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Vale (VALE) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Vale logo
$14.20 +0.01 (+0.09%)
Closing price 07/17/2026 03:59 PM Eastern
Extended Trading
$14.29 +0.09 (+0.61%)
As of 07:31 AM Eastern
Extended trading is trading that happens on electronic markets outside of regular trading hours. This is a fair market value extended hours price provided by Massive. Learn more.

Vale - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
0
Hold
8
Buy
7

Based on 15 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Vale in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Out of the 15 analysts, 8 have given a hold rating, 6 have given a buy rating, and 1 has given a strong buy rating for VALE.

Consensus Price Target

$16.54
16.44% Upside
According to the 15 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Vale, the average price target is $16.54. The highest price target for VALE is $21.00, while the lowest price target for VALE is $12.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 16.44% from the current price of $14.20.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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VALE Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
7/20/25 to 7/20/26
1 Month Ago
6/20/25 to 6/20/26
3 Months Ago
4/21/25 to 4/21/26
1 Year Ago
7/20/24 to 7/20/25
Strong Buy
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
6 Buy rating(s)
7 Buy rating(s)
8 Buy rating(s)
5 Buy rating(s)
Hold
8 Hold rating(s)
7 Hold rating(s)
6 Hold rating(s)
5 Hold rating(s)
Sell
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$16.54$16.85$16.02$11.79
Forecasted Upside16.44% Upside9.14% Upside-8.10% Downside20.42% Upside
Consensus RatingModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate Buy

VALE Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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VALE Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
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Vale Stock vs. The Competition

TypeValeBasic Materials CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
2.53
2.59
2.52
Consensus RatingModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate Buy
Predicted Upside16.44% Upside166.50% Upside14.09% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent VALE News
Positive News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
7/9/2026
Timna Tanners
Timna Tanners
Not Rated
Lower TargetEqual Weight$16.00 ➝ $15.00+6.57%
7/8/2026
Weiss Ratings logo
Weiss Ratings
5 of 5 stars
 Reiterated RatingHold (C)
7/8/2026
Morgan Stanley logo
Morgan Stanley
3 of 5 stars
Carlos De Alba
4 of 5 stars
Reiterated RatingOverweightEqual Weight$19.50 ➝ $16.50+12.28%
6/15/2026Set Target$19.00+16.82%
6/15/2026 Reiterated RatingSector Perform
6/12/2026Boost TargetOverweight$19.50 ➝ $21.00+34.70%
5/15/2026 Reiterated RatingHold$18.00+11.29%
4/2/2026UpgradeNeutralBuy$18.00 ➝ $19.00+18.26%
3/27/2026Boost TargetNeutral$12.00 ➝ $16.00+5.30%
3/2/2026Boost TargetOverweight$15.50 ➝ $16.50-2.01%
2/5/2026 DowngradeStrong-BuyHold
1/30/2026Boost TargetBuy$13.80 ➝ $18.00+6.41%
11/3/2025Set TargetBuy$15.00+24.02%
10/17/2025 Boost TargetBuy$12.25 ➝ $13.50+21.51%
9/3/2025 Initiated CoverageBuy$12.00+18.05%
5/12/2025 Initiated CoverageOutperform$11.30+18.02%
1/8/2025UpgradeUnderperformPeer Perform

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Monday at 07:38 AM ET.


Should I Buy Vale Stock? VALE Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Friday, July 17, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Vale pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Vale
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Vale S.A.:

  • Vale S.A. is one of the world's largest producers of iron ore, which is a critical commodity in the global steel industry, ensuring a strong demand for its products.
  • The company has a diverse portfolio, producing not only iron ore but also nickel, copper, coal, and other metals, which helps mitigate risks associated with reliance on a single commodity.
  • Vale S.A. operates extensive logistics assets, including rail and port facilities, enhancing its operational efficiency and reducing costs associated with transportation.
  • The current stock price is around $15, reflecting a stable position in the market, which may attract investors looking for value opportunities.
  • Recent SEC filings indicate an increase in institutional ownership, suggesting growing confidence among major investors in Vale S.A.'s future performance.

Vale
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Vale S.A. for these reasons:

  • Fluctuations in commodity prices can significantly impact Vale S.A.'s revenue, making it vulnerable to market volatility.
  • Environmental regulations and concerns regarding mining operations may lead to increased operational costs or restrictions, affecting profitability.
  • Vale S.A. faces competition from other mining companies, which could pressure market share and pricing strategies.
  • Geopolitical risks in the regions where Vale S.A. operates could disrupt operations and impact supply chains.
  • Recent market trends show a shift towards renewable energy sources, which may reduce long-term demand for some of Vale S.A.'s products, particularly coal.

VALE Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 15 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Vale is $16.54, with a high forecast of $21.00 and a low forecast of $12.00.

15 Wall Street research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Vale in the last year. There are currently 8 hold ratings, 6 buy ratings and 1 strong buy rating for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street research analysts is that investors should "moderate buy" VALE shares.

According to analysts, Vale's stock has a predicted upside of 16.44% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Analysts like Vale less than other "basic materials" companies. The consensus rating score for Vale is 2.53 while the average consensus rating score for "basic materials" companies is 2.59. Learn more on how VALE compares to other companies.


This page (NYSE:VALE) was last updated on 7/20/2026 by MarketBeat.com Staff.
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