Geo Group (GEO) Stock Price, News & Analysis

Company Overview

The GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) is a leading provider of correctional, detention and community reentry services to government agencies around the world. As a real estate investment trust, the company specializes in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities for adult and juvenile offenders, immigration detainees and individuals requiring mental health treatment or substance abuse programming. GEO’s integrated service model also encompasses electronic monitoring, rehabilitative programming and post-release supervision aimed at reducing recidivism and enhancing public safety.

GEO’s portfolio spans a range of facility types, including medium- and maximum-security correctional institutions, residential reentry centers, mental health treatment units and immigration detention centers. The company partners with federal, state and local government agencies to deliver turnkey services under long-term contracts. In addition to traditional correctional management, GEO offers community-based solutions such as electronic monitoring, substance abuse treatment and workforce development programs designed to support successful reentry into society.

Founded in 1984 as Wackenhut Corrections Corporation, the firm adopted the GEO Group name in 2003 to reflect its expanding global footprint. Headquartered in Boca Raton, Florida, GEO operates facilities and programs in the United States, Australia, South Africa and the United Kingdom. Under the leadership of Founder and Chief Executive Officer George Zoley, the company has grown its presence through strategic acquisitions and contract awards, maintaining an emphasis on quality standards, accreditation and outcome-based performance metrics.

Key Stats

• Today's Range: $21.01 to $21.81
• 50-Day Range: $20.22 to $26.47
• 52-Week Range: $11.75 to $36.46
• Volume: 2.44 million shs
• Average Volume: 2.56 million shs
• Market Capitalization: $3.02 billion
• P/E Ratio: 32.81
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Price Target: $37.00
• Consensus Rating: Buy

Geo Group Stock Analysis - MarketRank™

Geo Group scored higher than 66% of companies evaluated by MarketBeat, and ranked 113th out of 305 stocks in the business services sector. Scores are calculated by averaging available category scores, with extra weight given to analysis and valuation.

Analyst's Opinion

• Score: 3.9 / 5
• Analyst Rating: Buy

Consensus Rating

Geo Group has received a consensus rating of Buy. The company's average rating score is 3.00, and is based on 4 buy ratings, no hold ratings, and no sell ratings.

Upside Potential

Geo Group has a consensus price target of $37.00, representing about 73.5% upside from its current price of $21.33.

Amount of Analyst Coverage

Geo Group has only been the subject of 2 research reports in the past 90 days.

Earnings and Valuation

• Score: 2.5 / 5
• Proj. Earnings Growth: 53.01%

Earnings Growth

Earnings for Geo Group are expected to grow by 53.01% in the coming year, from $0.83 to $1.27 per share.

Price to Earnings Ratio vs. the Market

The P/E ratio of Geo Group is 32.81, which means that it is trading at a less expensive P/E ratio than the market average P/E ratio of about 279.69.

Price to Earnings Ratio vs. Sector

The P/E ratio of Geo Group is 32.81, which means that it is trading at a more expensive P/E ratio than the Business Services sector average P/E ratio of about 26.87.

Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

Geo Group has a PEG Ratio of 2.25. PEG Ratios above 1 indicate that a company could be overvalued.

Price to Book Value per Share Ratio

Geo Group has a P/B Ratio of 2.24. P/B Ratios below 3 indicates that a company is reasonably valued with respect to its assets and liabilities.

Short Interest

• Score: 2.0 / 5
• Short Interest Level: Bearish

Percentage of Shares Shorted

7.84% of the outstanding shares of Geo Group have been sold short.

Short Interest Ratio / Days to Cover

Geo Group has a short interest ratio ("days to cover") of 3.6, which is generally considered an acceptable ratio of short interest to trading volume.

Change versus previous month

Short interest in Geo Group has recently increased by 5.32%, indicating that investor sentiment is decreasing significantly.

Dividend

• Score: 0.0 / 5
• Dividend Strength: Weak

Dividend Yield

Geo Group does not currently pay a dividend.

Dividend Growth

Geo Group does not have a long track record of dividend growth.

Dividend Coverage

The dividend payout ratio of Geo Group is 153.85%. Payout ratios above 75% are not desirable because they may not be sustainable.

Dividend Sustainability

Based on EPS estimates, Geo Group will have a dividend payout ratio of 78.74% in the coming year. This indicates that Geo Group may not be able to sustain their current dividend.

Sustainability and ESG

• Score: N/A
• Environmental Score: N/A

Percentage of Shares Shorted

7.84% of the outstanding shares of Geo Group have been sold short.

Short Interest Ratio / Days to Cover

Geo Group has a short interest ratio ("days to cover") of 3.6, which is generally considered an acceptable ratio of short interest to trading volume.

Change versus previous month

Short interest in Geo Group has recently increased by 5.32%, indicating that investor sentiment is decreasing significantly.

News and Social Media

• Score: 1.6 / 5
• News Sentiment: 0.85

News Sentiment

Geo Group has a news sentiment score of 0.85. This score is calculated as an average of sentiment of articles about the company over the last seven days and ranges from 2 (good news) to -2 (bad news). This news sentiment score is similar to the average news sentiment of Business Services companies.

News Coverage This Week

MarketBeat has tracked 11 news articles for Geo Group this week, compared to 15 articles on an average week.

Search Interest

Only 7 people have searched for GEO on MarketBeat in the last 30 days. This is a decrease of -46% compared to the previous 30 days.

MarketBeat Follows

Only 1 people have added Geo Group to their MarketBeat watchlist in the last 30 days. This is a decrease of -80% compared to the previous 30 days.

Company Ownership

• Score: 1.7 / 5
• Insider Trading: N/A

Insider Buying vs. Insider Selling

In the past three months, Geo Group insiders have not sold or bought any company stock.

Percentage Held by Insiders

Only 4.60% of the stock of Geo Group is held by insiders.

Percentage Held by Institutions

76.10% of the stock of Geo Group is held by institutions. High institutional ownership can be a signal of strong market trust in this company.

GEO Stock Analysis - Frequently Asked Questions

How have GEO shares performed this year?

Geo Group's stock was trading at $27.98 at the beginning of the year. Since then, GEO shares have decreased by 23.8% and is now trading at $21.3250.

How were Geo Group's earnings last quarter?

Geo Group Inc (The) (NYSE:GEO) issued its quarterly earnings data on Wednesday, August, 6th. The real estate investment trust reported $0.22 earnings per share for the quarter, beating analysts' consensus estimates of $0.16 by $0.06. The business's revenue was up 4.8% on a year-over-year basis.
Read the conference call transcript.

How will Geo Group's stock buyback program work?

Geo Group's Board of Directors approved a stock buyback program on Wednesday, August 6th 2025, which authorizes the company to repurchase $300,000,000 in shares, according to EventVestor. This means that the company could reacquire up to 8.2% of its shares through open market purchases. Shares buyback programs are generally an indication that the company's board of directors believes its shares are undervalued.

Who are Geo Group's major shareholders?

Geo Group's top institutional shareholders include State Street Corp (3.48%), Continental General Insurance Co. (2.76%), Cooper Creek Partners Management LLC (2.65%) and Geode Capital Management LLC (2.31%). Insiders that own company stock include George C Zoley, James H Black, Shayn P March, Scott Michael Kernan and Nicole Mannarino.
View institutional ownership trends.

How do I buy shares of Geo Group?

Shares of GEO stock can be purchased through any online brokerage account. Popular online brokerages with access to the U.S. stock market include Charles Schwab, E*TRADE, Fidelity, and Vanguard Brokerage Services.

What other stocks do shareholders of Geo Group own?

Based on aggregate information from My MarketBeat watchlists, some other companies that Geo Group investors own include Zomedica (ZOM), Humana (HUM), American Water Works (AWK), Voyager Therapeutics (VYGR), Waste Connections (WCN), The RMR Group (RMR) and DiamondRock Hospitality (DRH).

Company Calendar

• Last Earnings: 8/06/2025
• Today: 9/10/2025
• Next Earnings (Estimated): 11/06/2025
• Fiscal Year End: 12/31/2025

Industry, Sector and Symbol

• Stock Exchange: NYSE
• Sector: Business Services
• Industry: Government Services
• Sub-Industry: Specialized REITs
• Current Symbol: NYSE:GEO
• CIK: 923796
• Web: www.geogroup.com
• Phone: (561) 893-0101
• Fax: 972-581-2001
• Employees: 16,500
• Year Founded: N/A

Price Target and Rating

• Average Price Target for Geo Group: $37.00
• High Price Target: $45.00
• Low Price Target: $32.00
• Potential Upside/Downside: +73.5%
• Consensus Rating: Buy
• Rating Score (0-4): 3.00
• Research Coverage: 4 Analysts

Profitability

• EPS (Trailing Twelve Months): $0.65
• Trailing P/E Ratio: 32.81
• Forward P/E Ratio: 25.69
• P/E Growth: 2.34
• Net Income: $31.97 million
• Net Margins: 3.69%
• Pretax Margin: 4.88%
• Return on Equity: 7.26%
• Return on Assets: 2.68%

Debt

• Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 1.07
• Current Ratio: 0.90
• Quick Ratio: 0.90

Sales & Book Value

• Annual Sales: $2.42 billion
• Price / Sales: 1.25
• Cash Flow: $1.66 per share
• Price / Cash Flow: 12.81
• Book Value: $9.54 per share
• Price / Book: 2.24

Miscellaneous

• Outstanding Shares: 141,540,000
• Free Float: 134,034,000
• Market Cap: $3.02 billion
• Optionable: Optionable
• Beta: 0.75