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Wall Street Zen Downgrades MediaAlpha (NYSE:MAX) to Buy

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Key Points

  • Wall Street Zen downgraded MediaAlpha from "strong‑buy" to "buy" while the stock's consensus rating sits at a "Moderate Buy" with an average price target of $12.90 after several firms cut targets.
  • MediaAlpha reported Q1 revenue of $310.0M (+17% YoY) and set a 2026 free‑cash‑flow target of $90–$100M, but Q1 EPS missed at $0.21 versus a $0.25 consensus.
  • Insider selling and legal overhang: insiders have sold ~712k shares in the past 90 days and a shareholder‑rights firm is investigating matters tied to recent FTC litigation, creating regulatory and sentiment risk.
  • Five stocks we like better than MediaAlpha.

MediaAlpha (NYSE:MAX - Get Free Report) was downgraded by equities research analysts at Wall Street Zen from a "strong-buy" rating to a "buy" rating in a report released on Saturday.

A number of other equities research analysts have also issued reports on the stock. Royal Bank Of Canada cut their price target on shares of MediaAlpha from $18.00 to $11.00 and set an "outperform" rating on the stock in a report on Tuesday, February 24th. Keefe, Bruyette & Woods cut their price target on shares of MediaAlpha from $16.00 to $15.00 and set an "outperform" rating on the stock in a report on Tuesday, April 7th. JPMorgan Chase & Co. boosted their price target on shares of MediaAlpha from $11.00 to $12.00 and gave the company an "overweight" rating in a report on Thursday. Weiss Ratings upgraded shares of MediaAlpha from a "sell (d)" rating to a "hold (c-)" rating in a report on Wednesday, February 25th. Finally, The Goldman Sachs Group cut their price target on shares of MediaAlpha from $13.50 to $11.50 and set a "neutral" rating on the stock in a report on Tuesday, February 24th. Four research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating and three have given a Hold rating to the company's stock. According to MarketBeat.com, the stock presently has an average rating of "Moderate Buy" and an average price target of $12.90.

Get Our Latest Report on MediaAlpha

MediaAlpha Price Performance

MAX stock opened at $9.04 on Friday. MediaAlpha has a 52-week low of $7.09 and a 52-week high of $13.92. The company's 50 day simple moving average is $9.58 and its 200-day simple moving average is $10.85. The firm has a market capitalization of $582.76 million, a P/E ratio of 14.12 and a beta of 1.16.

MediaAlpha (NYSE:MAX - Get Free Report) last released its quarterly earnings results on Wednesday, April 29th. The company reported $0.21 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, missing analysts' consensus estimates of $0.25 by ($0.04). MediaAlpha had a net margin of 3.37% and a negative return on equity of 147.82%. The firm had revenue of $310.00 million for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $298.91 million. During the same quarter in the prior year, the firm earned ($0.04) EPS. The firm's revenue was up 17.3% compared to the same quarter last year. Sell-side analysts predict that MediaAlpha will post 1.13 EPS for the current fiscal year.

Insider Buying and Selling

In related news, Director Eugene Nonko sold 59,202 shares of the business's stock in a transaction that occurred on Monday, March 2nd. The shares were sold at an average price of $10.01, for a total transaction of $592,612.02. Following the transaction, the director directly owned 1,395,320 shares of the company's stock, valued at approximately $13,967,153.20. The trade was a 4.07% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The sale was disclosed in a document filed with the SEC, which is accessible through the SEC website. Also, insider Steven Yi sold 39,252 shares of the business's stock in a transaction that occurred on Monday, March 2nd. The shares were sold at an average price of $9.99, for a total transaction of $392,127.48. Following the transaction, the insider directly owned 2,649,624 shares in the company, valued at $26,469,743.76. The trade was a 1.46% decrease in their ownership of the stock. Additional details regarding this sale are available in the official SEC disclosure. Insiders have sold 711,997 shares of company stock worth $6,982,907 over the last ninety days. 14.65% of the stock is currently owned by insiders.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

A number of institutional investors and hedge funds have recently added to or reduced their stakes in the stock. Hsbc Holdings PLC grew its position in MediaAlpha by 2.3% in the second quarter. Hsbc Holdings PLC now owns 51,550 shares of the company's stock worth $561,000 after acquiring an additional 1,144 shares in the last quarter. Tower Research Capital LLC TRC grew its position in MediaAlpha by 28.0% in the second quarter. Tower Research Capital LLC TRC now owns 5,551 shares of the company's stock worth $61,000 after acquiring an additional 1,213 shares in the last quarter. Quarry LP grew its position in MediaAlpha by 43.3% in the third quarter. Quarry LP now owns 4,087 shares of the company's stock worth $47,000 after acquiring an additional 1,234 shares in the last quarter. The Manufacturers Life Insurance Company grew its position in MediaAlpha by 13.4% in the second quarter. The Manufacturers Life Insurance Company now owns 12,757 shares of the company's stock worth $140,000 after acquiring an additional 1,510 shares in the last quarter. Finally, Caitong International Asset Management Co. Ltd grew its position in MediaAlpha by 5,900.0% in the fourth quarter. Caitong International Asset Management Co. Ltd now owns 2,160 shares of the company's stock worth $28,000 after acquiring an additional 2,124 shares in the last quarter. 64.39% of the stock is owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.

Trending Headlines about MediaAlpha

Here are the key news stories impacting MediaAlpha this week:

  • Positive Sentiment: Record revenue and improved margins — Q1 revenue of $310.0M (+17% YoY) and stronger adjusted EBITDA/net income were highlighted by management as driven by auto‑insurance demand and marketplace mix. Press Release
  • Positive Sentiment: Large free‑cash‑flow projection for 2026 — management now targets $90M–$100M FCF for 2026, which supports valuation and buyback capacity. Free Cash Flow Outlook
  • Positive Sentiment: Analyst upgrade/price‑target lift — JPMorgan raised its price target to $12 and kept an overweight stance, signaling institutional confidence in the company’s growth/cash profile. Analyst Note
  • Positive Sentiment: Share repurchases — company repurchased >$25M in 2026, a constructive capital‑allocation move that supports EPS and floor demand. Buyback Detail
  • Neutral Sentiment: Q2 revenue guidance given as a range ($290M–$310M) but management provided limited EPS guidance, leaving near‑term profitability clarity incomplete. Guidance
  • Neutral Sentiment: Earnings call transcript and slides available for deeper operator commentary on mix, pricing and margin cadence. Read management color for sizing risk/reward. Earnings Transcript
  • Neutral Sentiment: Insider sales by CEO and directors have been active but executed under pre‑arranged Rule 10b5‑1 plans and mostly to cover tax withholding on vested awards — increases float but not an ad‑hoc vote of no confidence. SEC Form 4
  • Negative Sentiment: EPS miss — Q1 EPS of $0.21 came below consensus $0.25, an immediate earnings disappointment that tempers the positive revenue and cash‑flow headlines. Earnings Coverage
  • Negative Sentiment: Regulatory/legal overhang — a shareholder‑rights firm announced an investigation tied to recent FTC litigation, creating potential litigation risk and uncertainty. Investigation Alert

About MediaAlpha

(Get Free Report)

MediaAlpha, Inc is a technology company that operates a real-time digital marketplace for the distribution of insurance and adjacent services. The company's platform connects buyers—consumers seeking insurance policies—to sellers, including insurance carriers and distribution partners, through programmatic bidding and data-driven pricing. By leveraging transaction-level data and proprietary auction mechanics, MediaAlpha enables carriers to acquire customers more efficiently and at scale.

The firm offers a suite of products that help clients optimize marketing spend and improve conversion rates.

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Analyst Recommendations for MediaAlpha (NYSE:MAX)

This instant news alert was generated by narrative science technology and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest reporting and unbiased coverage. Please send any questions or comments about this story to contact@marketbeat.com.

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