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Rio Tinto (RIO) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Rio Tinto logo
$63.44 -0.28 (-0.44%)
Closing price 03:59 PM Eastern
Extended Trading
$63.56 +0.13 (+0.20%)
As of 05:42 PM Eastern
Extended trading is trading that happens on electronic markets outside of regular trading hours. This is a fair market value extended hours price provided by Polygon.io. Learn more.
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Rio Tinto - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2025)

Consensus Rating

Moderate Buy
Based on 9 Analyst Ratings
Sell
0
Hold
4
Buy
5

Based on 9 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Rio Tinto in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Out of the 9 analysts, 4 have given a hold rating, 3 have given a buy rating, and 2 have given a strong buy rating for RIO.

Consensus Price Target

$73.00
15.07% Upside
According to the 9 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Rio Tinto, the average price target is $73.00. The highest price target for RIO is $73.00, while the lowest price target for RIO is $73.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 15.07% from the current price of $63.44.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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RIO Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
9/16/24 to 9/16/25		1 Month Ago
8/17/24 to 8/17/25		3 Months Ago
6/18/24 to 6/18/25		1 Year Ago
9/17/23 to 9/16/24
Strong Buy
2 Strong Buy rating(s)
2 Strong Buy rating(s)
3 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
3 Buy rating(s)
3 Buy rating(s)
4 Buy rating(s)
4 Buy rating(s)
Hold
4 Hold rating(s)
4 Hold rating(s)
4 Hold rating(s)
5 Hold rating(s)
Sell
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$73.00$73.00$73.00N/A
Forecasted Upside15.07% Upside19.26% Upside28.25% UpsideN/A
Consensus RatingModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate Buy

RIO Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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RIO Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

Rio Tinto Stock vs. The Competition

TypeRio TintoBasic Materials CompaniesS&P 500
Consensus Rating Score
2.78
2.70
2.53
Consensus RatingModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate Buy
Predicted Upside15.07% Upside255.77% Upside11.48% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent RIO News
Positive News
Positive News
Export to Excel
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside		Details
7/30/2025Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft
3 of 5 stars		 DowngradeBuy ➝ Hold
7/14/2025Morgan Stanley
3 of 5 stars		 Reiterated RatingOverweight
7/3/2025Berenberg Bank
2 of 5 stars
R. Hatch
Not Rated
Reiterated RatingBuy ➝ Hold
7/2/2025Barclays
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		 Reiterated RatingOverweight
6/3/2025Jefferies Financial Group
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Chris LaFemina
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Reiterated RatingBuy ➝ Hold
3/27/2025DZ Bank
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R. Czerwensky
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UpgradeHold ➝ Strong-Buy
3/18/2025JPMorgan Chase & Co.
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		 Initiated CoverageOverweight
2/28/2025Clarkson Capital
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R. Department
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UpgradeStrong-Buy
10/16/2024Macquarie
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		 Reiterated RatingOutperform ➝ Neutral
7/31/2024Royal Bank Of Canada
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K. Peker
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UpgradeHold
7/23/2024Hsbc Global Res
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S. Modi
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UpgradeStrong-Buy
7/23/2024HSBC
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		 UpgradeHold ➝ Buy
5/20/2024Citigroup
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		 DowngradeBuy ➝ Neutral
3/5/2024Liberum Capital
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		 Reiterated RatingBuy ➝ Hold
1/12/2024The Goldman Sachs Group
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		 Initiated CoverageBuy
12/5/2023BNP Paribas
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		 UpgradeNeutral ➝ Outperform
10/5/2023UBS Group
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		 UpgradeSell ➝ Neutral

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Tuesday at 05:34 PM ET.


Should I Buy Rio Tinto Stock? RIO Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Wednesday, September 10, 2025. Please send any questions or comments about these Rio Tinto pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Rio Tinto
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Rio Tinto Group:

  • The current stock price is around $72, which is close to its twelve-month high, indicating strong market performance.
  • Rio Tinto Group has a solid dividend yield of 620.0%, providing attractive returns for income-focused investors.
  • The company maintains a healthy payout ratio of 45.74%, suggesting it can sustain its dividend payments while still reinvesting in growth.
  • Several analysts have rated the stock as a "Moderate Buy," reflecting positive sentiment and potential for price appreciation.
  • Rio Tinto Group operates in diverse segments, including Iron Ore, Aluminium, and Copper, which can help mitigate risks associated with market fluctuations in any single commodity.

Rio Tinto
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Rio Tinto Group for these reasons:

  • Deutsche Bank recently downgraded the stock from a "buy" to a "hold" rating, indicating a more cautious outlook from analysts.
  • Market volatility in the commodities sector can impact Rio Tinto Group's profitability, especially if demand for key minerals declines.
  • Despite a strong dividend yield, the company's ability to maintain this yield may be challenged by fluctuating commodity prices.
  • Recent cuts to dividends may signal potential financial strain or a shift in corporate strategy that could concern investors.
  • With a consensus price target of $73, there may be limited upside potential in the near term, making it less attractive for growth-oriented investors.

RIO Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 9 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Rio Tinto is $73.00, with a high forecast of $73.00 and a low forecast of $73.00.

9 Wall Street analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Rio Tinto in the last year. There are currently 4 hold ratings, 3 buy ratings and 2 strong buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street analysts is that investors should "moderate buy" RIO shares.

According to analysts, Rio Tinto's stock has a predicted upside of 15.07% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Rio Tinto's stock had 1 downgrade by analysts.

Rio Tinto has been rated by research analysts at Barclays, Berenberg Bank, Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, and Morgan Stanley in the past 90 days.

Analysts like Rio Tinto more than other "basic materials" companies. The consensus rating score for Rio Tinto is 2.78 while the average consensus rating score for "basic materials" companies is 2.70. Learn more on how RIO compares to other companies.

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This page (NYSE:RIO) was last updated on 9/16/2025 by MarketBeat.com Staff
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