Rio Tinto Group (RIO) Stock Forecast & Price Target

$61.56 +0.45 (+0.73%)

Closing price 05/23/2025 03:59 PM Eastern

Extended Trading

$61.36 -0.20 (-0.32%)

As of 05/23/2025 07:56 PM Eastern

Rio Tinto Group - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2025)

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.

Consensus Rating

Buy

Based on 11 Analyst Ratings

Sell
0

Hold
3

Buy
8

Based on 11 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Rio Tinto Group in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Buy." Out of the 11 analysts, 3 have given a hold rating, 5 have given a buy rating, and 3 have given a strong buy rating for RIO.

Consensus Price Target

$73.00
18.57% Upside

According to the 11 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Rio Tinto Group, the average price target is $73.00. The highest price target for RIO is $73.00, while the lowest price target for RIO is $73.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 18.57% from the current price of $61.57.

Get the Latest News and Ratings for RIO and Related Stocks

Enter your email address to receive the latest news and analysts' ratings for Rio Tinto Group and its competitors.

RIO Analyst Ratings Over Time

Type	Current Forecast 5/25/24 to 5/25/25	1 Month Ago 4/25/24 to 4/25/25	3 Months Ago 2/25/24 to 2/24/25	1 Year Ago 5/26/23 to 5/25/24
Strong Buy	3 Strong Buy rating(s)	3 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy	5 Buy rating(s)	5 Buy rating(s)	3 Buy rating(s)	6 Buy rating(s)
Hold	3 Hold rating(s)	4 Hold rating(s)	4 Hold rating(s)	3 Hold rating(s)
Sell	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target	$73.00	$73.00	$73.00	$72.00
Forecasted Upside	18.57% Upside	20.50% Upside	16.49% Upside	0.21% Upside
Consensus Rating	Buy	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy

RIO Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.

RIO Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.

Rio Tinto Group Stock vs. The Competition

Type	Rio Tinto Group	Basic Materials Companies	S&P 500
Consensus Rating Score	3.00	2.77	2.54
Consensus Rating	Buy	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy
Predicted Upside	18.57% Upside	139.09% Upside	16.40% Upside
News Sentiment Rating	Positive News See Recent RIO News	Positive News	Positive News

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Rating

Upside/Downside

Action

Time Frame

Start Date

End Date

Show

Export to Excel

Date	Brokerage	Analyst Name	Action	Rating	Price Target	Upside/Downside on Report Date
4/16/2025	Barclays 3 of 5 stars		Reiterated Rating	Overweight ➝ Overweight
4/9/2025	Morgan Stanley 3 of 5 stars		Downgrade	Overweight ➝ Equal Weight
3/27/2025	DZ Bank 3 of 5 stars	R. Czerwensky Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Hold ➝ Strong-Buy
3/18/2025	JPMorgan Chase & Co. Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Initiated Coverage	Overweight
2/28/2025	Clarkson Capital Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	R. Department Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Strong-Buy
1/6/2025	Jefferies Financial Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Buy ➝ Buy	$83.00 ➝ $73.00	+24.57%
10/16/2024	Macquarie Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Reiterated Rating	Outperform ➝ Neutral
10/2/2024	Berenberg Bank Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	R. Hatch Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Hold ➝ Buy
7/31/2024	Royal Bank of Canada Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	K. Peker Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Hold
7/23/2024	Hsbc Global Res Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	S. Modi Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Strong-Buy
Get the Latest News and Ratings for RIO and Related Stocks Enter your email address below to receive the latest news and analysts' ratings for Rio Tinto Group and its competitors with MarketBeat's FREE daily newsletter.
7/23/2024	HSBC Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Hold ➝ Buy
5/20/2024	Citigroup Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Downgrade	Buy ➝ Neutral
3/5/2024	Liberum Capital Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Reiterated Rating	Buy ➝ Hold
1/12/2024	The Goldman Sachs Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Initiated Coverage	Buy
12/5/2023	BNP Paribas Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Neutral ➝ Outperform
10/5/2023	UBS Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Sell ➝ Neutral
6/28/2023	Argus Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target		$80.00 ➝ $72.00	+10.97%
6/5/2023	Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Hold ➝ Buy

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Sunday at 03:55 PM ET.

Should I Buy Rio Tinto Group Stock? RIO Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Friday, May 23, 2025. Please send any questions or comments about these Rio Tinto Group pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Rio Tinto Group
Bull Case

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Rio Tinto Group:

The current stock price is around $61.52, which may present a buying opportunity for investors looking for value in the mining sector.
Rio Tinto Group has received a consensus recommendation of "Buy" from eleven analysts, indicating strong market confidence in the company's future performance.
Recent upgrades from research firms, including a "strong-buy" rating from Clarkson Capital, suggest positive sentiment and potential for stock appreciation.
Institutional investors have been increasing their stakes in Rio Tinto Group, reflecting confidence in the company's growth prospects and stability.
The company has a solid market capitalization of approximately $77.14 billion, which indicates a strong position in the industry and the ability to weather market fluctuations.

Rio Tinto Group
Bear Case

Investors should be bearish about investing in Rio Tinto Group for these reasons:

The stock has a relatively low PE ratio of 9.54, which may indicate that the market has concerns about future earnings growth compared to its peers.
Recent downgrades, such as Morgan Stanley's shift from "overweight" to "equal weight," could signal potential challenges ahead for the company's stock performance.
With a beta of 0.73, the stock is less volatile than the market, which may limit potential gains during bullish market conditions.
Despite a strong market cap, the stock has experienced fluctuations, with a one-year low of $51.67, indicating potential risks for investors.
Analysts have mixed ratings, with three holding a "hold" rating, suggesting uncertainty about the stock's short-term performance.

RIO Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

: According to the research reports of 11 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Rio Tinto Group is $73.00, with a high forecast of $73.00 and a low forecast of $73.00.
: 11 Wall Street research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Rio Tinto Group in the last twelve months. There are currently 3 hold ratings, 5 buy ratings and 3 strong buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street research analysts is that investors should "buy" RIO shares.
: According to analysts, Rio Tinto Group's stock has a predicted upside of 18.57% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.
: Over the previous 90 days, Rio Tinto Group's stock had 2 upgrades and 1 downgrade by analysts.
: Rio Tinto Group has been rated by research analysts at Barclays, Clarkson Capital, DZ Bank, JPMorgan Chase & Co., and Morgan Stanley in the past 90 days.
: Analysts like Rio Tinto Group more than other "basic materials" companies. The consensus rating for Rio Tinto Group is Buy while the average consensus rating for "basic materials" companies is Moderate Buy. Learn more on how RIO compares to other companies.

Stock Forecasts and Research Tools

Related Companies

Today's Ratings

Top-Rated Stocks

More Ratings Tools

This page (NYSE:RIO) was last updated on 5/25/2025 by MarketBeat.com Staff

From Our Partners

Get 30 Days of MarketBeat All Access for Free

Start Your 30-Day Trial

In-depth profiles and analysis for 20,000 public companies.
Real-time analyst ratings, insider transactions, earnings data, and more.
Our daily ratings and market update email newsletter.

Sign In
Create Account

Your Email Address:

Your Password:

Forgot your password?

Your Email Address:

Choose a Password:

By creating a free account, you agree to our terms of service. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

Rio Tinto Group (RIO) Stock Forecast & Price Target