Rio Tinto Group (RIO) Stock Forecast & Price Target

$59.66 +1.11 (+1.90%)

Closing price 05/2/2025 03:59 PM Eastern

Extended Trading

$59.86 +0.21 (+0.34%)

As of 05/2/2025 08:00 PM Eastern

Rio Tinto Group - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2025)

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.

Consensus Rating

Moderate Buy

Based on 12 Analyst Ratings

Sell
0

Hold
4

Buy
8

Based on 12 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Rio Tinto Group in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Out of the 12 analysts, 4 have given a hold rating, 5 have given a buy rating, and 3 have given a strong buy rating for RIO.

Consensus Price Target

$73.00
22.36% Upside

According to the 12 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Rio Tinto Group, the average price target is $73.00. The highest price target for RIO is $73.00, while the lowest price target for RIO is $73.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 22.36% from the current price of $59.66.

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RIO Analyst Ratings Over Time

Type	Current Forecast 5/4/24 to 5/4/25	1 Month Ago 4/4/24 to 4/4/25	3 Months Ago 2/4/24 to 2/3/25	1 Year Ago 5/5/23 to 5/4/24
Strong Buy	3 Strong Buy rating(s)	3 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy	5 Buy rating(s)	4 Buy rating(s)	3 Buy rating(s)	8 Buy rating(s)
Hold	4 Hold rating(s)	3 Hold rating(s)	4 Hold rating(s)	2 Hold rating(s)
Sell	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target	$73.00	$73.00	$73.00	$72.00
Forecasted Upside	22.36% Upside	33.57% Upside	21.98% Upside	4.44% Upside
Consensus Rating	Moderate Buy	Buy	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy

RIO Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.

RIO Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.

Rio Tinto Group Stock vs. The Competition

Type	Rio Tinto Group	Basic Materials Companies	S&P 500
Consensus Rating Score	2.92	2.78	2.54
Consensus Rating	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy
Predicted Upside	22.36% Upside	152.41% Upside	17.54% Upside
News Sentiment Rating	Positive News See Recent RIO News	Positive News	Positive News

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Rating

Upside/Downside

Action

Time Frame

Start Date

End Date

Show

Export to Excel

Date	Brokerage	Analyst Name	Action	Rating	Price Target	Upside/Downside on Report Date
4/16/2025	Barclays 3 of 5 stars		Reiterated Rating	Overweight ➝ Overweight
4/9/2025	Morgan Stanley 3 of 5 stars		Downgrade	Overweight ➝ Equal Weight
3/27/2025	DZ Bank 3 of 5 stars	R. Czerwensky Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Hold ➝ Strong-Buy
3/18/2025	JPMorgan Chase & Co. Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Initiated Coverage	Overweight
2/28/2025	Clarkson Capital Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	R. Department Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Strong-Buy
1/6/2025	Jefferies Financial Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Buy ➝ Buy	$83.00 ➝ $73.00	+24.57%
10/16/2024	Macquarie Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Reiterated Rating	Outperform ➝ Neutral
10/2/2024	Berenberg Bank Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	R. Hatch Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Hold ➝ Buy
7/31/2024	Royal Bank of Canada Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	K. Peker Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Hold
7/23/2024	Hsbc Global Res Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	S. Modi Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Strong-Buy
Get the Latest News and Ratings for RIO and Related Stocks Enter your email address below to receive the latest news and analysts' ratings for Rio Tinto Group and its competitors with MarketBeat's FREE daily newsletter.
7/23/2024	HSBC Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Hold ➝ Buy
5/20/2024	Citigroup Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Downgrade	Buy ➝ Neutral
3/5/2024	Liberum Capital Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Reiterated Rating	Buy ➝ Hold
1/12/2024	The Goldman Sachs Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Initiated Coverage	Buy
12/5/2023	BNP Paribas Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Neutral ➝ Outperform
10/5/2023	UBS Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Sell ➝ Neutral
6/28/2023	Argus Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target		$80.00 ➝ $72.00	+10.97%
6/5/2023	Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Hold ➝ Buy
5/5/2023	Sanford C. Bernstein Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Market Perform ➝ Outperform

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Sunday at 05:36 PM ET.

Should I Buy Rio Tinto Group Stock? RIO Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Saturday, April 19, 2025. Please send any questions or comments about these Rio Tinto Group pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Rio Tinto Group
Bull Case

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Rio Tinto Group:

The current stock price is around $58, which is significantly lower than its 1-year high of $74.24, potentially offering a buying opportunity for investors looking for value.
Rio Tinto Group recently increased its semi-annual dividend to $2.23 per share, up from $1.77, reflecting a commitment to returning value to shareholders.
The company has a strong dividend yield of 7%, which can provide a steady income stream for investors, especially in a low-interest-rate environment.
Analysts have a consensus rating of "Buy" for Rio Tinto Group, indicating positive sentiment and potential for price appreciation based on recent upgrades from several brokerages.
Rio Tinto Group has a solid market capitalization of approximately $73.14 billion, which suggests stability and the ability to invest in growth opportunities.

Rio Tinto Group
Bear Case

Investors should be bearish about investing in Rio Tinto Group for these reasons:

Despite the recent dividend increase, the company's dividend payout ratio is 69.15%, which may raise concerns about sustainability if earnings do not grow.
Recent downgrades from some analysts, such as Morgan Stanley, indicate a cautious outlook on the stock, which could affect investor confidence.
The stock has experienced volatility, with a 1-year low of $51.67, suggesting potential risks for investors who may be sensitive to price fluctuations.
Institutional ownership is at 19.33%, which may indicate a lack of strong institutional support compared to other companies in the sector.
The company's price-to-earnings ratio of 9.05, while attractive, may also suggest that the stock is undervalued, which could be a red flag if the market sentiment shifts.

RIO Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

: According to the research reports of 12 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Rio Tinto Group is $73.00, with a high forecast of $73.00 and a low forecast of $73.00.
: 12 Wall Street research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Rio Tinto Group in the last year. There are currently 4 hold ratings, 5 buy ratings and 3 strong buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street research analysts is that investors should "moderate buy" RIO shares.
: According to analysts, Rio Tinto Group's stock has a predicted upside of 22.36% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.
: Over the previous 90 days, Rio Tinto Group's stock had 2 upgrades and 1 downgrade by analysts.
: Rio Tinto Group has been rated by research analysts at Barclays, Clarkson Capital, DZ Bank, JPMorgan Chase & Co., and Morgan Stanley in the past 90 days.
: Analysts like Rio Tinto Group more than other "basic materials" companies. The consensus rating score for Rio Tinto Group is 2.92 while the average consensus rating score for "basic materials" companies is 2.78. Learn more on how RIO compares to other companies.

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This page (NYSE:RIO) was last updated on 5/4/2025 by MarketBeat.com Staff

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Rio Tinto Group (RIO) Stock Forecast & Price Target