NYSE:SPGI S&P Global Q3 2023 Earnings Report $507.44 -0.17 (-0.03%) As of 05/9/2025 03:59 PM Eastern Earnings HistoryForecast S&P Global EPS ResultsActual EPS$3.21Consensus EPS $3.05Beat/MissBeat by +$0.16One Year Ago EPSN/AS&P Global Revenue ResultsActual Revenue$3.08 billionExpected Revenue$3.02 billionBeat/MissBeat by +$61.65 millionYoY Revenue GrowthN/AS&P Global Announcement DetailsQuarterQ3 2023Date11/2/2023TimeN/AConference Call DateThursday, November 2, 2023Conference Call Time8:30AM ETUpcoming EarningsS&P Global's Q2 2025 earnings is scheduled for Tuesday, July 29, 2025, with a conference call scheduled on Thursday, July 31, 2025 at 7:15 AM ET. Check back for transcripts, audio, and key financial metrics as they become available.Conference Call ResourcesConference Call AudioConference Call TranscriptSlide DeckPress Release (8-K)Quarterly Report (10-Q)Earnings HistoryCompany ProfileSlide DeckFull Screen Slide DeckPowered by S&P Global Q3 2023 Earnings Call TranscriptProvided by QuartrNovember 2, 2023 ShareLink copied to clipboard.There are 14 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Good morning, and welcome to S&P Global's Third Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. I'd like to inform you that this call is being recorded for broadcast. All participants are in a listen only mode. We will open the conference to questions and answers after the presentation and instructions will follow at that time. To access the webcast and slides, go to investor. Operator00:00:22Spglobal.com. And I will assist you momentarily. I would now like to introduce Mr. Mark Grant, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations for S&P Global. Sir, you may begin. Speaker 100:00:40Good morning, and thank you for joining today's S&P Global Third Quarter 2023 Earnings Call. Presenting on today's call are Doug Peterson, President and Chief Executive Officer and Ewout Steenbergen, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. For the Q and A portion of today's call, we will also be joined by Martina Chung, President of S and P Global Ratings. We issued a press release with our results earlier today. In addition, we have posted a supplemental slide deck with additional information on our results and guidance. Speaker 100:01:08If you need a copy of the release and financial schedules or the supplemental deck, that can be downloaded at investor. Spglobal.com. The matters discussed in today's conference call may contain forward looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including projections, estimates and descriptions of future events. Any such statements are based on current expectations and current economic conditions and are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from results anticipated in these forward looking statements. Additional information concerning these risks and uncertainties can be found in our Forms 10 ks and 10 Q filed with the U. Speaker 100:01:48S. Securities and Exchange Commission. In today's earnings release and during the conference call, we're providing non GAAP adjusted financial information. This information is provided to enable investors to to make meaningful comparisons of the company's operating performance between periods and to view the company's business from the same perspective as management. The earnings release contains financial measures calculated in accordance with GAAP that correspond to the non GAAP measures we're providing, and the earnings release and the supplemental deck contains reconciliations of such GAAP and non GAAP measures. Speaker 100:02:19I would also like to call your attention to certain European regulations. Any investor who has or expects to obtain ownership of 5% or more of S&P Global should contact Investor Relations to better understand the potential impact of this legislation on the information on the investor and the company. We're aware that we have some media representatives with us on the call. However, this call is intended for investors, and we would ask that Questions from the media will be directed to our media relations team, whose contact information can be found in the release. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Doug Peterson. Speaker 100:02:51Doug? Speaker 200:02:52Thank you, Mark. As we look at this quarter's highlights, I want to remind you that the financial metrics we'll be discussing today Refer to non GAAP adjusted metrics unless explicitly noted otherwise. We're pleased to report 11% revenue growth in the 3rd quarter, excluding the impact of Engineering Solutions. We saw acceleration in revenue growth in every division this quarter. As we discussed last quarter, we took decisive action to protect margins in the second and third quarters last year. Speaker 200:03:20And while lapping that impact contributed to our expense growth this quarter, We're pleased to see margins expand approximately 100 basis points despite that headwind. Adjusted EPS increased 10% year over year And we're raising our adjusted EPS guidance by approximately $0.10 at the midpoint to reflect the better than expected results through the Q3. Strong financial results like these come as a result of continued innovation and execution, and we're excited about the rapid and the pace of product launches coming from S&P Global this quarter. We'll be discussing a few of them on the call, but encourage you to look through the releases available in our online press center to get a better sense of the sheer volume of new products and features we've introduced this quarter. We've seen acceleration in each of the strategic growth areas we've been reporting since our Investor Day. Speaker 200:04:11We also saw our vitality index reach 12% of total revenue in the quarter as new products continue to generate value for both customers and shareholders. We also made progress on our AI initiatives, which I'll touch on briefly today, but we plan to provide a more holistic update on our progress next quarter. We continue to align our goals and operations against the 5 strategic pillars we introduced at Investor Day. I'm thrilled to thought our team was able to deliver for our customers this quarter. As we lean into our customer conversations and continue to provide innovative solutions to the problems that most need solving. Speaker 200:04:48Our customers are increasingly viewing S&P Global as a trusted strategic partner. In the 3rd quarter, Sales cycles were consistent with the longer cycle we've seen in the last few quarters, though we're encouraged that these conversations with customers are often leading to larger deals. In times of market volatility, uncertainty or change, the global markets have learned to count on S&P Global for differentiated data, powerful workflow tools, important insights and unrivaled benchmarks. We're seeing confirmation of our strategic emphasis on private markets as well as sustainability and energy transition as revenue growth accelerated meaningfully in both those areas this quarter. As we continue to engage with customers, we hear clear indications of long term optimism despite the near term uncertainty and volatility in the markets. Speaker 200:05:38Our conversations with financial institutions, corporates and others generally revolve around interest rates in the short term, with everyone interested in identifying peak interest rates. Large maturity walls along with other factors contribute to our optimism about the multi year growth trajectory for S and P Global. Related to ratings, Global Build Issuance saw a very strong Q3 with 21% growth year over year. With credit spreads tightening through the Q3, issuers were more comfortable coming to the market, though refinancing activity continues to drive the majority of issuance. We also saw better than expected activity in bank loans, particularly around amend and extend transactions, which we expect to continue in the 4th quarter, though perhaps not to the same extent. Speaker 200:06:26We also saw our relative position in CLOs improve again in the Q3, marking a continuation of the trend we've seen all year. Vitality revenue is another area of accelerating growth for S and P Global this quarter. Our Vitality revenue metric consists of revenue derived from new or enhanced products. These innovative products contributed 12% of revenue in the 3rd quarter and grew a combined 22% year over year, a significant acceleration from the 14% growth last quarter. You'll notice that the largest contributors to our vitality revenue are unchanged from last quarter. Speaker 200:07:03While products Can and will move out of the vitality index over time as they mature. It's encouraging to see growth from these products remain steady and resilient. We're also encouraged by the early signs of growth and traction among many of the smaller products that will likely scale to be the top contributors in the coming quarters years, including the trends we see in private markets for more transparency in valuation and benchmark products. I'd like to turn to some of those new product launches now. We're seeing strong cross divisional collaboration driving new ideas, with much of that innovation now turning into generally available products. Speaker 200:07:41In the Q3, we introduced multiple datasets from our Mobility division to our Market Intelligence marketplace, making crucial vehicle forecast and registration data available via both Express Feed and Snowflake. We also launched the new single unified platform that marks the product integration of both Platts and IHS Connect. The new platform is called Platts Connect and allows customers access to a comprehensive range of products, benchmarks, data and insights from one easy to use interface on desktop and mobile. These two products Mobility on Marketplace and Plattsconnect also highlight 2 of our early opportunities to integrate new AI capabilities. In the coming months quarters, we'll be introducing intelligent search and other AI powered functionality that we're currently developing and testing within Marketplace and Platts Connect. Speaker 200:08:34We'll have more details on that as we get closer to launching those new features. We also introduced entity insights in the 3rd quarter, which brings data from Sustainable One to our network and regulatory solutions to power KYC, 3rd party risk management and vendor management within a single workflow tool, leveraging data for 27,000,000 global entities. I also want to provide an update on our development of ChatIQ. As we've shared with you, ChatIQ is a generative AI product developed jointly between Kensho and our market intelligence team. During the Q3, we had a new beta release that we continue to test internally, but this is a step function improvement over our last internal release. Speaker 200:09:15Given our strategic focus, I wanted to provide a bit more detail on the acceleration of our sustainability and energy transition products as we expected in the Q3. Customer needs have evolved away from ESG scores and move towards climate and energy transition. We believe we are uniquely positioned to win in this market. When we talk to customers, we hear clear trends. Customers don't just need a set of opaque scores. Speaker 200:09:41They're building internal sustainability frameworks and they need high quality raw data. With True Cost, we have what we believe to be the most robust and comprehensive climate data set in the world. We also offer detailed sustainability data on 17,000 companies, including approximately 3,500 that provide robust Granular data through our corporate sustainability assessment survey. Companies are seeking to operationalize the risk management around climate, and we have the largest set of real asset level data available with emissions data and climate hazards met to 1,600,000 physical assets. We also hear consistently from customers that they need help with energy transition, including developing and executing a viable energy transition strategy. Speaker 200:10:27We have solutions that cater to customers in different industries, including our automotive value chain carbon accounting solution and the power evaluator solution for energy transition strategies within the crucial power utility sector. We see this customer need across all industries. So this quarter, we also launched the Sustainability Starter Pack. This is a comprehensive solution to help companies start from scratch or from wherever they may be as they develop sustainability strategies. We help them assess materiality, measure greenhouse gas emissions and develop the reports necessary to comply with disclosure requirements and stakeholder demands. Speaker 200:11:05Customers need help generating things like a TCFD report and measuring things like greenhouse gas emissions. They need help benchmarking their own progress against peers and they need help managing the transition to renewable energy sources. We're confident that S and P Global is unparalleled in its ability to provide both the breadth and the depth of offerings necessary to adequately cover all these areas. We're continually increasing the data that we make available through Express Feed, and we're pleased to be adding datasets around net zero commitments in biodiversity before year end. Clearly, we're meeting customers at their point of need, and that's showing up in our results. Speaker 200:11:44True cost revenue growth accelerated to 55% year over year. Energy transition continues to grow at nearly 40% and our total sustainability and energy transition revenue growth accelerated to 36% year over year in the 3rd quarter. While we're very encouraged by these results, we will not rest on our laurels. We remain committed to accelerating our product leadership in this vital area and look forward to many new exciting products to come in future quarters years. Of course, our commitment to innovation and customer value also powers our ability to generate value for our shareholders. Speaker 200:12:20This is an incredible quarter of accelerating growth. We also continue to demonstrate discipline around expenses as margin expansion in the Q3 helped keep trailing 12 month margins relatively flat year over year. Trailing 12 month margins improved sequentially from the 2nd quarter and we expect margins for the full year to expand more than 100 basis points based on the midpoint of our guidance as Ewout will explain in more detail. The economic factors facing the company are largely unchanged as we look to the final few months of 2023. Secular trends continue to serve as strong tailwinds for the company, while cyclical trends can impact different parts of the business in different ways. Speaker 200:13:01Despite increased geopolitical uncertainty An evolving regulatory landscape around things like sustainability and continued uncertainty around the timing of the capital markets recovery, S and P Global remains committed to delivering value in all market conditions. Turning to the conditions of the debt markets. We're tightening the range of our expectations for build issuance as we now expect growth of 5% to 7% compared to our prior expectations of 4% to 8%. As we've discussed previously, we introduced the billed issuance reporting metric this year as well as a full year forecast to provide context for the issuance assumptions embedded in our ratings revenue guidance. Build issuance remains the issuance metric most tightly correlated with our transaction revenue and ratings. Speaker 200:13:49Our latest forecast from the Ratings Research Group now calls for positive market issuance growth for the full year, up from last quarter's expectation for a full year decline. As a reminder, market issuance can differ materially from billed issuance with divergence this year driven by declines in unrated debt and Sovereign and International Public Finance, which don't impact billed issuance. And now, I'd like to turn the call over to Ewout Steenbergen to go through more details around our financial results and outlook. Ewout? Speaker 300:14:19Thank you, Doug. As a reminder, the financial metrics that we will be discussing today Refer to non GAAP adjusted metrics unless explicitly noted otherwise. This was an exciting quarter for S&P Global As we saw growth accelerate across all five of our divisions and revenue and margins both outperformed our internal expectations, Adjusted earnings per share increased 10% year over year. While reported revenue grew 8%, this actually understates the accomplishments of the team during the Q3 because excluding Engineering Solutions and the small tuck ins done earlier this year, revenue growth was an impressive 11%. We also expanded adjusted margins by 100 basis points and reduced our fully diluted share count by 4% year over year. Speaker 300:15:08As you saw in the press release earlier this morning, we plan to continue share count reduction with the launch of an incremental $1,300,000,000 accelerated share repurchase program in the coming weeks. Revenue in the quarter was driven by growth across all divisions led by outperformance in our ratings division, which benefited from elevated issuance activity in the high yield and bank loan markets. While the environment remains unpredictable for the debt markets, we saw stronger issuance volume throughout the Q3 than we expected, particularly in September. Adjusted expenses were up 6% year over year, while the adjusted operating income increased 10%. Acceleration is further demonstrated by our strategic growth initiatives. Speaker 300:15:54Sustainability and Energy Transition revenue grew 36% to $78,000,000 in the quarter, driven by strong demand in climate and physical risk products and our energy transition products. As Doug highlighted earlier, we're fulfilling our customer needs for raw data and reporting capabilities around sustainability and energy transition, and this is evidenced by the Q3 growth. This acceleration reconfirms our continued optimism around the long term potential of this important part of our growth. Moving to Private Market Solutions. We saw revenue increase by 18% year over year to $109,000,000 driven by strong growth in Market Intelligence Private Market Software Solutions, including eyelevel and a return to strong growth in ratings private market revenue as bond issuance and private credit estimate activity both improved in the quarter. Speaker 300:16:49We're also encouraged by the demands we're seeing in our private market valuation and benchmark offerings. Vitality revenue, which is the revenue generated by innovation through new or enhanced products from across the organization was $369,000,000 in the 3rd quarter, representing a 22% increase compared to prior year. Importantly, Vitality revenue represented 12% of our total revenue in the quarter, making it the 3rd consecutive quarter of improvement in our vitality index score. Now turning to synergies. In the Q3 of 2023, we recognized $149,000,000 of expense savings due to cost synergies, and our annualized run rate exiting the quarter was $588,000,000 We expect to complete our cost synergy program by year end with a run rate of approximately $600,000,000 We continue to make progress on our revenue synergies as well with $25,000,000 in synergies achieved in the 3rd quarter and an annualized run rate of $112,000,000 Turning to expense growth. Speaker 300:17:58We are pleased to see that our efforts to optimize our portfolio and deliver cost synergies offset most of the year over year expense growth in the Q3. Our total expenses increased less than 6% year over year, though we continue to see some inflationary pressure on compensation expense. Due to the decisive expense actions we took last year, the reset of incentive compensation this year continues to contribute meaningfully to expense growth, though we do not expect any further headwinds from this going forward. We're confident that we continue to strike the appropriate balance between disciplined expense management and investing in our business as evidenced by the volume of new products coming to the market this year and our expectation to deliver more than 100 basis points of adjusted margin expansion for the full year at the midpoint of our guidance range. Now let's turn to the division results. Speaker 300:18:52Market Intelligence revenue increased 8%, driven by strong growth in Data and Advisory Solutions and Enterprise Solutions. Desktop grew 5% in the 3rd quarter, driven by strong subscription growth as ACV growth continued to outpace revenue growth, partially offset by modest softness in onetime sales. Renewal rates continue to remain strong in the mid to high 90s range. Data and Advisory Solutions and Enterprise Solutions each grew by 9% in the quarter, benefiting from double digit growth in subscription based offerings. Credit and Risk Solutions continues to see strong new sales for Ratings Express and Ratings Direct products as well as continued double digit growth in Credit Analytics. Speaker 300:19:37Adjusted expenses increased 9% year over year, primarily due to compensation expense. Operating profit increased 6% and the operating margin decreased 60 basis points to 33.3%. On a trailing 12 month basis, margins improved 140 basis points. As we progress through the 4th quarter, We expect continued acceleration in revenue growth as we move into the most favorable comparison quarter for the year. Furthermore, we see the business continuing to benefit from the launch of new products and monetization of cross sell referrals as part of the division's overall revenue synergy program. Speaker 300:20:15As a result, we're tightening our full year guidance for revenue growth by 100 basis points to a range of 6.5% to 7.5%, while reaffirming our full year margin outlook. Now turning to ratings. In the Q3, we saw continued improvements in issuance activity, particularly due to refinancing in the bank loan and high yield markets. Revenue increased 20% year over year, well above our internal expectations. However, growth was helped by a $19,000,000 cumulative catch up for customers' self reported commercial paper issuance in non transaction revenue, which primarily benefited structured finance. Speaker 300:20:56Excluding this impact, ratings would have grown approximately 17% in the 3rd quarter. Transaction revenue grew 34% in the 3rd quarter, driven primarily by growth in bank loan and high yield issuance. Non transaction revenue increased 13%, primarily due to an increase in annual fees, which includes the catch up revenue I mentioned previously as well as growth in ratings evaluation service activity and at CRISIL. Excluding the impact of the catch up revenue, nontransaction revenue would have grown approximately 8%. Adjusted expenses increased 18%, primarily due to the write down of incentive compensation expense in the year ago period. Speaker 300:21:38This resulted in a 22% increase in operating profit and a 70 basis points increase in operating margin to 56.6%. On a trailing 12 month basis, Margins are still impacted by the relatively low margins in the Q4 of last year. As Doug mentioned, We're tightening our billed issuance growth assumption for 2023 to 5% to 7%. This reflects the outperformance we saw in the 3rd quarter, but also reflects our slightly lower expectation for investment grade issuance in the Q4 relative to our prior forecast. While we expect continued growth in non transaction, we still see headwinds in issuer credit ratings revenue as fewer new issuers come to the market. Speaker 300:22:23As a result, we're increasing Ratings revenue guidance range by 100 basis points, now expecting growth of 6% to 8% for the full year and reiterating our margin guidance. And now turning to commodity insights. Revenue growth increased 11% following a 2nd consecutive quarter of double digit growth in both price assessments and energy and resources data and insights. Upstream data and insights increased approximately 2% year over year, benefiting from better than expected demand for both content and software as well as slightly improved retention rates. The business line continues to prioritize growth in its subscription base. Speaker 300:23:04Price assessments and Energy and Resources Data and Insights grew 12% 10%, respectively. Growth was driven by continued strength in our benchmark data and insights products. We also continue to see strong commercial momentum in our subscription offerings for both business lines. Advisory and transactional services revenue grew 33%, driven by strong trading volumes across all sectors in Global Trading Services and strong performance in advisory revenue in the quarter. The business line continues to benefit from market driven volumes, but we're also seeing positive results in key areas of strategic investment, including energy transition. Speaker 300:23:45Adjusted expenses increased 6%, Operating profit for Commodity Insights increased 17% and the operating margin improved 260 basis points to 48.4%. Trailing 12 month margins improved 2 40 basis points. We continue to see commodity insights benefit from strong secular trends around energy transition and sustainability and demand for benchmarks, data and insights. Following this quarter's strong performance, We're raising the low end and tightening commodity insights overall revenue guidance range, now expecting growth of 8.5% to 9.5% for the full year. There's no change to our margin guidance. Speaker 300:24:30In our Mobility division, revenue increased 10% year over year. The team continues to execute well with the 3rd consecutive quarter of double digit growth in the dealer segment and continued growth in new business and financials and other segments. Dealer revenue increased 13% year over year, driven by the continued benefit of price realization within the last year and new store growth, particularly in Carfax for life and used car subscription products as well as the addition of MarketScan. Manufacturing grew 4% year over year driven by elevated recall activity and continued strength in marketing solutions. Financials and other increased 9% as the business line continues to see healthy underwriting volumes and a favorable pricing environment similar to last quarter. Speaker 300:25:20Adjusted expenses increased 10%, driven primarily by increased incentive compensation expense, but also due to the inorganic contribution to expenses from the MarketScan acquisition. This resulted in a 10% increase in adjusted operating profit and 20 basis points operating margin contraction year over year. Trailing 12 month margins have contracted 100 basis points. We expect continued strong growth in used car subscription products as we progress through the Q4. We also expect Mobility to continue to benefit from dealerships and OEMs increasing their incentive spend on new vehicles as affordability is hampered by rising rates. Speaker 300:26:01As a result, we're narrowing our guidance for revenue growth to a range of 9% to 10% for the full year. There is no change to our margin guidance. Now turning to S and P Dow Jones Indices. Revenue increased 6%, primarily due to gains in exchange traded derivative volumes and asset linked fees. We're very pleased to see asset linked fees return to positive revenue growth in the 3rd quarter. Speaker 300:26:26Revenues were up 4% year over year, driven by higher ETF AUM, which benefits from both market depreciation and net inflows, but was partially offset by mix shift into lower priced products, continuing the pattern from last quarter. Exchange rated derivative volume increased 18%, primarily driven by an approximately 20% increase in S and P 500 index options volume. Data and custom subscriptions increased 2% year over year, driven by continued strength in end of day contract growth. During the quarter, expenses increased 9% year over year with the majority of the increase driven by the write down of incentive compensation in the year ago period. Operating profit in indices increased 5% And the operating margin decreased 90 basis points to 69.4%. Speaker 300:27:19Trailing 12 month margins have contracted 80 basis points. There's no change to our revenue outlook for Indusys. However, as a result of the continued cost discipline and outperformance year to date, We're increasing our margin guidance for the division to a range of 68% to 69% for the full year. Now let's move to the latest views from Our Economists. We're forecasting global GDP growth of 3.1% in 2023. Speaker 300:27:47While outlooks vary somewhat by region, our economists are forecasting a period of subdued global growth fueled by higher for longer rates with a soft landing base case assumption as we move through the first half of next year. We continue to expect inflation to remain above to target rates of central banks and energy commodity prices such as crude oil to remain above the historical averages as well. For the full year, we assume Brent Crude will average approximately $84 per barrel, slightly higher than our last estimate as we expect Brent grew to average $88 in the 4th quarter. Now let's turn to our guidance. This slide represents our GAAP guidance for headline metrics. Speaker 300:28:35Adjusted guidance for the company reflects the results through the Q3 as well as our most recent views on the macroeconomic environment and market conditions. We're narrowing our expectations for total revenue growth to a range of 4.5% to 5.5% for the full year to reflect the changes discussed earlier on our divisional revenue outlook. Furthermore, we're maintaining our operating profit margin guidance of 45.5% to 46.5% with the expectation that we will achieve full year margins close to the midpoint of the range. We have provided the granular guidance on corporate and allocated expense, due related amortization, interest expense and tax rate in the supplemental deck posted to our IR site. This includes a 50 basis point reduction in our adjusted effective tax rate to a range of 20.5% to 21.5%. Speaker 300:29:31As a result of this quarter's strong performance and our expectations for the remainder of the year, we're increasing and tightening Our full year adjusted diluted EPS guidance to a range of $12.50 to $12.60 The final slides in this deck illustrate our revenue and margin guidance by division, reflecting the drivers that I mentioned previously. In conclusion, our business has demonstrated exceptional growth across divisions this quarter, while we continue to manage expenses prudently. Furthermore, I'm pleased with the progress being made across our cost synergy initiatives and growth across revenue synergies as we see more and more new products coming to the market That would have been impossible without the merger. The teams have done a truly excellent job executing on our key strategic initiatives, while still driving profitable growth across all divisions this quarter, and we look forward to delivering a strong finish to 2023. And with that, I would like to invite Martina Chung, President of S&P Global Ratings and Executive Lead for Sustainable One to join us. Speaker 300:30:41And I will turn the call back over to Mark for your questions. Thank you, Speaker 100:31:00Operator, we will now take our first question. Operator00:31:03Thank you. Our first question comes from Ashish Sabadra with RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open. Speaker 400:31:11Thanks for taking my question. Really strong build issuance momentum in September of 35%. There was comment around IG being potentially weak in the 4th quarter, but just wondering if you can comment on the strength that you saw in high yield and bank loans in the 3rd quarter for the rest of the year. And also if you can talk about any initial color on the refi wall and initial pipeline for 2024? Thanks. Speaker 500:31:34Hi, Ashish. Thanks very much for the question. It's Martina here. Yes, very pleased with Q3 overall. As you have seen, our build issuance was up 21% and a very, very strong September. Speaker 500:31:49In high yields, we were very pleased to It was about 150% growth in issuance overall year over year in the quarter and high yields year to date is up about 50% rated issuance in the market. We see strong refi activity there in Q3 and looking to see More of that as we go forward certainly into next year. It's Q3 marked I think A notable point in terms of issuers willing to come back and tap the market for high yields. And then on bank loans, as we've said before, we didn't have heroic assumptions on bank loan volumes for this year. Overall, while we saw an increase in Q3 year over year, we're still down year over year, year to date in bank loan issuance. Speaker 500:32:36There we saw a lot of refinancing. Interestingly, a very strong trend this year that we saw in Q3 and are monitoring closely going forward is a lot of amend to extend activity, or amend and extend activity rather in the bank loan space, and that's been a boost in that area from an issuance standpoint. For 2024, obviously, we're not commenting yet for 2024. We'll Certainly give more on that in February, but the factors that we're watching closely, refinancing walls are very healthy. Our last The midyear report on refinancing showed the 5 year total is up about 11%. Speaker 500:33:14And between now and We see about KRW8 1,000,000,000,000 in refinancing. So that's something that we watch closely and that's a very robust growth in that area. But we also are looking at the usual factors, the macroeconomic factors, certainly heightened geopolitical uncertainty. M and A has not been graced this year. As we've seen, it's been down by quite a bit this year. Speaker 500:33:41So we're looking to see Come back in next year as well. And just the other point that I would make on as we're looking ahead in the next several quarters is that CP balances or commercial paper balances are quite high. So that could So, lead to some issuance if we see corporates transitioning from CP to fixed income. And we've commented in the past that we continue to see corporate cash balances at pre pandemic levels, which we think will Continue to boost the need for issuance as well. Operator00:34:20Thank you. Our next question comes from Manav Patnaik with Barclays. Your line is open. Speaker 600:34:26Thank you. Good morning. I just wanted to focus on the And my margins, if I could. I mean, I understand trailing 12 months, it's up, but just the low 30s, how should we think about that Going forward, I would think that the synergies, the combination, that there should be a lot of upside there, but perhaps just a Lower relative growth and maybe it's an investment area, but just any thoughts on cost control and margin improvement there going forward would be helpful. Speaker 300:34:54Good morning, Manav. A couple of comments on this. First, if we look back at last year, we took very decisive actions in terms of pulling back expenses when the market turns more south in the second and the third quarter in several areas among which also incentive compensation. So we have some difficult comps for this year. Having said that, number 2, point number 2, we acknowledge that Mi can do better with margins and we're seeing several opportunities to expand margins As we have also guidance for the full year and implicitly for the Q4. Speaker 300:35:30So that brings me to my third point Is that we expect margins actually to improve significantly beginning with the next quarter due to the easier compare, But also due to several management actions that we are putting in place, including tight management of headcounts and other expenses, while we still continue to invest in growth and other strategic initiatives. Speaker 200:35:57Thanks, Manav. Operator00:35:59Thank you. Our next question comes from Toni Kaplan with Morgan Stanley. Your line is open. Thanks very much. This one is for Martina. Operator00:36:08Your build issuance was markedly ahead of our industry data during the quarter. And so I was hoping you could discuss if you've seen any notable share gains, in particular ratings categories this year and just any color around share gains. Thanks. Speaker 500:36:26Thanks, Tony, for the question. I'd give a couple of comments on this. Certainly, we would look at the differences between market issuance and build issuance. And I think Doug And Eboe covered that routinely in terms of how to assess our performance specifically. For us, the build issuance Data in Q3 was strong for a number of reasons. Speaker 500:36:51Firstly, it's a bit of a mix question. So More high yield, more bank loans, less frequent issuer compared year over year, which is just a function of when the high yield and leverage loan issuers tap the market. I would also say we're extremely pleased with the progress and momentum that we have in a number of the classes. When we talked to you last year at Investor Day, we said we were making investments in structured finance, we were making investments in infrastructure, we Had acquired Cicero Shades of Green and making investment in SPOs, and we've seen really robust performance in all of those areas, which we had tagged and very, very pleased to see those results. Speaker 200:37:36Thanks, Tony. Operator00:37:39Thank you. Our next question comes from Faiza Alwy with Deutsche Bank. Your line is open. Speaker 700:37:45Yes. Hi, thank you. Good morning. Evot, I wanted to follow-up on your comments around expenses. Can you help us think through expenses in the Q4? Speaker 700:37:57And more importantly, as we look ahead to 2024, Some of the now that you're at the end of the road in terms of synergies, how should we think about expenses in 2024 just generally across Speaker 300:38:13Yes, of course. Good morning, Faiza. First of all, I would like to comment that if we think about expenses. We have a very volatile comp in 2022. So it has moved around a lot in the quarters last here due to the good reason that we pulled back very hard and we're very on top of expense management when we had the difficult markets last year. Speaker 300:38:37This year actually our trends are far more stable. So year over year there is a lot of noise, but I think this year actually From a pattern perspective looks much better. I think if you look at corrected expenses actually and if you take out Engineering Solutions, We are having expense growth that is below revenue growth. So we're seeing nice healthy margin expense Margin expansion, if you correct for those same items, particularly for Engineering Solutions, we're very happy to see how expenses and margins have Developed in commodity insights, you have seen some very nice margin expansion there as well as if we think about Incentive compensation swing year over year, if you would correct for that, actually we're looking at quite modest expense growth in Ratings Mobility and Indices as well. For the full year, we are expecting for this full year 2023 Expense growth in the low single digit level. Speaker 300:39:39So implicitly, if you then would look at the 4th quarter, Speaker 200:39:52Thanks Faiza. Operator00:39:54Thank you. Our next question comes from Alex Kramm with UBS. Your line is open. Speaker 800:40:00Yes, good morning. Just coming back to the Market Intelligence discussion from earlier, it's a question I've asked a couple of times since you've done this deal. But Part of our thesis on the IHS Markit acquisition was that that's a business on the market financial side that had been cobbled together by a lot of acquisitions over many, many, many years. And I think we're kind of hoping that you get in there with your S The global viewpoint and say like what businesses make sense, what do not and maybe make this a leaner and meaner machine. So just wondering to what degree that's an effort That you guys are focused on right now and maybe anything that you've seen where you echo that, that there may be Something to do and that business could still look a little bit different in the future or if you're very happy with the business portfolio today? Speaker 800:40:49Thank you. Speaker 200:40:50Alex, this is Doug, and thank you for the question. And let me just take a step back to for one second to a higher level about the integration and the merger overall. We're thrilled with the progress and we've seen that today with some of the new product launches that we described, which are bringing together information, data, research from across the portfolio. And within Market Intelligence, we have the same kind of integration going on. As you know, we always looked at the integration of the integration. Speaker 200:41:17We Realize that IHS Markit had done a lot of acquisitions and grown a lot of products and one of the opportunities is to continue to consolidate those and put those together. And we see a lot of progress there. This is something you should hold us to and watch us how we're going to continue to bring together the areas. As you know, within Market Intelligence, we've got a lot of opportunities to attack new markets. As an example, corporates, Financial services at IHS Markit truly was focused on financial services. Speaker 200:41:46A lot of their products are very attractive to corporates. We're finding a lot of opportunities, as you'll hear us talk about and you know, related to sustainability and private markets. So we look at this opportunity to continue to consolidate the businesses internally, which is going to bring upside from an expense point of view. And we're also going to be investing for growth, especially in areas like sustainability, private markets and then expanding areas like our reference pricing, which can be used in so many different ways. But your thesis is right. Speaker 200:42:16We're going to continue to consolidate and we will also look very carefully at the overall portfolio. Operator00:42:25Thank you. Our next question comes from Andrew Steinerman with JPMorgan. Your line is open. Speaker 300:42:32Hey, Yvon, it's Andrew. Could you just tell us how M and A revenues in dollars Of course, Andrew. And I had expected you to ask about organic constant currency revenue. So let me first give that number. That was 10.4% for the quarter, specifically for Market Intelligence 7, for Ratings 18.5 Mobility, 8.2 commodities, 10.9 and indices, 5.8. Speaker 300:43:11In terms of adjustments with respect to acquisitions, there was €3,800,000 of correction For Market Intelligence, given the acquisitions we have done there and for Mobility, dollars 5,600,000 And then there was the correction for Engineering Solutions from last year of $96,000,000 So if you combine that with the FX impact, which you can find in the supplemental deck, you would come to that organic constant currency growth of 10.4 And as you and I are very much in agreement, that is a very healthy basis to look at the real performance of the divisions. Speaker 200:43:53Thanks, Andrew. Operator00:43:56Thank you. Our next question comes from Jeff Silber with BMO Capital Markets. Your line is open. Speaker 900:44:04Thanks so much. So your Investor Day was a little less than a year ago, and I'm just curious, Can we just compare how you felt about some of the businesses then compared to how you feel about them now? Anything better or worse compared to that time period? Speaker 200:44:22Hi, Jeff. This is Doug. Well, let me take a step back again. And if you recall, we had At our Investor Day, it was 1 year ago, almost as on December 1, 2022. At that time, we laid out our new vision, Powering Global Markets and the 5 pillars that we use to manage the business as well as allocate capital. Speaker 200:44:41At that time, we put in place longer term 25, 26 targets for revenue growth and for margins. We're well on track for all of those. And we also laid out the time, Some really interesting and for us ambitious targets for new products and new services and we also feel really confident about what we're seeing. We feel like we targeted and have identified the most important secular trends and market trends and that we're growing in that direction. There's excellent reception for that. Speaker 200:45:12So 1 year in, almost 1 year into those targets, we're very confident about achieving them and we're really excited about our prospects. Thanks, Jeff. Operator00:45:24Thank you. Our next question comes from Scott Wertzel with Wolfe Research. Your line is open. Speaker 1000:45:30Hey, good morning, guys. Just one for Martina. We'd love to hear just your thoughts a little bit more on some of the performance in Ratings in the context of the private credit market and then maybe also some of your thoughts on where you think the private credit market is heading relative to public debt markets and how the company can further play in that space? Speaker 500:45:50Yes. Hi, Scott. Thanks so much for the question. Just reflecting on the prior question as well, when we did the IR Day, I said that two points. One is that the private markets were not going away in the sense that they were going to continue to grow. Speaker 500:46:05And the second is that we saw that as an opportunity and both things have played out as expected this year. We're very pleased with our overall performance from a rating standpoint in the private markets. It comes in the form of a couple of areas. So Increased demand for fund ratings, there's been a real healthy pipeline, a lot of dialogue with the sponsors and fund managers. We've also seen quite a bit of demand on the structure credit front, which we had highlighted as a key trend that we thought we would see and that has certainly played out this year. Speaker 500:46:44And as we see the overall AUM and allocations to the asset class increase, we're very well positioned. We're at the market with credit estimates, portfolio assessments, etcetera, with our ratings team and having really, really great dialogue with market participants. So very pleased from from a rating standpoint. Speaker 300:47:06Thanks, Scott, and welcome to the call. Operator00:47:10Thank you. Our next question comes from Andrew Nicholas with William Blair. Your line is open. Speaker 900:47:17Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking my question. A lot of really good color on new product development, fatality index is ticking higher, growth there is good. I'm just curious, And I don't know if this is one that you can quantify, but just how much of that is a result of investments in product development on the GenAI side or is that something that can create kind of a new leg of accelerated growth as you continue to kind of harvest your investments there. Thank you. Speaker 300:47:51Thank you, Andrew. And we are very happy that you're recognizing The level of innovation, the level of entrepreneurship, the level of the company, and we're very happy and pleased around that. If you think about the background of this, this is coming from, 1st of all, the merger. The merger gives us a lot of benefit in combining Products, features, data sets, platforms, capabilities, and that is really driving a part of it. 2nd part of it is really the investments we're making, strategic growth initiatives and we're really pleased with what we're seeing in sustainability, energy transition, private markets And several other areas that fall out of that, but are also very entrepreneurial. Speaker 300:48:34You see growth in areas in indices like thematics, factor based. We launched something that is called more the credit fix. We have car listings in mobility and many other areas. So Generally, investments in growth initiatives are really starting to pay off. And that is ultimately then also showing up in the vitality index, which is Something that is maybe unique as a metric and we're as far as we know the only company in our industry publishing this, But it is a clear indication of innovation that we would like to publish. Speaker 300:49:09With respect to AI and Gen AI, it's powering many of the products that we are having, but it is more embedded. I wouldn't say the new really Gen AI features That it is really in the number so far because most of those products are still under development and we will get back to you once we are really at the production grade level kind of offering that we can bring to our customers. So I think it's a little bit too early for the impact of Gen AI, but more to come on that over the next few quarters. Speaker 200:49:39Thanks, Andrew. Operator00:49:42Thank you. Our next question comes from George Tong with Goldman Sachs. Your line is open. Speaker 1000:49:47Hi, thanks. Good morning. You narrowed the guidance for revenue growth in Market Intelligence with the midpoint unchanged at 7%. Does that suggest stabilizing trends in your sustainability and energy transition business? And how are broader client budget and spending trends in the segment performing? Speaker 300:50:07Generally, George, this is coming from multiple drivers within Market Intelligence, not only from sustainability and energy transition. So first of all, the core business is strong. We see healthy growth. We see a good sales momentum. We see that the ACV book is really growing a little bit faster Then actually the revenue we are reporting for example in desktop. Speaker 300:50:34And as you know ACV is an early indicator of future revenues. So we're really pleased by that. Also, the revenue synergies are becoming more meaningful at this moment, so that really helps to contribute growth. The capital markets volumes are stabilizing. We don't see a lot of pickup of M and A yet, but last year it was really a headwind and that headwind is going away. Speaker 300:50:57And then also the comps become more easy, for example, from an FX perspective. And then you're right, Sustainability and several other factors drive here the growth as well. So we are actually really positive about the outlook for Market Intelligence growth in the 4th quarter and implicitly what you're seeing in our guidance range is that we would expect further acceleration of the growth of the top line of market intelligence in the next quarter. Speaker 200:51:28Thanks, George. Operator00:51:31Thank you. Our next question comes from Craig Huber with Huber Research Partners. Your line is open. Speaker 1100:51:38Yes. Hi there. Could you just update us Please and where you're sitting at right now for the synergies for IHS, both the cost and the revenue synergy, what that run rate is now at year end and where you aspire to be versus the original expectations. Thank you. Speaker 300:51:54Greg, good morning. If you think about the cost synergies, We have raised those twice over the last period, as you know. So the €600,000,000 is the target that we're aiming for. We're almost done. We're effectively done. Speaker 300:52:10There are a few more projects that will be finalized at year end. That is just purely timing of some of those projects. And then we will be able to declare that we hit the €600,000,000 And then we won't talk about cost synergies anymore from that point onwards because cost synergies are also related to operational integration. And we are more or less running the company now as a fully combined company. We're not talking about one part versus the other part anymore. Speaker 300:52:39So it's good to close off cost synergies And really think about the company as one company going forward. That doesn't mean that we will stop with efficiency and productivity programs. Obviously, We have a track record to always look for new opportunities, and we'll get back to you at that point in time with new updates. From a revenue synergy perspective, we actually like the progress that we have made during the Q3. It's quite a big step to $112,000,000 of run rate. Speaker 300:53:08We're getting now close to 1 third of the overall target. We have always said that is a 5 year trajectory To get to €350,000,000 more focus in the first part on cross sell, most of what you see now reported as revenue synergies is coming from cross sell. But we have these new products that are being launched and those new products will help with the next phase of revenue synergy delivery. So we feel we're right on track. We're really on the right path to deliver on the 3 $50,000,000 so we feel very good about it. Speaker 300:53:43Thanks, Craig. Operator00:53:45Thank you. Our next question comes from Seth Weber with Wells Fargo, your line is open. Speaker 1000:53:52Hey, thanks. Good morning. I just wanted to ask about the reacceleration in the sustainability and energy transition business. Last quarter, you talked about some uncertainty with the regulatory landscape and political climate, I mean, can you just frame the numbers seem to be back on track here. Has anything really changed? Speaker 1000:54:14Is it just more Adoption of new product or customers just getting more used to the new normal or maybe just any perspective on that? Thank you. Speaker 500:54:24Hi, Seth. It's Martina. I can take that question. Yes, very pleased with the Q3 results. We saw about 55% growth in true costs and about 37% in CI, but the growth was actually across all divisions. Speaker 500:54:40So we saw inflows into the core climate and sustainability indices, for example, in S&P Dow Jones and really strong demand for the Mobility Energy Transition Products as well as the FPOs in ratings. So Really great progress and momentum across the board. Look, I think the key thing here and we've been saying this for quite some time. Firstly, The long term drivers and the needs in this business have not changed, notwithstanding some of the, call it, the minor slowdowns that we may have seen in the past year for various different reasons. Customers, corporations still need to look at operational risk in their supply chains. Speaker 500:55:18They still need to report against their net zero transition plans. If they're exposed in any way to Europe, they have to report against some pretty complicated regulations there. For example, we still have banks who are looking at finance emissions and looking to deploy capital into Sustainability and we have asset owners and asset managers who are obviously either looking for alpha or looking to allocate to the asset class. And so The fundamentals haven't changed. We believe we have the best, most comprehensive and deep offerings in this area across all of our businesses. Speaker 500:55:51Commodity Insights is a leader in energy transition analytics and advisory, for example. But one of the other things that I would say is and this is Just what's so exciting to me around sustainability with the merger, we are launching products now bringing together some of the most unique and fantastic IP across The division for the real asset data that we have launched brings together data from mobility, commodity insights, market intelligence and sustainable 1. And it's going to be a real powerhouse in that area going forward as we see more and more needs for much more specific emissions, transition, biodiversity and nature data at the real asset level. So that's just one example. Super excited about that going forward and very pleased with Q3. Speaker 500:56:35Thanks for the question. Thanks, Seth. Operator00:56:39Thank you. Our next Question comes from Owen Lau with Oppenheimer. Your line is open. Speaker 600:56:45Good morning and thank you for taking my question. Could you please add more color on the strength in private market and also iLFO? Where is the demand coming from? I mean, did you take shares from your competitor or your product can automate the process and replace in wholesale? Thank you. Speaker 200:57:05Hi, Owen. This is Doug. Let me take that. And let me start by taking a step back and talking about what we're seeing is this really interesting And very rapid transformation of the private markets. If you go back 25, 30 years ago, private markets was just private equity. Speaker 200:57:21Those LBOs is private equity, but over the last 25 years and accelerating the last 3 or 4 is a many, many different asset classes, many different strategies On the asset side and on the investor side, you also see a whole diversification of the types of investors that have gone into private markets and private credit, Which started obviously with pension funds and insurance companies endowments and add to that now private wealth individuals even. So you see a completely different need for data and analytics across those areas. And as an example, this a lot of this is Brand new volume. It's not necessarily you're taking market share from anybody. You're finding new applications to bring to the market to provide the information both Speaker 1100:58:04to the Speaker 200:58:05GPs and the LPs, but also to now even investors at a different level, the private market investors and individual investors. So we see that the kinds of tools that we're bringing, for instance, the eye level software, which you mentioned, this provides a data service. It provides transparency to the markets. It gives you more frequent information about the portfolio than you might see from what was coming directly from the GPs themselves. We also have products which we believe are going to be applied in the future from our DVA area, which includes information about pricing. Speaker 200:58:39It brings a whole new level of transparency and timeliness to being able to provide pricing and information about the portfolios. We know that investors, especially from some of those sophisticated institutional investors, they want to look across their portfolios and have Mark to market look at concentrations. They want to look at limits. They want to manage their portfolios in a way that they need much more granular data in the area. So So we think this is going to be one of our most interesting highest growth areas. Speaker 200:59:07And so you asked where it's coming from. It's new demand, it's new opportunities and it's ways we can bring together Thanks for the question, Owen. Operator00:59:24Thank you. Our next question comes from Russell Quelch with Redburn Atlantic. Your line is open. Speaker 1200:59:31Yes. Hi, guys. I wanted to focus on the indices business, please. We've seen some interesting new product launches from you in the last quarter. And I'm wondering if you can give us some more detail on the pipe for new products in this area, mainly kind of what areas should we expect you to look to focus growth? Speaker 1200:59:47Are we thinking climate indices, derivatives, Fixed income, where is you've had some good product launches in the last quarter, but what more is there to come? And I was also hoping you could explain how mix impacts Revenue growth in this business, particularly in respect to asset class, please. Thank you. Speaker 201:00:04Russell, let me start and then I'll hand it over to Ewout Talk a little bit about the expenses and what we're seeing on the financial side. But right now, there's also a lot of changes going on in the asset management industry. I just talked about Happening with the private market side. But at the same time, industries like traditional asset management, we see the shift from active to passive. And what that plays to is one of our strengths. Speaker 201:00:27And you asked about the type of products which are coming out. One set is related to sustainability. There's a whole type of new interest going on and maybe a few years ago that was more of ESG. Now it's tending more towards climate and energy Transition, we see it with, for instance, our own cross divisional index, which is related to battery metals. We also see a lot of interest in the climate Paris Accord Climate Transition Indices. Speaker 201:00:59So there's a whole set of indices that we've been launching In particular, for European investors and with European asset managers related to We also see a set of indices which are cross or multi asset class industries, which allows us to take advantage of what we have From S and P Global, from our index business, traditional S and P 500 and other equity indices, you bring that along with Credit and fixed income indices that came with IHS Markit, that's a whole new asset class for us is to be able to provide a multi asset class with the credit aspect to it, credit volatility. There's another set of products which are related to exchange traded derivatives. They're not direct indices, but there's a lot more interest in risk management and hedging and trading strategies. And with our core foundation And our relationships with Cboe and CME, we're able to develop a whole new set of ETDs and you've seen strong growth in that area as well. So across the board, it's climate, it's multi asset class, it's factors, it's a whole set of different types of indices on the fixed income side, And then it's also exchange traded derivatives and new approaches to products which we've already been developing there. Speaker 201:02:11But let me hand it over to Ewout to give a little bit more color on Speaker 301:02:14the numbers. Russell, specifically your question about mix and mix shift. We are very pleased to see that the AUM fees are up again this quarter And that the AUM levels and the AUM fees are again correlated in the same direction. But a couple of more detailed comments I want to make there is first, as we have said many times, please keep in mind that if you look at AUM fees, there are also other categories going into the mix. It's not only ETFs. Speaker 301:02:43There's also mutual funds, there are insurance funds, there are OTC volumes and all of them grew a little bit less than the average AUM levels of ETFs. So that is one part why you will see always a little bit of a discrepancy between AUM levels for ETFs and the fees. Secondly, the trends that we talked to you about last quarter of the mix shift Is continuing. What we are seeing is that the market is a bit risk off, that there is a move from more specialty ETFs to more flagship ETFs. Our flagship ETFs are taking in a lot of flows, very positive flows we had this quarter, but those Funds are more lower level of basis point fees. Speaker 301:03:28We think this is a current market trend situation That will reverse again at some point in time when the market will be more risk on and there's more interest in the specialty ETFs. But this is a mix shift trend That we're still seeing continuing also in the Q3. Thank you, Russell. Operator01:03:46Thank you. Our next question comes from Shlomo Rosenbaum with Stifel Nicolaus. Your line is open. Speaker 301:03:53Hi, this is Adam Carrington on for Shlomo. September issuance trends Do you see that as a start of an improving trend or more indicative of companies rushing to get financing ahead of further rate increases given the sharp rate movements we saw in September? Speaker 501:04:07Yes. Hi. Thanks for the question. Yes, look, September was higher than we expected for Sure. And we do believe that some of that was essentially pulled forward from Q4. Speaker 501:04:21Having said that, I think there's a number of additional factors here that are important to think about Q4 and onwards, and some of those are Some that I had referenced earlier. Do we, for example, will we see some issuers actually pull forward from 2024 in Q4 of this year, something we're tracking? And as I mentioned earlier, we're also looking at the amend and extend activity in bank loan space, which was very strong in Q3 as well as some of the refinancing in bank loans as well. So a lot of factors, the sort of net new factor there, of course, as well as the geopolitical overhang that we have to continue to watch. So overall, we take a prudent look for Q4 and the usual factors that we watch going into next year. Speaker 501:05:11We have a handle on all of those as well. One other point that So I would just add and this is something that I think is important since it's a good indicator longer term is the flow of funds into fixed income funds. Q3, for example, into high yield and leveraged loan funds was a net positive. So that's a good thing, good indicator. Through the first half of the year, we saw the inflows back into fixed income funds overall against the huge net outflow from last year. Speaker 501:05:42So these are things that we have Operator01:05:51Thank you. Our next question comes from Jeff Meuler with Baird. Your line is open. Speaker 601:05:56Yes, thank you. There was a comment about an improving relative to the CLOs. Martina, how much of that was just about retaining capacity through and had come through a challenging market Versus what else are you doing and are there any kind of like IHS synergy benefits? And then just quickly, Ewout, if you can address What drove the lower tax rate and if there's any sort of like structural carry forward benefit from whatever is driving it beyond 23? Thank you. Speaker 501:06:24Hi, Jeff. Thanks so much for the question. Actually, we saw an improvement across a number of the sub classes in Instructure Finance overall, and we're just frankly very, very pleased. Certainly, a lot of this is related to additional investments in capacity. And What I have been saying and will continue to say is it's not just about capacity, it's about the strength and the expertise of the talent. Speaker 501:06:49And that is really incredibly important in these classes. The overall asset class is also experiencing some growth in part driven by the private credit issuers. And we've made sure that we have been on the street talking to everybody we need to talk to, making sure that All of the issuers are aware of the talent and the capacity that we have, and we continue to remain highly relevant in the space. I would say just very pleased with the execution from the team so far this year in this area. Thanks for the question. Speaker 301:07:23And Jeff, to the second part of your question, Our effective tax rate is lower in the quarter primarily due to some new guidance came out during this quarter with respect to the way how to apply foreign tax credits It would have impact our medium term outlook with respect to the tax rate. Thanks, Jeff. Operator01:07:45Thank you. We will now take our final question from Heather Balsky from Bank of America. You may ask your question. Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking my question. Operator01:07:54I actually wanted to ask Speaker 1301:07:55a question about the commodity insights business and if you could just Talk about the drivers that you expect to, I guess, help you maintain your current level of growth and just help put in perspective How much commodity prices do or do not impact the growth in Speaker 501:08:14that business? Thanks. Speaker 201:08:17Thanks, Heather. This is Doug. Well, first of all, when we look at this industry, it's being driven by a credible amount of transformation. We talked earlier in a different context about energy transition. And you take what are the traditional oil, gas, commodity Products which we have a very strong position in both from price benchmarks as well as news research and analytics. Speaker 201:08:40And we announced that we have just launched this Platts Connect, which is a platform where we take the 2 services from what had been Platts and what had been ENR From IHS Markit and put them together in a single platform, that means that we can continue to serve all of the traditional markets in a way with a very high quality platform with it's easy to use, it's easy to search on. We'll be enhancing it with AI tools over time. And so that's just the beginning of where we already see the traditional markets Growing and we're able to serve them better and faster in ways that are much more compelling all the time. And that into that that there's a mix of New commodities and new energy sources. There's areas like the metals which are used for energy transition that we already have a position in, but we're getting stronger all the time. Speaker 201:09:27And then you have the energy transition products related to things like carbon intensity, carbon markets, How we look at the transportation related to that, the infrastructure that's related to that. And then on top of that, there's an incredible amount of synergies across all of S and P Global With S1, for example, with new data sets which are being added to the marketplace and market intelligence, new data sets which can be added to Cap IQ Pro. So we look at this as a business that is in the right place at a time when the markets need transparency, they need comparability, They need high quality data and they need it delivered in a way that's easy for them to use and they can build it into their workflow. So We're really, really very pleased with our progress and this is a business that we're going to continue to invest in. So thank you very much, Heather. Speaker 201:10:17And let me just give a couple of closing remarks. I want to first of all thank everyone for joining the call today and your excellent questions as always. I'm really proud as you can hear about the progress we've made with the merger with IHS Markit and all of the integration that's taking place. And now We're able to talk more and more about the revenue side and the product launches and you saw them this quarter with Platts Connect and Entity Insights and there's a lot more to come. And this is combining the best across both businesses to create the new S and P Global. Speaker 201:10:48I also want to thank Martina For providing her perspectives today and thank you for joining us. And as always, I want to thank our people for a great quarter. Their excitement and passion continue to inspire me personally and want to thank all of them for what they do. So again, thank you for joining the call today and have a great Okay. Thank you very much. Operator01:11:09That concludes this morning's call. A PDF version of the presenter slides is available for downloading from investor. Spglobal.com. Replays of the entire call will be available in about 2 hours. The webcast with audio and slides will be maintained on S&P Global's website for 1 year. Operator01:11:27The audio only telephone replay will be maintained for 1 month. On behalf of S&P Global, we thank you for participating and wish you a good day.Read morePowered by Conference Call Audio Live Call not available Earnings Conference CallS&P Global Q3 202300:00 / 00:00Speed:1x1.25x1.5x2x Earnings DocumentsSlide DeckPress Release(8-K)Quarterly report(10-Q) S&P Global Earnings HeadlinesGhana’s foreign currency credit rating upgraded to ’CCC+’ by S&P Global RatingsMay 9 at 7:59 PM | investing.comAndorra’s economic outlook revised to stable by S&P Global RatingsMay 9 at 7:59 PM | in.investing.comBlackrock’s Sending THIS Crypto Higher on PurposeWhile everyone's distracted by Bitcoin's moves, a stealth revolution is underway. 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Email Address About S&P GlobalS&P Global (NYSE:SPGI), Inc. engages in the provision of transparent and independent ratings, benchmarks, analytics, and data to the capital and commodity markets worldwide. It operates through the following segments: Market Intelligence, Ratings, Commodity Insights, Mobility, Indices, and Engineering Solutions. The Market Intelligence segment provides multi-asset-class data and analytics integrated with purpose-built workflow solutions. The Ratings segment is involved in credit ratings, research, and analytics, offering investors and other market participants information, ratings, and benchmarks. The Commodity Insights segment focuses on information and benchmark prices for the commodity and energy markets. The Mobility segment offers solutions serving the full automotive value chain including vehicle manufacturers, automotive suppliers, mobility service providers, retailers, consumers, and finance and insurance companies. The Engineering Solutions segment engages in advanced knowledge discovery technologies, research tools, and software-based engineering decision engines to advance innovation, maximize productivity, improve quality, and reduce risk. The company was founded by James H. McGraw and John A. 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There are 14 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Good morning, and welcome to S&P Global's Third Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. I'd like to inform you that this call is being recorded for broadcast. All participants are in a listen only mode. We will open the conference to questions and answers after the presentation and instructions will follow at that time. To access the webcast and slides, go to investor. Operator00:00:22Spglobal.com. And I will assist you momentarily. I would now like to introduce Mr. Mark Grant, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations for S&P Global. Sir, you may begin. Speaker 100:00:40Good morning, and thank you for joining today's S&P Global Third Quarter 2023 Earnings Call. Presenting on today's call are Doug Peterson, President and Chief Executive Officer and Ewout Steenbergen, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. For the Q and A portion of today's call, we will also be joined by Martina Chung, President of S and P Global Ratings. We issued a press release with our results earlier today. In addition, we have posted a supplemental slide deck with additional information on our results and guidance. Speaker 100:01:08If you need a copy of the release and financial schedules or the supplemental deck, that can be downloaded at investor. Spglobal.com. The matters discussed in today's conference call may contain forward looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including projections, estimates and descriptions of future events. Any such statements are based on current expectations and current economic conditions and are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from results anticipated in these forward looking statements. Additional information concerning these risks and uncertainties can be found in our Forms 10 ks and 10 Q filed with the U. Speaker 100:01:48S. Securities and Exchange Commission. In today's earnings release and during the conference call, we're providing non GAAP adjusted financial information. This information is provided to enable investors to to make meaningful comparisons of the company's operating performance between periods and to view the company's business from the same perspective as management. The earnings release contains financial measures calculated in accordance with GAAP that correspond to the non GAAP measures we're providing, and the earnings release and the supplemental deck contains reconciliations of such GAAP and non GAAP measures. Speaker 100:02:19I would also like to call your attention to certain European regulations. Any investor who has or expects to obtain ownership of 5% or more of S&P Global should contact Investor Relations to better understand the potential impact of this legislation on the information on the investor and the company. We're aware that we have some media representatives with us on the call. However, this call is intended for investors, and we would ask that Questions from the media will be directed to our media relations team, whose contact information can be found in the release. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Doug Peterson. Speaker 100:02:51Doug? Speaker 200:02:52Thank you, Mark. As we look at this quarter's highlights, I want to remind you that the financial metrics we'll be discussing today Refer to non GAAP adjusted metrics unless explicitly noted otherwise. We're pleased to report 11% revenue growth in the 3rd quarter, excluding the impact of Engineering Solutions. We saw acceleration in revenue growth in every division this quarter. As we discussed last quarter, we took decisive action to protect margins in the second and third quarters last year. Speaker 200:03:20And while lapping that impact contributed to our expense growth this quarter, We're pleased to see margins expand approximately 100 basis points despite that headwind. Adjusted EPS increased 10% year over year And we're raising our adjusted EPS guidance by approximately $0.10 at the midpoint to reflect the better than expected results through the Q3. Strong financial results like these come as a result of continued innovation and execution, and we're excited about the rapid and the pace of product launches coming from S&P Global this quarter. We'll be discussing a few of them on the call, but encourage you to look through the releases available in our online press center to get a better sense of the sheer volume of new products and features we've introduced this quarter. We've seen acceleration in each of the strategic growth areas we've been reporting since our Investor Day. Speaker 200:04:11We also saw our vitality index reach 12% of total revenue in the quarter as new products continue to generate value for both customers and shareholders. We also made progress on our AI initiatives, which I'll touch on briefly today, but we plan to provide a more holistic update on our progress next quarter. We continue to align our goals and operations against the 5 strategic pillars we introduced at Investor Day. I'm thrilled to thought our team was able to deliver for our customers this quarter. As we lean into our customer conversations and continue to provide innovative solutions to the problems that most need solving. Speaker 200:04:48Our customers are increasingly viewing S&P Global as a trusted strategic partner. In the 3rd quarter, Sales cycles were consistent with the longer cycle we've seen in the last few quarters, though we're encouraged that these conversations with customers are often leading to larger deals. In times of market volatility, uncertainty or change, the global markets have learned to count on S&P Global for differentiated data, powerful workflow tools, important insights and unrivaled benchmarks. We're seeing confirmation of our strategic emphasis on private markets as well as sustainability and energy transition as revenue growth accelerated meaningfully in both those areas this quarter. As we continue to engage with customers, we hear clear indications of long term optimism despite the near term uncertainty and volatility in the markets. Speaker 200:05:38Our conversations with financial institutions, corporates and others generally revolve around interest rates in the short term, with everyone interested in identifying peak interest rates. Large maturity walls along with other factors contribute to our optimism about the multi year growth trajectory for S and P Global. Related to ratings, Global Build Issuance saw a very strong Q3 with 21% growth year over year. With credit spreads tightening through the Q3, issuers were more comfortable coming to the market, though refinancing activity continues to drive the majority of issuance. We also saw better than expected activity in bank loans, particularly around amend and extend transactions, which we expect to continue in the 4th quarter, though perhaps not to the same extent. Speaker 200:06:26We also saw our relative position in CLOs improve again in the Q3, marking a continuation of the trend we've seen all year. Vitality revenue is another area of accelerating growth for S and P Global this quarter. Our Vitality revenue metric consists of revenue derived from new or enhanced products. These innovative products contributed 12% of revenue in the 3rd quarter and grew a combined 22% year over year, a significant acceleration from the 14% growth last quarter. You'll notice that the largest contributors to our vitality revenue are unchanged from last quarter. Speaker 200:07:03While products Can and will move out of the vitality index over time as they mature. It's encouraging to see growth from these products remain steady and resilient. We're also encouraged by the early signs of growth and traction among many of the smaller products that will likely scale to be the top contributors in the coming quarters years, including the trends we see in private markets for more transparency in valuation and benchmark products. I'd like to turn to some of those new product launches now. We're seeing strong cross divisional collaboration driving new ideas, with much of that innovation now turning into generally available products. Speaker 200:07:41In the Q3, we introduced multiple datasets from our Mobility division to our Market Intelligence marketplace, making crucial vehicle forecast and registration data available via both Express Feed and Snowflake. We also launched the new single unified platform that marks the product integration of both Platts and IHS Connect. The new platform is called Platts Connect and allows customers access to a comprehensive range of products, benchmarks, data and insights from one easy to use interface on desktop and mobile. These two products Mobility on Marketplace and Plattsconnect also highlight 2 of our early opportunities to integrate new AI capabilities. In the coming months quarters, we'll be introducing intelligent search and other AI powered functionality that we're currently developing and testing within Marketplace and Platts Connect. Speaker 200:08:34We'll have more details on that as we get closer to launching those new features. We also introduced entity insights in the 3rd quarter, which brings data from Sustainable One to our network and regulatory solutions to power KYC, 3rd party risk management and vendor management within a single workflow tool, leveraging data for 27,000,000 global entities. I also want to provide an update on our development of ChatIQ. As we've shared with you, ChatIQ is a generative AI product developed jointly between Kensho and our market intelligence team. During the Q3, we had a new beta release that we continue to test internally, but this is a step function improvement over our last internal release. Speaker 200:09:15Given our strategic focus, I wanted to provide a bit more detail on the acceleration of our sustainability and energy transition products as we expected in the Q3. Customer needs have evolved away from ESG scores and move towards climate and energy transition. We believe we are uniquely positioned to win in this market. When we talk to customers, we hear clear trends. Customers don't just need a set of opaque scores. Speaker 200:09:41They're building internal sustainability frameworks and they need high quality raw data. With True Cost, we have what we believe to be the most robust and comprehensive climate data set in the world. We also offer detailed sustainability data on 17,000 companies, including approximately 3,500 that provide robust Granular data through our corporate sustainability assessment survey. Companies are seeking to operationalize the risk management around climate, and we have the largest set of real asset level data available with emissions data and climate hazards met to 1,600,000 physical assets. We also hear consistently from customers that they need help with energy transition, including developing and executing a viable energy transition strategy. Speaker 200:10:27We have solutions that cater to customers in different industries, including our automotive value chain carbon accounting solution and the power evaluator solution for energy transition strategies within the crucial power utility sector. We see this customer need across all industries. So this quarter, we also launched the Sustainability Starter Pack. This is a comprehensive solution to help companies start from scratch or from wherever they may be as they develop sustainability strategies. We help them assess materiality, measure greenhouse gas emissions and develop the reports necessary to comply with disclosure requirements and stakeholder demands. Speaker 200:11:05Customers need help generating things like a TCFD report and measuring things like greenhouse gas emissions. They need help benchmarking their own progress against peers and they need help managing the transition to renewable energy sources. We're confident that S and P Global is unparalleled in its ability to provide both the breadth and the depth of offerings necessary to adequately cover all these areas. We're continually increasing the data that we make available through Express Feed, and we're pleased to be adding datasets around net zero commitments in biodiversity before year end. Clearly, we're meeting customers at their point of need, and that's showing up in our results. Speaker 200:11:44True cost revenue growth accelerated to 55% year over year. Energy transition continues to grow at nearly 40% and our total sustainability and energy transition revenue growth accelerated to 36% year over year in the 3rd quarter. While we're very encouraged by these results, we will not rest on our laurels. We remain committed to accelerating our product leadership in this vital area and look forward to many new exciting products to come in future quarters years. Of course, our commitment to innovation and customer value also powers our ability to generate value for our shareholders. Speaker 200:12:20This is an incredible quarter of accelerating growth. We also continue to demonstrate discipline around expenses as margin expansion in the Q3 helped keep trailing 12 month margins relatively flat year over year. Trailing 12 month margins improved sequentially from the 2nd quarter and we expect margins for the full year to expand more than 100 basis points based on the midpoint of our guidance as Ewout will explain in more detail. The economic factors facing the company are largely unchanged as we look to the final few months of 2023. Secular trends continue to serve as strong tailwinds for the company, while cyclical trends can impact different parts of the business in different ways. Speaker 200:13:01Despite increased geopolitical uncertainty An evolving regulatory landscape around things like sustainability and continued uncertainty around the timing of the capital markets recovery, S and P Global remains committed to delivering value in all market conditions. Turning to the conditions of the debt markets. We're tightening the range of our expectations for build issuance as we now expect growth of 5% to 7% compared to our prior expectations of 4% to 8%. As we've discussed previously, we introduced the billed issuance reporting metric this year as well as a full year forecast to provide context for the issuance assumptions embedded in our ratings revenue guidance. Build issuance remains the issuance metric most tightly correlated with our transaction revenue and ratings. Speaker 200:13:49Our latest forecast from the Ratings Research Group now calls for positive market issuance growth for the full year, up from last quarter's expectation for a full year decline. As a reminder, market issuance can differ materially from billed issuance with divergence this year driven by declines in unrated debt and Sovereign and International Public Finance, which don't impact billed issuance. And now, I'd like to turn the call over to Ewout Steenbergen to go through more details around our financial results and outlook. Ewout? Speaker 300:14:19Thank you, Doug. As a reminder, the financial metrics that we will be discussing today Refer to non GAAP adjusted metrics unless explicitly noted otherwise. This was an exciting quarter for S&P Global As we saw growth accelerate across all five of our divisions and revenue and margins both outperformed our internal expectations, Adjusted earnings per share increased 10% year over year. While reported revenue grew 8%, this actually understates the accomplishments of the team during the Q3 because excluding Engineering Solutions and the small tuck ins done earlier this year, revenue growth was an impressive 11%. We also expanded adjusted margins by 100 basis points and reduced our fully diluted share count by 4% year over year. Speaker 300:15:08As you saw in the press release earlier this morning, we plan to continue share count reduction with the launch of an incremental $1,300,000,000 accelerated share repurchase program in the coming weeks. Revenue in the quarter was driven by growth across all divisions led by outperformance in our ratings division, which benefited from elevated issuance activity in the high yield and bank loan markets. While the environment remains unpredictable for the debt markets, we saw stronger issuance volume throughout the Q3 than we expected, particularly in September. Adjusted expenses were up 6% year over year, while the adjusted operating income increased 10%. Acceleration is further demonstrated by our strategic growth initiatives. Speaker 300:15:54Sustainability and Energy Transition revenue grew 36% to $78,000,000 in the quarter, driven by strong demand in climate and physical risk products and our energy transition products. As Doug highlighted earlier, we're fulfilling our customer needs for raw data and reporting capabilities around sustainability and energy transition, and this is evidenced by the Q3 growth. This acceleration reconfirms our continued optimism around the long term potential of this important part of our growth. Moving to Private Market Solutions. We saw revenue increase by 18% year over year to $109,000,000 driven by strong growth in Market Intelligence Private Market Software Solutions, including eyelevel and a return to strong growth in ratings private market revenue as bond issuance and private credit estimate activity both improved in the quarter. Speaker 300:16:49We're also encouraged by the demands we're seeing in our private market valuation and benchmark offerings. Vitality revenue, which is the revenue generated by innovation through new or enhanced products from across the organization was $369,000,000 in the 3rd quarter, representing a 22% increase compared to prior year. Importantly, Vitality revenue represented 12% of our total revenue in the quarter, making it the 3rd consecutive quarter of improvement in our vitality index score. Now turning to synergies. In the Q3 of 2023, we recognized $149,000,000 of expense savings due to cost synergies, and our annualized run rate exiting the quarter was $588,000,000 We expect to complete our cost synergy program by year end with a run rate of approximately $600,000,000 We continue to make progress on our revenue synergies as well with $25,000,000 in synergies achieved in the 3rd quarter and an annualized run rate of $112,000,000 Turning to expense growth. Speaker 300:17:58We are pleased to see that our efforts to optimize our portfolio and deliver cost synergies offset most of the year over year expense growth in the Q3. Our total expenses increased less than 6% year over year, though we continue to see some inflationary pressure on compensation expense. Due to the decisive expense actions we took last year, the reset of incentive compensation this year continues to contribute meaningfully to expense growth, though we do not expect any further headwinds from this going forward. We're confident that we continue to strike the appropriate balance between disciplined expense management and investing in our business as evidenced by the volume of new products coming to the market this year and our expectation to deliver more than 100 basis points of adjusted margin expansion for the full year at the midpoint of our guidance range. Now let's turn to the division results. Speaker 300:18:52Market Intelligence revenue increased 8%, driven by strong growth in Data and Advisory Solutions and Enterprise Solutions. Desktop grew 5% in the 3rd quarter, driven by strong subscription growth as ACV growth continued to outpace revenue growth, partially offset by modest softness in onetime sales. Renewal rates continue to remain strong in the mid to high 90s range. Data and Advisory Solutions and Enterprise Solutions each grew by 9% in the quarter, benefiting from double digit growth in subscription based offerings. Credit and Risk Solutions continues to see strong new sales for Ratings Express and Ratings Direct products as well as continued double digit growth in Credit Analytics. Speaker 300:19:37Adjusted expenses increased 9% year over year, primarily due to compensation expense. Operating profit increased 6% and the operating margin decreased 60 basis points to 33.3%. On a trailing 12 month basis, margins improved 140 basis points. As we progress through the 4th quarter, We expect continued acceleration in revenue growth as we move into the most favorable comparison quarter for the year. Furthermore, we see the business continuing to benefit from the launch of new products and monetization of cross sell referrals as part of the division's overall revenue synergy program. Speaker 300:20:15As a result, we're tightening our full year guidance for revenue growth by 100 basis points to a range of 6.5% to 7.5%, while reaffirming our full year margin outlook. Now turning to ratings. In the Q3, we saw continued improvements in issuance activity, particularly due to refinancing in the bank loan and high yield markets. Revenue increased 20% year over year, well above our internal expectations. However, growth was helped by a $19,000,000 cumulative catch up for customers' self reported commercial paper issuance in non transaction revenue, which primarily benefited structured finance. Speaker 300:20:56Excluding this impact, ratings would have grown approximately 17% in the 3rd quarter. Transaction revenue grew 34% in the 3rd quarter, driven primarily by growth in bank loan and high yield issuance. Non transaction revenue increased 13%, primarily due to an increase in annual fees, which includes the catch up revenue I mentioned previously as well as growth in ratings evaluation service activity and at CRISIL. Excluding the impact of the catch up revenue, nontransaction revenue would have grown approximately 8%. Adjusted expenses increased 18%, primarily due to the write down of incentive compensation expense in the year ago period. Speaker 300:21:38This resulted in a 22% increase in operating profit and a 70 basis points increase in operating margin to 56.6%. On a trailing 12 month basis, Margins are still impacted by the relatively low margins in the Q4 of last year. As Doug mentioned, We're tightening our billed issuance growth assumption for 2023 to 5% to 7%. This reflects the outperformance we saw in the 3rd quarter, but also reflects our slightly lower expectation for investment grade issuance in the Q4 relative to our prior forecast. While we expect continued growth in non transaction, we still see headwinds in issuer credit ratings revenue as fewer new issuers come to the market. Speaker 300:22:23As a result, we're increasing Ratings revenue guidance range by 100 basis points, now expecting growth of 6% to 8% for the full year and reiterating our margin guidance. And now turning to commodity insights. Revenue growth increased 11% following a 2nd consecutive quarter of double digit growth in both price assessments and energy and resources data and insights. Upstream data and insights increased approximately 2% year over year, benefiting from better than expected demand for both content and software as well as slightly improved retention rates. The business line continues to prioritize growth in its subscription base. Speaker 300:23:04Price assessments and Energy and Resources Data and Insights grew 12% 10%, respectively. Growth was driven by continued strength in our benchmark data and insights products. We also continue to see strong commercial momentum in our subscription offerings for both business lines. Advisory and transactional services revenue grew 33%, driven by strong trading volumes across all sectors in Global Trading Services and strong performance in advisory revenue in the quarter. The business line continues to benefit from market driven volumes, but we're also seeing positive results in key areas of strategic investment, including energy transition. Speaker 300:23:45Adjusted expenses increased 6%, Operating profit for Commodity Insights increased 17% and the operating margin improved 260 basis points to 48.4%. Trailing 12 month margins improved 2 40 basis points. We continue to see commodity insights benefit from strong secular trends around energy transition and sustainability and demand for benchmarks, data and insights. Following this quarter's strong performance, We're raising the low end and tightening commodity insights overall revenue guidance range, now expecting growth of 8.5% to 9.5% for the full year. There's no change to our margin guidance. Speaker 300:24:30In our Mobility division, revenue increased 10% year over year. The team continues to execute well with the 3rd consecutive quarter of double digit growth in the dealer segment and continued growth in new business and financials and other segments. Dealer revenue increased 13% year over year, driven by the continued benefit of price realization within the last year and new store growth, particularly in Carfax for life and used car subscription products as well as the addition of MarketScan. Manufacturing grew 4% year over year driven by elevated recall activity and continued strength in marketing solutions. Financials and other increased 9% as the business line continues to see healthy underwriting volumes and a favorable pricing environment similar to last quarter. Speaker 300:25:20Adjusted expenses increased 10%, driven primarily by increased incentive compensation expense, but also due to the inorganic contribution to expenses from the MarketScan acquisition. This resulted in a 10% increase in adjusted operating profit and 20 basis points operating margin contraction year over year. Trailing 12 month margins have contracted 100 basis points. We expect continued strong growth in used car subscription products as we progress through the Q4. We also expect Mobility to continue to benefit from dealerships and OEMs increasing their incentive spend on new vehicles as affordability is hampered by rising rates. Speaker 300:26:01As a result, we're narrowing our guidance for revenue growth to a range of 9% to 10% for the full year. There is no change to our margin guidance. Now turning to S and P Dow Jones Indices. Revenue increased 6%, primarily due to gains in exchange traded derivative volumes and asset linked fees. We're very pleased to see asset linked fees return to positive revenue growth in the 3rd quarter. Speaker 300:26:26Revenues were up 4% year over year, driven by higher ETF AUM, which benefits from both market depreciation and net inflows, but was partially offset by mix shift into lower priced products, continuing the pattern from last quarter. Exchange rated derivative volume increased 18%, primarily driven by an approximately 20% increase in S and P 500 index options volume. Data and custom subscriptions increased 2% year over year, driven by continued strength in end of day contract growth. During the quarter, expenses increased 9% year over year with the majority of the increase driven by the write down of incentive compensation in the year ago period. Operating profit in indices increased 5% And the operating margin decreased 90 basis points to 69.4%. Speaker 300:27:19Trailing 12 month margins have contracted 80 basis points. There's no change to our revenue outlook for Indusys. However, as a result of the continued cost discipline and outperformance year to date, We're increasing our margin guidance for the division to a range of 68% to 69% for the full year. Now let's move to the latest views from Our Economists. We're forecasting global GDP growth of 3.1% in 2023. Speaker 300:27:47While outlooks vary somewhat by region, our economists are forecasting a period of subdued global growth fueled by higher for longer rates with a soft landing base case assumption as we move through the first half of next year. We continue to expect inflation to remain above to target rates of central banks and energy commodity prices such as crude oil to remain above the historical averages as well. For the full year, we assume Brent Crude will average approximately $84 per barrel, slightly higher than our last estimate as we expect Brent grew to average $88 in the 4th quarter. Now let's turn to our guidance. This slide represents our GAAP guidance for headline metrics. Speaker 300:28:35Adjusted guidance for the company reflects the results through the Q3 as well as our most recent views on the macroeconomic environment and market conditions. We're narrowing our expectations for total revenue growth to a range of 4.5% to 5.5% for the full year to reflect the changes discussed earlier on our divisional revenue outlook. Furthermore, we're maintaining our operating profit margin guidance of 45.5% to 46.5% with the expectation that we will achieve full year margins close to the midpoint of the range. We have provided the granular guidance on corporate and allocated expense, due related amortization, interest expense and tax rate in the supplemental deck posted to our IR site. This includes a 50 basis point reduction in our adjusted effective tax rate to a range of 20.5% to 21.5%. Speaker 300:29:31As a result of this quarter's strong performance and our expectations for the remainder of the year, we're increasing and tightening Our full year adjusted diluted EPS guidance to a range of $12.50 to $12.60 The final slides in this deck illustrate our revenue and margin guidance by division, reflecting the drivers that I mentioned previously. In conclusion, our business has demonstrated exceptional growth across divisions this quarter, while we continue to manage expenses prudently. Furthermore, I'm pleased with the progress being made across our cost synergy initiatives and growth across revenue synergies as we see more and more new products coming to the market That would have been impossible without the merger. The teams have done a truly excellent job executing on our key strategic initiatives, while still driving profitable growth across all divisions this quarter, and we look forward to delivering a strong finish to 2023. And with that, I would like to invite Martina Chung, President of S&P Global Ratings and Executive Lead for Sustainable One to join us. Speaker 300:30:41And I will turn the call back over to Mark for your questions. Thank you, Speaker 100:31:00Operator, we will now take our first question. Operator00:31:03Thank you. Our first question comes from Ashish Sabadra with RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open. Speaker 400:31:11Thanks for taking my question. Really strong build issuance momentum in September of 35%. There was comment around IG being potentially weak in the 4th quarter, but just wondering if you can comment on the strength that you saw in high yield and bank loans in the 3rd quarter for the rest of the year. And also if you can talk about any initial color on the refi wall and initial pipeline for 2024? Thanks. Speaker 500:31:34Hi, Ashish. Thanks very much for the question. It's Martina here. Yes, very pleased with Q3 overall. As you have seen, our build issuance was up 21% and a very, very strong September. Speaker 500:31:49In high yields, we were very pleased to It was about 150% growth in issuance overall year over year in the quarter and high yields year to date is up about 50% rated issuance in the market. We see strong refi activity there in Q3 and looking to see More of that as we go forward certainly into next year. It's Q3 marked I think A notable point in terms of issuers willing to come back and tap the market for high yields. And then on bank loans, as we've said before, we didn't have heroic assumptions on bank loan volumes for this year. Overall, while we saw an increase in Q3 year over year, we're still down year over year, year to date in bank loan issuance. Speaker 500:32:36There we saw a lot of refinancing. Interestingly, a very strong trend this year that we saw in Q3 and are monitoring closely going forward is a lot of amend to extend activity, or amend and extend activity rather in the bank loan space, and that's been a boost in that area from an issuance standpoint. For 2024, obviously, we're not commenting yet for 2024. We'll Certainly give more on that in February, but the factors that we're watching closely, refinancing walls are very healthy. Our last The midyear report on refinancing showed the 5 year total is up about 11%. Speaker 500:33:14And between now and We see about KRW8 1,000,000,000,000 in refinancing. So that's something that we watch closely and that's a very robust growth in that area. But we also are looking at the usual factors, the macroeconomic factors, certainly heightened geopolitical uncertainty. M and A has not been graced this year. As we've seen, it's been down by quite a bit this year. Speaker 500:33:41So we're looking to see Come back in next year as well. And just the other point that I would make on as we're looking ahead in the next several quarters is that CP balances or commercial paper balances are quite high. So that could So, lead to some issuance if we see corporates transitioning from CP to fixed income. And we've commented in the past that we continue to see corporate cash balances at pre pandemic levels, which we think will Continue to boost the need for issuance as well. Operator00:34:20Thank you. Our next question comes from Manav Patnaik with Barclays. Your line is open. Speaker 600:34:26Thank you. Good morning. I just wanted to focus on the And my margins, if I could. I mean, I understand trailing 12 months, it's up, but just the low 30s, how should we think about that Going forward, I would think that the synergies, the combination, that there should be a lot of upside there, but perhaps just a Lower relative growth and maybe it's an investment area, but just any thoughts on cost control and margin improvement there going forward would be helpful. Speaker 300:34:54Good morning, Manav. A couple of comments on this. First, if we look back at last year, we took very decisive actions in terms of pulling back expenses when the market turns more south in the second and the third quarter in several areas among which also incentive compensation. So we have some difficult comps for this year. Having said that, number 2, point number 2, we acknowledge that Mi can do better with margins and we're seeing several opportunities to expand margins As we have also guidance for the full year and implicitly for the Q4. Speaker 300:35:30So that brings me to my third point Is that we expect margins actually to improve significantly beginning with the next quarter due to the easier compare, But also due to several management actions that we are putting in place, including tight management of headcounts and other expenses, while we still continue to invest in growth and other strategic initiatives. Speaker 200:35:57Thanks, Manav. Operator00:35:59Thank you. Our next question comes from Toni Kaplan with Morgan Stanley. Your line is open. Thanks very much. This one is for Martina. Operator00:36:08Your build issuance was markedly ahead of our industry data during the quarter. And so I was hoping you could discuss if you've seen any notable share gains, in particular ratings categories this year and just any color around share gains. Thanks. Speaker 500:36:26Thanks, Tony, for the question. I'd give a couple of comments on this. Certainly, we would look at the differences between market issuance and build issuance. And I think Doug And Eboe covered that routinely in terms of how to assess our performance specifically. For us, the build issuance Data in Q3 was strong for a number of reasons. Speaker 500:36:51Firstly, it's a bit of a mix question. So More high yield, more bank loans, less frequent issuer compared year over year, which is just a function of when the high yield and leverage loan issuers tap the market. I would also say we're extremely pleased with the progress and momentum that we have in a number of the classes. When we talked to you last year at Investor Day, we said we were making investments in structured finance, we were making investments in infrastructure, we Had acquired Cicero Shades of Green and making investment in SPOs, and we've seen really robust performance in all of those areas, which we had tagged and very, very pleased to see those results. Speaker 200:37:36Thanks, Tony. Operator00:37:39Thank you. Our next question comes from Faiza Alwy with Deutsche Bank. Your line is open. Speaker 700:37:45Yes. Hi, thank you. Good morning. Evot, I wanted to follow-up on your comments around expenses. Can you help us think through expenses in the Q4? Speaker 700:37:57And more importantly, as we look ahead to 2024, Some of the now that you're at the end of the road in terms of synergies, how should we think about expenses in 2024 just generally across Speaker 300:38:13Yes, of course. Good morning, Faiza. First of all, I would like to comment that if we think about expenses. We have a very volatile comp in 2022. So it has moved around a lot in the quarters last here due to the good reason that we pulled back very hard and we're very on top of expense management when we had the difficult markets last year. Speaker 300:38:37This year actually our trends are far more stable. So year over year there is a lot of noise, but I think this year actually From a pattern perspective looks much better. I think if you look at corrected expenses actually and if you take out Engineering Solutions, We are having expense growth that is below revenue growth. So we're seeing nice healthy margin expense Margin expansion, if you correct for those same items, particularly for Engineering Solutions, we're very happy to see how expenses and margins have Developed in commodity insights, you have seen some very nice margin expansion there as well as if we think about Incentive compensation swing year over year, if you would correct for that, actually we're looking at quite modest expense growth in Ratings Mobility and Indices as well. For the full year, we are expecting for this full year 2023 Expense growth in the low single digit level. Speaker 300:39:39So implicitly, if you then would look at the 4th quarter, Speaker 200:39:52Thanks Faiza. Operator00:39:54Thank you. Our next question comes from Alex Kramm with UBS. Your line is open. Speaker 800:40:00Yes, good morning. Just coming back to the Market Intelligence discussion from earlier, it's a question I've asked a couple of times since you've done this deal. But Part of our thesis on the IHS Markit acquisition was that that's a business on the market financial side that had been cobbled together by a lot of acquisitions over many, many, many years. And I think we're kind of hoping that you get in there with your S The global viewpoint and say like what businesses make sense, what do not and maybe make this a leaner and meaner machine. So just wondering to what degree that's an effort That you guys are focused on right now and maybe anything that you've seen where you echo that, that there may be Something to do and that business could still look a little bit different in the future or if you're very happy with the business portfolio today? Speaker 800:40:49Thank you. Speaker 200:40:50Alex, this is Doug, and thank you for the question. And let me just take a step back to for one second to a higher level about the integration and the merger overall. We're thrilled with the progress and we've seen that today with some of the new product launches that we described, which are bringing together information, data, research from across the portfolio. And within Market Intelligence, we have the same kind of integration going on. As you know, we always looked at the integration of the integration. Speaker 200:41:17We Realize that IHS Markit had done a lot of acquisitions and grown a lot of products and one of the opportunities is to continue to consolidate those and put those together. And we see a lot of progress there. This is something you should hold us to and watch us how we're going to continue to bring together the areas. As you know, within Market Intelligence, we've got a lot of opportunities to attack new markets. As an example, corporates, Financial services at IHS Markit truly was focused on financial services. Speaker 200:41:46A lot of their products are very attractive to corporates. We're finding a lot of opportunities, as you'll hear us talk about and you know, related to sustainability and private markets. So we look at this opportunity to continue to consolidate the businesses internally, which is going to bring upside from an expense point of view. And we're also going to be investing for growth, especially in areas like sustainability, private markets and then expanding areas like our reference pricing, which can be used in so many different ways. But your thesis is right. Speaker 200:42:16We're going to continue to consolidate and we will also look very carefully at the overall portfolio. Operator00:42:25Thank you. Our next question comes from Andrew Steinerman with JPMorgan. Your line is open. Speaker 300:42:32Hey, Yvon, it's Andrew. Could you just tell us how M and A revenues in dollars Of course, Andrew. And I had expected you to ask about organic constant currency revenue. So let me first give that number. That was 10.4% for the quarter, specifically for Market Intelligence 7, for Ratings 18.5 Mobility, 8.2 commodities, 10.9 and indices, 5.8. Speaker 300:43:11In terms of adjustments with respect to acquisitions, there was €3,800,000 of correction For Market Intelligence, given the acquisitions we have done there and for Mobility, dollars 5,600,000 And then there was the correction for Engineering Solutions from last year of $96,000,000 So if you combine that with the FX impact, which you can find in the supplemental deck, you would come to that organic constant currency growth of 10.4 And as you and I are very much in agreement, that is a very healthy basis to look at the real performance of the divisions. Speaker 200:43:53Thanks, Andrew. Operator00:43:56Thank you. Our next question comes from Jeff Silber with BMO Capital Markets. Your line is open. Speaker 900:44:04Thanks so much. So your Investor Day was a little less than a year ago, and I'm just curious, Can we just compare how you felt about some of the businesses then compared to how you feel about them now? Anything better or worse compared to that time period? Speaker 200:44:22Hi, Jeff. This is Doug. Well, let me take a step back again. And if you recall, we had At our Investor Day, it was 1 year ago, almost as on December 1, 2022. At that time, we laid out our new vision, Powering Global Markets and the 5 pillars that we use to manage the business as well as allocate capital. Speaker 200:44:41At that time, we put in place longer term 25, 26 targets for revenue growth and for margins. We're well on track for all of those. And we also laid out the time, Some really interesting and for us ambitious targets for new products and new services and we also feel really confident about what we're seeing. We feel like we targeted and have identified the most important secular trends and market trends and that we're growing in that direction. There's excellent reception for that. Speaker 200:45:12So 1 year in, almost 1 year into those targets, we're very confident about achieving them and we're really excited about our prospects. Thanks, Jeff. Operator00:45:24Thank you. Our next question comes from Scott Wertzel with Wolfe Research. Your line is open. Speaker 1000:45:30Hey, good morning, guys. Just one for Martina. We'd love to hear just your thoughts a little bit more on some of the performance in Ratings in the context of the private credit market and then maybe also some of your thoughts on where you think the private credit market is heading relative to public debt markets and how the company can further play in that space? Speaker 500:45:50Yes. Hi, Scott. Thanks so much for the question. Just reflecting on the prior question as well, when we did the IR Day, I said that two points. One is that the private markets were not going away in the sense that they were going to continue to grow. Speaker 500:46:05And the second is that we saw that as an opportunity and both things have played out as expected this year. We're very pleased with our overall performance from a rating standpoint in the private markets. It comes in the form of a couple of areas. So Increased demand for fund ratings, there's been a real healthy pipeline, a lot of dialogue with the sponsors and fund managers. We've also seen quite a bit of demand on the structure credit front, which we had highlighted as a key trend that we thought we would see and that has certainly played out this year. Speaker 500:46:44And as we see the overall AUM and allocations to the asset class increase, we're very well positioned. We're at the market with credit estimates, portfolio assessments, etcetera, with our ratings team and having really, really great dialogue with market participants. So very pleased from from a rating standpoint. Speaker 300:47:06Thanks, Scott, and welcome to the call. Operator00:47:10Thank you. Our next question comes from Andrew Nicholas with William Blair. Your line is open. Speaker 900:47:17Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking my question. A lot of really good color on new product development, fatality index is ticking higher, growth there is good. I'm just curious, And I don't know if this is one that you can quantify, but just how much of that is a result of investments in product development on the GenAI side or is that something that can create kind of a new leg of accelerated growth as you continue to kind of harvest your investments there. Thank you. Speaker 300:47:51Thank you, Andrew. And we are very happy that you're recognizing The level of innovation, the level of entrepreneurship, the level of the company, and we're very happy and pleased around that. If you think about the background of this, this is coming from, 1st of all, the merger. The merger gives us a lot of benefit in combining Products, features, data sets, platforms, capabilities, and that is really driving a part of it. 2nd part of it is really the investments we're making, strategic growth initiatives and we're really pleased with what we're seeing in sustainability, energy transition, private markets And several other areas that fall out of that, but are also very entrepreneurial. Speaker 300:48:34You see growth in areas in indices like thematics, factor based. We launched something that is called more the credit fix. We have car listings in mobility and many other areas. So Generally, investments in growth initiatives are really starting to pay off. And that is ultimately then also showing up in the vitality index, which is Something that is maybe unique as a metric and we're as far as we know the only company in our industry publishing this, But it is a clear indication of innovation that we would like to publish. Speaker 300:49:09With respect to AI and Gen AI, it's powering many of the products that we are having, but it is more embedded. I wouldn't say the new really Gen AI features That it is really in the number so far because most of those products are still under development and we will get back to you once we are really at the production grade level kind of offering that we can bring to our customers. So I think it's a little bit too early for the impact of Gen AI, but more to come on that over the next few quarters. Speaker 200:49:39Thanks, Andrew. Operator00:49:42Thank you. Our next question comes from George Tong with Goldman Sachs. Your line is open. Speaker 1000:49:47Hi, thanks. Good morning. You narrowed the guidance for revenue growth in Market Intelligence with the midpoint unchanged at 7%. Does that suggest stabilizing trends in your sustainability and energy transition business? And how are broader client budget and spending trends in the segment performing? Speaker 300:50:07Generally, George, this is coming from multiple drivers within Market Intelligence, not only from sustainability and energy transition. So first of all, the core business is strong. We see healthy growth. We see a good sales momentum. We see that the ACV book is really growing a little bit faster Then actually the revenue we are reporting for example in desktop. Speaker 300:50:34And as you know ACV is an early indicator of future revenues. So we're really pleased by that. Also, the revenue synergies are becoming more meaningful at this moment, so that really helps to contribute growth. The capital markets volumes are stabilizing. We don't see a lot of pickup of M and A yet, but last year it was really a headwind and that headwind is going away. Speaker 300:50:57And then also the comps become more easy, for example, from an FX perspective. And then you're right, Sustainability and several other factors drive here the growth as well. So we are actually really positive about the outlook for Market Intelligence growth in the 4th quarter and implicitly what you're seeing in our guidance range is that we would expect further acceleration of the growth of the top line of market intelligence in the next quarter. Speaker 200:51:28Thanks, George. Operator00:51:31Thank you. Our next question comes from Craig Huber with Huber Research Partners. Your line is open. Speaker 1100:51:38Yes. Hi there. Could you just update us Please and where you're sitting at right now for the synergies for IHS, both the cost and the revenue synergy, what that run rate is now at year end and where you aspire to be versus the original expectations. Thank you. Speaker 300:51:54Greg, good morning. If you think about the cost synergies, We have raised those twice over the last period, as you know. So the €600,000,000 is the target that we're aiming for. We're almost done. We're effectively done. Speaker 300:52:10There are a few more projects that will be finalized at year end. That is just purely timing of some of those projects. And then we will be able to declare that we hit the €600,000,000 And then we won't talk about cost synergies anymore from that point onwards because cost synergies are also related to operational integration. And we are more or less running the company now as a fully combined company. We're not talking about one part versus the other part anymore. Speaker 300:52:39So it's good to close off cost synergies And really think about the company as one company going forward. That doesn't mean that we will stop with efficiency and productivity programs. Obviously, We have a track record to always look for new opportunities, and we'll get back to you at that point in time with new updates. From a revenue synergy perspective, we actually like the progress that we have made during the Q3. It's quite a big step to $112,000,000 of run rate. Speaker 300:53:08We're getting now close to 1 third of the overall target. We have always said that is a 5 year trajectory To get to €350,000,000 more focus in the first part on cross sell, most of what you see now reported as revenue synergies is coming from cross sell. But we have these new products that are being launched and those new products will help with the next phase of revenue synergy delivery. So we feel we're right on track. We're really on the right path to deliver on the 3 $50,000,000 so we feel very good about it. Speaker 300:53:43Thanks, Craig. Operator00:53:45Thank you. Our next question comes from Seth Weber with Wells Fargo, your line is open. Speaker 1000:53:52Hey, thanks. Good morning. I just wanted to ask about the reacceleration in the sustainability and energy transition business. Last quarter, you talked about some uncertainty with the regulatory landscape and political climate, I mean, can you just frame the numbers seem to be back on track here. Has anything really changed? Speaker 1000:54:14Is it just more Adoption of new product or customers just getting more used to the new normal or maybe just any perspective on that? Thank you. Speaker 500:54:24Hi, Seth. It's Martina. I can take that question. Yes, very pleased with the Q3 results. We saw about 55% growth in true costs and about 37% in CI, but the growth was actually across all divisions. Speaker 500:54:40So we saw inflows into the core climate and sustainability indices, for example, in S&P Dow Jones and really strong demand for the Mobility Energy Transition Products as well as the FPOs in ratings. So Really great progress and momentum across the board. Look, I think the key thing here and we've been saying this for quite some time. Firstly, The long term drivers and the needs in this business have not changed, notwithstanding some of the, call it, the minor slowdowns that we may have seen in the past year for various different reasons. Customers, corporations still need to look at operational risk in their supply chains. Speaker 500:55:18They still need to report against their net zero transition plans. If they're exposed in any way to Europe, they have to report against some pretty complicated regulations there. For example, we still have banks who are looking at finance emissions and looking to deploy capital into Sustainability and we have asset owners and asset managers who are obviously either looking for alpha or looking to allocate to the asset class. And so The fundamentals haven't changed. We believe we have the best, most comprehensive and deep offerings in this area across all of our businesses. Speaker 500:55:51Commodity Insights is a leader in energy transition analytics and advisory, for example. But one of the other things that I would say is and this is Just what's so exciting to me around sustainability with the merger, we are launching products now bringing together some of the most unique and fantastic IP across The division for the real asset data that we have launched brings together data from mobility, commodity insights, market intelligence and sustainable 1. And it's going to be a real powerhouse in that area going forward as we see more and more needs for much more specific emissions, transition, biodiversity and nature data at the real asset level. So that's just one example. Super excited about that going forward and very pleased with Q3. Speaker 500:56:35Thanks for the question. Thanks, Seth. Operator00:56:39Thank you. Our next Question comes from Owen Lau with Oppenheimer. Your line is open. Speaker 600:56:45Good morning and thank you for taking my question. Could you please add more color on the strength in private market and also iLFO? Where is the demand coming from? I mean, did you take shares from your competitor or your product can automate the process and replace in wholesale? Thank you. Speaker 200:57:05Hi, Owen. This is Doug. Let me take that. And let me start by taking a step back and talking about what we're seeing is this really interesting And very rapid transformation of the private markets. If you go back 25, 30 years ago, private markets was just private equity. Speaker 200:57:21Those LBOs is private equity, but over the last 25 years and accelerating the last 3 or 4 is a many, many different asset classes, many different strategies On the asset side and on the investor side, you also see a whole diversification of the types of investors that have gone into private markets and private credit, Which started obviously with pension funds and insurance companies endowments and add to that now private wealth individuals even. So you see a completely different need for data and analytics across those areas. And as an example, this a lot of this is Brand new volume. It's not necessarily you're taking market share from anybody. You're finding new applications to bring to the market to provide the information both Speaker 1100:58:04to the Speaker 200:58:05GPs and the LPs, but also to now even investors at a different level, the private market investors and individual investors. So we see that the kinds of tools that we're bringing, for instance, the eye level software, which you mentioned, this provides a data service. It provides transparency to the markets. It gives you more frequent information about the portfolio than you might see from what was coming directly from the GPs themselves. We also have products which we believe are going to be applied in the future from our DVA area, which includes information about pricing. Speaker 200:58:39It brings a whole new level of transparency and timeliness to being able to provide pricing and information about the portfolios. We know that investors, especially from some of those sophisticated institutional investors, they want to look across their portfolios and have Mark to market look at concentrations. They want to look at limits. They want to manage their portfolios in a way that they need much more granular data in the area. So So we think this is going to be one of our most interesting highest growth areas. Speaker 200:59:07And so you asked where it's coming from. It's new demand, it's new opportunities and it's ways we can bring together Thanks for the question, Owen. Operator00:59:24Thank you. Our next question comes from Russell Quelch with Redburn Atlantic. Your line is open. Speaker 1200:59:31Yes. Hi, guys. I wanted to focus on the indices business, please. We've seen some interesting new product launches from you in the last quarter. And I'm wondering if you can give us some more detail on the pipe for new products in this area, mainly kind of what areas should we expect you to look to focus growth? Speaker 1200:59:47Are we thinking climate indices, derivatives, Fixed income, where is you've had some good product launches in the last quarter, but what more is there to come? And I was also hoping you could explain how mix impacts Revenue growth in this business, particularly in respect to asset class, please. Thank you. Speaker 201:00:04Russell, let me start and then I'll hand it over to Ewout Talk a little bit about the expenses and what we're seeing on the financial side. But right now, there's also a lot of changes going on in the asset management industry. I just talked about Happening with the private market side. But at the same time, industries like traditional asset management, we see the shift from active to passive. And what that plays to is one of our strengths. Speaker 201:00:27And you asked about the type of products which are coming out. One set is related to sustainability. There's a whole type of new interest going on and maybe a few years ago that was more of ESG. Now it's tending more towards climate and energy Transition, we see it with, for instance, our own cross divisional index, which is related to battery metals. We also see a lot of interest in the climate Paris Accord Climate Transition Indices. Speaker 201:00:59So there's a whole set of indices that we've been launching In particular, for European investors and with European asset managers related to We also see a set of indices which are cross or multi asset class industries, which allows us to take advantage of what we have From S and P Global, from our index business, traditional S and P 500 and other equity indices, you bring that along with Credit and fixed income indices that came with IHS Markit, that's a whole new asset class for us is to be able to provide a multi asset class with the credit aspect to it, credit volatility. There's another set of products which are related to exchange traded derivatives. They're not direct indices, but there's a lot more interest in risk management and hedging and trading strategies. And with our core foundation And our relationships with Cboe and CME, we're able to develop a whole new set of ETDs and you've seen strong growth in that area as well. So across the board, it's climate, it's multi asset class, it's factors, it's a whole set of different types of indices on the fixed income side, And then it's also exchange traded derivatives and new approaches to products which we've already been developing there. Speaker 201:02:11But let me hand it over to Ewout to give a little bit more color on Speaker 301:02:14the numbers. Russell, specifically your question about mix and mix shift. We are very pleased to see that the AUM fees are up again this quarter And that the AUM levels and the AUM fees are again correlated in the same direction. But a couple of more detailed comments I want to make there is first, as we have said many times, please keep in mind that if you look at AUM fees, there are also other categories going into the mix. It's not only ETFs. Speaker 301:02:43There's also mutual funds, there are insurance funds, there are OTC volumes and all of them grew a little bit less than the average AUM levels of ETFs. So that is one part why you will see always a little bit of a discrepancy between AUM levels for ETFs and the fees. Secondly, the trends that we talked to you about last quarter of the mix shift Is continuing. What we are seeing is that the market is a bit risk off, that there is a move from more specialty ETFs to more flagship ETFs. Our flagship ETFs are taking in a lot of flows, very positive flows we had this quarter, but those Funds are more lower level of basis point fees. Speaker 301:03:28We think this is a current market trend situation That will reverse again at some point in time when the market will be more risk on and there's more interest in the specialty ETFs. But this is a mix shift trend That we're still seeing continuing also in the Q3. Thank you, Russell. Operator01:03:46Thank you. Our next question comes from Shlomo Rosenbaum with Stifel Nicolaus. Your line is open. Speaker 301:03:53Hi, this is Adam Carrington on for Shlomo. September issuance trends Do you see that as a start of an improving trend or more indicative of companies rushing to get financing ahead of further rate increases given the sharp rate movements we saw in September? Speaker 501:04:07Yes. Hi. Thanks for the question. Yes, look, September was higher than we expected for Sure. And we do believe that some of that was essentially pulled forward from Q4. Speaker 501:04:21Having said that, I think there's a number of additional factors here that are important to think about Q4 and onwards, and some of those are Some that I had referenced earlier. Do we, for example, will we see some issuers actually pull forward from 2024 in Q4 of this year, something we're tracking? And as I mentioned earlier, we're also looking at the amend and extend activity in bank loan space, which was very strong in Q3 as well as some of the refinancing in bank loans as well. So a lot of factors, the sort of net new factor there, of course, as well as the geopolitical overhang that we have to continue to watch. So overall, we take a prudent look for Q4 and the usual factors that we watch going into next year. Speaker 501:05:11We have a handle on all of those as well. One other point that So I would just add and this is something that I think is important since it's a good indicator longer term is the flow of funds into fixed income funds. Q3, for example, into high yield and leveraged loan funds was a net positive. So that's a good thing, good indicator. Through the first half of the year, we saw the inflows back into fixed income funds overall against the huge net outflow from last year. Speaker 501:05:42So these are things that we have Operator01:05:51Thank you. Our next question comes from Jeff Meuler with Baird. Your line is open. Speaker 601:05:56Yes, thank you. There was a comment about an improving relative to the CLOs. Martina, how much of that was just about retaining capacity through and had come through a challenging market Versus what else are you doing and are there any kind of like IHS synergy benefits? And then just quickly, Ewout, if you can address What drove the lower tax rate and if there's any sort of like structural carry forward benefit from whatever is driving it beyond 23? Thank you. Speaker 501:06:24Hi, Jeff. Thanks so much for the question. Actually, we saw an improvement across a number of the sub classes in Instructure Finance overall, and we're just frankly very, very pleased. Certainly, a lot of this is related to additional investments in capacity. And What I have been saying and will continue to say is it's not just about capacity, it's about the strength and the expertise of the talent. Speaker 501:06:49And that is really incredibly important in these classes. The overall asset class is also experiencing some growth in part driven by the private credit issuers. And we've made sure that we have been on the street talking to everybody we need to talk to, making sure that All of the issuers are aware of the talent and the capacity that we have, and we continue to remain highly relevant in the space. I would say just very pleased with the execution from the team so far this year in this area. Thanks for the question. Speaker 301:07:23And Jeff, to the second part of your question, Our effective tax rate is lower in the quarter primarily due to some new guidance came out during this quarter with respect to the way how to apply foreign tax credits It would have impact our medium term outlook with respect to the tax rate. Thanks, Jeff. Operator01:07:45Thank you. We will now take our final question from Heather Balsky from Bank of America. You may ask your question. Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking my question. Operator01:07:54I actually wanted to ask Speaker 1301:07:55a question about the commodity insights business and if you could just Talk about the drivers that you expect to, I guess, help you maintain your current level of growth and just help put in perspective How much commodity prices do or do not impact the growth in Speaker 501:08:14that business? Thanks. Speaker 201:08:17Thanks, Heather. This is Doug. Well, first of all, when we look at this industry, it's being driven by a credible amount of transformation. We talked earlier in a different context about energy transition. And you take what are the traditional oil, gas, commodity Products which we have a very strong position in both from price benchmarks as well as news research and analytics. Speaker 201:08:40And we announced that we have just launched this Platts Connect, which is a platform where we take the 2 services from what had been Platts and what had been ENR From IHS Markit and put them together in a single platform, that means that we can continue to serve all of the traditional markets in a way with a very high quality platform with it's easy to use, it's easy to search on. We'll be enhancing it with AI tools over time. And so that's just the beginning of where we already see the traditional markets Growing and we're able to serve them better and faster in ways that are much more compelling all the time. And that into that that there's a mix of New commodities and new energy sources. There's areas like the metals which are used for energy transition that we already have a position in, but we're getting stronger all the time. Speaker 201:09:27And then you have the energy transition products related to things like carbon intensity, carbon markets, How we look at the transportation related to that, the infrastructure that's related to that. And then on top of that, there's an incredible amount of synergies across all of S and P Global With S1, for example, with new data sets which are being added to the marketplace and market intelligence, new data sets which can be added to Cap IQ Pro. So we look at this as a business that is in the right place at a time when the markets need transparency, they need comparability, They need high quality data and they need it delivered in a way that's easy for them to use and they can build it into their workflow. So We're really, really very pleased with our progress and this is a business that we're going to continue to invest in. So thank you very much, Heather. Speaker 201:10:17And let me just give a couple of closing remarks. I want to first of all thank everyone for joining the call today and your excellent questions as always. I'm really proud as you can hear about the progress we've made with the merger with IHS Markit and all of the integration that's taking place. And now We're able to talk more and more about the revenue side and the product launches and you saw them this quarter with Platts Connect and Entity Insights and there's a lot more to come. And this is combining the best across both businesses to create the new S and P Global. Speaker 201:10:48I also want to thank Martina For providing her perspectives today and thank you for joining us. And as always, I want to thank our people for a great quarter. Their excitement and passion continue to inspire me personally and want to thank all of them for what they do. So again, thank you for joining the call today and have a great Okay. Thank you very much. Operator01:11:09That concludes this morning's call. A PDF version of the presenter slides is available for downloading from investor. Spglobal.com. Replays of the entire call will be available in about 2 hours. The webcast with audio and slides will be maintained on S&P Global's website for 1 year. Operator01:11:27The audio only telephone replay will be maintained for 1 month. On behalf of S&P Global, we thank you for participating and wish you a good day.Read morePowered by