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Rio Tinto (RIO) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Rio Tinto logo
$66.51 -0.47 (-0.70%)
As of 02:28 PM Eastern
This is a fair market value price provided by Polygon.io. Learn more.

Rio Tinto - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2025)

Consensus Rating

Sell
0
Hold
5
Buy
5

Based on 10 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Rio Tinto in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Out of the 10 analysts, 5 have given a hold rating, 3 have given a buy rating, and 2 have given a strong buy rating for RIO.

Consensus Price Target

$73.00
9.75% Upside
According to the 10 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Rio Tinto, the average price target is $73.00. The highest price target for RIO is $73.00, while the lowest price target for RIO is $73.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 9.75% from the current price of $66.51.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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RIO Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
10/7/24 to 10/7/25
1 Month Ago
9/7/24 to 9/7/25
3 Months Ago
7/9/24 to 7/9/25
1 Year Ago
10/8/23 to 10/7/24
Strong Buy
2 Strong Buy rating(s)
2 Strong Buy rating(s)
3 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
3 Buy rating(s)
3 Buy rating(s)
3 Buy rating(s)
5 Buy rating(s)
Hold
5 Hold rating(s)
4 Hold rating(s)
5 Hold rating(s)
3 Hold rating(s)
Sell
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$73.00$73.00$73.00N/A
Forecasted Upside9.75% Upside14.20% Upside24.21% UpsideN/A
Consensus RatingModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate Buy

RIO Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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RIO Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
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Rio Tinto Stock vs. The Competition

TypeRio TintoBasic Materials CompaniesS&P 500
Consensus Rating Score
2.70
2.58
2.51
Consensus RatingModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate Buy
Predicted Upside9.75% Upside212.82% Upside170.39% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent RIO News
Neutral News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
9/27/2025Weiss Ratings
0 of 5 stars
 Reiterated RatingHold (C)
7/30/2025Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft
2 of 5 stars
 DowngradeBuyHold
7/14/2025Morgan Stanley
3 of 5 stars
 Reiterated RatingOverweight
7/3/2025Berenberg Bank
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Reiterated RatingBuyHold
7/2/2025Barclays
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 Reiterated RatingOverweight
6/3/2025Jefferies Financial Group
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Reiterated RatingBuyHold
3/27/2025DZ Bank
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UpgradeHoldStrong-Buy
3/18/2025JPMorgan Chase & Co.
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 Initiated CoverageOverweight
2/28/2025Clarkson Capital
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UpgradeStrong-Buy
10/16/2024Macquarie
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 Reiterated RatingOutperformNeutral
7/31/2024Royal Bank Of Canada
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UpgradeHold
7/23/2024Hsbc Global Res
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UpgradeStrong-Buy
7/23/2024HSBC
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 UpgradeHoldBuy
5/20/2024Citigroup
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 DowngradeBuyNeutral
3/5/2024Liberum Capital
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 Reiterated RatingBuyHold
1/12/2024The Goldman Sachs Group
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 Initiated CoverageBuy
12/5/2023BNP Paribas
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 UpgradeNeutralOutperform

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Tuesday at 02:28 PM ET.


Should I Buy Rio Tinto Stock? RIO Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Monday, October 6, 2025. Please send any questions or comments about these Rio Tinto pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Rio Tinto
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Rio Tinto Group:

  • The current stock price is around $73.00, reflecting a positive outlook from analysts who have rated the stock with a "Moderate Buy" consensus.
  • Rio Tinto Group recently declared a substantial dividend of $1.48 per share, which represents a high yield, indicating strong cash flow and profitability.
  • The company has a relatively low dividend payout ratio of 45.74%, suggesting that it retains a significant portion of its earnings for reinvestment, which could fuel future growth.
  • Several analysts, including Morgan Stanley and Barclays, have reiterated an "overweight" rating, indicating confidence in the company's performance and potential for appreciation.
  • Rio Tinto Group operates in diverse segments such as Iron Ore, Aluminium, and Copper, which can provide stability and growth opportunities across different markets.

Rio Tinto
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Rio Tinto Group for these reasons:

  • Deutsche Bank recently downgraded Rio Tinto from a "buy" to a "hold" rating, which may indicate concerns about the company's short-term performance.
  • Despite the high dividend yield, the company's recent dividend cut could signal potential challenges in maintaining profitability in the future.
  • Market volatility in the commodities sector can impact Rio Tinto's revenue, as fluctuations in prices for iron ore and other minerals can lead to unpredictable earnings.
  • With five analysts rating the stock as a "Hold," there may be a lack of strong bullish sentiment, which could limit stock price appreciation.
  • Global economic uncertainties and potential regulatory changes in mining operations could pose risks to Rio Tinto's business model and profitability.

RIO Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 10 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Rio Tinto is $73.00, with a high forecast of $73.00 and a low forecast of $73.00.

10 Wall Street analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Rio Tinto in the last twelve months. There are currently 5 hold ratings, 3 buy ratings and 2 strong buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street analysts is that investors should "moderate buy" RIO shares.

According to analysts, Rio Tinto's stock has a predicted upside of 9.75% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Rio Tinto's stock had 1 downgrade by analysts.

Rio Tinto has been rated by research analysts at Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, Morgan Stanley, and Weiss Ratings in the past 90 days.

Analysts like Rio Tinto more than other "basic materials" companies. The consensus rating score for Rio Tinto is 2.70 while the average consensus rating score for "basic materials" companies is 2.58. Learn more on how RIO compares to other companies.


This page (NYSE:RIO) was last updated on 10/7/2025 by MarketBeat.com Staff
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