Rio Tinto (RIO) Stock Forecast & Price Target

$105.33 +2.22 (+2.16%)

Closing price 03:59 PM Eastern

Extended Trading

$104.98 -0.35 (-0.34%)

As of 07:47 PM Eastern

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Rio Tinto - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Hold

Based on 15 Analyst Ratings

Sell
0

Hold
11

Buy
4

Based on 15 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Rio Tinto in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 15 analysts, 11 have given a hold rating, and 4 have given a buy rating for RIO.

Consensus Price Target

$101.75
-3.40% Downside

According to the 15 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Rio Tinto, the average price target is $101.75. The highest price target for RIO is $120.00, while the lowest price target for RIO is $83.50. The average price target represents a forecasted downside of -3.40% from the current price of $105.33.

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.

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RIO Analyst Ratings Over Time

Type	Current Forecast 5/8/25 to 5/8/26	1 Month Ago 4/8/25 to 4/8/26	3 Months Ago 2/7/25 to 2/7/26	1 Year Ago 5/8/24 to 5/8/25
Strong Buy	0 Strong Buy rating(s)	0 Strong Buy rating(s)	3 Strong Buy rating(s)	3 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy	4 Buy rating(s)	4 Buy rating(s)	4 Buy rating(s)	4 Buy rating(s)
Hold	11 Hold rating(s)	11 Hold rating(s)	8 Hold rating(s)	4 Hold rating(s)
Sell	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target	$101.75	$81.00	$85.00	$73.00
Forecasted Upside	-3.40% Downside	-17.63% Downside	-9.01% Downside	23.43% Upside
Consensus Rating	Hold	Hold	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy

RIO Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.

RIO Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.

Rio Tinto Stock vs. The Competition

Type	Rio Tinto	Basic Materials Companies	S&P 500
Consensus Rating Score	2.27	2.56	2.52
Consensus Rating	Hold	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy
Predicted Upside	-2.89% Downside	146.14% Upside	15.31% Upside
News Sentiment Rating	Neutral News See Recent RIO News	Positive News	Positive News

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Rating

Upside/Downside

Action

Time Frame

Start Date

End Date

Show

Export

Date	Brokerage	Analyst	Action	Rating	Price Target	Report Date Upside/Downside
4/27/2026	Argus 3 of 5 stars		Set Target		$120.00	+20.49%
4/27/2026	Sanford C. Bernstein 4 of 5 stars	Bob Brackett Not Rated	Boost Target	Outperform	$82.00 ➝ $83.50	-16.21%
4/13/2026	Citigroup 4 of 5 stars		Reiterated Rating	Neutral
4/7/2026	Zacks Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Downgrade	Strong-Buy ➝ Hold
3/9/2026	JPMorgan Chase & Co. Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Dominic O'Kane Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Downgrade	Overweight ➝ Neutral
2/24/2026	Barclays Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Amos Fletcher Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Downgrade	Overweight ➝ Equal Weight
2/20/2026	Weiss Ratings Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Hold (C) ➝ Buy (B-)
2/20/2026	DZ Bank Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Downgrade	Strong-Buy ➝ Hold
1/28/2026	Morgan Stanley Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Downgrade	Overweight ➝ Equal Weight
1/26/2026	HSBC Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Downgrade	Buy ➝ Hold
Get the Latest News and Ratings for RIO and Related Stocks Enter your email address below to receive the latest news and analysts' ratings for Rio Tinto and its competitors with MarketBeat's FREE daily newsletter.
1/23/2026	Erste Group Bank Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Hold ➝ Buy
1/22/2026	Royal Bank Of Canada Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Reiterated Rating	Sector Perform
7/30/2025	Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Downgrade	Buy ➝ Hold
7/3/2025	Berenberg Bank Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Richard Hatch Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Reiterated Rating	Buy ➝ Hold
6/3/2025	Jefferies Financial Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Chris LaFemina Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Reiterated Rating	Buy ➝ Hold
2/28/2025	Clarkson Capital Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	R. Department Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Strong-Buy
10/16/2024	Macquarie Infrastructure Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Reiterated Rating	Outperform ➝ Neutral

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Friday at 08:52 PM ET.

Should I Buy Rio Tinto Stock? RIO Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Thursday, May 7, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Rio Tinto pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Rio Tinto
Bull Case

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Rio Tinto Group:

The current stock price is around $99.80, reflecting strong market performance and investor interest.
Rio Tinto Group has recently announced a significant dividend of $2.54 per share, which indicates a robust return on investment for shareholders.
Analysts have expressed a generally positive outlook, with several upgrades and a consensus rating of "Hold," suggesting stability in the stock.
The company has extended its partnership with Clontarf, supporting community programs, which enhances its social license and strengthens community relationships.
Recent strong share momentum and improved valuation metrics indicate bullish technicals, with the 50-day moving average surpassing the 200-day moving average.

Rio Tinto
Bear Case

Investors should be bearish about investing in Rio Tinto Group for these reasons:

Recent workplace incidents, including a reported fatality, may lead to operational scrutiny and potential reputational risks, which could negatively impact stock performance.
Commodity price fluctuations and project timelines have created mixed views among analysts, leading to uncertainty in near-term guidance for the stock.
HSBC downgraded Rio Tinto Group from a "buy" to a "hold" rating, indicating a cautious approach from some analysts regarding future performance.
The company's recent joint venture in Angola for diamond mining, while diversifying its portfolio, may not significantly affect near-term earnings.
Despite a strong dividend, the overall market sentiment remains cautious, which could affect investor confidence in the stock's future growth.

RIO Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 15 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Rio Tinto is $101.75, with a high forecast of $120.00 and a low forecast of $83.50.

15 Wall Street research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Rio Tinto in the last year. There are currently 11 hold ratings and 4 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street research analysts is that investors should "hold" RIO shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in RIO, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, Rio Tinto's stock has a predicted downside of -3.40% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Rio Tinto's stock had 4 downgrades and 2 upgrades by analysts.

Rio Tinto has been rated by research analysts at Argus, Barclays, Citigroup, DZ Bank, JPMorgan Chase & Co., Sanford C. Bernstein, Weiss Ratings, and Zacks Research in the past 90 days.

Analysts like Rio Tinto less than other "basic materials" companies. The consensus rating for Rio Tinto is Hold while the average consensus rating for "basic materials" companies is Moderate Buy. Learn more on how RIO compares to other companies.

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This page (NYSE:RIO) was last updated on 5/8/2026 by MarketBeat.com Staff.

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Rio Tinto (RIO) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Rio Tinto - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Consensus Price Target

RIO Analyst Ratings Over Time

RIO Analyst Recommendations By Month

RIO Price Targets by Month

Rio Tinto Stock vs. The Competition

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Should I Buy Rio Tinto Stock? RIO Pros and Cons Explained

Rio Tinto
Bull Case

Rio Tinto
Bear Case

RIO Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

Stock Forecasts and Research Tools

Today's Analyst Ratings

Top-Rated Stocks

More Ratings Tools

Brokerages With Rio Tinto Recommendations

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Rio Tinto (RIO) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Rio Tinto - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Consensus Price Target

RIO Analyst Ratings Over Time

RIO Analyst Recommendations By Month

RIO Price Targets by Month

Rio Tinto Stock vs. The Competition

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Should I Buy Rio Tinto Stock? RIO Pros and Cons Explained

Rio Tinto Bull Case

Rio Tinto Bear Case

RIO Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

What is Rio Tinto's forecast for 2026?

Should I buy or sell Rio Tinto stock right now?

Does Rio Tinto's stock price have much downside?

Has Rio Tinto been upgraded or downgraded by Wall Street analysts recently?

What analysts cover Rio Tinto?

Do Wall Street analysts like Rio Tinto more than its competitors?

Stock Forecasts and Research Tools

Today's Analyst Ratings

Top-Rated Stocks

More Ratings Tools

Brokerages With Rio Tinto Recommendations

MarketBeat All Access Features

Best-in-Class Portfolio Monitoring

Stock Ideas and Recommendations

Advanced Stock Screeners and Research Tools

Rio Tinto
Bull Case

Rio Tinto
Bear Case