EPAM Systems Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Key Takeaways

  • Negative Sentiment: Q1 revenue was $1.4B (up 7.6% YoY; 3.7% organic CC) with improved GAAP and non‑GAAP profitability and EPS, but management lowered full‑year revenue growth to 4%–6.5% (organic 2.5%–5%), signaling slower near‑term visibility.
  • Positive Sentiment: Pure AI revenues exceeded $125M in Q1 (≈20% sequential) and EPAM reiterated a $600M AI revenue target for 2026, backed by a multi‑year Anthropic partnership and rapid certification ramp (≈1,300 Claude‑certified now; 10,000 goal by year‑end).
  • Positive Sentiment: Management highlighted a growing pipeline of nearly 10 large, non‑T&M AI‑enabled vendor‑consolidation and transformation opportunities that could drive outsized H2 growth if converted, though wins are being risk‑adjusted in the outlook.
  • Neutral Sentiment: Q1 operating cash flow was negative $36M (free cash flow negative $54M), yet EPAM holds about $1B cash and repurchased $264M of shares in Q1 (≈$1.5B returned to date), with continued buybacks and selective M&A signaled for later in the year.
AI Generated. May Contain Errors.
Earnings Conference Call
EPAM Systems Q1 2026
00:00 / 00:00

There are 14 speakers on the call.

Speaker 13

Good day, everyone. My name is Michael, and I'll be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome you to EPAM's first quarter earnings release conference call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there'll be a question and answer session. If you'd like to ask a question during this time, and if you have joined via the webinar, please use the raise hand icon now, which can be found at the bottom of your webinar application. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Mike Rowshandel, Head of Investor Relations.

Speaker 12

Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today on our 1st quarter 2026 earnings call. As the operator just mentioned, I'm Mike Rowshandel, Head of Investor Relations. We hope you've had an opportunity to review our earnings release we issued earlier today. If you have not, copies are available on epam.com in the investor section. With me on today's call are Balazs Fejes, CEO and President, and Jason Peterson, Chief Financial Officer. I would like to remind those listening that some of the comments made on today's call may contain forward-looking statements. These statements are subject to risk and uncertainties as described in the company's earnings release and SEC filings. Additionally, all references to reported results that are non-GAAP measures have been reconciled to the comparable GAAP measures and are available in our quarterly earnings materials located in the investor section of our website.

Speaker 12

With that said, I will now turn the call over to FB.

Speaker 1

Thank you, Mike, and good morning, everyone. It's a pleasure to be here with all of you. We delivered a solid first quarter with revenue growth at high end of our outlook range, year-over-year improvement in our adjusted profitability and gross margins, and strong adjusted earnings per share. Our pure AI revenues exceeded $125 million in Q1, up nearly 20% sequentially from Q4. This momentum gives us a strong line of sight to our $600 million target for the full year, even with the broader macro variability we have factored into our outlook. We also just announced a strategic multi-year applied AI partnership with Anthropic to accelerate the delivery of safe, reliable, enterprise-grade AI for our clients.

Speaker 1

As an Anthropic services partner, EPAM is building a dedicated practice for more than 10,000 Claude-certified architects, including the specialized cadre of 250 forward-deployed engineering black belts. To date, over 20,000 EPAMers have completed training via Anthropic Academy, and more than 1,300 are already Claude certified. We expect to reach 5,000 certifications by end of Q3, with 10,000 by year-end. This is a further proof our engineering expertise, our adaptability, advanced learning and educational programs, and readiness for Claude within the enterprise. As we outlined at our recent Investor Day, we have a clear multi-year strategy to drive our next phases of profitable growth and further capitalize on the global AI transformation opportunities. Our aspiration is to become the go-to partner for enterprise AI transformation with a focus on three strategic pillars, which are helping reshape the company.

Speaker 1

These pillars include establishing ourselves as a leading AI delivery software engineering services provider, transforming ourselves into an AI-native organization, and capitalizing on our AI-native structure to expand go-to-market offerings. For 30 plus years of engineering DNA and heritage, expanding domain and vertical expertise, advanced IP and platforms, and deepening strategic partnerships continue to differentiate us and provide a durable advantage. Our mission is to win the build opportunity of our lifetime. The gap between the rapidly developing foundational AI capabilities and the ability of enterprises and societies to adopt AI safely, reliably, and with sustainable growing volume will drive some of the largest technological investments humanity has ever made. This view was recently validated by our new partner, Anthropic, and also by Nvidia's CEO, Jensen, during his interview with Dwarkesh Patel.

Speaker 1

Today, we are moving beyond traditional IT services with a sharp focus on AI-native engineering and AI-native business transformation, which both continue to gain traction. At the same time, EPAM is fundamentally rethinking how the company operates, which goes beyond scaling AI adoption across 60,000 people. With our client zero mentality, we are engineering an entirely new operating model, 1 that dynamically blends human talent, AI capabilities, and advanced agentic systems to run the business faster, better, and at lower cost across all geographies. The early stage of this new blend is reflected in the number and the shape of AI-native projects that we are starting with clients. AI/Run went from being an SDLC transformation playbook to powering a series of AI/Run.Transform motions that bring significant structure and value to our clients' own AI adoption approaches.

Speaker 1

Our ROI-driven playbook uniquely brings together our engineering excellence with AI-native delivery, coupled with strategic consulting and advisory teams, deep technical expertise, and partner ecosystem technologies. Unlike traditional consulting roadmaps and deployments, EPAM's AI/Run.Transform integrates blueprints, talent, and tools into a single proven, repeatable, and scalable transformation platform for our clients. We continue to create global go-to-market playbooks using proven methods across the globe. As a larger number of our AI programs are scaled into deployments, tokenomics, and implication for our engagement is becoming more significant. This is a generally new and consequential commercial construct and presents both challenges and opportunities for us and services companies in general.

Speaker 1

As the industry works through the models, we intend to be ahead of the curve as we continue to evolve our approach to AI investment pricing, client engagement, and delivery models for some quarters to come. One additional element of our strategy worth highlighting is the fact that we are now accelerating our deliberate go-to-market investments in our largest market in North America. These investments are modeled on what has proven to be successful in EMEA, evidenced by their industry-leading growth rate in Q1. Let's turn to some quick Q1 highlights. In Q1, revenues grew 7.6% year-over-year, with constant organic currency revenue growth of 3.7%. Five of our six verticals grew year-over-year, led by financial services and software and high tech, followed by consumer goods, retail and travel, emerging verticals, and life sciences and healthcare.

Speaker 1

Across geographies, growth was led by EMEA, delivered strong double-digit year-over-year growth. We are continually balancing our delivery locations and skill mix, adding new certification, domain specialization, and additional roles across our global pyramid. We also continue to proactively manage our commercial engagement types, driving new fixed price and as a service deals while proactively managing localized benches. Turning to the demand environment. Overall, client sentiment remains stable through the end of Q1, with continued shift in spend towards AI native and strategic deployments. Clients continue to turn to EPAM for help in addressing the widening AI adoption gap. The need to modernize and build out AI foundation readiness remains critically important. Technical debt continues to mount, the latest AI capabilities are making the backlog of required work evident, further underscoring our confidence that the build opportunity is a long-term one.

Speaker 1

As we look ahead, there's a more macro uncertainty today compared to 90 days ago, and our outlook reflects the broader variability we are seeing in the client decision-making. We are particularly seeing underperformance in North America, and this is contributing to lower visibility in the second half. At the same time, our underlying momentum, particularly across our AI-native business, continues to build. However, macro volatility has introduced some additional caution in client decision-making, particularly on certain larger discretionary programs. While Q1 was not impacted, we are expecting some impact in Q2. Importantly, our client pipeline of AI programs and fundings remain strong. What we see is a temporary shift in timing and direction as clients respond with caution and reprioritize the short-term actions against the bigger transformation opportunity. Now turning to AI. As we have all seen in the news, AI capabilities continue to advance extremely fast.

Speaker 1

The pace of technological change and digestion is unprecedented for enterprises as they face the challenge of balancing cost optimization and productivity with real business outcomes at scale. Further token usage and the associated economics are all becoming a more integral part of the investment thesis and business case. This just increases complexity, which as we stated at our Investor Day, unleashes new sets of requirements across all 8 dimensions of the enterprise. EPAM remains in the sweet spot of helping enterprises close the AI adoption gap, solve their most complex challenges, and deliver quality AI native enterprise-grade solutions at scale. We are working hard to further build and create high-velocity performance teams within our AI native delivery engine to take advantage of larger growth opportunities. By design, our teams will bridge strategy to execution with a more consultative approach, all with deep domain and verticalization expertise.

Speaker 1

Looking across our top 100 clients, traction remains strong as more than 80% of our engaged in AI initiatives. Our AI/Run frameworks and tools continue to support hundreds of active AI-native projects. Notably, we had more than 100 new AI-native project launched in Q1, illustrating our active pipeline and healthy replenishment of new opportunities. In terms of new deals, just since we shared our update at our AI Day, EPAM is seeing an accelerating large deal pipeline focused on AI-enabled vendor consolidations, where EPAM has significant opportunity to gain market share. These multi-year deals are larger than our historical norm, are expected to scale over time, and include a range of commercial models. The trajectory of this pipeline marks a meaningful step in EPAM's evolution as a strategic partner to enterprise clients.

Speaker 1

However, the full potential of these deals is not yet reflected in our outlook. Across our pure AI-native revenues, our momentum continues and fundamentals remain intact with another quarter of double-digit sequential growth. Demand across our AI foundational services remains solid, with faster growth in both our data and Claude practices as compared to the rest of the business. Importantly, we believe we can further accelerate capturing AI foundational demand with the deployment of more domain capabilities and forward deployed engineers to client engagements. This motion will take some time to scale, but we see this as a critical unlock to being able to deliver true business transformation to clients. Beyond transforming EPAM's business and go-to-market approach toward more outcome-based models. We are building not just an engineering moat, but a domain and context-based moat, anchored in playbooks built on successful engagements over time.

Speaker 1

Capturing the expertise at the source of these engagements further develops our playbooks into differentiated IP and ways of working. Here are some client example to illustrate the shift. 1, PDLC transformation for Nelnet, a global company specializing in consumer finance, student loan servicing, telecommunications, and education to explore the potential of GenAI tools to boost PDLC efficiency. To do that, EPAM developed a program to identify baselines and performance productivity benchmarks based on EPAM's AI/Run.Transform. Nelnet achieved a 31% productivity increase, accelerated back-end development by nearly 2 times, and empowered its teams to scale AI-driven innovation across the organization. We continue working with Nelnet to expand the PDLC program across the organization and continue building an enterprise governance model that scales.

Speaker 1

Two, modernize and upgrade global streaming infrastructure for a leading streaming platform client within the media entertainment, serving 10+ million concurrent users across 50+ countries. With our partner AWS, we successfully transformed a fragile single region platform into a self-healing global system sustaining 99.99% uptime without manual intervention. The solution deployed active/active EKS across more than 6 regions with automated IaC governance and standardized site reliability engineering practices. Together, we helped our client achieve 70% less configuration drift and zero downtime deployments. Three, bring the right AI and GenAI programs from use case concepts to full-scale production deployment for a large global insurance company. Here, our DIAL platform served as both a domain playbook and a significant accelerator, integrating both upstream and downstream systems to ensure seamless end-to-end automation to assist the reinsurance claim department in first order of loss processing.

Speaker 1

EPAM automated billing reconciliation and streamlined reinsurance treaty analysis, proving the real-world potential of AI in a highly regulated industry. After implementation, time to process first order of loss events decreased by 75%. Our efforts continue to be recognized, validating our strategy and the quality of our execution. In 2026, we have been honored to receive several key leadership distinctions. We earned 2 2026 Google Cloud Partner of the Year awards for helping clients achieve measurable business outcomes through advanced AI and Claude technologies. The Sustainability Award highlighted our use of AI and geospatial technology to address environmental challenges, while Databases ML Award celebrated our scalable methodologies for enterprise Claude migrations, including our work with Deutsche Bank. EPAM was included in the Forrester Customer Experience Strategy Consulting Services Landscape, featuring providers that supports end-to-end CX transformation from visions through execution.

Speaker 1

EPAM named a leader in the IDC MarketScape Worldwide Data Modernization Services Provider for Retail and Restaurants. Finally, EPAM was ranked among the top three companies in Glassdoor's inaugural Best Companies in Tech and AI 2026 list, recognized for its culture of belonging, innovation, and leadership. These recognitions continue to reflect the hard work and dedication of our global teams and on our unwavering commitment to delivering tangible high-value outcomes for our clients. In summary, we are pleased with our first quarter results, which delivered the high end of our revenue outlook despite more uncertain macro environments, a solid foundation we intend to build upon throughout the year. We remain confident in our long-term strategy and vision in transforming ourselves into a global leader in AI transformation services, working to further capitalize on faster-growing parts of the total IT and AI services market.

Speaker 1

On our underlying AI-native and AI foundational readiness momentum remains strong and continues to resonate with our existing client portfolio while we transform our go-to-market motions over the coming quarters to further expand our new client portfolio. While the macroeconomic environment has impacted visibility and added some variability, we feel good about our pipeline, including the larger strategic opportunities I described earlier, which represent a meaningful step in our evolution. Lastly, I want to thank you all for your continued commitment, trust, and support. Jason, over to you.

Speaker 9

Thank you, FB, and good morning, everyone. In the first quarter, EPAM generated revenue of $1.4 billion at the high end of our Q1 revenue outlook, delivering year-over-year growth of 7.6%. On an organic constant currency basis, revenue grew 3.7% compared to the first quarter of 2025. With improved year-over-year profitability in the quarter, GAAP income from operations grew by approximately 18%, and non-GAAP income from operations grew by over 14%. AI native and AI foundational revenues continued to contribute to year-over-year growth. With more than $125 million AI native revenues in the quarter, this is the fifth consecutive quarter of sequential double-digit growth. Moving to our Q1 industry performance, we delivered broad-based year-over-year growth across the majority of our verticals.

Speaker 9

Financial services delivered strong growth, up 11.5% year-over-year, driven by asset management and insurance clients. Software and high tech grew 10.9% year-over-year, driven by strong execution across existing clients and contributions from new logos. Consumer goods, retail, and travel delivered 7.2% year-over-year growth, notably driven by retail and consumer goods. Life sciences and healthcare increased 5.9% on a year-over-year basis. Revenue growth in the vertical continues to be driven primarily by clients in life sciences and med tech. Business information media decreased by 0.7% year-over-year, and our emerging verticals delivered year-over-year growth of 6.8%, primarily driven by ongoing strength in energy and government.

Speaker 9

From a geographic perspective, Americas, our largest region, representing 57% of our Q1 revenues, grew 2.5% year-over-year. EMEA, comprising 41% of our Q1 revenues, grew 15.9% year-over-year and 8.4% in constant currency. Finally, APAC, making up 2% of our revenues, grew 1.2% year-over-year. Lastly, in Q1, revenues from our top 20 clients grew 4.4% year-over-year, while revenues from clients outside our top 20 increased 9.1%. Moving down the income statement, our GAAP gross margin for the quarter was 27.7% compared to 26.9% in Q1 of last year.

Speaker 9

Non-GAAP gross margin for the quarter was 29.4% compared to 28.7% for the same period a year ago, demonstrating our commitment to improving profitability and gross margin during the fiscal year. GAAP SG&A was 17.1% of revenue compared to 16.8% in Q1 of last year. Non-GAAP SG&A in Q1 2026 came in at 14.1% of revenue compared to 14.2% in the same period last year. GAAP income from operations was $117 million or 8.3% of revenue, compared to $99 million or 7.6% of revenue in Q1 of last year and grew by 18% year-over-year.

Speaker 9

Non-GAAP income from operations was $201 million or 14.3% of revenue compared to $176 million or 13.5% of revenue in Q1 of the previous year and grew over 14% year-over-year. Our GAAP effective tax rate, which includes a higher level of tax shortfalls related to stock-based compensation, came in at 31.6%, and our non-GAAP effective tax rate was 23.6%. Diluted earnings per share on a GAAP basis was $1.52 compared to $1.28 in Q1 of last year. A $0.24 increase year-over-year reflecting growth of 18.8%. Our non-GAAP diluted EPS was $2.86 compared to $2.41 in Q1 of last year.

Speaker 9

A $0.45 increase year-over-year reflecting growth of 18.7%. In Q1, there were approximately 54.2 million diluted shares outstanding. Turning to our cash flow and balance sheet. Cash flow from operations for Q1 was negative $36 million compared to $24 million in the same quarter of 2025. Q1 cash flow was negatively impacted in the quarter by higher variable compensation payments related to 2025 performance, as well as timing of certain vendor payments. Free cash flow was negative $54 million compared to free cash flow of $15 million in the same quarter last year. Cash and cash equivalents were just over $1 billion as of the end of the quarter. At the end of Q1, DSO was 76 days and compares to 72 days for Q4 2025 and 75 days for the same quarter last year.

Speaker 9

Share repurchases in the first quarter were approximately 1.8 million shares for $264 million at an average price of $143.84 per share. To date, since the initiation of our share repurchase program, we've returned approximately $1.5 billion in cash to shareholders. Moving on to operational metrics. We ended Q1 with more than 56,500 delivery professionals, reflecting total growth of 1.6% compared to Q1 2025. Our total headcount at quarter end was more than 62,750 employees. During the quarter, the company reduced headcount in Mexico. Additionally, there were targeted reductions in certain geographies as part of our cost optimization program. These actions produced a modest sequential decline in production headcount during the quarter.

Speaker 9

Utilization was 77% compared to 77.5% in Q1 of last year and 75.4% in Q4 2025. Q1 2026 utilization was impacted by the ongoing introduction of juniors, who initially operate at lower levels of utilization. The addition of juniors is intended to improve our seniority index over time. Now let's turn to guidance. Before moving to the specifics of our 2026 and Q2 outlook, including vendor consolidations as they assess and navigate the current economic environment. We continue to build a pipeline focused on larger revenue opportunities, and are looking to close these in Q3 and Q4, driving higher levels of growth in the second half of the year. At the same time, we are now expecting that higher energy prices and global economic uncertainty will have an impact on our revenue growth rate for the year.

Speaker 9

As a result, we are lowering our full-year revenue growth outlook. We remain committed to improving overall profitability and gross margins. As usual, our guidance assumes that we'll be able to continue to deliver from our Ukraine delivery centers at productivity levels similar to those achieved in 2025. Moving to our full-year outlook, revenue growth will now be in the range of 4% to 6.5%. Foreign exchange is expected to have a positive impact of approximately 1.5%. The organic constant currency growth is now expected to be in the range of 2.5%-5%. We expect GAAP income from operations to continue to be in the range of 10%-11%, and non-GAAP income from operations will continue to be in the range of 15%-16%. We expect our GAAP effective tax rate to be 27%.

Speaker 9

Our non-GAAP effective tax rate, which excludes the impact of benefits and shortfalls related to stock-based compensation, will continue to be 24%. For earnings per share, we expect that GAAP diluted EPS will now be in the range of $8.29-$8.59 for the full year, and non-GAAP diluted EPS will now be in the range of $12.98-$13.28 for the full year. We now expect weighted average share count of 52.7 million fully diluted shares outstanding. Moving on to our Q2 2026 outlook, we expect revenue to be in the range of $1.4 billion-$1.415 billion, producing year-over-year growth of 4% at the midpoint of the range. Our guidance reflects a 1.3% positive foreign exchange impact during the quarter, producing organic constant currency growth of 2.7% at the midpoint of the range.

Speaker 9

For the second quarter, we expect GAAP income from operations to be in the range of 9%-10% and non-GAAP income from operations to be in the range of 15%-16%. We expect our GAAP effective tax rate to be approximately 27% and our non-GAAP effective tax rate to be approximately 24%. For earnings per share, we expect GAAP diluted EPS to be in the range of $1.79-$1.87 for the quarter, and non-GAAP diluted EPS to be in the range of $3.10-$3.18 for the quarter. We expect a weighted average share count of 52.4 million diluted shares outstanding. Finally, a few key assumptions that support our GAAP to non-GAAP measurements for Q2 and the remainder of the year. Stock-based compensation expense is expected to be approximately $50 million for Q2 and $44 million for each of the remaining quarters.

Speaker 9

Amortization of intangibles is expected to be approximately $17 million for each of the remaining quarters. The impact of foreign exchange is expected to be an approximate $3 million loss each quarter. Tax effect of non-GAAP adjustments is expected to be around $19 million for Q2 and $14 million for each of the remaining quarters. We expect $2 million excess tax shortfall in Q2, negligible in Q3, and $1 million in Q4. Expenses associated with the 2025 cost optimization program are expected to be $13 million in Q2. One more assumption outside of our GAAP to non-GAAP items. We now expect interest and other income to be $1 million in Q2, $2 million in Q3, and $4 million in Q4. Lastly, my continued thanks to all our EPAMers for their dedication and focus on serving our clients and driving results throughout 2026.

Speaker 9

Operator, let's open the call up for questions.

Speaker 13

Question. Please limit your inquiry to one question and one brief follow-up. Our first question comes from Bryan Bergin from TD Cowen. Please unmute your line and ask your question.

Speaker 2

Hi, guys. Good morning. On the 2026 guide on the organic growth guide revision, is this a handful of large engagements that are just moving slower or a broader portfolio dynamic? What gives you the confidence on the second half implied sequential growth, just given where the 2Q number is? Are you assuming geopolitical volatility moderates to hit that revised target? Do you have things in hand? Maybe a little detail on that.

Speaker 9

Yeah, I guess I'll talk a little bit about the, you know, the impact that we're seeing as we look at Q2, and I would say it's probably more of a handful of customers where decision-making does seem to be somewhat delayed. Again, we began to see that probably more so in April and May. Then I think Efi probably could update us on some of the larger deal opportunities in the second half.

Speaker 1

Hi, Bryan. How are you doing? Number 1, in our estimate, we are not kind of considering that the geopolitical environment changes significantly. We are guiding as we see it right now. We're not assuming anything significantly changing in the current geopolitical setup. The same time, we have quite a bit of, in the prepared remarks, I highlighted large, unusually large opportunities which we are targeting. We are currently not really sure yet how fast they're going to ramp, how fast they're going to close.

Speaker 1

we are actually went after a piece of market which was previously not open to us, but only became available due to our AI-native and our AI/Run capabilities, which opened us for large vendor consolidation, large transformational deals, which is for us was outside of our normal norm. That's what's included in our current guide.

Speaker 8

Okay. Understood. My follow-up's on the Anthropic relationship, so good to see that come through. Can you talk about how different that model is relative to your heritage delivery approach? I'm trying to understand how difficult of a pivot that may be for you. Do you see that relationship potentially driving an inflection in your AI native revenue growth mix?

Speaker 1

I think Anthropic going to be a very important relationship for EPAM. We are, I think we are following a playbook which we done before. We prepared, pre-prepared engineers with our internal development. Once commercial products became available and certification, quickly we pivoted towards and certified our engineering team. I just checked this morning, we are over 1,400 certified Claude architects as of this moment, it's ramping up pretty nicely. We will be going to the market together with Anthropic, and bring to the market applied AI solutions. I think it's will be similar to the go-to-market movements like what we done previously, clearly this is a in the AI era. We will be focusing on AI native applied AI transformations to bring safe AI capabilities to the enterprise.

Speaker 1

I don't think it's a pivot, it's an expansion, and we are hoping to see acceleration from this partnership.

Speaker 8

Okay. Thank you.

Speaker 13

Our next question comes from Maggie Nolan from William Blair. Please unmute your line and ask your question.

Speaker 11

Hi. Thank you. Maybe to follow up on that subset of clients that are seeing a little bit of weakness there. Does the full year guidance range consider any broadening of this weakness beyond that subset of clients that are currently affected? Maybe can you help us understand if that's a specific vertical, or why or why not you wouldn't see that broadening?

Speaker 9

Yeah. You know, I think the reflection in the lowering the bottom end of the range obviously would sort of, if we, if we were to end up closer to that portion of the, of the growth range, that clearly, Maggie, would reflect that we saw a somewhat broadening of the delayed decision making. Again, we took the top down because it, we are sort of have a, you know, a less rapid entry into the second half. We still feel good, as Effy said, about some of the larger opportunities that we're looking to close here in the second half. The bottom end of the range clearly would reflect that there's some broadening of the delayed decision making.

Speaker 1

Talking about impacts, I think, clearly already we see some of these impacts coming in from travel and consumer sector. It's well understood for the reason. Right now clearly our financial services are in our high tech environment, we continue to see strong demand.

Speaker 11

Okay. Thank you. Jason, can you sort of bridge the gap for us between, you know, the non-GAAP operating margin that you saw in the quarter, 14.3%, to the full year target range in the 15%-16% range?

Speaker 9

You know, I think probably the best way to look at profitability is really to compare kind of year-over-year. We always have seasonal factors, where Q1 is lower from a profitability standpoint. You've got the reset of the social security clocks. You also generally have that slow January that we talked about. Those things usually sort of result in lower profitability in Q1. I think where I feel actually very positive, if I compare Q1 to Q1, you know, we've got improvement in gross margin, which is the first time that we've seen that in quite a long period of time, and it's consistent with the expectations that we set that we would be working on improving profitability throughout the year.

Speaker 9

What you should see, Maggie, is improved gross margin as we go from Q1 to Q2. Some of that is seasonal, but again, we continue to sort of focus on profit improvement while trying to drive top line revenue growth, and certainly being successful with the AI transformation opportunities.

Speaker 11

Thank you.

Speaker 9

Thank you.

Speaker 13

Our next question comes from Jason Kupferberg from Wells Fargo. Please unmute your line and ask your question.

Speaker 8

Good morning, guys. Thanks for taking the question. Just wanted to see if we can put a finer point on quarter-over-quarter revenue growth expectations for Q3 and Q4. I mean, we know what typical seasonal patterns look like, but would be curious what your base case looks like there just given the moving parts in the macro.

Speaker 9

Yeah, I'll talk to, I guess, maybe just about what my model looks like, and I'll let Effy sort of provide more color as to the client opportunities. I mean, usually what we would see is stronger sequential growth between Q2 and Q3 driven by seasonal factors that, you know, the additional available bill days. We're also factoring in some subset of the deals that we're working on that those would win and begin to ramp. We clearly have a higher growth rate in the second half than we have in the first half, and again, that's driven by the opportunities that are within our, you know, line of sight at this time.

Speaker 1

What brings us this confidence, what we're counting on, we have quite a few deals which we already know is going to start in the Q3. We also have a pipeline of large opportunities which we're working to close and start to ramp in Q3 and Q4.

Speaker 8

Yeah, so that's what I wanted to follow up on those. Those large opportunities, those vendor consolidation deals, it sounds like there's I don't know if there's maybe two or three of them, maybe you can clarify that. It sounds like you do have something in your back half guide for those, I guess maybe on a risk-adjusted basis, if you can just clarify that. Just say a little bit more about the nature of the work that is comprising those large pipeline opportunities for the second half. Thank you.

Speaker 1

It's no longer just 3 or 4. We're actually talking about close to 10 opportunities at this point of time.

Speaker 9

Okay.

Speaker 1

These opportunity outsized in terms of range. All of them are non-T&M, so different commercial models combining AI, tokenomics in the picture themselves. It's a variation of business transformation, vendor consolidation, and the size is really outside of EPAM's norm, what we typically do.

Speaker 9

Hey, Jason, you know, clearly there's a number of opportunities, and from a risk-adjusted standpoint, obviously, we're not assuming that we capture all those. We're just capturing, you know, a small subset. That helps contribute to the growth in the second half of the year. Makes sense.

Speaker 8

Sure.

Speaker 9

Thank you, guys.

Speaker 1

Thank you.

Speaker 9

Thank you.

Speaker 13

Our next question comes from James Friedman from Susquehanna. Please unmute your line and ask your question.

Speaker 6

Hi. Good morning. Thanks for the opportunity. I'll just ask my two together in the interest of time. Jason, I wanna get your perspective on the outlook that you had provided longer term at the Investor Day for the period 2027, 2028. There were assumptions about the improvement of gross margins, which you delivered in the first quarter, SG&A efficiency, I think 20 to 30 basis points. If you could share that 16% objective in the margin. FB, in your prepared remarks, you were mentioning that you're seeing opportunities in AI-enabled vendor consolidation. I was hoping you could elaborate on that. What's that about? Thank you.

Speaker 9

Yeah, just quickly on profitability. There's a, you know, we did get price in Q1. We're focused on improving some utilization. I think we've done a nice job with our cost optimization program and kind of getting us into good shape. The cost of our bench is somewhat lower. All the things that we talked about doing, including improving the seniority index, all of that's in process. As a result, you see better gross margin, Q1 of 2026 to Q1 of 2025. I also expect you will see better gross margin Q2 2026 to Q2 2025. I think that whole journey of improved profitability, we're certainly, I would say, on our way. We're not expecting so much SG&A optimization this year. That would come more in those out years.

Speaker 9

In this year, I think you'll see us do more with sort of go-to-market investments as we talked about during AI Day. I guess I'll turn it over to FB.

Speaker 1

Absolutely. Thanks, Jason. During AI Day, we kinda talked about and demonstrated our AI capabilities. We talked to you about level 1, level 2, level 3 level of AI capabilities and SDLC maturity. In these larger deals in vendor consolidations and also in enterprise AI transformation, we're deploying the best of EPAM or AI/Run.Transform playbooks. This is a combination of our global capabilities augmented with AI, where we are able to bring a very differentiated and I would call kinda challenging proposition to our clients, which very much challenges the status quo in the vendor landscape. That's what we are doing right now with our larger clients.

Speaker 6

Thank you both.

Speaker 13

Our next question comes from David Greysman from Stifel. Please unmute your line and ask your question.

Speaker 4

Thanks. Good morning. I know this has come up in a couple of the previous questions just about the visibility on the back half of the year and the guide. Historically, you've done a really good job, you know, of framing the low versus the high end and what needs to happen. Perhaps you can take some of the data points that you shared already and maybe put that in the context of the range. You know, what happens at the low end? What happens, you know, at the midpoint versus the high end?

Speaker 9

Yeah. I think probably the first thing is that we're not assuming an improvement in the economic environment. You know, on the lower end of the range, you probably have maybe some further worsening. You also have, you know, maybe more of what we referred to earlier, where you do have some clients sort of delaying, sort of spending decisions. Again, that would probably just be incremental kind of uncertainty and incremental kind of delays in decision-making. On the higher end of the range, you know, it's both sort of solid execution in the traditional book of business and then probably a somewhat higher share of wins in these larger deals that FB have been talking about.

Speaker 9

Again, we have, you know, throughout the year, and even when we guided, during our Q4 call, we always expected a stronger growth rate in our second half, in part driven by these deals that we've kinda been focused on, in developing over the last sorta quarter or 2. That sufficient, David, or anything else?

Speaker 4

Well, I'm just curious, you know, can you still hit the midpoint of the range if we see a continuation of this environment where these larger deals continue to get pushed out?

Speaker 1

I think the question, David Greysman, is where the environment is the current. For the mid-range, I don't think we need to win too many of those deals, so actually we're not that much counting on them on the mid-range. If the environment continues to get worsened, that's clearly challenging for the mid-range. Mid-range is steady execution, the usual conversion, typical EPAM-style deal structures in order to achieve the mid-range.

Speaker 4

Yeah, that's great. Thank you for that. I, if I heard you right, I think you said that North America was where you were seeing the most incremental weakness, and you also said that that's where you're focusing your go-to-market investments. But the go-to-market investments were similar to some of the prior cycles we've been through, so I don't know, did I get that right? If I did, could you maybe at least provide some clarity around that dynamic and where those investments are going?

Speaker 1

David, absolutely. I mean, even already in I&A Day we called out the go-to-market investments, although we were not that specific, but actually highlighted that, we brought in a new chief marketing officer, who started and focusing on performance marketing. We talked to you about how the market changed, moving away from a sellers to a much more of a buyers market. We didn't highlight it, but we already, at that point of time, was thinking about the North American market itself. What we going to start doing is applying all the learnings and the investments, what we've done, and understanding what we've done in the EMEA market and bring it to the North American market. Clearly it's going to be investment in personnel, investment in process, investment in changes and transformation of our go-to-market motions in North America.

Speaker 4

Got it. Thanks very much.

Speaker 13

Our next question comes from Jonathan Leigh from Guggenheim. Please unmute your line and ask your question.

Speaker 10

Great. Thanks for taking my question. You highlighted large multi-year deals in the pipeline that are larger in scale than what EPAM has historically pursued. What gives you confidence in your ability to close and execute on those engagements? Do you have the sales muscle, the governance frameworks, and delivery infrastructure to manage those programs in that magnitude? How should we think about the profile of these deals as it relates to, you know, competitive dynamics and deal size and margin profiles relative to what you currently see?

Speaker 1

Jonathan, great question. I think, clearly I think it was also kind of with a surprise how successful our offerings been with our clients. We didn't expect this amount of pipeline being built with this differentiated offerings. I think, do we have the sales muscle to close them, to convert them, or to ramp them up? That's why we are risk-adjusting the pipeline itself, and we are not fully including them the same way as we include other deals because we actually are not sure that how fast they're going to convert and how fast they're going to ramp. That's with all honesty, right? Yes, we have the sales muscle to actually get into these opportunities.

Speaker 1

I think the offering is differentiated enough and resonates really, really well with our clients because we bring AI-native capabilities to these deals, and we are disrupting the status quo. In terms of scaling these opportunities and the governance in place, EPAM has an experience running large programs, but in the past, those programs were built bit by bit, not one as one big opportunity. Yes, we were running these opportunities before as an aggregate, but we never really won it as one go. That's the difference.

Speaker 1

The same time, I think what you asked about profitability, clearly what we can tell you is that our current AI-native business or portfolio, which is over $225 million per quarter, is run higher profitability than EPAM average. That's what we see.

Speaker 10

Got it. Thanks for that color. Just as a follow-up, you know, where do we stand on the large name risk client? Did revenue stabilize in Q1 as expected, or are you seeing incremental deterioration there? What does this imply for the remainder of the year?

Speaker 9

The client did stabilize. Revenues were as expected. I think we would see probably some very modest sequential decline over the next quarter or two. Something I would still put very much in a stable camp. In terms of the rest of the book of business there, we are seeing, you know, solid growth in their book of business in the Iberian Peninsula. We're also seeing growth throughout South America. We feel, you know, generally good about the book of business there, with the exception of some slowness in Mexico and with that large customer.

Speaker 10

I appreciate that detail. Thank you.

Speaker 13

Thank you. Question comes from James Schneider from Goldman Sachs. Please unmute your line and ask your question.

Speaker 7

Good morning. Thank you for taking my question. I was wondering if you could maybe comment on, to the extent that the large deals convert into revenue beginning the back half and heading into 2027, what would be the impact, do you think, on margins? Or would they be coming in, you know, at or below sort of your corporate average?

Speaker 9

Yeah. We're still looking at, you know, improved gross margin on a year-over-year basis. There's always seasonal impacts. Again, Q3 would have generally higher profitability just because it's got higher bill days. I think what we'll all have to be looking at is just, you know, Q1 to Q2, Q3 to Q3. Sometimes as you bring in deals, there is, you know, a modest kind of impact as you sort of do the transition or what's called, you know, KT, or knowledge transfer. I think what you'll find is that, you know, with our focus on improving profitability in India, reducing the cost of the bench, improving utilization, and focus on sort of improving fixed fee profitability, you know, I feel comfortable that we can continue to improve profitability.

Speaker 7

Yeah. Thank you. Maybe as a follow-up, on capital allocation, you know, given what the stock has done, can you give us a kind of a refresher on your latest thoughts on the relative uses of cash between buybacks at this point and incremental M&A from new capabilities? Thank you.

Speaker 9

We did the accelerated share repurchase. There's kind of a true-up piece of that that will show up in Q2, and we will also be, you know, probably doing incremental repurchases when the market opens again next week. At the same time, I think we are looking ahead to sort of the second half of the year. You might see us begin to again prioritize sort of M&A related investments. Certainly with the share price at, you know, at this level, you'll continue to see some amount of, you know, generally open market purchases of the stock.

Speaker 13

Our next question comes from Bryan Keane from Citi. Please unmute your line and ask your question.

Speaker 3

Hi, guys. Thanks for taking the questions. FB, can you talk a little bit about contract pricing and how those dynamics have changed over the last year or so? In particular, you know, something like the Anthropic deal, the partnership there, how are you gonna recognize revenues in that contract, in that partnership? Is it any different than the model's been over the last few years?

Speaker 1

Bryan, it's a good question. I think it's a moving target. As we highlighted the tokenomics is a subject which we are exploring. At this point of time, we are in most client relationships, or clients are bearing the cost of the tokens. I don't know how it's going to change. We are in discussion with quite a few clients how would that transition. Anthropic, in this sense, it's not different. Our relationship, we will be expecting to develop software using the Anthropic stack, the models, the tools themselves. Right now we are in various cases, we are exploring different commercial models, how we can actually charge the tokens, or the client pays for the tokens, or what is the commercial model going forward.

Speaker 1

It's complicated in a sense because it's impacting certain security considerations. I think it's an open subject which we continue to work with our partners, with our clients, and with Anthropic themselves. In terms of I think pricing, Jason was actually very pleased to see even rate increases in the first quarter. We are actually not seeing what we call rate compression at this point of time. We were quite successful for a small minority of our clients to negotiate rate increases. Overall, we are not seeing that type of market pressure.

Speaker 3

Got it. Just as a follow-up, Jason, I saw that sequentially headcount was down, and then obviously revenue per head, it was up in the first quarter. How do we think about the rest of the year to hit the guidance, you know, maybe sequentially, how should we think about the headcount cadence and the revenue per head? Thanks.

Speaker 9

Yeah. I think with Q1, you know, clearly we've talked about the lead customer in Euris, and so we did see some reduction in headcount in Mexico, and we continue to make some adjustments in different locations that kind of improve utilization and decrease the cost of our bench. I do think you'll see, you know, headcount additions throughout the remainder of the year. The revenue per headcount is usually not a calculation that I do, and you always have to remember the foreign exchange also plays a role in that. As FB indicated, you know, we did get rate in Q1, and so that was positive and did help with profitability. You know, and throughout the remainder of the year, I think you'll see, you know, ongoing headcount to support business growth.

Speaker 9

Again, it, you know, I think you'll also see some adjustment in sort of contract structures. I think the whole calculation of revenue per head is probably a conversation we'll be having kind of later in the year. Again, we feel good about, you know, the growth associated with some of these larger revenue opportunities.

Speaker 3

Okay. Thanks so much.

Speaker 9

Thank you.

Speaker 13

Our next question comes from Arvind Ramnani from Truist. Please unmute your line and ask your question.

Operator

Hey, thanks, and thanks for taking my question. Yeah, I just wanted to ask, right, like, I mean, it, it looks like you kind of lowered the guidance on, you know, sort of, like, existing customer weakness, and then I think what you'll have described as, you know, sort of in order to hit your guidance for the full year, there's some, you know, I guess, prospective clients or pipeline or some of the pipeline needs to convert. It seems like it's, you know, kind of like if visibility at existing clients wasn't, like, kind of properly accounted for, like, how are you getting confidence that the prospective clients will actually convert to revenue, you know, on time in order for y'all to hit your guidance numbers?

Speaker 9

Yeah, I think maybe the first thing just to remember is I don't think any of us thought that what happened in the Middle East was gonna happen, and it was gonna go on for as long as it's gone on for. We are seeing some impacts from that. From a deal standpoint, there are a significant number of opportunities, Arvind, and we're just counting on a modest share of those to convert. Again, that's why we think that it's a appropriate guidance and why we also think that there's also opportunity to get to the higher end of the range.

Operator

All right. That's terrific. Then just on, you know, topic of AI, right? I mean, certainly kind of y'all are seeing kind of good traction out there. I mean, is there any sort of, like, revenue cannibalization or workflow cannibalization or displacement of, like, some of the legacy work, you know, as some of the AI work ramps up?

Speaker 1

Arvind, I mean, clearly there is some impact. Clients shifting some of the IT budgets towards AI spending, and also they increasingly automating parts of the SDLC, for example, testing itself. Probably they are diverting investments away from digital platform, e-commerce platform build-outs towards new AI native products or AI native platforms, construction. That's the shift what we are seeing right now.

Operator

Great. This last question. You know, just with these advancements in model capabilities we have seen, you know, both across Anthropic and OpenAI just in the most recent model releases, are you all proactively going to some of your clients and saying like, "Hey, you know, we can use some of these improvements in sort of AI to kind of lower headcount on certain projects." Are you all offering that up at least at a few clients, or you're not really seeing the dynamic?

Speaker 1

What we are going to the clients with very advanced engagement model. This is what I highlighted. When you were in the Investor Day, we demonstrated dark factory capabilities. Yes, we are proactively talking to our clients how we can introduce them, how we can actually provide them dark factory-based, fully autonomous application maintenance and support capabilities, how we can automate large part of the testing flows. This is all part of the go-to-market movement which we launched earlier this year.

Operator

Perfect. Thank you so much.

Speaker 13

Our final question today comes from James Faucette from Morgan Stanley. Please unmute your line and ask your question.

Speaker 5

Thank you very much. Just a couple of quick follow-up questions. On margins, you know, I think you, Jason, you've talked about, like, what you're planning to do, but especially on these longer duration projects and if we're starting to factor in tokenization or token costs, excuse me, how do you think about, like, the levers that you need to control or what kinds of relationships and that kind of thing do you need to develop? I'll just throw in my second question simultaneously. I heard loud and clear your potential interest in revisiting M&A, especially in the latter part of this year. Can you give us a little bit of view on in terms of what you might be looking at, what makes sense, and what valuations are doing in the types of acquisitions you could be looking at?

Speaker 5

Thanks.

Speaker 1

James, I think this is a great question. It's so funny that so few people actually ask about tokenomics. What you need to do is you need to control multiple aspects. You need to first of all, control the model usage. What task, which model you are using, what is the frequency of that model? You need to have the right blend of model. What we are building out is this blending capability, which is which where for each particular task you need to select the right model, which is able to execute but cheap enough to deliver the ROI. The same time, you also have to recognize that you can buy the same token from the same model from multiple sources.

Speaker 1

You need to have the multi-sourcing capability, somehow akin to a trading desk, which allows you to purchase the same model, same capability from various sources. We need to develop this capability, how to manage these contracts, how to manage our consumption, and how to buy the same tokens related to price, availability, cash headroom limits. All of these are influencing the pricing at the end. You can achieve real differentiation or different in terms of pricing and profit levels if you correctly control the sourcing and the usage of models themselves. In terms of M&A, I turn over to Jason.

Speaker 9

I think that we continue to focus on domain capabilities, probably data assets, and then, you know, some of the geographic opportunities that we talked about in the past allowing us to expand our position, most likely in Asia Pac. Kind of similar to what we've talked about in the past, again, I think you're not likely to see anything in the very near future, but maybe later in the year. Just quickly from a valuation standpoint, I think we continue to see what in our eye is still a little bit of a disconnect between private market expectations and public market valuations. You know, we continue to be engaged with the potential targets and, I guess kind of stay tuned.

Speaker 5

Thanks, guys.

Speaker 13

This concludes the question and answer session. I'd now like to turn the call over to Bolesh Vayesh for closing remarks.

Speaker 1

Thank you all for joining us this morning, and we're going to see you guys in three months. Thank you.