Vale (VALE) Stock Forecast & Price Target

$14.68 -0.04 (-0.24%)

Closing price 08/7/2026 03:59 PM Eastern

Extended Trading

$14.74 +0.05 (+0.35%)

As of 08/7/2026 07:58 PM Eastern

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Vale - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Hold

Based on 15 Analyst Ratings

Sell
1

Hold
10

Buy
4

Based on 15 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Vale in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 15 analysts, 1 has given a sell rating, 10 have given a hold rating, 3 have given a buy rating, and 1 has given a strong buy rating for VALE.

Consensus Price Target

$15.96
8.69% Upside

According to the 15 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Vale, the average price target is $15.96. The highest price target for VALE is $21.00, while the lowest price target for VALE is $12.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 8.69% from the current price of $14.69.

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.

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VALE Analyst Ratings Over Time

Type	Current Forecast 8/9/25 to 8/9/26	1 Month Ago 7/10/25 to 7/10/26	3 Months Ago 5/11/25 to 5/11/26	1 Year Ago 8/9/24 to 8/9/25
Strong Buy	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy	3 Buy rating(s)	6 Buy rating(s)	8 Buy rating(s)	5 Buy rating(s)
Hold	10 Hold rating(s)	8 Hold rating(s)	6 Hold rating(s)	5 Hold rating(s)
Sell	1 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target	$15.96	$16.54	$15.95	$11.84
Forecasted Upside	8.69% Upside	14.37% Upside	-6.50% Downside	15.89% Upside
Consensus Rating	Hold	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy

VALE Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.

VALE Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.

Vale Stock vs. The Competition

Type	Vale	Materials Companies	Broader Market
Consensus Rating Score	2.27	2.57	2.53
Consensus Rating	Hold	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy
Predicted Upside	8.69% Upside	135.09% Upside	11.63% Upside
News Sentiment Rating	Positive News See Recent VALE News	Positive News	Positive News

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Rating

Upside/Downside

Action

Time Frame

Start Date

End Date

Show

Export

Date	Brokerage	Analyst	Action	Rating	Price Target	Report Date Upside/Downside
8/5/2026	Bank of America 4 of 5 stars	Caio Ribeiro Not Rated	Reiterated Rating	Buy ➝ Neutral	$18.00 ➝ $16.00	+7.71%
8/3/2026	Barclays 3 of 5 stars	Amos Fletcher 5 of 5 stars	Boost Target	Equal Weight	$16.75 ➝ $17.00	+13.11%
7/30/2026	Zacks Research Not Rated		Downgrade	Hold ➝ Strong Sell
7/27/2026	The Goldman Sachs Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Marcio Farid Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Downgrade	Buy ➝ Neutral	$18.00 ➝ $16.00	+8.14%
7/20/2026	Scotiabank Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Alfonso Salazar Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Lower Target	Sector Perform	$19.00 ➝ $16.00	+12.15%
7/9/2026	Wells Fargo & Company Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Timna Tanners Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Lower Target	Equal Weight	$16.00 ➝ $15.00	+6.57%
7/8/2026	Weiss Ratings Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Reiterated Rating	Hold (C)
7/8/2026	Morgan Stanley Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Carlos De Alba Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Reiterated Rating	Overweight ➝ Equal Weight	$19.50 ➝ $16.50	+12.28%
6/15/2026	Royal Bank Of Canada Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Reiterated Rating	Sector Perform
6/12/2026	JPMorgan Chase & Co. Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Rodolfo Angele Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Overweight	$19.50 ➝ $21.00	+34.70%
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5/15/2026	Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Reiterated Rating	Hold	$18.00	+11.29%
3/27/2026	UBS Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Myles Allsop Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Neutral	$12.00 ➝ $16.00	+5.30%
11/3/2025	Jefferies Financial Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Christopher LeFemina Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Set Target	Buy	$15.00	+24.02%
10/17/2025	HSBC Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Buy	$12.25 ➝ $13.50	+21.51%
9/3/2025	Clarkson Capital Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Initiated Coverage	Buy	$12.00	+18.05%
5/12/2025	CICC Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Initiated Coverage	Outperform	$11.30	+18.02%
1/8/2025	Wolfe Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	T. Tanners Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Underperform ➝ Peer Perform

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Sunday at 12:30 PM ET.

Should I Buy Vale Stock? VALE Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Vale pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Vale
Bull Case

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Vale S.A.:

The current stock price is around $15, which is significantly below its 52-week high of $17.94, indicating potential for price appreciation.
Vale S.A. has a strong market capitalization of approximately $66.21 billion, suggesting a stable and established presence in the mining industry.
The company reported a return on equity of nearly 20%, indicating effective management and profitability relative to shareholder equity.
Vale S.A. has a diversified product portfolio, producing not only iron ore but also nickel, copper, and other metals, which can help mitigate risks associated with market fluctuations in any single commodity.
The recent special dividend of $0.3088 per share reflects the company's commitment to returning value to shareholders, despite a high payout ratio, which can be attractive for income-focused investors.

Vale
Bear Case

Investors should be bearish about investing in Vale S.A. for these reasons:

The company recently missed earnings expectations, reporting $0.36 earnings per share compared to the consensus estimate of $0.46, which may raise concerns about its financial performance.
Vale S.A. has a quick ratio of 0.79, indicating potential liquidity issues, as it suggests the company may not have enough short-term assets to cover its short-term liabilities.
The company's payout ratio is currently over 134%, which means it is paying out more in dividends than it earns, raising concerns about sustainability and future dividend payments.
With a beta of 0.47, Vale S.A. is less volatile than the market, which may not appeal to investors seeking high-growth opportunities in more dynamic sectors.
The company operates in a highly cyclical industry, making it vulnerable to fluctuations in commodity prices and global economic conditions, which can impact profitability.

VALE Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 15 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Vale is $15.96, with a high forecast of $21.00 and a low forecast of $12.00.

15 Wall Street research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Vale in the last twelve months. There is currently 1 sell rating, 10 hold ratings, 3 buy ratings and 1 strong buy rating for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street research analysts is that investors should "hold" VALE shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in VALE, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, Vale's stock has a predicted upside of 8.69% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Vale's stock had 2 downgrades by analysts.

Vale has been rated by research analysts at Bank of America, Barclays, Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, JPMorgan Chase & Co., Morgan Stanley, Royal Bank Of Canada, Scotiabank, The Goldman Sachs Group, Weiss Ratings, Wells Fargo & Company, and Zacks Research in the past 90 days.

Analysts like Vale less than other "materials" companies. The consensus rating for Vale is Hold while the average consensus rating for "materials" companies is Moderate Buy. Learn more on how VALE compares to other companies.

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This page (NYSE:VALE) was last updated on 8/9/2026 by MarketBeat.com Staff.

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Vale (VALE) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Vale - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Consensus Price Target

VALE Analyst Ratings Over Time

VALE Analyst Recommendations By Month

VALE Price Targets by Month

Vale Stock vs. The Competition

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Should I Buy Vale Stock? VALE Pros and Cons Explained

Vale
Bull Case

Vale
Bear Case

VALE Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

Stock Forecasts and Research Tools

Today's Analyst Ratings

Top-Rated Stocks

More Ratings Tools

Brokerages With Vale Recommendations

Best-in-Class Portfolio Monitoring

Stock Ideas and Recommendations

Advanced Stock Screeners and Research Tools

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Vale (VALE) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Vale - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Consensus Price Target

VALE Analyst Ratings Over Time

VALE Analyst Recommendations By Month

VALE Price Targets by Month

Vale Stock vs. The Competition

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Should I Buy Vale Stock? VALE Pros and Cons Explained

Vale Bull Case

Vale Bear Case

VALE Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

What is Vale's forecast for 2026?

Should I buy or sell Vale stock right now?

Does Vale's stock price have much upside?

Has Vale been downgraded by Wall Street analysts recently?

What analysts cover Vale?

Do Wall Street analysts like Vale more than its competitors?

Stock Forecasts and Research Tools

Today's Analyst Ratings

Top-Rated Stocks

More Ratings Tools

Brokerages With Vale Recommendations

MarketBeat All Access Features

Best-in-Class Portfolio Monitoring

Stock Ideas and Recommendations

Advanced Stock Screeners and Research Tools

Vale
Bull Case

Vale
Bear Case