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BAE Systems (BA) Stock Forecast & Price Target

BAE Systems logo
GBX 1,899 +39.00 (+2.10%)
As of 10/14/2026

BAE Systems - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
0
Hold
4
Buy
1

Based on 5 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for BAE Systems in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 5 analysts, 4 have given a hold rating, and 1 has given a buy rating for BA.

Consensus Price Target

GBX 2,275
According to the 5 analysts' twelve-month price targets for BAE Systems, the average price target is GBX 2,275. The highest price target for BA is GBX 2,450, while the lowest price target for BA is GBX 2,100. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 19.80% from the current price of GBX 1,899.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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BA Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
10/15/25 to 10/15/26
1 Month Ago
9/15/25 to 9/15/26
3 Months Ago
7/17/25 to 7/17/26
1 Year Ago
10/15/24 to 10/15/25
Strong Buy
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
1 Buy rating(s)
1 Buy rating(s)
4 Buy rating(s)
4 Buy rating(s)
Hold
4 Hold rating(s)
4 Hold rating(s)
2 Hold rating(s)
1 Hold rating(s)
Sell
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price TargetGBX 2,275GBX 2,275GBX 2,228GBX 1,976.75
Consensus RatingHoldHoldModerate BuyModerate Buy

BA Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
Skip Chart & View Analyst Rating History

BA Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

BAE Systems Stock vs. The Competition

TypeBAE SystemsIndustrials Companies
Consensus Rating Score
2.20
2.31
Consensus RatingHoldHold
News Sentiment Rating
Neutral News

See Recent BA News
Positive News
Report Date
0 Results
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
8/11/2026 Reiterated RatingSector performGBX 2,200-1.96%
8/10/2026 Boost TargetHoldGBX 2,140 ➝ GBX 2,325+3.61%
7/31/2026 Boost TargetOverweightGBX 2,400 ➝ GBX 2,450+19.51%
7/31/2026 Reiterated RatingHoldGBX 2,100+2.44%
3/5/2026 Boost TargetHoldGBX 2,000 ➝ GBX 2,300+1.37%
9/5/2025 Reiterated RatingOverweight
7/31/2025 Boost TargetBuyGBX 2,145 ➝ GBX 2,192+22.80%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Thursday at 08:07 AM ET.


Should I Buy BAE Systems Stock? BA Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Wednesday, October 7, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these BAE Systems pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

BAE Systems
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in BAE Systems plc:

  • BAE Systems plc has secured a significant wave of recent U.S. defense contracts, including a $230 million order for 32 Armored Recovery Vehicles from the U.S. Marines and a $611 million contract for the U.S. Army's armored-vehicle fleet, which directly supports backlog growth and provides evidence of continued military spending on vehicle modernization.
  • The company is expanding its technology portfolio through strategic acquisitions and partnerships, such as weighing a bid for Robin Radar Systems in a potential $2.3 billion deal and signing a deal with Skyryse on autonomous aircraft, which positions BAE Systems plc to capture revenue from emerging defense technologies like autonomous flight and advanced radar.
  • Recent product milestones, such as the completion of live testing for the BATS counter-drone system and the certification of a new IFF system for the U.S. Air Force F-16, demonstrate the company's ability to deliver cutting-edge solutions that meet critical national security needs, potentially leading to follow-on production orders.
  • Management has signaled confidence in the company's valuation by repurchasing 514,101 shares over five days in September, a move that can support earnings per share by reducing the number of outstanding shares and indicating that leadership believes the stock is undervalued.
  • BAE Systems plc offers a dividend yield of 2.47%, providing investors with a steady income stream, while the current stock price of $1855.00 reflects a market capitalization of $57,430 million, suggesting a stable large-cap investment with established cash flows.

BAE Systems
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in BAE Systems plc for these reasons:

  • The stock has experienced a recent decline, dropping $79.00 from the previous close of $1934.00 to the current price of $1855.00, indicating short-term negative momentum or market concerns that may weigh on investor sentiment.
  • BAE Systems plc carries a high debt-to-equity ratio of 73.96, which means the company relies heavily on debt financing relative to its equity, potentially increasing financial risk and interest expenses that could impact profitability during economic downturns or rising interest rate environments.
  • The company's valuation is relatively high with a P/E ratio of 31.82, suggesting that investors are paying a premium for earnings, which may limit upside potential if growth does not accelerate to justify the multiple, especially compared to the consensus target price of GBX 2,275 which may not offer significant additional upside from current levels.
  • Despite recent contract wins, the company faces intense competition in the defense sector, as evidenced by the need to actively bid for acquisitions like Robin Radar Systems, which could lead to higher acquisition costs and integration challenges that may dilute shareholder value.
  • Insider buying activity has been minimal in recent months, with transactions such as Charles Woodburn purchasing only 7 shares for a total of £143.50, which provides a modest confidence signal but is too small to materially affect valuation or indicate strong internal conviction in the stock's future performance.

BA Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 5 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for BAE Systems is GBX 2,275, with a high forecast of GBX 2,450 and a low forecast of GBX 2,100.

5 Wall Street research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for BAE Systems in the last year. There are currently 4 hold ratings and 1 buy rating for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street research analysts is that investors should "hold" BA shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in BA, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, BAE Systems's stock has a predicted upside of 19.80% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

BAE Systems has been rated by research analysts at Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, Jefferies Financial Group, JPMorgan Chase & Co., and Royal Bank Of Canada in the past 90 days.

Analysts like BAE Systems less than other "industrials" companies. The consensus rating score for BAE Systems is 2.20 while the average consensus rating score for "industrials" companies is 2.31. Learn more on how BA compares to other companies.


MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for BAE Systems analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 8/11/2026.
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