Vale (VALE) Stock Forecast & Price Target

$9.78 -0.05 (-0.51%)

As of 05/20/2025 03:58 PM Eastern

Vale - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2025)

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.

Consensus Rating

Hold

Based on 11 Analyst Ratings

Sell
0

Hold
6

Buy
5

Based on 11 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Vale in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 11 analysts, 6 have given a hold rating, and 5 have given a buy rating for VALE.

Consensus Price Target

$12.04
23.10% Upside

According to the 11 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Vale, the average price target is $12.04. The highest price target for VALE is $15.25, while the lowest price target for VALE is $9.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 23.10% from the current price of $9.78.

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VALE Analyst Ratings Over Time

Type	Current Forecast 5/21/24 to 5/21/25	1 Month Ago 4/21/24 to 4/21/25	3 Months Ago 2/21/24 to 2/20/25	1 Year Ago 5/22/23 to 5/21/24
Strong Buy	0 Strong Buy rating(s)	0 Strong Buy rating(s)	0 Strong Buy rating(s)	0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy	5 Buy rating(s)	4 Buy rating(s)	3 Buy rating(s)	7 Buy rating(s)
Hold	6 Hold rating(s)	6 Hold rating(s)	7 Hold rating(s)	3 Hold rating(s)
Sell	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)	1 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target	$12.04	$12.44	$13.26	$16.67
Forecasted Upside	23.10% Upside	36.44% Upside	30.41% Upside	29.47% Upside
Consensus Rating	Hold	Hold	Hold	Moderate Buy

VALE Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.

VALE Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.

Vale Stock vs. The Competition

Type	Vale	Basic Materials Companies	S&P 500
Consensus Rating Score	2.45	2.78	2.54
Consensus Rating	Hold	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy
Predicted Upside	23.10% Upside	144.42% Upside	13.03% Upside
News Sentiment Rating	Positive News See Recent VALE News	Positive News	Positive News

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Rating

Upside/Downside

Action

Time Frame

Start Date

End Date

Show

Export to Excel

Date	Brokerage	Analyst Name	Action	Rating	Price Target	Upside/Downside on Report Date
5/12/2025	CICC Research 1 of 5 stars		Initiated Coverage	Outperform	$11.30	+18.02%
4/28/2025	UBS Group 3 of 5 stars	M. Allsop Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Lower Target	Neutral ➝ Neutral	$10.50 ➝ $9.00	-6.44%
4/17/2025	Royal Bank of Canada 3 of 5 stars	Marina Calero Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Reiterated Rating	Outperform ➝ Sector Perform	$12.00 ➝ $11.00	+22.22%
4/10/2025	Bank of America Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Caio Ribeiro Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Neutral ➝ Buy	$11.00 ➝ $11.50	+29.87%
1/8/2025	Wolfe Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	T. Tanners Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Underperform ➝ Peer Perform
1/6/2025	Scotiabank Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Sector Perform ➝ Sector Perform	$14.00 ➝ $13.00	+50.29%
1/6/2025	Jefferies Financial Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Buy ➝ Buy	$14.00 ➝ $11.00	+27.46%
12/12/2024	Morgan Stanley Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Downgrade	Overweight ➝ Equal Weight	$14.50 ➝ $11.30	+14.95%
12/4/2024	Barclays Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Overweight ➝ Overweight	$16.00 ➝ $15.25	+57.70%
9/23/2024	JPMorgan Chase & Co. Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Overweight ➝ Overweight	$16.50 ➝ $15.00	+44.79%
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6/21/2024	BNP Paribas Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	A. Spence Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Underperform ➝ Neutral
4/4/2024	Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Hold ➝ Hold	$18.00 ➝ $16.00	+32.40%
11/21/2023	The Goldman Sachs Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Neutral ➝ Buy	$12.20 ➝ $19.50	+24.60%
10/30/2023	Citigroup Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Neutral ➝ Buy	$14.00 ➝ $16.00	+16.19%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Wednesday at 06:20 AM ET.

Should I Buy Vale Stock? VALE Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Friday, May 16, 2025. Please send any questions or comments about these Vale pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Vale
Bull Case

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Vale S.A.:

The current stock price is around $9.80, which may present a buying opportunity for investors looking for undervalued stocks in the basic materials sector.
Vale S.A. recently increased its semi-annual dividend to $0.3758, reflecting a strong commitment to returning value to shareholders, with a dividend yield of 7.5%.
The company reported a net margin of 16.15% and a return on equity of 17.38%, indicating efficient management and profitability, which can attract investors seeking stable returns.
Analysts have an average target price of $12.04 for Vale S.A., suggesting potential upside from the current trading price, which could be appealing for growth-focused investors.
Institutional investors own 21.85% of Vale S.A., which can be a positive indicator of the company's stability and attractiveness to larger investment funds.

Vale
Bear Case

Investors should be bearish about investing in Vale S.A. for these reasons:

The company recently reported earnings per share of $0.35, missing analysts' expectations, which may raise concerns about its ability to meet future financial targets.
Vale S.A. has a quick ratio of 0.58 and a current ratio of 0.91, indicating potential liquidity issues, which could affect its ability to cover short-term obligations.
Several analysts have downgraded their target prices for Vale S.A., with UBS Group reducing its target from $10.50 to $9.00, signaling a cautious outlook on the stock's performance.
The stock has experienced volatility, with a 12-month low of $8.06 and a high of $13.14, which may deter risk-averse investors.
With a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.39, while manageable, it indicates that the company is using some leverage, which could pose risks in a rising interest rate environment.

VALE Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

: According to the research reports of 11 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Vale is $12.04, with a high forecast of $15.25 and a low forecast of $9.00.
: 11 Wall Street analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Vale in the last year. There are currently 6 hold ratings and 5 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street analysts is that investors should "hold" VALE shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in VALE, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.
: According to analysts, Vale's stock has a predicted upside of 23.10% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.
: Over the previous 90 days, Vale's stock had 1 upgrade by analysts.
: Vale has been rated by research analysts at Bank of America, CICC Research, Royal Bank of Canada, and UBS Group in the past 90 days.
: Analysts like Vale less than other "basic materials" companies. The consensus rating for Vale is Hold while the average consensus rating for "basic materials" companies is Moderate Buy. Learn more on how VALE compares to other companies.

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This page (NYSE:VALE) was last updated on 5/21/2025 by MarketBeat.com Staff

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Vale (VALE) Stock Forecast & Price Target