ZTO Express (Cayman) (ZTO) Stock Price, News & Analysis

Company Overview

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. is a leading express delivery company in China, providing comprehensive parcel delivery services across a vast domestic network. The company operates an extensive logistics infrastructure that connects origin and destination points through a hub-and-spoke system comprised of regional sorting centers and local distribution outlets. ZTO’s core business focuses on door-to-door express services for both business-to-consumer (B2C) and business-to-business (B2B) clients, leveraging advanced package tracking technology to ensure timely and reliable deliveries.

In addition to its standard express services, ZTO offers value-added solutions such as cross-border e-commerce logistics, cold chain transportation for temperature-sensitive goods, and warehouse management services. The company continually invests in automation and information technology to streamline sorting processes and enhance real-time visibility for shippers and recipients. ZTO’s platform supports API integrations that enable e-commerce merchants, third-party logistics providers, and enterprise customers to manage shipping orders, track shipments, and optimize delivery routes.

Founded in 2002, ZTO Express has grown from a regional courier into one of China’s largest express delivery carriers by parcel volume. The company has forged longstanding partnerships with leading e-commerce and retail platforms, fostering synergies that have helped it capture market share in the fast-growing online shopping sector. Over the years, ZTO has expanded its footprint through strategic alliances and network capacity enhancements, establishing a presence in both urban and rural areas to support China’s logistics needs.

Headquartered in Shanghai and incorporated in the Cayman Islands, ZTO Express is led by Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Mr. Xiangning Zhang, who has overseen the company’s rapid expansion and technology upgrades. ZTO’s management team brings extensive experience in logistics, supply chain management, and information systems, guiding the company’s efforts to improve operational efficiency and customer satisfaction. Today, ZTO serves millions of customers across more than 30 provinces and autonomous regions, playing a vital role in China’s domestic and cross-border delivery ecosystem.

Key Stats

• Today's Range: $18.00 to $18.37
• 50-Day Range: $16.78 to $19.17
• 52-Week Range: $16.34 to $27.50
• Volume: 816,315 shs
• Average Volume: 2.73 million shs
• Market Capitalization: $10.80 billion
• P/E Ratio: 11.42
• Dividend Yield: 3.77%
• Price Target: $21.76
• Consensus Rating: Buy

ZTO Express (Cayman) Stock Analysis - MarketRank™

ZTO Express (Cayman) scored higher than 88% of companies evaluated by MarketBeat, and ranked 94th out of 372 stocks in the transportation sector. Scores are calculated by averaging available category scores, with extra weight given to analysis and valuation.

Analyst's Opinion

• Score: 3.5 / 5
• Analyst Rating: Buy

Consensus Rating

ZTO Express (Cayman) has received a consensus rating of Buy. The company's average rating score is 3.00, and is based on 3 buy ratings, 1 hold rating, and no sell ratings.

Amount of Analyst Coverage

ZTO Express (Cayman) has been the subject of 5 research reports in the past 90 days, demonstrating strong analyst interest in this stock.

Earnings and Valuation

• Score: 2.5 / 5
• Proj. Earnings Growth: 8.92%

Earnings Growth

Earnings for ZTO Express (Cayman) are expected to grow by 8.92% in the coming year, from $1.57 to $1.71 per share.

Price to Earnings Ratio vs. the Market

The P/E ratio of ZTO Express (Cayman) is 11.42, which means that it is trading at a less expensive P/E ratio than the market average P/E ratio of about 25.55.

Price to Earnings Ratio vs. Sector

The P/E ratio of ZTO Express (Cayman) is 11.42, which means that it is trading at a less expensive P/E ratio than the Transportation sector average P/E ratio of about 12.97.

Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

ZTO Express (Cayman) has a PEG Ratio of 2.71. PEG Ratios above 1 indicate that a company could be overvalued.

Price to Book Value per Share Ratio

ZTO Express (Cayman) has a P/B Ratio of 1.27. P/B Ratios below 3 indicates that a company is reasonably valued with respect to its assets and liabilities.

Short Interest

• Score: 4.0 / 5
• Short Interest Level: Healthy

Percentage of Shares Shorted

2.16% of the float of ZTO Express (Cayman) has been sold short.

Short Interest Ratio / Days to Cover

ZTO Express (Cayman) has a short interest ratio ("days to cover") of 4.7.

Change versus previous month

Short interest in ZTO Express (Cayman) has recently decreased by 7.95%, indicating that investor sentiment is improving significantly.

Dividend

• Score: 3.3 / 5
• Dividend Strength: Strong

Dividend Leadership

ZTO Express (Cayman) is a leading dividend payer. It pays a dividend yield of 3.77%, putting its dividend yield in the top 25% of dividend-paying stocks.

Dividend Growth

ZTO Express (Cayman) does not have a long track record of dividend growth.

Dividend Coverage

The dividend payout ratio of ZTO Express (Cayman) is 43.04%. This payout ratio is at a healthy, sustainable level, below 75%.

Dividend Sustainability

Based on earnings estimates, ZTO Express (Cayman) will have a dividend payout ratio of 39.77% next year. This indicates that ZTO Express (Cayman) will be able to sustain or increase its dividend.

Sustainability and ESG

• Score: N/A
• Environmental Score: N/A

Percentage of Shares Shorted

2.16% of the float of ZTO Express (Cayman) has been sold short.

Short Interest Ratio / Days to Cover

ZTO Express (Cayman) has a short interest ratio ("days to cover") of 4.7.

Change versus previous month

Short interest in ZTO Express (Cayman) has recently decreased by 7.95%, indicating that investor sentiment is improving significantly.

News and Social Media

• Score: 0.9 / 5
• News Sentiment: -0.33

News Sentiment

ZTO Express (Cayman) has a news sentiment score of -0.33. This score is calculated as an average of sentiment of articles about the company over the last seven days and ranges from 2 (good news) to -2 (bad news). This is a lower news sentiment than the 0.54 average news sentiment score of Transportation companies.

News Coverage This Week

MarketBeat has tracked 2 news articles for ZTO Express (Cayman) this week, compared to 4 articles on an average week.

Search Interest

Only 1 people have searched for ZTO on MarketBeat in the last 30 days. This is a decrease of -90% compared to the previous 30 days.

Company Ownership

• Score: 2.5 / 5
• Insider Trading: N/A

Insider Buying vs. Insider Selling

In the past three months, ZTO Express (Cayman) insiders have not sold or bought any company stock.

Percentage Held by Insiders

41.30% of the stock of ZTO Express (Cayman) is held by insiders. A high percentage of insider ownership can be a sign of company health.

Percentage Held by Institutions

41.65% of the stock of ZTO Express (Cayman) is held by institutions. High institutional ownership can be a signal of strong market trust in this company.

ZTO Stock Analysis - Frequently Asked Questions

How have ZTO shares performed this year?

ZTO Express (Cayman)'s stock was trading at $19.55 at the beginning of 2025. Since then, ZTO stock has decreased by 7.7% and is now trading at $18.05.

How were ZTO Express (Cayman)'s earnings last quarter?

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (NYSE:ZTO) announced its quarterly earnings data on Tuesday, March, 18th. The transportation company reported $0.44 earnings per share for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of $0.46 by $0.02. The transportation company had revenue of $1.77 billion for the quarter, compared to analysts' expectations of $11.73 billion. ZTO Express (Cayman) had a trailing twelve-month return on equity of 15.91% and a net margin of 20.77%.
Read the conference call transcript.

When did ZTO Express (Cayman) IPO?

ZTO Express (Cayman) (ZTO) raised $1.3 billion in an initial public offering on Thursday, October 27th 2016. The company issued 72,100,000 shares at $16.50-$18.50 per share. Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs (Asia) acted as the underwriters for the IPO and China Renaissance Securities (Hong Kong), Citigroup, Credit Suisse and J.P. Morgan Securities were co-managers.

How do I buy shares of ZTO Express (Cayman)?

Shares of ZTO stock can be purchased through any online brokerage account. Popular online brokerages with access to the U.S. stock market include Charles Schwab, E*TRADE, Fidelity, and Vanguard Brokerage Services.

What other stocks do shareholders of ZTO Express (Cayman) own?

Based on aggregate information from My MarketBeat watchlists, some other companies that ZTO Express (Cayman) investors own include NVIDIA (NVDA), Meta Platforms (META), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Netflix (NFLX), Broadcom (AVGO), Alibaba Group (BABA) and PayPal (PYPL).

Company Calendar

• Last Earnings: 3/18/2025
• Record date for 4/29 Dividend: 4/10/2025
• Ex-Dividend for 4/29 Dividend: 4/10/2025
• Dividend Payable: 4/29/2025
• Today: 7/04/2025
• Next Earnings (Estimated): 8/19/2025
• Fiscal Year End: 12/31/2025

Industry, Sector and Symbol

• Stock Exchange: NYSE
• Sector: Transportation
• Industry: TRANS - SERVICES
• Sub-Industry: Transportation
• Current Symbol: NYSE:ZTO
• CIK: 1677250
• Web: www.zto.com
• Phone: 862159804508
• Fax: N/A
• Employees: 24,471
• Year Founded: N/A

Price Target and Rating

• Average Stock Price Target: $21.76
• High Stock Price Target: $24.20
• Low Stock Price Target: $19.00
• Potential Upside/Downside: +20.6%
• Consensus Rating: Buy
• Rating Score (0-4): 3.00
• Research Coverage: 5 Analysts

Profitability

• EPS (Trailing Twelve Months): $1.58
• Trailing P/E Ratio: 11.42
• Forward P/E Ratio: 11.50
• P/E Growth: 2.71
• Net Income: $1.21 billion
• Net Margins: 20.77%
• Pretax Margin: 26.75%
• Return on Equity: 15.91%
• Return on Assets: 10.65%

Debt

• Debt-to-Equity Ratio: N/A
• Current Ratio: 1.05
• Quick Ratio: 1.05

Sales & Book Value

• Annual Sales: $6.07 billion
• Price / Sales: 1.78
• Cash Flow: $2.90 per share
• Price / Cash Flow: 6.22
• Book Value: $14.21 per share
• Price / Book: 1.27

Miscellaneous

• Outstanding Shares: 598,370,000
• Free Float: 351,243,000
• Market Cap: $10.80 billion
• Optionable: Optionable
• Beta: -0.18