BigBear.ai (NYSE:BBAI) Hits New 1-Year Low - Here's What Happened

Key Points

• BigBear.ai shares hit a new 52-week low of $2.15, down from a previous close of $2.39, amid continued volatility and a market capitalization of approximately $1.04 billion.
• The company announced more than $225 million in federal contract awards since July 2026, covering over 25 contracts across defense, intelligence, homeland security and civilian agencies.
• Despite revenue growth and contract momentum, BigBear.ai remains unprofitable, with a negative net margin of 65.2%; analyst sentiment is mixed, with a consensus “Hold” rating and recent downgrades to “Sell” and “Neutral.”

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BBAI - Get Free Report) hit a new 52-week low during trading on Thursday. The stock traded as low as $2.15 and last traded at $2.1750, with a volume of 20,744,902 shares traded. The stock had previously closed at $2.39.

Trending Headlines about BigBear.ai

Here are the key news stories impacting BigBear.ai this week:

• Positive Sentiment: BigBear.ai announced more than $225 million in federal contract awards since July 2026, spanning homeland security, defense, intelligence and federal civilian customers. The awards include both new business and successful recompetes, expanding the company’s presence in its National Security and Trade & Travel markets. BigBear.ai Secures More Than $225 million in Contract Awards Across Homeland Security, Defense, Intelligence and Federal Civilian Agencies
• Positive Sentiment: The reported awards cover more than 25 federal agency contracts, including work associated with agencies such as the FBI and Coast Guard. The wins support the investment case that BigBear.ai can convert its specialized AI capabilities into larger, longer-term government revenue opportunities. BigBear.ai Stacked $225 Million in Federal AI Awards Near the 52-Week Low
• Neutral Sentiment: Industry coverage identifies AI-powered autonomous mission intelligence as a potentially large defense-technology opportunity. This could benefit BigBear.ai’s addressable market, although the article describes a broader sector opportunity rather than a specific new company contract. The Next Billion-Dollar Defense Technology Opportunity: AI-Powered Autonomous Mission Intelligence
• Negative Sentiment: Recent analysis focuses on BigBear.ai’s sharply higher net loss and questions about what comes next for the stock. The profitability risk is notable because the company remains loss-making, despite recent revenue growth and contract momentum. Why BigBear.ai’s Net Loss Soared and What Could Come Next for BBAI Stock

Analyst Ratings Changes

A number of equities analysts have recently weighed in on BBAI shares. Wall Street Zen cut shares of BigBear.ai from a "hold" rating to a "sell" rating in a research note on Saturday, August 1st. Cantor Fitzgerald reduced their price objective on shares of BigBear.ai from $5.00 to $4.00 and set a "neutral" rating for the company in a research note on Friday, July 31st. Finally, Weiss Ratings reiterated a "sell (d-)" rating on shares of BigBear.ai in a research note on Friday, July 17th. One analyst has rated the stock with a Buy rating, one has issued a Hold rating and one has issued a Sell rating to the stock. According to data from MarketBeat.com, BigBear.ai presently has a consensus rating of "Hold" and an average target price of $5.00.

BigBear.ai Price Performance

The company has a 50 day moving average price of $2.89 and a 200 day moving average price of $3.42. The firm has a market cap of $1.04 billion, a PE ratio of -10.36 and a beta of 3.37. The company has a current ratio of 5.67, a quick ratio of 5.67 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01.

BigBear.ai (NYSE:BBAI - Get Free Report) last released its quarterly earnings results on Thursday, July 30th. The company reported ($0.05) earnings per share for the quarter, hitting analysts' consensus estimates of ($0.05). BigBear.ai had a negative return on equity of 13.44% and a negative net margin of 65.20%. The business had revenue of $36.75 million for the quarter, compared to analysts' expectations of $36.37 million. During the same quarter in the prior year, the firm posted ($0.71) EPS. The company's revenue was up 12.9% compared to the same quarter last year. On average, sell-side analysts expect that BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. will post -0.22 EPS for the current year.

Institutional Trading of BigBear.ai

Institutional investors have recently bought and sold shares of the company. First Trust Advisors LP boosted its position in shares of BigBear.ai by 18.1% in the 1st quarter. First Trust Advisors LP now owns 2,419,242 shares of the company's stock worth $8,516,000 after buying an additional 369,981 shares in the last quarter. Bank of New York Mellon Corp acquired a new stake in BigBear.ai in the 2nd quarter valued at about $5,243,000. UBS AM a distinct business unit of UBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS LLC grew its stake in BigBear.ai by 6.3% in the 2nd quarter. UBS AM a distinct business unit of UBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS LLC now owns 1,295,272 shares of the company's stock valued at $4,754,000 after acquiring an additional 76,451 shares during the last quarter. Fiduciary Alliance LLC increased its holdings in BigBear.ai by 15.4% during the 1st quarter. Fiduciary Alliance LLC now owns 679,066 shares of the company's stock valued at $2,574,000 after acquiring an additional 90,409 shares in the last quarter. Finally, California State Teachers Retirement System increased its holdings in BigBear.ai by 30.4% during the 1st quarter. California State Teachers Retirement System now owns 541,731 shares of the company's stock valued at $1,907,000 after acquiring an additional 126,303 shares in the last quarter. 7.55% of the stock is currently owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.

About BigBear.ai

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc provides artificial intelligence, machine learning and data analytics solutions designed to help organizations make decisions in complex, data-intensive environments. The company's capabilities include predictive analytics, computer vision, data integration, cloud-based systems and decision-support tools that help customers monitor conditions, identify risks, forecast outcomes and coordinate operations.

The company primarily serves the U.S. government, including defense, intelligence, national security, border security and transportation-related agencies.

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