BigBear.ai (NYSE:BBAI) Stock Price Down 1.8% - What's Next?

Key Points

• BigBear.ai shares fell 1.8% to $5.825 on Friday on above‑average volume (~85.4M shares), trading below its 50‑ and 200‑day moving averages of $6.05 and $6.38.
• Analyst sentiment is mixed with a MarketBeat consensus of Hold and an average price target of $6.00, amid downgrades from Weiss and Wall Street Zen and a cut by Cantor Fitzgerald while HC Wainwright remains the lone Buy with an $8 target.
• Underlying fundamentals are weak—quarterly EPS missed by $0.01, revenue fell 20.1% year‑over‑year and the company reports negative net margins and ROE—although liquidity appears strong (quick/current ratio 3.13, debt/equity 0.18).

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BBAI - Get Free Report)'s share price fell 1.8% on Friday . The stock traded as low as $5.74 and last traded at $5.8250. 85,430,670 shares were traded during mid-day trading, an increase of 2% from the average session volume of 83,789,320 shares. The stock had previously closed at $5.93.

Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades

A number of brokerages have issued reports on BBAI. Weiss Ratings reiterated a "sell (d-)" rating on shares of BigBear.ai in a research report on Wednesday. Wall Street Zen lowered BigBear.ai from a "hold" rating to a "sell" rating in a research report on Saturday, January 10th. Cantor Fitzgerald cut shares of BigBear.ai from an "overweight" rating to a "neutral" rating and dropped their price target for the company from $7.00 to $6.00 in a research note on Wednesday, January 7th. Finally, HC Wainwright reissued a "buy" rating and issued a $8.00 price target on shares of BigBear.ai in a report on Tuesday, November 11th. One research analyst has rated the stock with a Buy rating, two have assigned a Hold rating and one has assigned a Sell rating to the company. According to data from MarketBeat.com, the stock currently has a consensus rating of "Hold" and an average price target of $6.00.

BigBear.ai Stock Performance

The company has a quick ratio of 3.13, a current ratio of 3.13 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18. The firm has a 50-day moving average price of $6.05 and a two-hundred day moving average price of $6.38. The firm has a market cap of $2.54 billion, a PE ratio of -4.10 and a beta of 3.46.

BigBear.ai (NYSE:BBAI - Get Free Report) last issued its quarterly earnings results on Monday, November 10th. The company reported ($0.07) EPS for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of ($0.06) by ($0.01). The firm had revenue of $33.14 million for the quarter, compared to analysts' expectations of $31.82 million. BigBear.ai had a negative return on equity of 26.11% and a negative net margin of 274.70%.The firm's revenue for the quarter was down 20.1% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same quarter in the previous year, the firm posted ($0.05) earnings per share. Research analysts forecast that BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. will post -0.28 EPS for the current fiscal year.

Insider Transactions at BigBear.ai

In related news, CFO Sean Raymond Ricker sold 5,000 shares of the company's stock in a transaction dated Thursday, December 4th. The shares were sold at an average price of $7.06, for a total transaction of $35,300.00. Following the completion of the sale, the chief financial officer owned 488,716 shares of the company's stock, valued at approximately $3,450,334.96. This represents a 1.01% decrease in their position. The sale was disclosed in a legal filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is accessible through the SEC website. Also, Director Dorothy D. Hayes sold 22,000 shares of the stock in a transaction dated Tuesday, November 18th. The shares were sold at an average price of $6.08, for a total transaction of $133,760.00. Following the completion of the sale, the director owned 236,150 shares of the company's stock, valued at approximately $1,435,792. The trade was a 8.52% decrease in their position. The disclosure for this sale is available in the SEC filing. 0.54% of the stock is owned by corporate insiders.

Institutional Investors Weigh In On BigBear.ai

Large investors have recently made changes to their positions in the stock. CWM LLC lifted its position in BigBear.ai by 237.5% during the third quarter. CWM LLC now owns 4,640 shares of the company's stock worth $30,000 after buying an additional 3,265 shares in the last quarter. Hazlett Burt & Watson Inc. grew its holdings in BigBear.ai by 3,355.6% in the 3rd quarter. Hazlett Burt & Watson Inc. now owns 4,976 shares of the company's stock valued at $32,000 after buying an additional 4,832 shares in the last quarter. Nisa Investment Advisors LLC increased its stake in shares of BigBear.ai by 68.4% in the 2nd quarter. Nisa Investment Advisors LLC now owns 6,222 shares of the company's stock worth $42,000 after acquiring an additional 2,527 shares during the last quarter. Hantz Financial Services Inc. raised its holdings in shares of BigBear.ai by 2,242.9% during the 3rd quarter. Hantz Financial Services Inc. now owns 8,200 shares of the company's stock worth $53,000 after acquiring an additional 7,850 shares during the period. Finally, Amalgamated Bank boosted its position in shares of BigBear.ai by 163.2% during the 3rd quarter. Amalgamated Bank now owns 9,377 shares of the company's stock valued at $61,000 after acquiring an additional 5,814 shares during the last quarter. 7.55% of the stock is currently owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.

About BigBear.ai

BigBear.ai is a provider of artificial intelligence (AI) and data analytics solutions designed to deliver actionable insights for public sector and commercial clients. Headquartered in Columbia, Maryland, the company specializes in advanced analytics, machine learning, predictive modeling and network analysis to support decision-making in complex, data-rich environments. Its clientele spans defense and intelligence agencies, civil government organizations and enterprise businesses seeking to enhance mission outcomes and operational efficiency.

The company’s flagship offerings include an AI-driven analytics platform that integrates data engineering, algorithm development and visualization tools.

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