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Rio Tinto (RIO) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Rio Tinto logo
$58.35 -0.39 (-0.66%)
As of 03:58 PM Eastern

Rio Tinto - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2025)

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.

Consensus Rating

Sell
0
Hold
4
Buy
7

Based on 11 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Rio Tinto in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Out of the 11 analysts, 4 have given a hold rating, 4 have given a buy rating, and 3 have given a strong buy rating for RIO.

Consensus Price Target

$73.00
25.11% Upside
According to the 11 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Rio Tinto, the average price target is $73.00. The highest price target for RIO is $73.00, while the lowest price target for RIO is $73.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 25.11% from the current price of $58.35.
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RIO Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
6/30/24 to 6/30/25
1 Month Ago
5/31/24 to 5/31/25
3 Months Ago
4/1/24 to 4/1/25
1 Year Ago
7/1/23 to 6/30/24
Strong Buy
3 Strong Buy rating(s)
3 Strong Buy rating(s)
3 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
4 Buy rating(s)
5 Buy rating(s)
4 Buy rating(s)
4 Buy rating(s)
Hold
4 Hold rating(s)
3 Hold rating(s)
3 Hold rating(s)
4 Hold rating(s)
Sell
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$73.00$73.00$73.00N/A
Forecasted Upside25.11% Upside22.81% Upside21.07% UpsideN/A
Consensus Rating
Moderate Buy
Buy
Buy
Moderate Buy

RIO Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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RIO Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
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Rio Tinto Stock vs. The Competition

TypeRio TintoBasic Materials CompaniesS&P 500
Consensus Rating Score
2.91
2.76
2.53
Consensus RatingModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate Buy
Predicted Upside25.11% Upside270.93% Upside12.11% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent RIO News
Positive News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalyst NameActionRatingPrice TargetUpside/Downside on Report DateDetails
6/3/2025Jefferies Financial Group
2 of 5 stars
Chris LaFemina
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Reiterated RatingBuy ➝ Hold
4/16/2025Barclays
3 of 5 stars
 Reiterated RatingOverweight ➝ Overweight
4/9/2025Morgan Stanley
3 of 5 stars
 DowngradeOverweight ➝ Equal Weight
3/27/2025DZ Bank
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R. Czerwensky
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UpgradeHold ➝ Strong-Buy
3/18/2025JPMorgan Chase & Co.
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 Initiated CoverageOverweight
2/28/2025Clarkson Capital
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R. Department
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UpgradeStrong-Buy
10/16/2024Macquarie
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 Reiterated RatingOutperform ➝ Neutral
10/2/2024Berenberg Bank
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R. Hatch
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UpgradeHold ➝ Buy
7/31/2024Royal Bank Of Canada
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K. Peker
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UpgradeHold
7/23/2024Hsbc Global Res
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S. Modi
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UpgradeStrong-Buy
7/23/2024HSBC
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 UpgradeHold ➝ Buy
5/20/2024Citigroup
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 DowngradeBuy ➝ Neutral
3/5/2024Liberum Capital
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 Reiterated RatingBuy ➝ Hold
1/12/2024The Goldman Sachs Group
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 Initiated CoverageBuy
12/5/2023BNP Paribas
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 UpgradeNeutral ➝ Outperform
10/5/2023UBS Group
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 UpgradeSell ➝ Neutral

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Monday at 11:39 PM ET.


Should I Buy Rio Tinto Stock? RIO Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Monday, June 30, 2025. Please send any questions or comments about these Rio Tinto pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Rio Tinto
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Rio Tinto Group:

  • The current stock price is around $58.65, which may present a buying opportunity for investors looking for value in the mining sector.
  • Rio Tinto Group has received multiple upgrades from analysts, including a "strong-buy" rating from DZ Bank, indicating positive sentiment and potential for growth.
  • Institutional investors hold 19.33% of the stock, suggesting confidence in the company's stability and future performance.
  • The company has a solid market capitalization of approximately $73.64 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the mining industry.
  • Rio Tinto Group operates in diverse segments, including Iron Ore and Aluminium, which can help mitigate risks associated with market fluctuations in any single commodity.

Rio Tinto
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Rio Tinto Group for these reasons:

  • The stock has experienced a decline of about 0.3% recently, which may indicate short-term volatility and investor uncertainty.
  • Several analysts have issued hold ratings, suggesting that there may be limited upside potential in the near term.
  • With a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.23, while relatively low, any increase in debt could impact financial stability and investor confidence.
  • Recent trading volumes have been below average, which may indicate reduced investor interest and liquidity concerns.
  • Market conditions for mining companies can be unpredictable, influenced by global economic factors that may affect commodity prices.

RIO Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 11 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Rio Tinto is $73.00, with a high forecast of $73.00 and a low forecast of $73.00.

11 Wall Street research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Rio Tinto in the last twelve months. There are currently 4 hold ratings, 4 buy ratings and 3 strong buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street research analysts is that investors should "moderate buy" RIO shares.

According to analysts, Rio Tinto's stock has a predicted upside of 25.11% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Rio Tinto's stock had 1 downgrade by analysts.

Rio Tinto has been rated by research analysts at Barclays, Jefferies Financial Group, and Morgan Stanley in the past 90 days.

Analysts like Rio Tinto more than other "basic materials" companies. The consensus rating score for Rio Tinto is 2.91 while the average consensus rating score for "basic materials" companies is 2.76. Learn more on how RIO compares to other companies.


This page (NYSE:RIO) was last updated on 6/30/2025 by MarketBeat.com Staff
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