FY2026 EPS Estimates for Geo Group Raised by Noble Financial

Key Points

• Noble Financial raised its FY2026 EPS forecast for GEO Group to $1.45 from $1.31 and maintained an “Outperform” rating; its estimate is above the $1.42 consensus.
• GEO reported quarterly EPS of $0.39, beating the $0.35 consensus, while revenue rose 11.5% year over year to $761.06 million but fell short of estimates.
• Analysts’ average rating is “Buy,” with an average price target of $41.38; the article also reports recent institutional buying and insider share sales.

Geo Group Inc (The) (NYSE:GEO - Free Report) - Research analysts at Noble Financial raised their FY2026 earnings estimates for Geo Group in a research note issued to investors on Monday, November 9th. Noble Financial analyst J. Gomes now forecasts that the real estate investment trust will post earnings per share of $1.45 for the year, up from their prior forecast of $1.31. Noble Financial has an "Outperform" rating on the stock. The consensus estimate for Geo Group's current full-year earnings is $1.42 per share. Noble Financial also issued estimates for Geo Group's Q4 2026 earnings at $0.40 EPS.

Other equities research analysts have also recently issued research reports about the stock. Weiss Ratings reissued a "hold (c+)" rating on shares of Geo Group in a report on Friday, September 4th. JonesTrading increased their target price on Geo Group from $40.00 to $42.75 and gave the stock a "buy" rating in a research report on Thursday, November 5th. Wall Street Zen lowered Geo Group from a "buy" rating to a "hold" rating in a report on Saturday, July 25th. Zacks Research upgraded Geo Group from a "hold" rating to a "strong-buy" rating in a research report on Monday, July 20th. Finally, UBS Group reiterated a "buy" rating on shares of Geo Group in a research note on Tuesday, October 6th. One research analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, four have given a Buy rating and one has given a Hold rating to the company. According to MarketBeat.com, the stock presently has an average rating of "Buy" and an average target price of $41.38.

Geo Group Stock Up 7.9%

GEO opened at $30.00 on Tuesday. The company has a 50 day moving average of $29.98 and a 200 day moving average of $24.55. The company has a market cap of $3.97 billion, a PE ratio of 24.00, a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 1.48 and a beta of 0.78. Geo Group has a 12 month low of $12.51 and a 12 month high of $33.17. The company has a current ratio of 1.65, a quick ratio of 1.65 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.00.

Geo Group (NYSE:GEO - Get Free Report) last posted its earnings results on Thursday, November 5th. The real estate investment trust reported $0.39 earnings per share for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $0.35 by $0.04. Geo Group had a net margin of 10.31% and a return on equity of 10.42%. The firm had revenue of $761.06 million during the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $770.87 million. During the same quarter last year, the company earned $0.25 earnings per share. The company's revenue was up 11.5% on a year-over-year basis.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

Several large investors have recently bought and sold shares of GEO. Russell Investments Group Ltd. increased its holdings in shares of Geo Group by 13.4% in the third quarter. Russell Investments Group Ltd. now owns 93,303 shares of the real estate investment trust's stock worth $2,843,000 after purchasing an additional 11,001 shares during the period. Maryland State Retirement & Pension System raised its position in shares of Geo Group by 49.4% in the third quarter. Maryland State Retirement & Pension System now owns 28,664 shares of the real estate investment trust's stock worth $873,000 after buying an additional 9,483 shares in the last quarter. Illinois Municipal Retirement Fund raised its position in shares of Geo Group by 16.4% in the third quarter. Illinois Municipal Retirement Fund now owns 67,758 shares of the real estate investment trust's stock worth $2,065,000 after buying an additional 9,564 shares in the last quarter. O Brien Greene & Co. Inc bought a new stake in Geo Group during the third quarter valued at $427,000. Finally, Parallel Advisors LLC boosted its stake in Geo Group by 165.5% during the third quarter. Parallel Advisors LLC now owns 1,017 shares of the real estate investment trust's stock valued at $31,000 after buying an additional 634 shares during the period. 76.10% of the stock is owned by institutional investors.

Insider Buying and Selling

In related news, VP Matthew Albence sold 11,797 shares of the company's stock in a transaction that occurred on Friday, September 11th. The shares were sold at an average price of $31.45, for a total transaction of $371,015.65. Following the sale, the vice president owned 87,602 shares of the company's stock, valued at approximately $2,755,082.90. This represents a 11.87% decrease in their position. The transaction was disclosed in a legal filing with the SEC, which is accessible through this hyperlink. Also, insider Ronald A. Brack sold 7,000 shares of the company's stock in a transaction that occurred on Friday, August 21st. The stock was sold at an average price of $32.00, for a total transaction of $224,000.00. Following the sale, the insider directly owned 71,614 shares in the company, valued at $2,291,648. This trade represents a 8.90% decrease in their position. The disclosure for this sale is available in the SEC filing. Insiders sold 28,797 shares of company stock valued at $911,916 over the last 90 days. 4.98% of the stock is owned by company insiders.

About Geo Group

The GEO Group, Inc provides government services focused on corrections, detention and community-based supervision. Its services include operating secure facilities and processing centers, managing community reentry programs, and providing electronic monitoring and supervision technology for individuals in the community.

The company serves federal, state and local government agencies, primarily in the United States. Its work also includes related services such as secure transportation and support programs for people transitioning from incarceration back into the community.

Founded in 1984 as Wackenhut Corrections Corporation, the company adopted the GEO Group name in 2003.

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