Geo Group (NYSE:GEO) Stock Price Crosses Above Two Hundred Day Moving Average - Here's Why

Key Points

• Technical breakout: Geo Group (GEO) crossed above its 200-day moving average, trading as high as $18.08 versus the 200‑day average of $16.58 on Thursday with about 958,764 shares changing hands.
• Analyst sentiment is mixed but tilted positive—two Buy and two Hold ratings result in a MarketBeat average of Moderate Buy and an average price target of $34.50.
• Recent results and guidance: GEO posted $0.25 EPS and $707.7M in revenue (up 16.5% year-over-year) and set FY2026 guidance of $0.99–$1.07 per share.

Geo Group Inc (The) (NYSE:GEO - Get Free Report) crossed above its 200-day moving average during trading on Thursday . The stock has a 200-day moving average of $16.58 and traded as high as $18.08. Geo Group shares last traded at $17.8850, with a volume of 958,764 shares.

Analysts Set New Price Targets

Several research firms have commented on GEO. Weiss Ratings reiterated a "hold (c)" rating on shares of Geo Group in a report on Friday, March 27th. Wall Street Zen cut shares of Geo Group from a "buy" rating to a "hold" rating in a report on Saturday, February 28th. JonesTrading lowered their target price on shares of Geo Group from $37.00 to $33.00 and set a "buy" rating for the company in a report on Friday, March 20th. Finally, Zacks Research upgraded shares of Geo Group from a "strong sell" rating to a "hold" rating in a report on Friday, January 9th. Two analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating and two have assigned a Hold rating to the company's stock. Based on data from MarketBeat, the company presently has an average rating of "Moderate Buy" and an average price target of $34.50.

Geo Group Stock Performance

The firm's fifty day moving average price is $15.67 and its 200-day moving average price is $16.58. The company has a current ratio of 2.01, a quick ratio of 2.01 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.10. The firm has a market cap of $2.37 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.83 and a beta of 0.69.

Geo Group (NYSE:GEO - Get Free Report) last issued its earnings results on Thursday, February 12th. The real estate investment trust reported $0.25 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, meeting the consensus estimate of $0.25. Geo Group had a net margin of 9.67% and a return on equity of 8.36%. The business had revenue of $707.70 million during the quarter, compared to analysts' expectations of $667.23 million. During the same quarter in the prior year, the business posted $0.13 EPS. The company's revenue for the quarter was up 16.5% on a year-over-year basis. Geo Group has set its Q1 2026 guidance at 0.170-0.190 EPS and its FY 2026 guidance at 0.990-1.070 EPS. Analysts expect that Geo Group Inc will post 0.83 earnings per share for the current year.

Insider Buying and Selling

In related news, Director Scott Michael Kernan sold 6,633 shares of the company's stock in a transaction on Wednesday, March 4th. The shares were sold at an average price of $15.24, for a total value of $101,086.92. Following the completion of the sale, the director owned 27,062 shares in the company, valued at $412,424.88. This represents a 19.69% decrease in their position. The transaction was disclosed in a document filed with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is available through the SEC website. 4.98% of the stock is currently owned by company insiders.

Institutional Trading of Geo Group

Institutional investors and hedge funds have recently bought and sold shares of the business. Geneos Wealth Management Inc. raised its position in Geo Group by 245.1% in the 2nd quarter. Geneos Wealth Management Inc. now owns 1,101 shares of the real estate investment trust's stock valued at $26,000 after purchasing an additional 782 shares during the last quarter. IFP Advisors Inc purchased a new stake in Geo Group in the 4th quarter valued at $30,000. NewEdge Advisors LLC raised its position in Geo Group by 81.9% in the 1st quarter. NewEdge Advisors LLC now owns 1,864 shares of the real estate investment trust's stock valued at $54,000 after purchasing an additional 839 shares during the last quarter. Bayforest Capital Ltd purchased a new stake in Geo Group in the 4th quarter valued at $37,000. Finally, LSV Asset Management purchased a new stake in Geo Group in the 3rd quarter valued at $61,000. Hedge funds and other institutional investors own 76.10% of the company's stock.

About Geo Group

The GEO Group NYSE: GEO is a leading provider of correctional, detention and community reentry services to government agencies around the world. As a real estate investment trust, the company specializes in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities for adult and juvenile offenders, immigration detainees and individuals requiring mental health treatment or substance abuse programming. GEO's integrated service model also encompasses electronic monitoring, rehabilitative programming and post-release supervision aimed at reducing recidivism and enhancing public safety.

GEO's portfolio spans a range of facility types, including medium- and maximum-security correctional institutions, residential reentry centers, mental health treatment units and immigration detention centers.

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