ZTO Express (Cayman) (ZTO) Stock Price, News & Analysis

Company Overview

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. is one of China’s leading express delivery companies, specializing in both domestic and cross-border parcel logistics. The company operates a technology-enabled network that connects shippers, independent pickup and delivery stations, regional sorting hubs and end customers. ZTO’s service portfolio includes standard express, heavy-weight parcel delivery, time-definite shipments and e-commerce logistics solutions tailored for online retailers and marketplaces.

Founded in 2002 and headquartered in Shanghai, ZTO has grown rapidly by leveraging a franchise-style operating model that engages a broad network of independent contractors. This asset-light approach allows the company to expand its geographic reach across all provinces and major municipalities in Mainland China with agility and efficiency. In May 2016, ZTO Express completed its initial public offering on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol “ZTO.”

The company continues to invest in information technology and automation to enhance tracking, route optimization and customer interface tools. ZTO’s integrated logistics platform supports real-time parcel monitoring, data analytics and seamless order management for high-volume shippers. With a focus on cost control, service reliability and network density, ZTO Express remains a key player in China’s fast-growing express delivery market.

Key Stats

• Today's Range: $19.02 to $19.31
• 50-Day Range: $17.87 to $20.25
• 52-Week Range: $16.34 to $24.86
• Volume: 773,780 shs
• Average Volume: 1.73 million shs
• Market Capitalization: $11.47 billion
• P/E Ratio: 12.96
• Dividend Yield: 3.02%
• Price Target: $22.36
• Consensus Rating: Moderate Buy

ZTO Express (Cayman) Stock Analysis - MarketRank™

ZTO Express (Cayman) scored higher than 75% of companies evaluated by MarketBeat, and ranked 64th out of 122 stocks in the transportation sector. Scores are calculated by averaging available category scores, with extra weight given to analysis and valuation.

Analyst's Opinion

• Score: 3.3 / 5
• Analyst Rating: Moderate Buy

Consensus Rating

ZTO Express (Cayman) has received a consensus rating of Moderate Buy. The company's average rating score is 2.71, and is based on 3 buy ratings, 3 hold ratings, and no sell ratings.

Upside Potential

ZTO Express (Cayman) has a consensus price target of $22.36, representing about 16.6% upside from its current price of $19.18.

Amount of Analyst Coverage

ZTO Express (Cayman) has only been the subject of 3 research reports in the past 90 days.

Earnings and Valuation

• Score: 2.5 / 5
• Proj. Earnings Growth: 8.92%

Earnings Growth

Earnings for ZTO Express (Cayman) are expected to grow by 8.92% in the coming year, from $1.57 to $1.71 per share.

Price to Earnings Ratio vs. the Market

The P/E ratio of ZTO Express (Cayman) is 12.96, which means that it is trading at a less expensive P/E ratio than the market average P/E ratio of about 82.64.

Price to Earnings Ratio vs. Sector

The P/E ratio of ZTO Express (Cayman) is 12.96, which means that it is trading at a less expensive P/E ratio than the Transportation sector average P/E ratio of about 15.20.

Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

ZTO Express (Cayman) has a PEG Ratio of 7.42. PEG Ratios above 1 indicate that a company could be overvalued.

Price to Book Value per Share Ratio

ZTO Express (Cayman) has a P/B Ratio of 1.35. P/B Ratios below 3 indicates that a company is reasonably valued with respect to its assets and liabilities.

Short Interest

• Score: 2.0 / 5
• Short Interest Level: Bearish

Percentage of Shares Shorted

3.06% of the float of ZTO Express (Cayman) has been sold short.

Short Interest Ratio / Days to Cover

ZTO Express (Cayman) has a short interest ratio ("days to cover") of 9.2.

Change versus previous month

Short interest in ZTO Express (Cayman) has recently increased by 15.73%, indicating that investor sentiment is decreasing significantly.

Dividend

• Score: 2.5 / 5
• Dividend Strength: Moderate

Dividend Yield

ZTO Express (Cayman) pays a meaningful dividend of 3.06%, higher than the bottom 25% of all stocks that pay dividends.

Dividend Growth

ZTO Express (Cayman) does not have a long track record of dividend growth.

Dividend Coverage

The dividend payout ratio of ZTO Express (Cayman) is 39.19%. This payout ratio is at a healthy, sustainable level, below 75%.

Dividend Sustainability

Based on earnings estimates, ZTO Express (Cayman) will have a dividend payout ratio of 33.92% next year. This indicates that ZTO Express (Cayman) will be able to sustain or increase its dividend.

Sustainability and ESG

• Score: N/A
• Environmental Score: N/A

Percentage of Shares Shorted

3.06% of the float of ZTO Express (Cayman) has been sold short.

Short Interest Ratio / Days to Cover

ZTO Express (Cayman) has a short interest ratio ("days to cover") of 9.2.

Change versus previous month

Short interest in ZTO Express (Cayman) has recently increased by 15.73%, indicating that investor sentiment is decreasing significantly.

News and Social Media

• Score: 2.1 / 5
• News Sentiment: 0.79

News Sentiment

ZTO Express (Cayman) has a news sentiment score of 0.79. This score is calculated as an average of sentiment of articles about the company over the last seven days and ranges from 2 (good news) to -2 (bad news). This is a higher news sentiment than the 0.64 average news sentiment score of Transportation companies.

News Coverage This Week

MarketBeat has tracked 2 news articles for ZTO Express (Cayman) this week, compared to 4 articles on an average week.

Search Interest

Only 2 people have searched for ZTO on MarketBeat in the last 30 days. This is a decrease of -50% compared to the previous 30 days.

Company Ownership

• Score: 2.5 / 5
• Insider Trading: N/A

Insider Buying vs. Insider Selling

In the past three months, ZTO Express (Cayman) insiders have not sold or bought any company stock.

Percentage Held by Insiders

41.30% of the stock of ZTO Express (Cayman) is held by insiders. A high percentage of insider ownership can be a sign of company health.

Percentage Held by Institutions

41.65% of the stock of ZTO Express (Cayman) is held by institutions. High institutional ownership can be a signal of strong market trust in this company.

ZTO Stock Analysis - Frequently Asked Questions

How have ZTO shares performed this year?

ZTO Express (Cayman)'s stock was trading at $19.55 on January 1st, 2025. Since then, ZTO stock has decreased by 1.9% and is now trading at $19.1760.

How were ZTO Express (Cayman)'s earnings last quarter?

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) issued its earnings results on Tuesday, March, 18th. The transportation company reported $0.44 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, missing analysts' consensus estimates of $0.46 by $0.02. The transportation company had revenue of $1.77 billion for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $11.73 billion. ZTO Express (Cayman) had a trailing twelve-month return on equity of 14.44% and a net margin of 18.83%.
Read the conference call transcript.

When did ZTO Express (Cayman) IPO?

ZTO Express (Cayman) (ZTO) raised $1.3 billion in an initial public offering (IPO) on Thursday, October 27th 2016. The company issued 72,100,000 shares at $16.50-$18.50 per share. Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs (Asia) acted as the underwriters for the IPO and China Renaissance Securities (Hong Kong), Citigroup, Credit Suisse and J.P. Morgan Securities were co-managers.

Who are ZTO Express (Cayman)'s major shareholders?

Top institutional shareholders of ZTO Express (Cayman) include SG Americas Securities LLC (0.06%), TB Alternative Assets Ltd. (0.04%), Legacy Wealth Asset Management LLC (0.02%) and Ethic Inc..

How do I buy shares of ZTO Express (Cayman)?

Shares of ZTO stock can be purchased through any online brokerage account. Popular online brokerages with access to the U.S. stock market include Charles Schwab, E*TRADE, Fidelity, and Vanguard Brokerage Services.

What other stocks do shareholders of ZTO Express (Cayman) own?

Based on aggregate information from My MarketBeat watchlists, some other companies that ZTO Express (Cayman) investors own include NVIDIA (NVDA), Meta Platforms (META), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Netflix (NFLX), Broadcom (AVGO), Alibaba Group (BABA) and PayPal (PYPL).

Company Calendar

• Last Earnings: 3/18/2025
• Record date for 10/31 Dividend: 9/30/2025
• Ex-Dividend for 10/31 Dividend: 9/30/2025
• Today: 10/23/2025
• Dividend Payable: 10/31/2025
• Next Earnings (Estimated): 11/18/2025
• Fiscal Year End: 12/31/2025

Industry, Sector and Symbol

• Stock Exchange: NYSE
• Sector: Transportation
• Industry: TRANS - SERVICES
• Sub-Industry: Transportation
• Current Symbol: NYSE:ZTO
• CIK: 1677250
• Web: www.zto.com
• Phone: 862159804508
• Fax: N/A
• Employees: 24,471
• Year Founded: 2002

Price Target and Rating

• Average Price Target for ZTO Express (Cayman): $22.36
• High Price Target: $24.20
• Low Price Target: $21.00
• Potential Upside/Downside: +16.6%
• Consensus Rating: Moderate Buy
• Rating Score (0-4): 2.71
• Research Coverage: 7 Analysts

Profitability

• EPS (Trailing Twelve Months): $1.48
• Trailing P/E Ratio: 12.96
• Forward P/E Ratio: 12.21
• P/E Growth: 7.43
• Net Income: $1.21 billion
• Net Margins: 18.83%
• Pretax Margin: 24.47%
• Return on Equity: 14.44%
• Return on Assets: 9.72%

Debt

• Debt-to-Equity Ratio: N/A
• Current Ratio: 1.21
• Quick Ratio: 1.21

Sales & Book Value

• Annual Sales: $6.07 billion
• Price / Sales: 1.89
• Cash Flow: $2.92 per share
• Price / Cash Flow: 6.56
• Book Value: $14.21 per share
• Price / Book: 1.35

Miscellaneous

• Outstanding Shares: 598,370,000
• Free Float: 351,243,000
• Market Cap: $11.47 billion
• Optionable: Optionable
• Beta: -0.18