Vale (VALE) Stock Forecast & Price Target

$13.64 +0.22 (+1.60%)

Closing price 10/9/2026 03:59 PM Eastern

Extended Trading

$13.67 +0.04 (+0.26%)

As of 10/9/2026 08:00 PM Eastern

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Vale - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Hold

Based on 16 Analyst Ratings

Sell
1

Hold
12

Buy
3

Based on 16 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Vale in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 16 analysts, 1 has given a sell rating, 12 have given a hold rating, 2 have given a buy rating, and 1 has given a strong buy rating for VALE.

Consensus Price Target

$15.96
17.06% Upside

According to the 16 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Vale, the average price target is $15.96. The highest price target for VALE is $22.00, while the lowest price target for VALE is $12.50. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 17.06% from the current price of $13.64.

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.

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VALE Analyst Ratings Over Time

Type	Current Forecast 10/10/25 to 10/10/26	1 Month Ago 9/10/25 to 9/10/26	3 Months Ago 7/12/25 to 7/12/26	1 Year Ago 10/10/24 to 10/10/25
Strong Buy	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy	2 Buy rating(s)	2 Buy rating(s)	6 Buy rating(s)	7 Buy rating(s)
Hold	12 Hold rating(s)	12 Hold rating(s)	8 Hold rating(s)	6 Hold rating(s)
Sell	1 Sell rating(s)	1 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)	1 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target	$15.96	$16.04	$16.54	$11.95
Forecasted Upside	17.06% Upside	5.00% Upside	14.37% Upside	11.10% Upside
Consensus Rating	Hold	Hold	Moderate Buy	Hold

VALE Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.

VALE Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.

Vale Stock vs. The Competition

Type	Vale	Materials Companies	Broader Market
Consensus Rating Score	2.19	2.57	2.53
Consensus Rating	Hold	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy
Predicted Upside	17.06% Upside	154.05% Upside	19.61% Upside
News Sentiment Rating	Positive News See Recent VALE News	Neutral News	Neutral News

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

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Rating

Upside/Downside

Action

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Date	Brokerage	Analyst	Action	Rating	Price Target	Report Date Upside/Downside
10/7/2026	Morgan Stanley 3 of 5 stars	Carlos De Alba 4 of 5 stars	Set Target		$15.50	+13.59%
10/2/2026	Weiss Ratings 3 of 5 stars		Reiterated Rating	Hold (C)
9/30/2026	JPMorgan Chase & Co. 3 of 5 stars	Rodolfo Angele Not Rated	Boost Target	Overweight	$21.00 ➝ $22.00	+62.90%
9/29/2026	UBS Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Myles Allsop Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Lower Target	Neutral	$16.50 ➝ $15.00	+11.82%
9/16/2026	Royal Bank Of Canada Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Marina Calero Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Sector Perform	$15.00 ➝ $16.00	+11.46%
9/9/2026	Sanford C. Bernstein Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Bob Brackett Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Market Perform	$12.00 ➝ $12.50	-19.64%
9/7/2026	Zacks Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Strong Sell ➝ Hold
9/3/2026	Freedom Broker Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Downgrade	Hold ➝ Strong Sell
8/5/2026	Bank of America Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Caio Ribeiro Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Reiterated Rating	Buy ➝ Neutral	$18.00 ➝ $16.00	+7.71%
8/3/2026	Barclays Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Amos Fletcher Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Equal Weight	$16.75 ➝ $17.00	+13.11%
Get the Latest News and Ratings for VALE and Related Stocks Enter your email address below to receive the latest news and analysts' ratings for Vale and its competitors with MarketBeat's FREE daily newsletter.
7/27/2026	The Goldman Sachs Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Marcio Farid Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Downgrade	Buy ➝ Neutral	$18.00 ➝ $16.00	+8.14%
7/20/2026	Scotiabank Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Alfonso Salazar Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Lower Target	Sector Perform	$19.00 ➝ $16.00	+12.15%
7/9/2026	Wells Fargo & Company Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Timna Tanners Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Lower Target	Equal Weight	$16.00 ➝ $15.00	+6.57%
5/15/2026	Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Reiterated Rating	Hold	$18.00	+11.29%
11/3/2025	Jefferies Financial Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	Christopher LeFemina Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Set Target	Buy	$15.00	+24.02%
10/17/2025	HSBC Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Buy	$12.25 ➝ $13.50	+21.51%
9/3/2025	Clarkson Capital Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Initiated Coverage	Buy	$12.00	+18.05%
5/12/2025	CICC Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating		Initiated Coverage	Outperform	$11.30	+18.02%
1/8/2025	Wolfe Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the firm's recommendation accuracy rating	T. Tanners Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the analyst's recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Underperform ➝ Peer Perform

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Saturday at 03:03 AM ET.

Should I Buy Vale Stock? VALE Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Thursday, October 8, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Vale pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Vale
Bull Case

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Vale S.A.:

The stock is currently trading at $13.44, which is significantly below the average twelve-month price target of $16.04 set by sell-side analysts, suggesting potential upside value for investors who believe the market is undervaluing the company relative to its peers.
Vale S.A. offers a dividend yield of 3.15%, providing a steady income stream for investors, supported by a recent special dividend of $0.3088 per share paid in September 2026, which demonstrates the company's commitment to returning capital to shareholders.
The company has a low beta of 0.42, indicating that its stock price tends to be less volatile than the broader market, which can help reduce overall portfolio risk for investors seeking stability in their holdings.
Recent insider activity shows confidence in the company's future, with multiple purchases by directors and executives in the first half of 2026, including a significant buy of 10,464 shares by an insider in April 2026, suggesting that those with the most knowledge of the business see value in the current price.
Vale S.A. is expanding its strategic footprint by considering a debut Panda Bond sale of over $500 million, which could provide access to new capital markets and diversify its funding sources, potentially strengthening its financial position for future growth initiatives.

Vale
Bear Case

Investors should be bearish about investing in Vale S.A. for these reasons:

The company's dividend payout ratio is currently 89.80%, which is very high and may limit its ability to reinvest in operations or manage debt, potentially putting pressure on future earnings if commodity prices decline.
Vale S.A. missed its earnings expectations in the most recent quarter, reporting $0.36 in earnings per share compared to the consensus estimate of $0.46, and also fell short on revenue with $10.24 billion against an expected $10.47 billion, indicating potential operational or demand challenges.
The stock has a consensus rating of "Hold" from sixteen analysts, with twelve recommending hold, one sell, and only three buy or strong buy, suggesting that the majority of professional investors see limited near-term upside or significant risks that warrant caution.
The company is facing legal and regulatory risks, including a petition filed with the Texas Supreme Court in a $500 million ore processing dispute, which could result in significant financial liabilities or operational disruptions if the outcome is unfavorable.
Vale S.A. has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.45, which, while not extreme, combined with a high dividend payout ratio, may limit its financial flexibility to respond to market downturns or invest in new projects without taking on additional debt.

VALE Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 16 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Vale is $15.96, with a high forecast of $22.00 and a low forecast of $12.50.

16 Wall Street research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Vale in the last year. There is currently 1 sell rating, 12 hold ratings, 2 buy ratings and 1 strong buy rating for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street research analysts is that investors should "hold" VALE shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in VALE, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, Vale's stock has a predicted upside of 17.06% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Vale's stock had 3 downgrades and 2 upgrades by analysts.

Vale has been rated by research analysts at Bank of America, Barclays, Freedom Broker, JPMorgan Chase & Co., Morgan Stanley, Royal Bank Of Canada, Sanford C. Bernstein, Scotiabank, The Goldman Sachs Group, UBS Group, Weiss Ratings, and Zacks Research in the past 90 days.

Analysts like Vale less than other "materials" companies. The consensus rating for Vale is Hold while the average consensus rating for "materials" companies is Moderate Buy. Learn more on how VALE compares to other companies.

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MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for Vale analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 10/7/2026.

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Vale (VALE) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Vale - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Consensus Price Target

VALE Analyst Ratings Over Time

VALE Analyst Recommendations By Month

VALE Price Targets by Month

Vale Stock vs. The Competition

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Should I Buy Vale Stock? VALE Pros and Cons Explained

Vale
Bull Case

Vale
Bear Case

VALE Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

Stock Forecasts and Research Tools

Today's Analyst Ratings

Top-Rated Stocks

More Ratings Tools

Brokerages With Vale Recommendations

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Vale (VALE) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Vale - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Consensus Price Target

VALE Analyst Ratings Over Time

VALE Analyst Recommendations By Month

VALE Price Targets by Month

Vale Stock vs. The Competition

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Should I Buy Vale Stock? VALE Pros and Cons Explained

Vale Bull Case

Vale Bear Case

VALE Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

What is Vale's forecast for 2026?

Should I buy or sell Vale stock right now?

Does Vale's stock price have much upside?

Has Vale been upgraded or downgraded by Wall Street analysts recently?

What analysts cover Vale?

Do Wall Street analysts like Vale more than its competitors?

Stock Forecasts and Research Tools

Today's Analyst Ratings

Top-Rated Stocks

More Ratings Tools

Brokerages With Vale Recommendations

MarketBeat All Access Features

Best-in-Class Portfolio Monitoring

Stock Ideas and Recommendations

Advanced Stock Screeners and Research Tools

Vale
Bull Case

Vale
Bear Case