BigBear.ai (NYSE:BBAI) Stock Price Down 7.5% - What's Next?

Key Points

• Down 7.5%: BigBear.ai shares fell 7.5% to $3.875 on Friday (intraday low $3.82) on ~39.15M shares traded, and the stock is trading below its 50‑day ($5.49) and 200‑day ($6.04) moving averages.
• Analyst sentiment is mixed with an average rating of "Hold" and a consensus target of $6.00; ratings range from HC Wainwright's buy/$8 target to recent downgrades from Cantor Fitzgerald and Wall Street Zen.
• Fundamentals show strong liquidity (current and quick ratios 3.13) and low leverage (debt/equity 0.18) but a negative trailing P/E (-2.73)

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BBAI - Get Free Report)'s share price was down 7.5% on Friday . The company traded as low as $3.82 and last traded at $3.8750. Approximately 39,150,800 shares were traded during trading, a decline of 45% from the average daily volume of 71,754,422 shares. The stock had previously closed at $4.19.

Wall Street Analysts Forecast Growth

A number of equities research analysts have weighed in on BBAI shares. HC Wainwright reaffirmed a "buy" rating and issued a $8.00 target price on shares of BigBear.ai in a report on Tuesday, November 11th. Wall Street Zen lowered BigBear.ai from a "hold" rating to a "sell" rating in a research note on Saturday, January 10th. Cantor Fitzgerald downgraded BigBear.ai from an "overweight" rating to a "neutral" rating and lowered their target price for the stock from $7.00 to $6.00 in a research note on Wednesday, January 7th. Finally, Weiss Ratings restated a "sell (d-)" rating on shares of BigBear.ai in a research note on Wednesday, January 21st. One research analyst has rated the stock with a Buy rating, two have issued a Hold rating and one has assigned a Sell rating to the company. According to data from MarketBeat, BigBear.ai currently has an average rating of "Hold" and a consensus target price of $6.00.

BigBear.ai Stock Down 7.5%

The stock's 50-day moving average price is $5.49 and its 200-day moving average price is $6.04. The company has a current ratio of 3.13, a quick ratio of 3.13 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18. The stock has a market cap of $1.69 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of -2.73 and a beta of 3.45.

Insider Transactions at BigBear.ai

In other news, CFO Sean Raymond Ricker sold 5,000 shares of BigBear.ai stock in a transaction dated Thursday, December 4th. The shares were sold at an average price of $7.06, for a total transaction of $35,300.00. Following the completion of the transaction, the chief financial officer directly owned 488,716 shares in the company, valued at $3,450,334.96. This trade represents a 1.01% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The sale was disclosed in a filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is available through this hyperlink. Insiders own 0.54% of the company's stock.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

Several hedge funds and other institutional investors have recently added to or reduced their stakes in BBAI. CWM LLC increased its stake in BigBear.ai by 237.5% in the 3rd quarter. CWM LLC now owns 4,640 shares of the company's stock valued at $30,000 after buying an additional 3,265 shares during the last quarter. Hazlett Burt & Watson Inc. lifted its holdings in BigBear.ai by 3,355.6% during the third quarter. Hazlett Burt & Watson Inc. now owns 4,976 shares of the company's stock worth $32,000 after acquiring an additional 4,832 shares during the period. Root Financial Partners LLC boosted its position in BigBear.ai by 617.5% in the fourth quarter. Root Financial Partners LLC now owns 5,381 shares of the company's stock worth $29,000 after purchasing an additional 4,631 shares during the last quarter. PNC Financial Services Group Inc. grew its stake in BigBear.ai by 150.9% in the 4th quarter. PNC Financial Services Group Inc. now owns 5,640 shares of the company's stock valued at $30,000 after purchasing an additional 3,392 shares during the period. Finally, Nisa Investment Advisors LLC raised its stake in shares of BigBear.ai by 68.4% during the 2nd quarter. Nisa Investment Advisors LLC now owns 6,222 shares of the company's stock worth $42,000 after purchasing an additional 2,527 shares during the period. 7.55% of the stock is currently owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.

About BigBear.ai

BigBear.ai is a provider of artificial intelligence (AI) and data analytics solutions designed to deliver actionable insights for public sector and commercial clients. Headquartered in Columbia, Maryland, the company specializes in advanced analytics, machine learning, predictive modeling and network analysis to support decision-making in complex, data-rich environments. Its clientele spans defense and intelligence agencies, civil government organizations and enterprise businesses seeking to enhance mission outcomes and operational efficiency.

The company’s flagship offerings include an AI-driven analytics platform that integrates data engineering, algorithm development and visualization tools.

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