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Vale (VALE) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Vale logo
$10.67 +0.04 (+0.41%)
Closing price 09/12/2025 03:59 PM Eastern
Extended Trading
$10.68 +0.01 (+0.10%)
As of 09/12/2025 07:50 PM Eastern
Extended trading is trading that happens on electronic markets outside of regular trading hours. This is a fair market value extended hours price provided by Polygon.io. Learn more.
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Vale - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2025)

Consensus Rating

Hold
Based on 12 Analyst Ratings
Sell
1
Hold
5
Buy
6

Based on 12 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Vale in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 12 analysts, 1 has given a sell rating, 5 have given a hold rating, and 6 have given a buy rating for VALE.

Consensus Price Target

$11.71
9.71% Upside
According to the 12 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Vale, the average price target is $11.71. The highest price target for VALE is $13.50, while the lowest price target for VALE is $10.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 9.71% from the current price of $10.67.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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VALE Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
9/14/24 to 9/14/25		1 Month Ago
8/15/24 to 8/15/25		3 Months Ago
6/16/24 to 6/16/25		1 Year Ago
9/15/23 to 9/14/24
Strong Buy
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
6 Buy rating(s)
5 Buy rating(s)
5 Buy rating(s)
7 Buy rating(s)
Hold
5 Hold rating(s)
5 Hold rating(s)
6 Hold rating(s)
4 Hold rating(s)
Sell
1 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$11.71$11.84$12.04$16.72
Forecasted Upside9.71% Upside19.52% Upside22.91% Upside59.11% Upside
Consensus RatingHoldModerate BuyHoldModerate Buy

VALE Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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VALE Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
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Vale Stock vs. The Competition

TypeValeBasic Materials CompaniesS&P 500
Consensus Rating Score
2.42
2.70
2.53
Consensus RatingHoldModerate BuyModerate Buy
Predicted Upside9.71% Upside264.20% Upside10.72% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent VALE News
Positive News
Positive News
Export to Excel
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside		Details
9/9/2025Zacks Research
0 of 5 stars		 DowngradeHold ➝ Strong Sell
9/4/2025JPMorgan Chase & Co.
2 of 5 stars
Rodolfo Angele
Rodolfo Angele
Not Rated
Lower TargetOverweight$15.00 ➝ $13.50+32.29%
9/3/2025Clarkson Capital
5 of 5 stars		 Initiated CoverageBuy$12.00+18.05%
8/4/2025UBS Group
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Myles Allsop
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Reiterated RatingNeutral$9.00 ➝ $10.00+1.61%
7/22/2025Scotiabank
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Alfonso Salazar
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Lower TargetSector Perform$13.00 ➝ $12.50+20.37%
7/2/2025Barclays
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Amos Fletcher
Amos Fletcher
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Boost TargetOverweight$12.75 ➝ $13.00+26.53%
5/12/2025CICC Research
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		 Initiated CoverageOutperform$11.30+18.02%
4/17/2025Royal Bank Of Canada
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Marina Calero
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Reiterated RatingOutperform ➝ Sector Perform$12.00 ➝ $11.00+22.22%
4/10/2025Bank of America
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Caio Ribeiro
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UpgradeNeutral ➝ Buy$11.00 ➝ $11.50+29.87%
1/8/2025Wolfe Research
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T. Tanners
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UpgradeUnderperform ➝ Peer Perform
1/6/2025Jefferies Financial Group
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		 Lower TargetBuy$14.00 ➝ $11.00+27.46%
12/12/2024Morgan Stanley
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		 DowngradeOverweight ➝ Equal Weight$14.50 ➝ $11.30+14.95%
6/21/2024BNP Paribas
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A. Spence
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UpgradeUnderperform ➝ Neutral
4/4/2024Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		 Lower TargetHold$18.00 ➝ $16.00+32.40%
11/21/2023The Goldman Sachs Group
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		 UpgradeNeutral ➝ Buy$12.20 ➝ $19.50+24.60%
10/30/2023Citigroup
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		 UpgradeNeutral ➝ Buy$14.00 ➝ $16.00+16.19%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Sunday at 10:57 AM ET.


Should I Buy Vale Stock? VALE Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Thursday, September 11, 2025. Please send any questions or comments about these Vale pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Vale
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Vale S.A.:

  • The current stock price is around $10.51, which may present a buying opportunity for investors looking for value in the market.
  • Vale S.A. reported earnings per share of $0.50, exceeding analysts' expectations, indicating strong financial performance and potential for growth.
  • Analysts have given Vale S.A. an average rating of "Moderate Buy," suggesting positive sentiment and potential upside in the stock price.
  • The company has a solid market capitalization of approximately $47.68 billion, reflecting its stability and presence in the industry.
  • Vale S.A. has a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, which indicates a manageable level of debt compared to its equity, reducing financial risk for investors.

Vale
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Vale S.A. for these reasons:

  • Vale S.A. has recently cut its dividend, which may signal financial caution and could be a concern for income-focused investors.
  • The company’s revenue for the last quarter fell short of expectations, which may indicate challenges in maintaining sales growth.
  • Analysts have varying price targets, with some as low as $10.00, suggesting uncertainty about the stock's future performance.
  • Vale S.A. operates in a volatile industry, which can be affected by fluctuations in commodity prices, impacting profitability.
  • The stock has a beta of 0.79, indicating lower volatility compared to the market, but this may also limit potential high returns for aggressive investors.

VALE Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 12 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Vale is $11.71, with a high forecast of $13.50 and a low forecast of $10.00.

12 Wall Street equities research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Vale in the last twelve months. There is currently 1 sell rating, 5 hold ratings and 6 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street equities research analysts is that investors should "hold" VALE shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in VALE, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, Vale's stock has a predicted upside of 9.71% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Vale's stock had 1 downgrade by analysts.

Vale has been rated by research analysts at Barclays, Clarkson Capital, JPMorgan Chase & Co., Scotiabank, UBS Group, and Zacks Research in the past 90 days.

Analysts like Vale less than other "basic materials" companies. The consensus rating for Vale is Hold while the average consensus rating for "basic materials" companies is Moderate Buy. Learn more on how VALE compares to other companies.

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This page (NYSE:VALE) was last updated on 9/14/2025 by MarketBeat.com Staff
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