business. CT REIT is Canada's premier net lease REIT, and our primary objective is to provide investors with strong risk-adjusted returns and stability while delivering reliable, durable, and growing results for our unitholders. The performance we have reported this quarter is an example of that value proposition in action. From an operating perspective, our portfolio remains exceptionally stable. Occupancy remained at 99.5% at quarter end, same-property NOI increased by 3.8%, and total NOI grew by 8.5% year-over-year.

Kevin Salsberg
Kevin Salsberg
President and CEO at CT REIT

This growth translated into a 7.7% increase in AFFO per unit and a 9.2% increase in FFO per unit on a diluted basis. While the quarter benefited from lease surrender revenue, the underlying results were still compelling. Excluding that revenue, total NOI would still have increased by 6.5%, with AFFO per unit increasing by 4.2% and FFO per unit by 6.2%. Taken together, these results demonstrate the multiple and complementary ways in which CT REIT generates growth, including contractual rent escalations, successful lease renewals, intensifications, acquisitions, and developments. We continued to invest in the portfolio during the quarter, completing the intensification of our Saskatoon East property and acquiring a Canadian Tire store in Victoria, adding approximately 84,000 sq ft of gross leasable area. Through the first nine months of the year, we have completed approximately CAD 114 million of acquisitions and intensifications, adding approximately 368,000 sq ft to the portfolio.

Kevin Salsberg
Kevin Salsberg
President and CEO at CT REIT

As we have discussed in the past, the individual investments we complete often differ in size, geography, and even by real estate intervention. Collectively, however, they tell a consistent story about our ability to find attractive and strategic ways to deploy capital. We continue to leverage our relationship with Canadian Tire, our existing portfolio, and our market knowledge to source new opportunities that all serve to improve the quality of our asset base and contribute to long-term growth. Our newly announced redevelopment in Kelowna is another good example of just that. The Canadian Tire store formerly located at the property has relocated to another CT REIT-owned location, and we are now repositioning the former store to create approximately 90,000 sq ft of new modern retail space. This allows us to support Canadian Tire's growth plans while creating a new source of income and value from an existing property.

Kevin Salsberg
Kevin Salsberg
President and CEO at CT REIT

At the same time, we continue to advance the balance of our substantially pre-leased development pipelines. At quarter end, we had approximately 557,000 sq ft of GLA under development, approximately 87% of which was committed to lease. Importantly, we are delivering this growth while maintaining the conservative financial profile that is central to CT REIT's strategy. As Lesley will relay, our indebtedness ratio, total indebtedness to EBITDA, and interest coverage ratio all continue to improve, and we have ample liquidity through our credit facilities to continue to fund our capital needs. Our near-term refinancing requirements are also manageable. We have no unsecured debentures maturing for the remainder of 2026 and only approximately 12% of our total indebtedness maturing in 2027, primarily through two series of unsecured debentures with June and December maturity dates.

Kevin Salsberg
Kevin Salsberg
President and CEO at CT REIT

CT REIT's well-laddered maturity profile, combined with our liquidity, investment-grade credit rating, and significant unencumbered asset base, provides us with considerable flexibility and will help us minimize the headwinds from today's higher rate environment. When we look at our overall business, we see a high-quality portfolio producing strong and growing cash flows, a visible pipeline of largely pre-leased development opportunities, and a conservatively financed balance sheet with limited near-term refinancing exposure. At CT REIT, we remain focused on the factors that we can control: growing earnings and distributions, investing capital prudently, enhancing our portfolio, and maintaining financial flexibility. We believe that consistent execution against these priorities is the most effective way to demonstrate the underlying value of CT REIT over time. Overall, we were very pleased with the quarter. CT REIT continues to deliver strong growth without compromising the stability, balance sheet strength, or financial discipline that differentiates our business.

Kevin Salsberg
Kevin Salsberg
President and CEO at CT REIT

Those attributes provide a resilient foundation for today and position us well to continue creating value for our unitholders over the long term. With that, I will now turn the call over to Jodi to discuss our investment, development, and leasing activities in more detail. Jodi?

Jodi Shpigel
Jodi Shpigel
SVP of Real Estate at CT REIT

Thanks, Kevin, and good morning, everyone. As Kevin noted, we completed one previously announced investment during the quarter, the intensification of our Saskatoon East property in Saskatchewan that added approximately 51,000 sq ft of GLA to our portfolio. As well in the quarter, we completed the acquisition of a well-located Canadian Tire store in Victoria, British Columbia, which added approximately 32,800 sq ft of GLA to our portfolio. Through the first nine months of 2026, we have completed a total of five acquisitions and four intensifications, representing a total investment of approximately CAD 114 million and adding approximately 368,000 sq ft of GLA to our portfolio. We also just recently commenced a redevelopment project in Kelowna, British Columbia, which was added to our development pipeline in the quarter.

Jodi Shpigel
Jodi Shpigel
SVP of Real Estate at CT REIT

As Kevin mentioned, this project is the redevelopment of a former Canadian Tire store, which relocated to a recently developed CT REIT-owned location. We are already making great progress on this new project, with over half of the building committed to lease. The redevelopment is expected to be completed in the third quarter of 2028. Turning to development activity, including Canada Square, we currently have nine projects at various stages. These projects represent approximately 557,000 sq ft of total GLA and development costs of approximately CAD 391 million. To date, we have invested approximately CAD 215 million and expect to invest approximately CAD 176 million more to complete these developments. Over the next 12 months, we expect to invest approximately CAD 76 million on our development activities.

Jodi Shpigel
Jodi Shpigel
SVP of Real Estate at CT REIT

As at quarter end, we had committed lease agreements for approximately 484,000 sq ft, representing 86.9% of total GLA under development, of which 81.8% has been leased to Canadian Tire. At Canada Square, the office retrofit remains scheduled for completion in the fourth quarter of 2028. At CT REIT's proportionate share, the project represents approximately 340,000 sq ft of GLA, with 310,000 sq ft committed to lease. CT REIT and our co-owner continue to advance the modernization of 2180 and 2200 Yonge Street, which will deliver approximately 680,000 sq ft of office space upon completion, over 80% of which will be anchored by Canadian Tire. To date, approximately 22% of the project's budget has been spent. Turning to leasing, renewal activity completed in the third quarter totaled approximately 36,000 sq ft of GLA, all relating to third-party tenants, at a rental increase of 6.9%.

Jodi Shpigel
Jodi Shpigel
SVP of Real Estate at CT REIT

Through the first nine months of the year, renewal activity totaled approximately 994,000 sq ft of GLA at a blended rental increase of 9.1%, including approximately 658,000 sq ft of Canadian Tire store renewals at a 10.8% increase. As of quarter end, the weighted average lease term for the portfolio was 6.7 years. Our leases with Canadian Tire averaged 6.9 years, and occupancy remained strong at 99.5%. I will now turn it over to Lesley to discuss our financial results. Lesley?

Lesley Gibson
Lesley Gibson
CFO at CT REIT

Thanks, Jodi. Good morning, everyone. We were very pleased with the REIT's financial performance in the third quarter. Our results reflect solid organic growth, as well as contributions from acquisitions and developments. AFFO per unit grew 7.7%, and FFO per unit grew 9.2% year-over-year. Same property NOI, which includes the impact of intensifications, grew by a healthy 3.8% compared to Q3 2025. Driving this growth was primarily the contractual rent escalations in the Canadian Tire leases, higher property operating cost recoveries, as well as contributions from intensification projects completed this year. Overall, NOI increased 8.5% year-over-year, or approximately CAD 10.2 million. This increase reflects the contributions from properties acquired and developed in 2025 and 2026, as well as approximately CAD 2.5 million in lease surrender revenue.

Lesley Gibson
Lesley Gibson
CFO at CT REIT

Excluding this lease surrender revenue, overall NOI would have still increased 6.5% for the quarter compared to Q3 2025, and AFFO per unit and FFO per unit would have been 4.2% and 6.2% respectively. Still very compelling results. General administrative expenses were CAD 3.7 million, or 2.3% of property revenue, compared with CAD 4 million, or 2.6% in the comparable quarter. The decrease was primarily due to the fair value adjustments on unit-based awards and partially offset by the timing of expenses being incurred. Excluding fair value adjustments, the adjusted G&A as a percentage of property revenue is 2.8% for the quarter, compared to 2.5% in Q3 2025. Year-to-date, adjusted G&A was 2.9% of property revenue, the same as 2025. The fair value adjustment on investment properties was CAD 20.8 million in the third quarter.

Lesley Gibson
Lesley Gibson
CFO at CT REIT

The Q3 2026 fair value adjustment was primarily driven by contractual rent increases and a development completion. FFO per unit on a diluted basis was CAD 0.369, up 9.2% from the CAD 0.338 in Q3 2025. AFFO per unit on a diluted basis was CAD 0.337, up 7.7% from the CAD 0.313 in the prior year. Growth in FFO and AFFO per unit reflects the growth in overall NOI, partially offset by higher interest costs and G&A expenses. Cash distributions paid in the quarter increased 3.5% to CAD 0.245 per unit, reflecting the higher monthly distribution rate that became effective in July 2026. The AFFO payout ratio was 72.7% compared to 75.7% in Q3 2025, as AFFO per unit growth exceeded the increase in distributions. Turning to the balance sheet, our interest coverage ratio for the quarter improved to 3.56x from 3.37x in Q3 2025.

Lesley Gibson
Lesley Gibson
CFO at CT REIT

The improvement primarily reflected the redemption of the Series C unsecured debentures, higher capitalized interest on properties under development, and growth in EBITFV, partially offset by the issuance of the Series K unsecured debentures. Our indebtedness to EBITFV improved to 6.49x from 6.77x at Q4 2025, as growth in EBITFV exceeded the growth in total indebtedness. Our indebtedness ratio has also improved in the quarter and was 38.7% compared to 39.8% at Q4 2025. With only CAD 175 million, or 5.6% of debt maturing next June, and a further CAD 200 million, or 6.4%, maturing in December 2027, we are well-poised to continue to benefit from our strong interest coverage and debt-to-EBITFV credit metrics.

Lesley Gibson
Lesley Gibson
CFO at CT REIT

With respect to liquidity, we ended Q3 with approximately CAD 5.8 million of cash on hand and approximately CAD 298.6 million available under committed CAD 300 million bank credit facility, for total liquidity of over CAD 304 million. In addition, approximately CAD 179.6 million remained available on our uncommitted CAD 300 million credit facility with Canadian Tire. As Kevin mentioned, our strong balance sheet, conservative credit metrics, and ample liquidity provide a solid foundation and the financial flexibility to fund future growth initiatives. I will turn the call back to the operator for any questions.

Operator

At this time, I would like to remind everyone that in order to ask a question, please press star one one on your telephone keypad. We ask that you please limit your questions to one question and one follow-up. We will pause for just a moment to compile the Q&A roster. Our first question comes from the line of Lorne Kalmar of Desjardins. Your line is now open.

Lorne Kalmar
Lorne Kalmar
Director of Real Estate Institutional Equity Research at Desjardins

Thanks. Good morning, and congrats on a really solid print here.

Kevin Salsberg
Kevin Salsberg
President and CEO at CT REIT

Thanks.

Lorne Kalmar
Lorne Kalmar
Director of Real Estate Institutional Equity Research at Desjardins

Just quickly on the lease surrender income, can you give us some color as to what that was related to and if you guys expect any more over the balance of the year into the beginning of 2027?

Kevin Salsberg
Kevin Salsberg
President and CEO at CT REIT

Yeah, I wouldn't say we would expect any more through the balance of the year into 2027. It related primarily to our Kelowna property that entered our development pipeline this year. As you recall, we built Canadian Tire a new store down the street from the old location. That completed at the end of last year, and they still had term left, and for us to launch the redevelopment, we had to finalize the terms of a lease surrender, and that's what this is.

Lorne Kalmar
Lorne Kalmar
Director of Real Estate Institutional Equity Research at Desjardins

Okay. That's a pretty straightforward answer there. The other question I had, there was an announcement that I think maybe last week about CTC looking to do a big refresh on Mark's. Do you guys expect to have any or get any benefit of that new strategy?

Kevin Salsberg
Kevin Salsberg
President and CEO at CT REIT

Probably not, Lorne. I mean, the announcement was CAD 200 million in their BBB Mark's concept. It's a really great new version of Mark's, much bigger stores, greater assortment. You should check it out if you haven't already. But because of the size requirements, as you know, call it 35,000-50,000 sq ft, we don't have a lot of that vacancy currently, and I think they're taking advantage of market opportunities with some of the bankruptcies and larger vacancies that are sitting out there to occupy more space and showcase, obviously, the great assortment they have there.

Lorne Kalmar
Lorne Kalmar
Director of Real Estate Institutional Equity Research at Desjardins

Okay, great. Thank you so much.

Operator

One moment for our next question. Our next question comes from the line of Himanshu Gupta. Your line is now open.

Analyst

Thank you, and good morning.

Kevin Salsberg
Kevin Salsberg
President and CEO at CT REIT

Morning.

Analyst

Just on Canada Square, you are almost halfway there on phase 1. Maybe can you now provide an expected stabilized yield on the office retrofit, and any surprises or cost escalations you have seen so far?

Kevin Salsberg
Kevin Salsberg
President and CEO at CT REIT

We are about 20%, a little over 20% through in terms of the spending on the project. If you recall, it will be stabilized at the end of 2028, so we still have a little bit more to go, Himanshu, on the project. It is still on time and on budget. We have not provided a stabilized yield because we have a partner on the project, and obviously have some confidentiality provisions that we have to respect. We sort of said it approximates a market development yield for a project of this size, stature, and location. I know that is not all that helpful for you, but that is about the best we can do at this point.

Analyst

Got it. Okay, fair enough. On the Kelowna development, which was, I think, just announced, it looks like you have already pre-leased half of that space. How are rents compared to previously in-place Canadian Tire rents?

Jodi Shpigel
Jodi Shpigel
SVP of Real Estate at CT REIT

Good morning, Himanshu. Yes, as you noted, we have pre-leased just over 50% of the former Canadian Tire store. We are very pleased with the rents. They do represent market rents for Kelowna, so that market is quite strong, as you can imagine. We are quite pleased, and yes, they would be higher than the previous rents from Canadian Tire because that was a previous lease from a different time. We are happy overall, and we are commencing with the redevelopment.

Analyst

Okay, so they were higher. Okay, fair enough. Thank you. Maybe just a last question here on maintenance CapEx. What was the reason to go for a normalized CapEx assumption here versus actual CapEx for AFFO calculation? Thank you.

Lesley Gibson
Lesley Gibson
CFO at CT REIT

Himanshu, yeah, we moved to using the actual maintenance CapEx earlier this year. You will see that obviously everything we spend every quarter is what we are estimating through. By the time we get to the year-end, our total CapEx will reflect our deduction, and the AFFO will reflect the actual spend. But we have normalized that during the year. We did make a change this quarter and increased that amount because we expect to spend a little bit more than we had originally anticipated earlier in the year. But Q3 and the cumulative amount that we have taken as a deduction sort of expects the or sorry, that reflect the run rate that we expect for the balance of the year.

Analyst

Thank you so much, and I'll jump back.

Operator

One moment for our next question. Our next question comes from the line of Tal Woolley of CIBC Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

Tal Woolley
Executive Director of Institutional Equity Research at CIBC Capital Markets

Good morning. Just on the Canadian Tire credit facility, I think it comes up for renewal this year. I'm assuming there'll be no real issue with that, or are you planning to term out what you've got on that facility?

Lesley Gibson
Lesley Gibson
CFO at CT REIT

No, Tal, we're expecting that we'll continue to work with CT. It is a one-year term, but typically in the past, it has continued to be renewed for one year at a time. Really, who we borrow from really depends on what sort of the overall cash position is. So, that will really depend each quarter as we go through.

Tal Woolley
Executive Director of Institutional Equity Research at CIBC Capital Markets

Okay. Then just on the Kelowna relocation, the existing site that you are redeveloping now, that is not a CTC store?

Kevin Salsberg
Kevin Salsberg
President and CEO at CT REIT

It is a former CTC store. No, no. So, it was a former CTC store. They moved down the street, and we built a new location, and now this is the backfill and re-demise of the old location.

Tal Woolley
Executive Director of Institutional Equity Research at CIBC Capital Markets

But there is not another CTC dealer going into that spot?

Kevin Salsberg
Kevin Salsberg
President and CEO at CT REIT

No, no. The lease we have done is with a fitness user, and then we are working on the backfill for the balance.

Tal Woolley
Executive Director of Institutional Equity Research at CIBC Capital Markets

Okay, got it. I think this is maybe sort of like the first time we've kind of seen this sort of relocation, and then you guys are redeveloping the existing property. I mean, it's an interesting avenue to grow the portfolio. Do you think there's more opportunities like this as Tire looks to improve its footprint?

Kevin Salsberg
Kevin Salsberg
President and CEO at CT REIT

Tal, if you recall, we've done this a couple times. Most recently, the Lloydminster redevelopment that we completed with a Loblaws store and The Brick, where we built the entire new store down the road as well. Typically, when a store reaches a certain productivity or capacity, and we are landlocked to a certain extent where the site can't accommodate further expansion, that would be the rationale for them to relocate. That's what happened in Lloydminster, and that's what happened here in Kelowna. Yeah, we think it's a great opportunity when we can facilitate something better for Canadian Tire, get a development project out of it for the REIT, and also create value through the repositioning and redevelopment of the former location.

Kevin Salsberg
Kevin Salsberg
President and CEO at CT REIT

We don't have any of those currently within the pipeline right now, but Canadian Tire is always looking at their store network and optimizing it. I do believe in the future there will be similar opportunities. We just don't have anything to talk about at this point in time.

Tal Woolley
Executive Director of Institutional Equity Research at CIBC Capital Markets

Okay. Then just lastly, I mean, maybe you can talk a little bit. Obviously, it's still a very tight retail market in Canada. It would certainly seem your results would reflect that. Are you sensing any shift at all really in demand from tenants right now? If you were looking at a year, 1.5 year, you still think the market's going to be pretty tight?

Kevin Salsberg
Kevin Salsberg
President and CEO at CT REIT

I think the strong tenants are still pursuing new locations aggressively. I do think most retailers are cognizant of the macro environment and are proceeding probably with a little bit of cautious optimism. But we have a couple redevelopment, development, or leasing projects that are underway in various parts of the country. I would say the demand is robust for all different types of spaces in terms of geographies and sizes and users. So, I am not seeing anything slow down at this point.

Tal Woolley
Executive Director of Institutional Equity Research at CIBC Capital Markets

Okay. That is great. Thanks very much, everybody.

Kevin Salsberg
Kevin Salsberg
President and CEO at CT REIT

Thank you.

Operator

One moment for our next question. Our next question comes from the line of Giuliano Thornhill of National Bank. Your line is now open.

Giuliano Thornhill
Giuliano Thornhill
Equity Research Analyst at National Bank

Hey, guys. Good morning, everyone. Just had a question on Canada Square, on the remaining space not committed to a lease. Did you guys have an update there related to it? Is it tracking towards your underwriting, just given how much space you are adding to that market? I know it is a year away, but I am just wondering if that is tracking as expected.

Kevin Salsberg
Kevin Salsberg
President and CEO at CT REIT

No specific update. I mean, the total amount of space that is left is about 60,000 sq ft. The intention between us and Oxford was always to wait till we were closer to stabilization and the completion of the construction. The building in which it resides, 2200 Yonge Street, is a construction site right now, so it is hard to tour tenants and give them a flavor of what the building will become. I think the other thing that is happening is the office market is improving, so waiting is actually in our best interest right now, as I think market rents are creeping up, and hopefully that trend will continue. I do not think we will have an update on that probably until 2028, because that is really when we will probably launch the active leasing of, or active leasing of that remaining space.

Giuliano Thornhill
Giuliano Thornhill
Equity Research Analyst at National Bank

Okay. The third-party kind of space coming online in H2 of 2028?

Kevin Salsberg
Kevin Salsberg
President and CEO at CT REIT

Hopefully, yeah.

Giuliano Thornhill
Giuliano Thornhill
Equity Research Analyst at National Bank

Okay.

Kevin Salsberg
Kevin Salsberg
President and CEO at CT REIT

That would be great.

Giuliano Thornhill
Giuliano Thornhill
Equity Research Analyst at National Bank

Thanks. I will turn it back.

Operator

As a reminder, to ask a question, please press star 11 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. As there are no further questions at this time, I will turn the call over to Kevin Salsberg, President and Chief Executive Officer, for closing remarks.

Kevin Salsberg
Kevin Salsberg
President and CEO at CT REIT

Thank you, Rivka, and thank you all for joining us today. We look forward to speaking with you again in February after we release our fourth quarter and full-year results. Thank you.

Operator

This concludes today's call. You may now disconnect.

Analysts
    • Kevin Salsberg
      President and CEO at CT REIT
    • Jodi Shpigel
      SVP of Real Estate at CT REIT
    • Lesley Gibson
      CFO at CT REIT
    • Lorne Kalmar
      Director of Real Estate Institutional Equity Research at Desjardins
    • Analyst
    • Tal Woolley
      Executive Director of Institutional Equity Research at CIBC Capital Markets
    • Giuliano Thornhill
      Equity Research Analyst at National Bank