B. Riley Issues Positive Outlook for Genius Sports Earnings

Key Points

• B. Riley has raised its Q4 2025 earnings forecast for Genius Sports, predicting earnings per share will increase from $0.02 to $0.03, while maintaining a "Buy" rating with a target price of $14.00.
• Genius Sports reported a revenue of $118.72 million for its latest quarter, exceeding analyst expectations, despite posting a loss of ($0.21) earnings per share, which was below the consensus estimate.
• The company's share repurchase plan allows for buying back $100 million in stock, indicating confidence in its value; this follows analysts upgrading their ratings and price targets for Genius Sports stock.

Genius Sports Limited (NYSE:GENI - Free Report) - Research analysts at B. Riley boosted their Q4 2025 earnings per share estimates for Genius Sports in a report issued on Wednesday, August 6th. B. Riley analyst J. Nichols now anticipates that the company will post earnings per share of $0.03 for the quarter, up from their prior estimate of $0.02. B. Riley has a "Buy" rating and a $14.00 price target on the stock. The consensus estimate for Genius Sports' current full-year earnings is ($0.10) per share. B. Riley also issued estimates for Genius Sports' FY2026 earnings at $0.05 EPS.

Several other brokerages have also weighed in on GENI. Needham & Company LLC increased their price objective on shares of Genius Sports from $13.00 to $16.00 and gave the company a "buy" rating in a research report on Wednesday. Wall Street Zen lowered shares of Genius Sports from a "hold" rating to a "sell" rating in a research note on Saturday. Arete began coverage on shares of Genius Sports in a research report on Wednesday, July 9th. They set a "buy" rating and a $15.00 price objective for the company. Northland Securities initiated coverage on Genius Sports in a report on Friday, July 25th. They set an "outperform" rating and a $14.00 price objective for the company. Finally, The Goldman Sachs Group increased their target price on Genius Sports from $12.00 to $14.00 and gave the stock a "buy" rating in a research note on Thursday. One research analyst has rated the stock with a sell rating, one has given a hold rating, fifteen have assigned a buy rating and two have issued a strong buy rating to the company's stock. According to data from MarketBeat.com, the stock presently has an average rating of "Moderate Buy" and an average price target of $13.69.

Genius Sports Price Performance

Genius Sports stock traded up $0.41 during mid-day trading on Friday, hitting $12.37. 5,839,662 shares of the company's stock traded hands, compared to its average volume of 6,133,581. The firm has a 50 day simple moving average of $10.41 and a two-hundred day simple moving average of $9.96. Genius Sports has a fifty-two week low of $6.37 and a fifty-two week high of $12.45. The stock has a market cap of $2.66 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of -39.90 and a beta of 1.86.

Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI - Get Free Report) last issued its earnings results on Wednesday, August 6th. The company reported ($0.21) EPS for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of ($0.04) by ($0.17). The business had revenue of $118.72 million for the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $118.28 million. Genius Sports had a negative return on equity of 11.48% and a negative net margin of 13.94%. The business's revenue was up 24.4% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same quarter in the prior year, the firm posted ($0.09) earnings per share.

Genius Sports announced that its Board of Directors has authorized a stock repurchase program on Tuesday, May 6th that allows the company to buyback $100.00 million in shares. This buyback authorization allows the company to purchase up to 4.4% of its stock through open market purchases. Stock buyback programs are often an indication that the company's leadership believes its shares are undervalued.

Institutional Investors Weigh In On Genius Sports

Several institutional investors and hedge funds have recently bought and sold shares of GENI. Global Alpha Capital Management Ltd. bought a new stake in shares of Genius Sports during the 2nd quarter worth approximately $43,552,000. Divisadero Street Capital Management LP raised its position in Genius Sports by 32,386.5% during the fourth quarter. Divisadero Street Capital Management LP now owns 3,551,751 shares of the company's stock valued at $30,723,000 after purchasing an additional 3,540,818 shares in the last quarter. Balyasny Asset Management L.P. bought a new stake in Genius Sports during the fourth quarter worth $24,712,000. The Manufacturers Life Insurance Company acquired a new stake in shares of Genius Sports in the 1st quarter valued at $28,280,000. Finally, Geode Capital Management LLC acquired a new stake in shares of Genius Sports in the 2nd quarter valued at $27,312,000. Institutional investors own 81.91% of the company's stock.

Genius Sports Company Profile

Genius Sports Limited engages in the development and sale of technology-led products and services to the sports, sports betting, and sports media industries. It offers technology infrastructure for the collection, integration, and distribution of live data of sports leagues; streaming solutions comprising technology, automatic production, and distribution for sports to commercialize video footage of their games; and end-to-end integrity services to sports leagues, such as full-time active monitoring technology, which uses mathematical algorithms to identify and flag suspicious betting activity in global betting markets, as well as a full suite of online and offline educational and consultancy services.