3 stocks with high returns to hold this decade

American Express cards image: A stock with high returns

Key Points

  • The stock market's future looks uncertain; possible rate cuts excite some and scare others.
  • Businesses with solid moats and strong returns on capital are the best way to navigate uncertainty, and financials back the story.
  • Future growth and strong brand names could carry these stocks on a better path than the channeling S&P 500.
  • 5 stocks we like better than Amazon.com

Some swear the market is about to go on a tearing rally and stay in a bull market for the foreseeable future; others say that the Federal Reserve is only entertaining rate cuts, preparing to cushion some economic crash soon. 

While nobody other than Warren Buffett holds a crystal ball, there are ways that you can prepare yourself and your wealth to beat the market long term.

Over the next decade, some stocks will remain as strong as they are today and deliver the returns you need to retire. Stocks like American Express Company NYSE: AXP, The Home Depot Inc. NYSE: HD and United Parcel Service Inc. NYSE: UPS are here to stay and you may find it wortwhile to hold them.

Evaluate financials of each

How do value investors begin their journey of stock picking to ensure they are positioned into the best names? It begins with profitability measures.

Return on equity (ROE) and return on invested capital (ROIC) metrics and their rates will tell you most of what you need to know about a business' strength and longevity.

Year after year, American Express' financials show an ROE range between 32% and 35.7%, which is incredible by any means of analysis.


In theory and often in practice, this means that each dollar of equity (stock) you invest into this business will return 32% to 35.7% back to you each year, whether that is through appreciation or buying back stock. Not a bad way to compound your wealth while the market figures out its direction.

Home Depot made it into this profitable category; construction contractors and DIY home renovators depend on this deeply entrenched brand to fulfill their needs. This consumer loyalty and able management teams enabled the business to generate ROIC rates between 27.4% and 31.5% over the past five years.

Amazon.com Inc. NASDAQ: AMZN has a growing share of freight and delivery services, but there are a great many items that only companies like UPS and FedEx Corporation NYSE: FDX can deliver.

Following this unique positioning in the industry allows the company to consistently make ROIC rates between 20.7% and 23.8%, speaking to the management's ability to run this ship. These types of returns on capital can only bring the long-term direction of the stocks in one way: up.

Understand future earning power

Now that you understand what makes these companies great choices for value investment, perform the second step in the value investor's bible.

Understanding the certainty of the future earning power of the business in question can help you better decide what that stock could be worth today.

In financial stocks, American Express needs to stand out regarding growth projections. Analysts see a 10.8% jump in earnings per share for the next 12 months, but keep in mind that 10.8% on $11 EPS is much better than 20% growth on $2 EPS.

For Home Depot, there is an even less exciting projection for EPS, with only 3.9% expected growth for the next 12 months. However, this giant $320 billion company generates $15.6 in EPS, so that "small" growth rate still goes a long way when it comes to price action.

Last but not least, UPS analysts are confident about putting out a 7.3% growth projection. With a price target set at $188.9, there is an implied 16.4% upside from today's stock price. Staying true to the value school of returns, 7.3% growth on a $133 billion company can do wonders for you.

Betting on a brand name is a fairy tale, and investing in numbers alone places your faith in a spreadsheet. However, when you combine the two, you get a perfect mix of great businesses. 

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Should you invest $1,000 in Amazon.com right now?

Before you consider Amazon.com, you'll want to hear this.

MarketBeat keeps track of Wall Street's top-rated and best performing research analysts and the stocks they recommend to their clients on a daily basis. MarketBeat has identified the five stocks that top analysts are quietly whispering to their clients to buy now before the broader market catches on... and Amazon.com wasn't on the list.

While Amazon.com currently has a "Buy" rating among analysts, top-rated analysts believe these five stocks are better buys.

View The Five Stocks Here

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Click the link below and we'll send you MarketBeat's list of seven best retirement stocks and why they should be in your portfolio.

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Companies Mentioned in This Article

CompanyMarketRank™Current PricePrice ChangeDividend YieldP/E RatioConsensus RatingConsensus Price Target
Amazon.com (AMZN)
4.7081 of 5 stars
$179.82+0.1%N/A62.01Buy$205.13
American Express (AXP)
4.639 of 5 stars
$236.62+0.4%1.18%19.49Hold$209.52
Citigroup (C)
4.9029 of 5 stars
$62.69+0.0%3.38%18.55Moderate Buy$62.91
Express (EXPR)
0 of 5 stars
$0.69flatN/A0.01N/A
FedEx (FDX)
4.6005 of 5 stars
$266.10+0.1%1.89%15.35Moderate Buy$301.33
Home Depot (HD)
4.8982 of 5 stars
$334.73-0.1%2.69%22.17Moderate Buy$375.96
Compare These Stocks  Add These Stocks to My Watchlist 

Gabriel Osorio-Mazilli

About Gabriel Osorio-Mazilli

  • gosoriomazzilli@gmail.com

Contributing Author

Value Stocks, Asian Markets, Macro Economics

Experience

Gabriel Osorio-Mazilli has been a contributing writer for MarketBeat since 2023.

Areas of Expertise

Value investing, long/short trading, options, emerging markets

Education

CFA Level I candidate; Goldman Sachs corporate training; independent courses

Past Experience

Analyst at Goldman Sachs, associate at Citigroup, senior financial analyst in real estate


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