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Rio Tinto (RIO) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Rio Tinto logo
$68.21 +0.05 (+0.08%)
Closing price 03:59 PM Eastern
Extended Trading
$68.48 +0.27 (+0.40%)
As of 07:46 PM Eastern
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Rio Tinto - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2025)

Consensus Rating

Sell
0
Hold
5
Buy
6

Based on 11 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Rio Tinto in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Out of the 11 analysts, 5 have given a hold rating, 3 have given a buy rating, and 3 have given a strong buy rating for RIO.

Consensus Price Target

$73.00
7.02% Upside
According to the 11 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Rio Tinto, the average price target is $73.00. The highest price target for RIO is $73.00, while the lowest price target for RIO is $73.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 7.02% from the current price of $68.21.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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RIO Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
10/14/24 to 10/14/25
1 Month Ago
9/14/24 to 9/14/25
3 Months Ago
7/16/24 to 7/16/25
1 Year Ago
10/15/23 to 10/14/24
Strong Buy
3 Strong Buy rating(s)
2 Strong Buy rating(s)
3 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
3 Buy rating(s)
3 Buy rating(s)
4 Buy rating(s)
5 Buy rating(s)
Hold
5 Hold rating(s)
4 Hold rating(s)
4 Hold rating(s)
3 Hold rating(s)
Sell
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$73.00$73.00$73.00N/A
Forecasted Upside7.02% Upside17.01% Upside22.21% UpsideN/A
Consensus RatingModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate Buy

RIO Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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RIO Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
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Rio Tinto Stock vs. The Competition

TypeRio TintoBasic Materials CompaniesS&P 500
Consensus Rating Score
2.82
2.58
2.52
Consensus RatingModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate Buy
Predicted Upside7.02% Upside204.63% Upside12.88% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent RIO News
Positive News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
10/8/2025Morgan Stanley
3 of 5 stars
 Reiterated RatingOverweight
10/8/2025Weiss Ratings
0 of 5 stars
 Reiterated RatingHold (C)
10/6/2025Zacks Research
0 of 5 stars
 UpgradeHoldStrong-Buy
7/30/2025Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft
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 DowngradeBuyHold
7/3/2025Berenberg Bank
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Reiterated RatingBuyHold
7/2/2025Barclays
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 Reiterated RatingOverweight
6/3/2025Jefferies Financial Group
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Reiterated RatingBuyHold
3/27/2025DZ Bank
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UpgradeHoldStrong-Buy
3/18/2025JPMorgan Chase & Co.
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 Initiated CoverageOverweight
2/28/2025Clarkson Capital
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UpgradeStrong-Buy
10/16/2024Macquarie
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 Reiterated RatingOutperformNeutral
7/31/2024Royal Bank Of Canada
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UpgradeHold
7/23/2024Hsbc Global Res
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UpgradeStrong-Buy
7/23/2024HSBC
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 UpgradeHoldBuy
5/20/2024Citigroup
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 DowngradeBuyNeutral
3/5/2024Liberum Capital
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 Reiterated RatingBuyHold
1/12/2024The Goldman Sachs Group
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 Initiated CoverageBuy
12/5/2023BNP Paribas
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 UpgradeNeutralOutperform

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Wednesday at 12:53 AM ET.


Should I Buy Rio Tinto Stock? RIO Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Tuesday, October 14, 2025. Please send any questions or comments about these Rio Tinto pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Rio Tinto
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Rio Tinto Group:

  • The current stock price is around $73.00, which reflects a positive market sentiment and potential for growth.
  • Rio Tinto Group recently paid a substantial dividend of $1.48 per share, indicating strong cash flow and commitment to returning value to shareholders.
  • The company has a relatively low dividend payout ratio of 45.74%, suggesting that it retains a significant portion of its earnings for reinvestment, which can fuel future growth.
  • Several analysts have upgraded their ratings on Rio Tinto Group, with a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy," indicating confidence in the company's performance.
  • Rio Tinto Group operates in multiple segments, including Iron Ore and Aluminium, which diversifies its revenue streams and reduces reliance on any single market.

Rio Tinto
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Rio Tinto Group for these reasons:

  • Despite recent upgrades, some analysts have downgraded their ratings, which may indicate concerns about future performance.
  • The company faces market volatility, particularly in commodity prices, which can impact profitability and stock performance.
  • With a significant portion of its operations in mining, Rio Tinto Group is subject to regulatory and environmental challenges that could affect its operations.
  • Recent market trends show fluctuations in demand for minerals, which could impact revenue stability in the short term.
  • Investors may be cautious due to the overall economic climate, which can influence investment decisions in the mining sector.

RIO Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 11 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Rio Tinto is $73.00, with a high forecast of $73.00 and a low forecast of $73.00.

11 Wall Street research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Rio Tinto in the last twelve months. There are currently 5 hold ratings, 3 buy ratings and 3 strong buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street research analysts is that investors should "moderate buy" RIO shares.

According to analysts, Rio Tinto's stock has a predicted upside of 7.02% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Rio Tinto's stock had 1 upgrade and 1 downgrade by analysts.

Rio Tinto has been rated by research analysts at Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, Morgan Stanley, Weiss Ratings, and Zacks Research in the past 90 days.

Analysts like Rio Tinto more than other "basic materials" companies. The consensus rating score for Rio Tinto is 2.82 while the average consensus rating score for "basic materials" companies is 2.58. Learn more on how RIO compares to other companies.


This page (NYSE:RIO) was last updated on 10/14/2025 by MarketBeat.com Staff
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