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Ambarella's Earnings Prove Its Edge AI Strategy Is a Winner

October 9, 2020, Brazil. In this photo illustration the Ambarella logo seen displayed on a smartphone

Key Points

  • The company reported impressive revenue growth and achieved non-GAAP profitability, showcasing strong operational execution and a significant turnaround.
  • Surging demand for the company's advanced AI processors in the IoT market is validating its technology leadership and expanding its revenue base.
  • A bullish full-year outlook and upgraded price targets from Wall Street analysts reinforce the company's compelling narrative of future growth.
  • Interested in Ambarella? Here are five stocks we like better.

Ambarella Today

Ambarella, Inc. stock logo
AMBAAMBA 90-day performance
Ambarella
$78.77 -0.55 (-0.70%)
As of 11:03 AM Eastern
This is a fair market value price provided by Polygon.io. Learn more.
52-Week Range
$38.86
$93.44
Price Target
$93.88

Ambarella NASDAQ: AMBA recently caught the market’s attention with a stock price jump of over 16% in a single trading session. This impressive gain followed the release of Ambarella’s second-quarter financial results, which significantly outpaced expectations.

The market's response suggests a renewed and robust confidence in the company, signaling that its long-term strategy of designing high-performance, low-power artificial intelligence (AI) chips is translating into substantial business momentum.

For investors, the move marks a potential turning point, where the promise of AI at the edge is becoming a financial reality.

How AI Chips Drove a Financial Turnaround

The catalyst behind Ambarella's breakout was a second-quarter report that demonstrated clear operational strength and accelerating growth. The company's financial performance provides a data-driven foundation for the market's enthusiasm, showing improvements across the board.

The headline figure was revenue, which reached $95.5 million for the quarter. This represented a 49.9% increase from the same period in the prior year and comfortably beat Ambarella’s analyst community’s estimates. Just as significant was the company’s progress on profitability.

Ambarella reported a non-GAAP net profit of $6.4 million, or 15 cents per share. This marks a considerable turnaround from the non-GAAP net loss of $5.5 million reported in the same quarter last year, showcasing the company’s operational leverage.

The company’s non-GAAP gross margin, 60.5%, added to the positive picture. This high margin is a critical metric, as it indicates that Ambarella has strong pricing power for its advanced products and is benefiting from a favorable product mix.

This financial success is directly tied to the accelerating demand for its specialized AI processors. Management commentary pointed specifically to strong sales of its advanced 5-nanometer (5nm) System-on-a-Chip (SoC) products.

These sophisticated chips are built on the company’s proprietary CVflow computer vision architecture. This architecture is designed to handle complex AI tasks efficiently and with very low power consumption, which is a critical requirement for devices operating at the edge, away from the cloud.

The Internet of Things (IoT) segment was a standout performer. While Ambarella has long been a leader in the professional video security market, its growth is now expanding into new applications.

The company highlighted a key design win for a robotic aerial drone, which is expected to begin production shipments by the end of the fiscal year. This win not only diversifies revenue but also validates the company's technology in the demanding field of autonomous robotics.

Finally, the company’s balance sheet remains strong, ending the quarter with $261.2 million in cash and marketable securities, providing ample capital to fund its research and development pipeline.

Why Management and Analysts Are Bullish

Looking beyond the strong second-quarter results, Ambarella’s management provided an outlook that signals sustained confidence in its business trajectory. This forward-looking guidance was key in solidifying the stock's upward momentum.

Ambarella Stock Forecast Today

12-Month Stock Price Forecast:
$93.88
18.35% Upside
Moderate Buy
Based on 12 Analyst Ratings
Current Price$79.32
High Forecast$100.00
Average Forecast$93.88
Low Forecast$90.00
Ambarella Stock Forecast Details

The company raised its full-year fiscal 2026 revenue growth forecast to a new, higher range of 31% to 35%. An upward revision of this magnitude is a powerful indicator that the demand trends seen in the second quarter are not temporary but are expected to persist.

This move demonstrates the leadership team's conviction in its product roadmap and its ability to win in the market.

Further reinforcing this positive outlook, Ambarella projected that revenue for its upcoming third quarter will land between $100 million and $108 million. Hitting this range's midpoint would represent another significant year-over-year growth period.

It would mark a new all-time quarterly revenue record for the company, underscoring the accelerating nature of its business.

Wall Street has noticed this powerful combination of execution and optimism. The consensus rating among analysts covering the stock is a Moderate Buy. Following the strong earnings report, several influential firms reinforced their positive stance.

Notably, analysts at Needham and Rosenblatt Securities raised their price targets on Ambarella's stock to $100, suggesting a rewarding upside from its current levels. This external validation from the financial community provides additional credibility to the company's growth story.

A Validated Leader in the Edge AI Revolution

Ambarella's standout second-quarter performance appears to be a pivotal moment for the company. It has successfully shifted the narrative from one of future promise to one of current, tangible results. The company has demonstrated its ability to execute its strategy, delivering high-performance, low-power AI processing crucial for the next generation of intelligent devices.

Ambarella is capitalizing on one of the most significant and durable trends in the technology sector by carving out a leadership position in computer vision for IoT and automotive markets.

Recent financial results confirm that it is not only technologically advanced but also gaining significant commercial traction. For investors, the fact that it produces a combination of accelerating revenue, improving profitability, strong margins, and a confident outlook backed by Wall Street solidifies the bullish case for the stock.

Ambarella has established itself not just as a participant but as a key enabler of the AI revolution at the edge.

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Jeffrey Neal Johnson
About The Author

Jeffrey Neal Johnson

Contributing Author

Industry and Sector Analysis, Technology, Cryptocurrency, Biotechnology, Defense

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Companies Mentioned in This Article

CompanyMarketRank™Current PricePrice ChangeDividend YieldP/E RatioConsensus RatingConsensus Price Target
Ambarella (AMBA)
2.5932 of 5 stars
$78.56-1.0%N/A-37.26Moderate Buy$93.88
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