The recent market narrative surrounding ChargePoint's NYSE: CHPT stock has been one of significant volatility.
ChargePoint Today
$8.92 -0.14 (-1.55%) As of 07/30/2025 03:59 PM Eastern
- 52-Week Range
- $8.55
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$45.40 - Price Target
- $27.88
While sharp movements on a chart can be unsettling, they often mask the underlying story of a company's evolving strategic operations. Stock structure changes create significant market noise, smoke signals that create a fog of war that, in ChargePoint’s case, masks the company’s improving fundamentals. Beyond the current market noise, the company has been making measurable progress in key financial areas. Investors willing to take a closer look at the business fundamentals will find a disciplined strategy aimed at navigating current headwinds and capturing long-term growth in the global transition to electric vehicles (EVs).
A Look Under ChargePoint’s Hood
A company's long-term health is measured by its ability to generate profit from what it sells. For ChargePoint, the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 revealed progress in essential areas. A key indicator is the company's non-GAAP gross margin, which shows how profitable its products and services are before certain corporate expenses. This figure rose to 31%, an admirable improvement from 24% in the same quarter last year.
ChargePoint Stock Forecast Today
12-Month Stock Price Forecast:$27.88212.50% UpsideHoldBased on 11 Analyst Ratings Current Price | $8.92 |
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High Forecast | $60.00 |
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Average Forecast | $27.88 |
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Low Forecast | $10.00 |
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ChargePoint Stock Forecast Details
This healthier margin is powered by the company's strategic shift toward its more profitable subscription business. Revenue from these recurring software and service contracts grew 14% year-over-year (YOY) to $38.0 million. This is a critical point for investors to understand. Unlike a one-time hardware sale, subscriptions create a stable and predictable income stream. The market highly values this software-as-a-service (SaaS) model because it offers clear visibility into future revenue and is easier to scale.
ChargePoint has also demonstrated financial discipline by reducing its non-GAAP operating expenses by 15% YOY. The combination of earning more on each sale while carefully managing costs reinforces the company's stated goal: to reach a quarter of positive non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA during fiscal year 2026.
Tapping New Markets, From Europe to the Electric Grid
While financial discipline builds a strong foundation, long-term growth requires a forward-looking strategy. ChargePoint is actively pursuing this by targeting Europe's massive fleet market. The company recently launched its Flex Plus home charger and a complete Driver Management Solution, tools specifically designed for this opportunity. This is a calculated move, as company cars make up an estimated 60% of all new vehicle sales in the region.
This strategy is already producing results. ChargePoint secured a landmark partnership with Arval, the fleet management subsidiary of banking sector giant BNP Paribas OTCMKTS: BNPQY. This agreement makes ChargePoint's platform the preferred charging solution for Arval's new EV contracts in France and Germany. A partnership of this scale provides a powerful sales channel into key European markets and can also be seen as an industry endorsement.
Underpinning this expansion is new technology. The company’s latest chargers are being built on a more efficient AC charging architecture that helps lower costs. Looking further ahead, ChargePoint's collaboration with power management leader Eaton is aimed at developing the next wave of innovation. They are working on vehicle-to-everything (V2X) technology, which could one day allow EV owners to use their car's battery to power their home. This strategic adjustment repositions ChargePoint beyond just a charging company, establishing it as a participant in the future of energy management.
ChargePoint's Progress: Key Metrics to Watch
ChargePoint Holdings, Inc. (CHPT) Price Chart for Thursday, July, 31, 2025
ChargePoint’s reverse stock split was a one-time technical event that did not change the company’s fundamental position. The real story for ChargePoint will unfold in its upcoming financial reports, with the next one expected around early September. Investors can track the company’s progress by focusing on these key metrics:
- Subscription Revenue Growth: This is the engine of ChargePoint’s improving profitability. Maintaining double-digit growth in this high-margin segment will show that the company’s core strategy remains effective.
- Gross Margin Sustainability: The jump to a 31% non-GAAP gross margin was a major step. Proving it can stay above the 30% mark in subsequent quarters would confirm this is a new, sustainable level of profitability, not a one-time event.
- Operating Expense Discipline: Maintaining cost control is crucial. It shows that management remains focused on its efficient path to profitability, a key factor in building investor confidence.
- European Partnership Updates: The Arval deal is a significant catalyst. Any announcements of initial sales volumes or additional fleet agreements in Europe would provide tangible proof that this major growth initiative is succeeding.
From Recalibration to Growth
ChargePoint's stock recently underwent a necessary recalibration to resolve a listing requirement. With that technical event now in the past, the focus can return to the operational story. What emerges is a company executing a clear pivot toward a more profitable and sustainable business model. The foundational pieces for long-term growth are being put firmly in place, supported by an improving financial profile, disciplined cost controls, and tangible growth catalysts in strategic markets. While the EV charging sector remains competitive, ChargePoint is building a fundamental case for value that merits investor attention beyond any short-term market volatility.
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