Northland Securities Forecasts Genius Sports Q1 Earnings

Key Points

• Northland Securities cut its Q1 2026 EPS estimate for Genius Sports to ($0.12) from ($0.10) and now forecasts Q2 EPS of ($0.07), Q3 EPS of $0.02 and Q4 EPS of $0.05.
• Genius Sports recently reported ($0.08) EPS, missing the $0.02 consensus while revenue of $240.5M beat expectations and rose 37% year-over-year, indicating top-line growth despite continued losses.
• Analysts are mixed but the consensus is a "Moderate Buy" with an average target of $12.50, while shares trade around $4.36 (market cap ~$1.07B) and institutional ownership is about 81.9%, signaling a disconnect between target prices and current market value.

Genius Sports Limited (NYSE:GENI - Free Report) - Research analysts at Northland Securities dropped their Q1 2026 earnings per share (EPS) estimates for shares of Genius Sports in a report issued on Thursday, April 30th. Northland Securities analyst G. Gibas now expects that the company will earn ($0.12) per share for the quarter, down from their previous forecast of ($0.10). Northland Securities also issued estimates for Genius Sports' Q2 2026 earnings at ($0.07) EPS, Q3 2026 earnings at $0.02 EPS and Q4 2026 earnings at $0.05 EPS.

GENI has been the subject of several other research reports. Oppenheimer decreased their price target on shares of Genius Sports from $12.00 to $11.00 and set an "outperform" rating for the company in a research note on Thursday, March 5th. B. Riley Financial reaffirmed a "buy" rating on shares of Genius Sports in a research note on Friday, February 6th. Weiss Ratings reissued a "sell (d-)" rating on shares of Genius Sports in a report on Friday, March 27th. Wall Street Zen lowered shares of Genius Sports from a "hold" rating to a "sell" rating in a report on Saturday. Finally, Wells Fargo & Company cut their price objective on shares of Genius Sports from $10.00 to $9.00 and set an "overweight" rating on the stock in a report on Thursday, March 5th. Three equities research analysts have rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, thirteen have assigned a Buy rating, two have issued a Hold rating and one has issued a Sell rating to the company. Based on data from MarketBeat.com, the company has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" and an average target price of $12.50.

Genius Sports Stock Performance

Shares of Genius Sports stock opened at $4.36 on Monday. The company has a fifty day moving average of $4.91 and a 200 day moving average of $8.16. Genius Sports has a fifty-two week low of $3.83 and a fifty-two week high of $13.73. The company has a market capitalization of $1.07 billion, a P/E ratio of -10.13 and a beta of 1.80.

Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI - Get Free Report) last posted its quarterly earnings data on Thursday, March 5th. The company reported ($0.08) EPS for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of $0.02 by ($0.10). The company had revenue of $240.50 million during the quarter, compared to analysts' expectations of $234.94 million. Genius Sports had a negative return on equity of 13.66% and a negative net margin of 16.67%.The company's revenue for the quarter was up 37.0% on a year-over-year basis. During the same quarter last year, the company earned ($0.12) earnings per share.

Hedge Funds Weigh In On Genius Sports

Several institutional investors have recently bought and sold shares of GENI. Royal Bank of Canada increased its holdings in Genius Sports by 17.6% during the first quarter. Royal Bank of Canada now owns 44,339 shares of the company's stock valued at $444,000 after buying an additional 6,623 shares during the period. Cetera Investment Advisers grew its holdings in Genius Sports by 10.0% in the second quarter. Cetera Investment Advisers now owns 15,288 shares of the company's stock worth $159,000 after purchasing an additional 1,388 shares during the last quarter. Prudential Financial Inc. purchased a new position in Genius Sports in the second quarter worth $266,000. Invesco Ltd. grew its holdings in Genius Sports by 3,584.2% in the second quarter. Invesco Ltd. now owns 3,291,635 shares of the company's stock worth $34,233,000 after purchasing an additional 3,202,290 shares during the last quarter. Finally, Frontier Capital Management Co. LLC purchased a new position in Genius Sports in the second quarter worth $14,220,000. 81.91% of the stock is owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.

About Genius Sports

Genius Sports is a global sports technology company that specializes in collecting, analyzing and distributing real-time sports data and video streams. The firm provides official data feeds, live video streaming solutions and digital engagement tools to sports leagues, federations, broadcasters and betting operators. By integrating data directly from sporting events through its network of field officials and proprietary technology, Genius Sports ensures accuracy and integrity for partners who rely on up-to-the-second information.

The company’s product suite includes a cloud-based platform for data capture and distribution, an integrity services offering designed to identify and mitigate match-fixing risks, and a suite of commercial products that power odds creation, in-game betting markets and fan engagement experiences.

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